Dynasty PPR Rookie QB Rankings 2026

Updated on Sun, 3 May 2026

Off-the-cuff opinions from random guys on the internet are not the best foundation for creating PPR Rankings. You wouldn’t buy a house with a cracked or leaking basement, would you? No! The foundation for anything is critical.

At Draft Sharks, our Dynasty Rankings are based on data—a lot of it. We start with a player's baseline, a weighted average of this year’s projection, and their last two seasons. Then we use 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year fantasy forecasted output. This isn't guesswork. Our process has been built using machine learning for all NFL data since 1999. We determine this output using scientifically-sound performance aging curves and retirement rates. And these numbers are specific to both positional groups and archetypes of players. These are the smartest fantasy football projections on the market. Period.

3D values+ then apply a weighted average of those 1-,3-,5- and 10-year projections and a cross-positional algorithm based on your exact league setup and scoring. The results are an unparalleled single (true) value you can use universally on the site. That means you can use these values for ranking in the preseason, regular season, and trade valuations.

Ready to go for the gold? In the Draft War Room you can adjust the weighting even heavier toward year-one projection in "Win Now" mode.

Scoring & Filters

1QB

Superflex

All

Rookies

RK	Player	ADP	Bye	Age	1yr. Proj	3yr. Proj	5yr. Proj	10yr. Proj	DS Analysis	3D Value +


Tier 3
1	Fernando Mendoza F Mendoza LVR QB17	9.03	8	22.6	208	812	1,363	2,702	Mendoza posted two straight 3,000-yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana. He displays a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some, too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but Mendoza has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy QB. Mendoza gets a true centerpiece target in Brock Bowers and a play-caller in Klint Kubiak who has shown the ability to scheme an efficient offense.	17
5yr. Proj 1363 10yr. Proj 2702 ADP 9.03 Bye 8 Age 22.6 DS Analysis Mendoza posted two straight 3,000-yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana. He displays a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some, too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but Mendoza has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy QB. Mendoza gets a true centerpiece target in Brock Bowers and a play-caller in Klint Kubiak who has shown the ability to scheme an efficient offense.

Tier 5
2	Ty Simpson T Simpson LAR QB28	15.05	8	23.3	30	751	1,274	2,521	Simpson threw for 3,567 yards with 28 TDs and 5 INTs at Alabama this past season. He shows solid pocket feel and enough mobility to extend plays, but his inexperience pops up when he holds the ball too long. The Rams made him a surprise pick at No. 13 overall, signaling belief in his long-term upside. Short term, though, this is Matthew Stafford’s job. Simpson’s path to the field hinges on Stafford’s health and timeline.	5
5yr. Proj 1274 10yr. Proj 2521 ADP 15.05 Bye 8 Age 23.3 DS Analysis Simpson threw for 3,567 yards with 28 TDs and 5 INTs at Alabama this past season. He shows solid pocket feel and enough mobility to extend plays, but his inexperience pops up when he holds the ball too long. The Rams made him a surprise pick at No. 13 overall, signaling belief in his long-term upside. Short term, though, this is Matthew Stafford’s job. Simpson’s path to the field hinges on Stafford’s health and timeline.

