Dynasty QB Rankings 2026 (Quarterback)

Updated on Mon, 9 Feb 2026

These 2026 Dynasty QB Rankings start with our award-winning projections … and then get even better.

We take a weighted average of each player’s projection for this season plus his past two years of actual production. From there, we build out three-year, five-year, and 10-year projections to help assess each player’s long-term outlook.

Plus, you’ll find two decades of NFL research combined with a series of machine-learning models to deliver aging curves and expected retirement rates specific to every QB archetype.

The result: The clearest possible picture of a player’s current and long-term value.

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RK	Player	ADP	Bye	Age	1yr. Proj	3yr. Proj	5yr. Proj	10yr. Proj	DS Analysis	3D Value +


Tier 1
1	Josh Allen J Allen BUF QB1	2.01	7	29.7	373	1,037	1,688	3,200	Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future.	49
5yr. Proj 1688 10yr. Proj 3200 ADP 2.01 Bye 7 Age 29.7 DS Analysis Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future.
2	Drake Maye D Maye NE QB2	8.02	14	23.4	343	983	1,664	3,325	Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.	44
5yr. Proj 1664 10yr. Proj 3325 ADP 8.02 Bye 14 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.
3	Jayden Daniels J Daniels WAS QB3	2.03	12	25.1	329	1,018	1,657	3,094	Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.	39
5yr. Proj 1657 10yr. Proj 3094 ADP 2.03 Bye 12 Age 25.1 DS Analysis Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.

4	Lamar Jackson L Jackson BAL QB4	2.04	7	29.1	342	1,000	1,631	2,862	Jackson posted an MVP-caliber 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. But injuries to his back and hamstring severely limited his fantasy output in 2025. In fact, Jackson delivered only three top-5 fantasy finishes -- each over the first three weeks of the season. Jackson is a bounce-back candidate for 2026, his age-29 season.	31
5yr. Proj 1631 10yr. Proj 2862 ADP 2.04 Bye 7 Age 29.1 DS Analysis Jackson posted an MVP-caliber 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. But injuries to his back and hamstring severely limited his fantasy output in 2025. In fact, Jackson delivered only three top-5 fantasy finishes -- each over the first three weeks of the season. Jackson is a bounce-back candidate for 2026, his age-29 season.
5	Joe Burrow J Burrow CIN QB5	3.02	10	29.1	337	974	1,574	2,976	Burrow performed as a high-end QB1 in 2024. He was also one of the offseason winners in 2025, as Cincy retained WRs Ja’Marr Chase AND Tee Higgins on long-term deals. Then came a disastrous '25 season that was thrown off track by a Week 2 turf toe injury. Fortunately, Burrow returned and flashed his high-end upside on a couple of occasions. He should have multiple years of top-8 production remaining.	30
5yr. Proj 1574 10yr. Proj 2976 ADP 3.02 Bye 10 Age 29.1 DS Analysis Burrow performed as a high-end QB1 in 2024. He was also one of the offseason winners in 2025, as Cincy retained WRs Ja’Marr Chase AND Tee Higgins on long-term deals. Then came a disastrous '25 season that was thrown off track by a Week 2 turf toe injury. Fortunately, Burrow returned and flashed his high-end upside on a couple of occasions. He should have multiple years of top-8 production remaining.

