Fields narrowly projects as the top $/point value on the slate.
The Lions have allowed the seventh most fantasy points per game to QBs over the past five weeks. They sit tied for 22nd in Pro Football Focus coverage grade.
You can opt for the guy below if you feel any hesitation over Fields’ prior right thumb injury. Just note that he’s been a full participant in practice. And of course, he brings rushing upside that few others can match.
Also consider: Brock Purdy
This looks like a make-or-break week for Pollard. But following a substantial price drop – and a nice matchup with Carolina – I’ll (reluctantly) take the bait.
Carolina now sits 31st in rush defense DVOA. Only the Broncos have allowed more FanDuel points to RBs.
With Dallas implied for 26.25 points – up from an open of 25.75 – Sunday looks like the right time for Pollard’s poor luck to turn around. Note that he’s tallied 6.8 TDs under expectation through Week 10.
We’re simply chasing volume here.
Last week, with Dameon Pierce sidelined, Singletary set a career high with 32 opportunities and 161 yards. Pierce will miss another week after sitting out practice Wednesday-Friday.
This matchup is ripe, with the Cardinals allowing 26.3 points per game. They’re 28th in rush defense DVOA. Plus, this matchup finds both teams ranking 13th or higher in situation-neutral pace, so Houston could be in for a few extra plays. They already rank eight in the NFL in plays per game (65.1).
Also consider: Austin Ekeler, David Montgomery
Across three Aidan O’Connell starts, Adams has performed as the WR6 in expected fantasy points per game. No surprise there with Adams coming off a 13 target effort vs. the Jets.
Top tier volume looks likely again this week, as Vegas enters the weekend as 13.5-point underdogs. Opponents have also combined to post the 11th highest pass rate over expected against Miami in recent weeks.
McLaurin’s low TD count has contained his season-long fantasy impact.
The No. 1 WR strangely owns only 5 RZ targets – 13.2% of the team total – despite Sam Howell sitting first league-wide in passing yards and attempts.
It’s safe to say his scoring upside grows Sunday against the Giants, who'll be without Adoree’ Jackson (concussion). New York’s surrendered 37.3 FD points per game over the past five weeks, the third-highest mark league-wide.
Brown caught only one of four targets last week, but consider that it was Kyler Murray’s 2023 debut. While he attempted only 32 passes in that one, it’s easy to see a higher ceiling on pass volume at Houston.
The Texans have scored 69 points over the past two weeks. This week, they're implied for their season-high in points (27).
So we’re picking up a WR1 at a cheap price, in a game environment that figures to call for more opportunities. Houston will also remain without DB Jimmy Ward.
Despite Buffalo’s recent struggles, they’re still implied for a decent 23.5 points against the Jets.
We’ll see what changes arise with new OC Joe Brady calling plays. But we're betting on Kincaid's sizable role remaining following games of 8, 7, 11, and 6 targets over the past month. That’s a 23% target share.
As a bonus: Stefon Diggs will see more of top CB Sauce Gardner, boosting Kincaid’s volume outlook.
Also consider: Trey McBride
Also consider: 49ers
Join Matt Schauf and Jared Smola as they review the Week 11 FanDuel main slate.