Tier 9
3	Drew Allar D Allar PIT QB35	26.02	5	22.1	28	448	764	1,083	Allar was a potential top-100 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft but opted to go back to school. That led to only 8 TDs and 3 INTs in 6 games before Allar broke his ankle. The physical tools are there for Allar to develop into the Steelers' starting QB in 2027, but the team could still draft a new one in a year. Allar is worth stashing in Superflex.	-28
5yr. Proj 764 10yr. Proj 1083 ADP 26.02 Bye 5 Age 22.1 DS Analysis Allar was a potential top-100 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft but opted to go back to school. That led to only 8 TDs and 3 INTs in 6 games before Allar broke his ankle. The physical tools are there for Allar to develop into the Steelers' starting QB in 2027, but the team could still draft a new one in a year. Allar is worth stashing in Superflex.
Tier 10
4	Carson Beck C Beck ARI QB36	23.05	8	23.4	70	390	662	795	Beck's strong end of the season in the college football playoff propped him up to being drafted in the third round. But Beck was volatile throughout the season. Beck has a ton of experience, and strong footwork makes him an ideal backup QB in the NFL. He will get an opportunity to prove himself at some point this season, but Beck is unlikely to stick as the Cardinals long term franchise QB.	-29
5yr. Proj 662 10yr. Proj 795 ADP 23.05 Bye 8 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Beck's strong end of the season in the college football playoff propped him up to being drafted in the third round. But Beck was volatile throughout the season. Beck has a ton of experience, and strong footwork makes him an ideal backup QB in the NFL. He will get an opportunity to prove himself at some point this season, but Beck is unlikely to stick as the Cardinals long term franchise QB.
5	Cade Klubnik C Klubnik NYJ QB39	26.07	9	22.5	13	429	728	874	Klubnik came into college football as a five-star recruit who became a starter before the end of his first season. He never reached his potential, especially in terms of developing more arm strength. He flashed some athleticism in 2024, going for 119-463-7 on the ground. He could be a late-round draft pick with some upside.	-31
5yr. Proj 728 10yr. Proj 874 ADP 26.07 Bye 9 Age 22.5 DS Analysis Klubnik came into college football as a five-star recruit who became a starter before the end of his first season. He never reached his potential, especially in terms of developing more arm strength. He flashed some athleticism in 2024, going for 119-463-7 on the ground. He could be a late-round draft pick with some upside.
Tier 12
6	Taylen Green T Green CLE QB42	30.08	9	23.5	15	359	607	601	Green spent two years at Boise State before transferring to Arkansas. He has a strong arm, but Green's advantage is in his rushing ability. Over the past two years, he has rushed for a combined 1,379 yards and 16 TDs. Standing at 6'6 and 235 pounds, Green is an athletic freak who the Browns may bring along to develop in a weak QB room.	-38
5yr. Proj 607 10yr. Proj 601 ADP 30.08 Bye 9 Age 23.5 DS Analysis Green spent two years at Boise State before transferring to Arkansas. He has a strong arm, but Green's advantage is in his rushing ability. Over the past two years, he has rushed for a combined 1,379 yards and 16 TDs. Standing at 6'6 and 235 pounds, Green is an athletic freak who the Browns may bring along to develop in a weak QB room.
7	Cole Payton C Payton PHI QB43	30.12	9	23.2	14	328	556	668	Payton is a small school prospect with only one year of starting. He led a successful NDSU offense throwing for 2,719 yards with 16 TDs and 4 INTs. He will be a developmental back-up on the Eagles, but his athletic upside could give him fantasy potential if Jalen Hurts goes down.	-40
5yr. Proj 556 10yr. Proj 668 ADP 30.12 Bye 9 Age 23.2 DS Analysis Payton is a small school prospect with only one year of starting. He led a successful NDSU offense throwing for 2,719 yards with 16 TDs and 4 INTs. He will be a developmental back-up on the Eagles, but his athletic upside could give him fantasy potential if Jalen Hurts goes down.
Tier 14
8	Garrett Nussmeier G Nussmeier KC QB46	25.10	10	24.2	0	191	323	623		-49
5yr. Proj 323 10yr. Proj 623 ADP 25.10 Bye 10 Age 24.2 DS Analysis
Tier 15
9	Athan Kaliakmanis A Kaliakmanis WAS QB50	389.12	12	22.7	0	122	207	409	Kaliakmanis was a surprise pick by the Washington Commanders. He has a good arm, but his lack of accuracy and college success makes him a hard pass in dynasty.	-55
5yr. Proj 207 10yr. Proj 409 ADP 389.12 Bye 12 Age 22.7 DS Analysis Kaliakmanis was a surprise pick by the Washington Commanders. He has a good arm, but his lack of accuracy and college success makes him a hard pass in dynasty.
10	Luke Altmyer L Altmyer DET QB53	30.11	8	23.5	10	67	114	225	Altmyer found success as a three-year starter for the Illini. He peaked in 2025, throwing for 3,007 yards and 22 TDs. He also ran for over 200 yards and 3 TDs every season. He wasn't drafted and will have an uphill battle to make the Lions	-60
5yr. Proj 114 10yr. Proj 225 ADP 30.11 Bye 8 Age 23.5 DS Analysis Altmyer found success as a three-year starter for the Illini. He peaked in 2025, throwing for 3,007 yards and 22 TDs. He also ran for over 200 yards and 3 TDs every season. He wasn't drafted and will have an uphill battle to make the Lions
11	Haynes King H King CAR QB54	395.02	14	25.3	9	62	103	194	King played for three years at Texas A&M before transferring to Georgia Tech as their three-year starter. He's dealt with injuries throughout his career, including a fractured leg and ankle in 2021 and a torn labrum in 2024. King is only an average thrower, but his rushing ability is the selling point. King went undrafted.	-61
5yr. Proj 103 10yr. Proj 194 ADP 395.02 Bye 14 Age 25.3 DS Analysis King played for three years at Texas A&M before transferring to Georgia Tech as their three-year starter. He's dealt with injuries throughout his career, including a fractured leg and ankle in 2021 and a torn labrum in 2024. King is only an average thrower, but his rushing ability is the selling point. King went undrafted.
12	Diego Pavia D Pavia BAL QB55	394.10	7	24.2	10	65	109	108	Pavia became a Heisman finalist after leading Vanderbilt to a top-25 season. He started his playing career at the New Mexico Military Institute, followed by two years at New Mexico State. He ended his career with two years at Vanderbilt, helping to elevate their offense. Pavia went undrafted.	-62
5yr. Proj 109 10yr. Proj 108 ADP 394.10 Bye 7 Age 24.2 DS Analysis Pavia became a Heisman finalist after leading Vanderbilt to a top-25 season. He started his playing career at the New Mexico Military Institute, followed by two years at New Mexico State. He ended his career with two years at Vanderbilt, helping to elevate their offense. Pavia went undrafted.
13	Behren Morton B Morton NE QB56	30.09	14	24.3	0	25	41	78	Morton spent five years in college at Texas Tech. He helped carry the offense to a playoff berth, but Morton is a bit of a one-trick pony. He has a strong arm and not much else. Morton will have an uphill battle to make an impact on the Patriots' roster.	-65
5yr. Proj 41 10yr. Proj 78 ADP 30.09 Bye 14 Age 24.3 DS Analysis Morton spent five years in college at Texas Tech. He helped carry the offense to a playoff berth, but Morton is a bit of a one-trick pony. He has a strong arm and not much else. Morton will have an uphill battle to make an impact on the Patriots' roster.
14	Joe Fagnano J Fagnano BAL QB57	30.07	7	25.1	3	8	13	24	Fagnano started his college career at Maine before transferring to UConn. He has good size at 6'4, 225 pounds and can scramble when given the chance. Fagnano improved every season but likely sits as an NFL backup at best. Fagnano went undrafted	-66
5yr. Proj 13 10yr. Proj 24 ADP 30.07 Bye 7 Age 25.1 DS Analysis Fagnano started his college career at Maine before transferring to UConn. He has good size at 6'4, 225 pounds and can scramble when given the chance. Fagnano improved every season but likely sits as an NFL backup at best. Fagnano went undrafted
15	Joey Aguilar J Aguilar JAC QB59	394.09	8	24.8	0	0	0	0	Aguilar went undrafted after being a very late declare due to NCAA eligibility issues.	-67
5yr. Proj 0 10yr. Proj 0 ADP 394.09 Bye 8 Age 24.8 DS Analysis Aguilar went undrafted after being a very late declare due to NCAA eligibility issues.