Tier 2
6	Patrick Mahomes P Mahomes KC QB6	5.01	10	30.3	278	957	1,564	3,029	Mahomes posted underwhelming production in 2024, ultimately finishing as the QB11. When healthy in 2025, he lacked consistency from week to week. Instead, he relied on rushing stats to finish as a top-5 fantasy QB pre-injury. Unfortunately, he suffered a December ACL/LCL tear that puts his availability for Week 1, 2026, in question.	28
5yr. Proj 1564 10yr. Proj 3029 ADP 5.01 Bye 10 Age 30.3 DS Analysis Mahomes posted underwhelming production in 2024, ultimately finishing as the QB11. When healthy in 2025, he lacked consistency from week to week. Instead, he relied on rushing stats to finish as a top-5 fantasy QB pre-injury. Unfortunately, he suffered a December ACL/LCL tear that puts his availability for Week 1, 2026, in question.
7	Caleb Williams C Williams CHI QB7	7.09	5	24.2	326	926	1,538	2,999	Williams showed the ability to make high-end throws as a rookie. But his tendency to hold the ball and take sacks led to a wildly inconsistent campaign. Fortunately, an improved O-line and an upgraded pass-catching corps arrived this offseason and immediately paid dividends. TE Colston Loveland and WR Luther Burden really showed promise and supply long-term building blocks. Williams should only improve as he gains time in HC Ben Johnson's system.	26
5yr. Proj 1538 10yr. Proj 2999 ADP 7.09 Bye 5 Age 24.2 DS Analysis Williams showed the ability to make high-end throws as a rookie. But his tendency to hold the ball and take sacks led to a wildly inconsistent campaign. Fortunately, an improved O-line and an upgraded pass-catching corps arrived this offseason and immediately paid dividends. TE Colston Loveland and WR Luther Burden really showed promise and supply long-term building blocks. Williams should only improve as he gains time in HC Ben Johnson's system.
8	Jalen Hurts J Hurts PHI QB8	3.08	9	27.5	339	960	1,536	2,625	Hurts set a career-high in passing TDs in 2025. However, his rushing production took a hit, leading to a career low in fantasy points per game. Hurts did manage to avoid missing time after a concussion cost him two games in 2024. He'll also enter 2026 with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Saquon Barkley under contract. Dallas Goedert is slated for free agency.	23
5yr. Proj 1536 10yr. Proj 2625 ADP 3.08 Bye 9 Age 27.5 DS Analysis Hurts set a career-high in passing TDs in 2025. However, his rushing production took a hit, leading to a career low in fantasy points per game. Hurts did manage to avoid missing time after a concussion cost him two games in 2024. He'll also enter 2026 with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Saquon Barkley under contract. Dallas Goedert is slated for free agency.
9	Justin Herbert J Herbert LAC QB9	8.01	12	27.8	323	915	1,495	2,903	Alongside new HC Jim Harbaugh, WR Ladd McConkey, and LT Joe Alt, Herbert played excellent real-life ball in 2024. However, he finished as a QB1 in only five of 17 games. The team added back Keenan Allen in 2025, plus spent early picks on RB Omarion Hampton and WR Tre Harris. The team even saw a quick rise from Round 5 TE Oronde Gadsden II. Herbert ultimately delivered a fine fantasy season with help from boosted rushing volume. But an injury-ravaged O-line and another Herbert injury -- this time to his hand -- limited what could have been an even better season. With plenty of talent around him, Herbert remains an upside QB1.	22
5yr. Proj 1495 10yr. Proj 2903 ADP 8.01 Bye 12 Age 27.8 DS Analysis Alongside new HC Jim Harbaugh, WR Ladd McConkey, and LT Joe Alt, Herbert played excellent real-life ball in 2024. However, he finished as a QB1 in only five of 17 games. The team added back Keenan Allen in 2025, plus spent early picks on RB Omarion Hampton and WR Tre Harris. The team even saw a quick rise from Round 5 TE Oronde Gadsden II. Herbert ultimately delivered a fine fantasy season with help from boosted rushing volume. But an injury-ravaged O-line and another Herbert injury -- this time to his hand -- limited what could have been an even better season. With plenty of talent around him, Herbert remains an upside QB1.

10	Trevor Lawrence T Lawrence JAC QB10	13.12	8	26.3	333	884	1,456	2,832	A shoulder injury limited Lawrence to only 10 games in 2024. Then in 2025, he rebounded tremendously under new HC Liam Coen. Lawrence tallied 4,007-29-12 -- plus nine rushing TDs. That propelled him to an overall QB4 fantasy finish. Lawrence's huge season came despite only seven games alongside rookie WR Travis Hunter. We also saw WR Brian Thomas Jr. take a major step back. Veteran Jakobi Meyers stepped up following a mid-season trade, as the team extended him through the 2028 season. Regardless of the pieces, Lawrence's stock is clearly on the rise.	19
5yr. Proj 1456 10yr. Proj 2832 ADP 13.12 Bye 8 Age 26.3 DS Analysis A shoulder injury limited Lawrence to only 10 games in 2024. Then in 2025, he rebounded tremendously under new HC Liam Coen. Lawrence tallied 4,007-29-12 -- plus nine rushing TDs. That propelled him to an overall QB4 fantasy finish. Lawrence's huge season came despite only seven games alongside rookie WR Travis Hunter. We also saw WR Brian Thomas Jr. take a major step back. Veteran Jakobi Meyers stepped up following a mid-season trade, as the team extended him through the 2028 season. Regardless of the pieces, Lawrence's stock is clearly on the rise.

