Show Navigation
Show Menu

C.J. Stroud Dynasty Fantasy Football Value

By Kevin English 6:50pm EDT 6/21/23

C.J. Stroud, QB, Texans

Height: 6’3
Weight: 214
BMI: 26.7
Age: 21.4
NFL Draft Pick: Round 1, Pick 2
Draft Sharks Model Score: 8.63
Analytics Score: 0.68
Film Score: 0.64
Production Score: 0.94

C.J. Stroud Dynasty Fantasy Football Value

Stroud checks boxes for size, experience (25 starts), and arm talent. He's polished throwing from inside the pocket, a skill that should translate well to the pros. 

Stroud didn't run much at Ohio State, but the tape shows enough athleticism to believe he'll add value on scrambles.

C.J. Stroud Team Fit: Houston Texans

After Carolina traded up to No. 1, rumors swirled that Stroud would be the pick. Instead, he went second overall to a Texans squad breaking in new HC DeMeco Ryans and OC Bobby Slowik. 

We're buying the Kyle Shanahan disciples as successful long-term coaches. They supply optimism for Stroud's long-term QB1 upside.

Clearly, though, Houston needs a young pass-catching corps to take flight. Nico Collins looks like a solid complimentary piece. (As does veteran TE Dalton Schultz.) But there are some major questions in WR John Metchie, who missed all of 2022, and Tank Dell, a Round 3 pick at only ~170 pounds.

We'll track their progress closely come training camp.

Question: Is Stroud a top-3 lock in superflex drafts? Find out in our consensus superflex rookie rankings.

Dynasty Valuation

Our Dynasty Draft War Room assigns dynamic player values based on your league’s specific settings. These DMVP values range from 100 to 0, with 100 being the most valuable player in your league and 0 being the worst rostered player. Use these values to compare players at the same position and across positions for help with draft, trade and add/drop decisions.

C.J. Stroud Dynasty Values:

  • Dynasty: 1-QB, Non-PPR – 27.8
  • Dynasty: 1-QB, PPR – 29.2
  • Dynasty: 1-QB, PPR, TE Premium –  19.3
  • Dynasty: Superflex, Non-PPR –  44.2
  • Dynasty: Superflex, PPR –  49.9
  • Dynasty: Superflex, PPR, TE Premium –  49.0

*To see C.J. Stroud's dynasty fantasy value for your league setup, visit the Dynasty Draft War Room.

C.J. Stroud Combine Results

Arm length: 32 5/8"
Hand size: 10"
40-yard dash: n/a
10-yard split: n/a
Bench press: n/a
Vertical: n/a
Broad jump: n/a
3-cone drill: n/a

C.J. Stroud passed on athletic testing at the NFL Combine, but his on-field work was spectacular.

Percentiles vs. Combine Quarterbacks since 1999, per MockDraftable.

C.J. Stroud Stats

GamesCmpattcmp%ydstdsints car yds tds
20201000000 1 48 1
20211231744171.94,435446 32 -20 0
20221325838966.33,688416 47 108 0

Stroud Sits Behind Justin Fields

Schools lined up to court Stroud, a unanimous five-star recruit. He ultimately chose Ohio State over other premier programs such as Georgia and Michigan.

The 2020 Buckeyes featured junior Justin Fields, who started all eight games. Stroud saw only one touch that season – a 48-yard rushing score vs. Michigan State.

Stroud then earned the starting gig in 2021. 

He’d soon show everyone why.

Explosive Breakout

Across all of FBS, Stroud ranked top 5 in passing yards, completion rate, yards per attempt, TD passes, and QBR.

His Pro Football Focus (PFF) passing grade? No. 4 in the nation.

He also set several major OSU records: single-game passing yards (573), single-game passing TDs (6, twice), and season-long completion rate (71.9%).

Stroud dominated the Big Ten. And it wasn’t always a cakewalk, despite what you might have heard...

Early Injury Scare

Stroud’s 2021 season nearly went south.

“I was just banged up. Fall camp, I had stressed my rotator cuff,” he said via Cleveland.com. “In the Minnesota game [Week 1], I got a hit right on my shoulder and separated my AC joint. So that one wasn’t fun. It was kind of painful.”

The modest Stroud took a one-week breather – he wasn’t needed against Akron – before resuming a torrid pace. 

By season’s end, he ranked fourth in Heisman voting behind Bryce Young, Aidan Hutchinson, and Kenny Pickett.

NFL-Quality WRs

Stroud’s 2021 pass-catchers read like an All-Star roster:

Garrett Wilson
Chris Olave
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Emeka Egbuka

That’s two first-round picks – Wilson and Olave – plus 3 others with Round 1 profiles.

It’s an all-time great WR corps, which certainly needs to be factored into Stroud’s evaluation.

The group broke up last spring, as Wilson and Olave turned pro. And Smith-Njigba played only parts of three games due to hamstring trouble.

How Would Stroud Respond?

Stroud proved he could handle having “only” two projected Round 1 WRs …

Combined, Harrison and Egbuka accounted for 58.5% of Stroud’s completions, 65.4% of his yards and 58.5% of his TDs.

Sure, Stroud’s numbers declined. But that was simply because of how high he set the bar in 2021.

