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Tyler Allgeier - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Basic Stats

Tyler Allgeier
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.5
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.60

SPARQx (Rank): 110.10 (49%)
Burst Score (Rank): 116.10 (37%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.45 (46%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Tyler Allgeier's Weekly Outlook

Week 9 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
42.1 0.23 0.8 6.6 0.02 6.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
38.9 0.3 0.8 6.4 0 6.6

Tyler Allgeier's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#48 Running Back

113.2 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 135 593.1 4.37 0 0 13.7 108.6 0.52

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Allgeier frustrated Bijan Robinson managers last year when Arthur Smith turned to him in key situations.

The new offense for the Falcons leans heavily on the primary RB, so Allgeier’s production will be sparse this year unless Robinson gets hurt.

His ADP reflects the need for injury to be relevant. He is only being drafted as an end-of-the-draft flier.

We have him ranked similarly in our 2024 RB rankings due to the new offensive scheme.

Allgeier could snipe a TD or two, but he won’t be reliable as a week-to-week starter without a Robinson injury.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Allgeier’s 876 total yards ranked 36th among RBs. His 18 catches ranked 51st.
  • He did not miss any games due to injury.
  • Allgeier ranked as the PPR RB32 in total fantasy points (131.2) and RB37 in points per game (7.3).
    • He finished RB12 or better twice. He recorded three games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 25th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate.
  • Allgeier had 180 rushes to Bijan Robinson’s 203.
  • He played 32% of the Falcon’s offensive snaps last season.
  • He averaged:
    • 11.3 carries
    • 41.2 rushing yards
    • 0.25 rushing TDs
    • 1.25 targets (4.2% share)
    • 0.94 catches
    • 11.44 receiving yards
    • 0.06 receiving TDs
  • Allgeier was efficient as a runner. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:
    • 20th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 19th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 39th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • He was surprisingly very good as a receiver. Among 59 RBs with 20+ targets, Allgeier ranked:
    • 4th in PFF receiving grade
    • 2nd in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Allgeier will play under HC Raheem Morris and first-time OC and play-caller Zac Robinson.
    • Robinson has been on the Rams’ staff since 2019 under Sean McVay, working as the QB coach and pass game coordinator since 2022.
    • While Robinson was on staff, the Rams averaged 456.6 rushes per season.
    • The backup RB had 22.21% of the rushing attempts during that time.
  • Kirk Cousins signed with the Falcons and will provide a significant QB upgrade
    • Last season Cousins had a superior 85.1 PFF passing grade compared to Desmond Ridder (53.2) and Taylor Heinicke (48.5)
  • The Falcons are expected to be pretty good. They lead the NFC South with a 9.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • This expectation of success is largely due to Cousins joining the team. The Falcons’ Super Bowl odds jumped from +4000 before Cousins to +2800 after he signed.
  • Allgeier enters his 3rd season at 24 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with his profile produces at peak value in his age-24 season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Bijan Robinson, RB ATL

4:30pm EDT 10/10/24

Bijan Robinson Limited Thursday With Hamstring

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson was added to the injury report and limited in Thursday's practice with a hamstring. He was on last week's injury report with a hamstring before playing vs. the Bucs, but this mid-week addition is worrisome. We'll update Robinson's status on Friday afternoon, if not sooner. His absence would make RB Tyler Allgeier a virtual must-start in fantasy lineups in a great matchup against the Panthers.

View all Bijan Robinson Shark Bites »

The Falcons scored 36 points and produced 550 yards of total offense in Thursday night's win over the Bucs. Surely Bijan Robinson had a big game. Right? Nope. He finished with 77 scoreless yards. Atlanta went pass-heavy in this one, throwing 59 passes vs. 18 runs. Robinson handled 12 of those runs and produced 61 yards (5.1 yards per carry). The highlight was a 28-yarder at the end of the third quarter that included impressive burst and balance. Robinson, though, was not very involved in the passing game. His three targets tied for fifth on the team and were just 5.1% of the Falcons' total. Robinson caught all three for 16 yards.

View Full Story »

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Thursday with a shoulder. That usually means the player was injured in practice. We'll be on the lookout for more details on Robinson's status and will see how he's listed on Friday's final injury report. Tyler Allgeier would turn into a top-20 fantasy RB if Robinson misses this weekend's game vs. the Saints.

View all Bijan Robinson Shark Bites »

Tyler Allgeier got 9 carries to Bijan Robinson's 14 in Monday night's win over the Eagles. His 10 touches (including a reception on his only target) vs. Robinson's 18 marked a big difference from Week 1. Robinson got the ball 23 times to Allgeier's three against the Steelers. Robinson proved efficient on his Week 2 touches, rushing for 97 yards (6.9 per carry) and catching four of his 5 targets for 25 yards (6.3 per catch). Allgeier produced as well: 9-53 rushing (5.9 per carry) and 12 yards on his lone catch.

View Full Story »

Falcons OC Zac Robinson said he'll find "creative ways" to get the ball to RB Bijan Robinson, drawing a comparison to how the 49ers use RB Christian McCaffrey. Zac Robinson never coached McCaffrey -- but he did spend the last five seasons working under Rams HC Sean McVay, whose offense has regularly produced big RB numbers.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Tyler Allgeier, RB ATL
Dynasty MVP 17.3
Position Rank #44 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
215
333
563
Dynasty Write-up
Allgeier's proven effective as a two-down thumper, but Bijan Robinson's presence leaves him as more of a handcuff. We'll see if Atlanta's new staff gives us any clues on Allgeier's future.
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