Tier 3
11	Brock Purdy B Purdy SF QB11	11.05	14	26.1	323	858	1,407	2,697	Purdy missed a chunk of early-season games with turf toe. But he rebounded to finish as the QB4 in total points from Week 11 on. Purdy benefits from HC stability and a solid group of pass catchers, although Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are likely nearing the end of their prime. Purdy is under contract through the 2030 season.	14
5yr. Proj 1407 10yr. Proj 2697 ADP 11.05 Bye 14 Age 26.1 DS Analysis Purdy missed a chunk of early-season games with turf toe. But he rebounded to finish as the QB4 in total points from Week 11 on. Purdy benefits from HC stability and a solid group of pass catchers, although Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle are likely nearing the end of their prime. Purdy is under contract through the 2030 season.
12	Jaxson Dart J Dart NYG QB12	14.01	14	22.7	317	830	1,408	2,786	Dart flashed his arm talent as a true freshman at USC, but he was fully unlocked in 2024 at Ole Miss. He completed 69.3% of his passes for 4,279 yards, 29 TDs, and 6 INTs. With a quick release and improved coverage recognition, Dart quickly showed the potential to stick as an NFL starter. He also adds plenty of mobility to make a fantasy impact moving forward. While durability issues persist, Dart certainly carries top-10 potential if the Giants continue upgrading the offense.	14
5yr. Proj 1408 10yr. Proj 2786 ADP 14.01 Bye 14 Age 22.7 DS Analysis Dart flashed his arm talent as a true freshman at USC, but he was fully unlocked in 2024 at Ole Miss. He completed 69.3% of his passes for 4,279 yards, 29 TDs, and 6 INTs. With a quick release and improved coverage recognition, Dart quickly showed the potential to stick as an NFL starter. He also adds plenty of mobility to make a fantasy impact moving forward. While durability issues persist, Dart certainly carries top-10 potential if the Giants continue upgrading the offense.
13	Fernando Mendoza F Mendoza RK QB13	N/A	18	22.3	250	851	1,432	2,870	Mendoza won the Heisman for the Big Ten Champion Indiana Hoosiers. He has two straight 3,000 yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana and is expected to be a top selection in the NFL Draft. He showcases a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but has potential to be a top-15 fantasy QB.	13
5yr. Proj 1432 10yr. Proj 2870 ADP N/A Bye 18 Age 0 DS Analysis Mendoza won the Heisman for the Big Ten Champion Indiana Hoosiers. He has two straight 3,000 yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana and is expected to be a top selection in the NFL Draft. He showcases a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but has potential to be a top-15 fantasy QB.
14	Jordan Love J Love GB QB14	10.06	5	27.3	288	887	1,431	2,550	In 2025, Love missed two games for the second straight season. When healthy, he flashed with three overall QB2 fantasy finishes. However, he tallied only one other finish inside the top-10. Overall, Love’s volume continued to stay low relative to his breakout 2023. Green Bay also remains without a true No. 1 WR, although it’s a huge positive that Christian Watson has looked strong in his return from an ACL tear. Love is under contract through the 2028 season.	12
5yr. Proj 1431 10yr. Proj 2550 ADP 10.06 Bye 5 Age 27.3 DS Analysis In 2025, Love missed two games for the second straight season. When healthy, he flashed with three overall QB2 fantasy finishes. However, he tallied only one other finish inside the top-10. Overall, Love’s volume continued to stay low relative to his breakout 2023. Green Bay also remains without a true No. 1 WR, although it’s a huge positive that Christian Watson has looked strong in his return from an ACL tear. Love is under contract through the 2028 season.
15	Bo Nix B Nix DEN QB15	5.11	12	25.9	310	856	1,395	2,603	An older prospect at 24, Nix proved pro-ready alongside HC Sean Payton. Across 17 games, he tallied 3,775-29-12 -- plus 430-4 rushing. Last offseason brought the arrival of veteran TE Evan Engram and Round 3 WR Pat Bryant, along with a new deal for Courtland Sutton. While Nix's play proved inconsistent, he still finished QB7 on a league-high 612 attempts. He also added 5 rushing TDs and finished tied for fifth in QB rush attempts. That aspect of Nix's game helps buoy his dynasty value.	11
5yr. Proj 1395 10yr. Proj 2603 ADP 5.11 Bye 12 Age 25.9 DS Analysis An older prospect at 24, Nix proved pro-ready alongside HC Sean Payton. Across 17 games, he tallied 3,775-29-12 -- plus 430-4 rushing. Last offseason brought the arrival of veteran TE Evan Engram and Round 3 WR Pat Bryant, along with a new deal for Courtland Sutton. While Nix's play proved inconsistent, he still finished QB7 on a league-high 612 attempts. He also added 5 rushing TDs and finished tied for fifth in QB rush attempts. That aspect of Nix's game helps buoy his dynasty value.
16	Dak Prescott D Prescott DAL QB16	13.03	10	32.5	327	863	1,421	2,351	Dak’s 2024 was ruined by a hamstring injury that required surgery. But he rebounded with a healthy 2025 to post top-five fantasy totals (4,552 yards, 30 TDs, 10 INTs). We'll see about the status of impending free agent George Pickens, but expect Dallas to retain him.	10
5yr. Proj 1421 10yr. Proj 2351 ADP 13.03 Bye 10 Age 32.5 DS Analysis Dak’s 2024 was ruined by a hamstring injury that required surgery. But he rebounded with a healthy 2025 to post top-five fantasy totals (4,552 yards, 30 TDs, 10 INTs). We'll see about the status of impending free agent George Pickens, but expect Dallas to retain him.