Starting all 13 games, he still ranked top 15 nationally in:

Passing yards
TDs
TD rate
INT rate
YPA
PFF passing grade
PFF’s Big Time Throw Rate

No matter how you slice it, Stroud’s dynasty value remained enticing.

C.J. Stroud Highlights

Games watched: Georgia (2022), Michigan (2022), Notre Dame (2022), Maryland (2022), Oregon (2021)

Let’s start with where Stroud wins: inside the pocket. 

He doesn’t even step into this first throw, yet it’s placed perfectly.

C.J. Stroud worked beautifully inside the pocket at Ohio State. His game should translate well to the NFL and fantasy.

Per PFF’s tracking, Stroud actually leads the nation with a 26.7% rate of “perfectly placed passes” since 2021. 

Is there a subjective element to that stat? Sure. But it’s noteworthy for a guy who played with top-tier talent. And it’s backed up by the tape.

His pinpoint accuracy wasn’t restricted downfield, either. While Harrison fails to come up with this next pass, you have to love Stroud’s ball placement.

C.J. Stroud was an effective deep ball thrower at Ohio State. Excellent news for his dynasty fantasy value.

Legendary Playoff Performance

Stroud saved his best work for the playoff semifinal vs. Georgia.

What was most noteworthy? His playmaking outside the pocket. Previously, that element of his game rarely popped.

Stroud simply enjoyed the game of his life, the type that elevated his draft stock into the top 5.

C.J. Stroud doesn't lack arm strength or arm talent -- a boost for his dynasty value.

And here’s another layer: Stroud actually lost Harrison late in the third quarter to a concussion. Top TE Cade Stover left in the first quarter following a back injury.

Still, Stroud led the Buckeyes to a FG attempt that would have won the game. 

His final line: 348 yards, 4 TDs (0 turnovers) and a 67.6% completion rate.

What About the Legs?

At the Combine, Stroud admitted he felt “regret” over not running more at OSU.

“I’ll be honest," he said via Pro Football Talk. "I told [pro teams] like I’ll tell y’all: I didn’t do it a lot in college, and I feel like I should have.”

When he did take off, Stroud showed above-average wheels. He didn’t test at the Combine, but you can see he’s no Philip Rivers when given space …

C.J. Stroud isn't the next Michael Vick. But Stroud has the wheels to bolster his dynasty fantasy football value.

Don't expect Stroud to post anything close to league-leading rushing stats. Clearly, though, he's capable of supplying enough to bolster his QB1 profile.

Want Dynasty Sleepers?

Stick around until the end of this video to get some rookie-draft sleepers across ALL positions:

In This Article

Related Fantasy Football

Dynasty Player Spotlight: C.J. Stroud

Dynasty Player Spotlight: C.J. Stroud

4:08pm EST 11/20/23

Stroud has been one of fantasy's biggest breakout stars in 2023. Should dynasty managers "buy high" on the QB? C.H. Herms explores why the answer is yes.

Read More »
Preseason Winners and Losers

Preseason Winners and Losers

11:56am EDT 8/30/23

Let's run through 21 fantasy football preseason winners and losers as we barrel toward Week 1. A must-read before your draft!

Read More »
Best Rookie Quarterbacks (QB) 2023 Fantasy

Best Rookie Quarterbacks (QB) 2023 Fantasy

9:00am EDT 6/29/23

The best rookie QBs for 2023 look like a massive upgrade vs. the 2022 class. But what exactly can we expect from guys like Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, and Anthony Richardson?

Read More »
Top Fantasy Rookies 2023

Top Fantasy Rookies 2023

10:12am EDT 5/26/23

Who are the top fantasy rookies for 2023? And what can they deliver for your fantasy squads in 2023 and beyond? Let's review, position-by-position.

Read More »
2023 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft #1

2023 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft #1

3:43pm EDT 3/30/23

It all starts with Bijan Robinson this year. But once he's gone, what else should happen in your dynasty rookie draft? Six of us got together to map it out ... and some of the picks may surprise you.

Read More »
2023 NFL Mock Draft | Fantasy reactions to Mel Kiper Jr.’s latest mock

2023 NFL Mock Draft | Fantasy reactions to Mel Kiper Jr.’s latest mock

5:23pm EDT 3/24/23

Mel Kiper Jr. included 12 skill-position rookies in his most recent NFL mock draft. Find out who would be helped -- or harmed -- if things play out that way ...

Read More »
Your Personal Dynasty Analytics Department... We dig deeper for you.

We have the tools to help you manage your team like a real NFL GM. Coaches like Belichick, McVay, and Reid all have an entire analytics team at their disposal -- from Draft Night and through the offseason. Now you do too!

With tools that:

  1. Customize and sync to your league scoring. Plug-and-Play functionality.
  2. Auto-adjust during your draft(s) based on positional scarcity, player availability, and individual team needs.
  3. Look to the future with 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-yr projections.
  4. Contain detailed breakdowns for trade analysis, start-sit decisions, and waiver wire management.

We’ve built a whole suite of Dynasty Tools to help you draft, trade, and research like a champion. You're the manager. We're here to help.

Explore Your New Dynasty Tools »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?
Check out thisleague-winning info
2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play