Tier 1
16	Bijan Robinson B Robinson ATL RB1	1.01	5	24.3	347	840	1,351	2,271	With OC Arthur Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. While his TD count dropped in 2025, he still posted a career-high 22.0 PPR points per game. He also played all 17 games for the third straight season. At only 24, Bijan should remain an elite fantasy option for the foreseeable future.	100
5yr. Proj 1351 10yr. Proj 2271 ADP 1.01 Bye 5 Age 24.3 DS Analysis With OC Arthur Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. While his TD count dropped in 2025, he still posted a career-high 22.0 PPR points per game. He also played all 17 games for the third straight season. At only 24, Bijan should remain an elite fantasy option for the foreseeable future.
Tier 1
17	Ja'Marr Chase J Chase CIN WR1	1.02	10	26.2	337	958	1,553	2,869	Chase took a slight step back after his 2024 triple crown, but Joe Burrow’s extended absence shaped much of that dip. Even so, Chase still finished WR3 in PPR points per game at 19.7. That number felt much closer to his floor than his ceiling. As long as Burrow stays healthy, Chase will push for the top WR spot each year for the foreseeable future. He's only 26 years old.	99
5yr. Proj 1553 10yr. Proj 2869 ADP 1.02 Bye 10 Age 26.2 DS Analysis Chase took a slight step back after his 2024 triple crown, but Joe Burrow’s extended absence shaped much of that dip. Even so, Chase still finished WR3 in PPR points per game at 19.7. That number felt much closer to his floor than his ceiling. As long as Burrow stays healthy, Chase will push for the top WR spot each year for the foreseeable future. He's only 26 years old.
18	Jaxon Smith-Njigba J Smith-Njigba SEA WR2	1.05	8	24.2	320	953	1,552	2,866	JSN took another step forward in his third season, finishing as WR2 in PPR points per game (21.3). Even on a Seahawks offense that wanted to lean on the run, JSN remained dominant. His route running and athleticism leave him open on most passing plays, which led to 163 targets from Sam Darnold. At only 24 years old, JSN is one of the top players in dynasty.	97
5yr. Proj 1552 10yr. Proj 2866 ADP 1.05 Bye 8 Age 24.2 DS Analysis JSN took another step forward in his third season, finishing as WR2 in PPR points per game (21.3). Even on a Seahawks offense that wanted to lean on the run, JSN remained dominant. His route running and athleticism leave him open on most passing plays, which led to 163 targets from Sam Darnold. At only 24 years old, JSN is one of the top players in dynasty.
19	Jahmyr Gibbs J Gibbs DET RB2	1.03	8	24.1	353	827	1,311	2,095	Despite a slow start, Gibbs largely delivered as a rookie RB. He averaged 5.2 YPC and popped in 10 TDs on 182 attempts, adding 52 receptions. His production reached new heights in 2024, and he proved more than capable as a workhorse back following a late-season injury to David Montgomery. 2025 turned up much of the same, as he finished as the PPR RB3 even with a few late-season duds. The former Round 1 pick is now eligible for a contract extension.	95
5yr. Proj 1311 10yr. Proj 2095 ADP 1.03 Bye 8 Age 24.1 DS Analysis Despite a slow start, Gibbs largely delivered as a rookie RB. He averaged 5.2 YPC and popped in 10 TDs on 182 attempts, adding 52 receptions. His production reached new heights in 2024, and he proved more than capable as a workhorse back following a late-season injury to David Montgomery. 2025 turned up much of the same, as he finished as the PPR RB3 even with a few late-season duds. The former Round 1 pick is now eligible for a contract extension.
20	Puka Nacua P Nacua LAR WR3	1.04	8	24.9	361	917	1,503	2,810	Nacua delivered a career year in 2025, finishing as the PPR WR1 with 377 fantasy points. Matthew Stafford fed him 166 targets, making Nacua the clear centerpiece of the Rams’ passing game. At 24, he remains locked in as one of dynasty’s top WRs. The one thing keeping him from the top overall spot is the long-term uncertainty at QB.	95
5yr. Proj 1503 10yr. Proj 2810 ADP 1.04 Bye 8 Age 24.9 DS Analysis Nacua delivered a career year in 2025, finishing as the PPR WR1 with 377 fantasy points. Matthew Stafford fed him 166 targets, making Nacua the clear centerpiece of the Rams’ passing game. At 24, he remains locked in as one of dynasty’s top WRs. The one thing keeping him from the top overall spot is the long-term uncertainty at QB.