17	C.J. Stroud C Stroud HOU QB17	7.05	6	24.3	285	811	1,370	2,646	Stroud's fantasy points per game rebounded slightly from 2024 (18.2 vs. 17.0). Still, he wasn't asked to carry a team that fielded one of the NFL's top defenses. That played a part in Stroud posting only three top-12 fantasy finishes in 14 games. Nico Collins, Jayden Higgins, and Jaylin Noel supply a nice group of young weapons. Still, a lack of rushing production -- plus middling pass volume -- figures to stick around moving forward.	8
5yr. Proj 1370 10yr. Proj 2646 ADP 7.05 Bye 6 Age 24.3 DS Analysis Stroud's fantasy points per game rebounded slightly from 2024 (18.2 vs. 17.0). Still, he wasn't asked to carry a team that fielded one of the NFL's top defenses. That played a part in Stroud posting only three top-12 fantasy finishes in 14 games. Nico Collins, Jayden Higgins, and Jaylin Noel supply a nice group of young weapons. Still, a lack of rushing production -- plus middling pass volume -- figures to stick around moving forward.
18	Baker Mayfield B Mayfield TB QB18	8.05	9	30.8	295	822	1,351	2,435	Baker's production reached new heights in 2024. Among the highlights: career-best marks in completion rate (71.4%), passing yards (4,500), and passing TDs (41). The addition of Round 1 WR Emeka Egbuka added optimism for 2025, but Baker's play fell off after a strong start. He finished QB12 in total fantasy points -- QB18 in PPG. We'll see if impending free agent Mike Evans returns for another year or two.	5
5yr. Proj 1351 10yr. Proj 2435 ADP 8.05 Bye 9 Age 30.8 DS Analysis Baker's production reached new heights in 2024. Among the highlights: career-best marks in completion rate (71.4%), passing yards (4,500), and passing TDs (41). The addition of Round 1 WR Emeka Egbuka added optimism for 2025, but Baker's play fell off after a strong start. He finished QB12 in total fantasy points -- QB18 in PPG. We'll see if impending free agent Mike Evans returns for another year or two.
19	Jared Goff J Goff DET QB19	12.09	8	31.3	303	847	1,366	2,279	Leaning on OC Ben Johnson and an all-star cast, Goff set career highs in completion rate (72.4%) and passing TDs (37) in 2024. Goff's numbers predictably dipped after Johnson left to coach the Bears. Still, the veteran finished a solid QB6 in 17 games. While he'll break in another OC in 2026, he'll remain surrounded by plenty of talent. Goff should remain a useful fantasy piece in the short term.	5
5yr. Proj 1366 10yr. Proj 2279 ADP 12.09 Bye 8 Age 31.3 DS Analysis Leaning on OC Ben Johnson and an all-star cast, Goff set career highs in completion rate (72.4%) and passing TDs (37) in 2024. Goff's numbers predictably dipped after Johnson left to coach the Bears. Still, the veteran finished a solid QB6 in 17 games. While he'll break in another OC in 2026, he'll remain surrounded by plenty of talent. Goff should remain a useful fantasy piece in the short term.
20	Tyler Shough T Shough NO QB20	24.11	11	26.3	298	800	1,315	2,521	Shough started 2025 as the No. 2 QB behind Spencer Rattler. But the rookie eventually earned the starting gig and played well enough to keep the job into 2026. Shough tallied a 67.6% completion rate, 7.3 yards per attempt, and engineered three game-winning drives for a talent-thin Saints offense. Shough also supplied some rushing upside with a 45-186-3 line. We expect the Saints to add pieces around him this offseason.	4