Tier 1
21	Brock Bowers B Bowers LVR TE1	1.10	8	23.3	247	792	1,288	2,296	Bowers disappointed in 2025 while dealing with a knee injury. He only played in 12 games and finished with 64-680-7 receiving. The talent is still undeniable, and Bowers should rebound alongside Fernando Mendoza in 2026.	57
5yr. Proj 1288 10yr. Proj 2296 ADP 1.10 Bye 8 Age 23.3 DS Analysis Bowers disappointed in 2025 while dealing with a knee injury. He only played in 12 games and finished with 64-680-7 receiving. The talent is still undeniable, and Bowers should rebound alongside Fernando Mendoza in 2026.
22	Trey McBride T McBride ARI TE2	1.12	8	26.4	265	758	1,235	2,294	McBride had a dominant 2025, breaking the single-season TE receptions record in Week 17. His fantasy season ended at 119-1174-11. QB play is a minor issue in the short term, but there's no doubt McBride remains an elite dynasty TE.	56
5yr. Proj 1235 10yr. Proj 2294 ADP 1.12 Bye 8 Age 26.4 DS Analysis McBride had a dominant 2025, breaking the single-season TE receptions record in Week 17. His fantasy season ended at 119-1174-11. QB play is a minor issue in the short term, but there's no doubt McBride remains an elite dynasty TE.

Tier 1
23	Josh Allen J Allen BUF QB1	1.06	7	29.9	377	1,037	1,688	3,200	Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future. He gets a nice boost with the addition of D.J. Moore, who should stick around for at least the next two seasons.	46
5yr. Proj 1688 10yr. Proj 3200 ADP 1.06 Bye 7 Age 29.9 DS Analysis Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future. He gets a nice boost with the addition of D.J. Moore, who should stick around for at least the next two seasons.

24	Drake Maye D Maye NE QB2	1.09	14	23.7	343	983	1,664	3,325	Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.	42
5yr. Proj 1664 10yr. Proj 3325 ADP 1.09 Bye 14 Age 23.7 DS Analysis Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.
25	Jayden Daniels J Daniels WAS QB3	2.03	12	25.3	333	1,018	1,657	3,094	Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.	38
5yr. Proj 1657 10yr. Proj 3094 ADP 2.03 Bye 12 Age 25.3 DS Analysis Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.

Dynasty PPR Rookie QB Rankings 2026

Gain Greater Insights In The Draft War Room

Upgrade for Unlimited Insider Member