5yr. Proj 1315 10yr. Proj 2521 ADP 24.11 Bye 11 Age 26.3 DS Analysis Shough started 2025 as the No. 2 QB behind Spencer Rattler. But the rookie eventually earned the starting gig and played well enough to keep the job into 2026. Shough tallied a 67.6% completion rate, 7.3 yards per attempt, and engineered three game-winning drives for a talent-thin Saints offense. Shough also supplied some rushing upside with a 45-186-3 line. We expect the Saints to add pieces around him this offseason.
21	Kyler Murray K Murray ARI QB21	10.08	8	28.5	295	840	1,352	2,253	Murray was a huge disappointment in 2024, right alongside an underwhelming Marvin Harrison Jr. That trend continued in 2025, this time with the QB missing most of the season with a foot injury. While he remains under contract, there's a real chance Murray plays elsewhere in 2026.	4
5yr. Proj 1352 10yr. Proj 2253 ADP 10.08 Bye 8 Age 28.5 DS Analysis Murray was a huge disappointment in 2024, right alongside an underwhelming Marvin Harrison Jr. That trend continued in 2025, this time with the QB missing most of the season with a foot injury. While he remains under contract, there's a real chance Murray plays elsewhere in 2026.
Tier 4
22	Sam Darnold S Darnold SEA QB22	23.02	8	28.7	259	810	1,317	2,518	Darnold followed up his breakout 2024 with a solid '25. The former third overall pick threw for 4,048 yards, 25 TDs, and 14 INTs with a 67.6% completion rate. He finished QB13 in total fantasy points; QB20 in points per game. We don't see a high ceiling here, but Darnold should supply serviceable fantasy totals in the near term.	3
5yr. Proj 1317 10yr. Proj 2518 ADP 23.02 Bye 8 Age 28.7 DS Analysis Darnold followed up his breakout 2024 with a solid '25. The former third overall pick threw for 4,048 yards, 25 TDs, and 14 INTs with a 67.6% completion rate. He finished QB13 in total fantasy points; QB20 in points per game. We don't see a high ceiling here, but Darnold should supply serviceable fantasy totals in the near term.

23	Cameron Ward C Ward TEN QB23	9.11	10	23.7	253	788	1,332	2,572	Ward’s college journey took him from Incarnate Word to Washington State to Miami. The top pick improved at each stop, throwing for 4,313 yards, 39 TDs, and seven INTs for the Hurricanes in 2024. Ward showed the ability to extend plays and make accurate throws all over the field. Ultimately, Ward's rookie tape showed extreme highs and lows, but he simply wasn't surrounded by a quality pass-catching group. Look for offseason upgrades there. Meanwhile, Ward will learn a new offense as he enters Year 2.	3
5yr. Proj 1332 10yr. Proj 2572 ADP 9.11 Bye 10 Age 23.7 DS Analysis Ward’s college journey took him from Incarnate Word to Washington State to Miami. The top pick improved at each stop, throwing for 4,313 yards, 39 TDs, and seven INTs for the Hurricanes in 2024. Ward showed the ability to extend plays and make accurate throws all over the field. Ultimately, Ward's rookie tape showed extreme highs and lows, but he simply wasn't surrounded by a quality pass-catching group. Look for offseason upgrades there. Meanwhile, Ward will learn a new offense as he enters Year 2.
24	Bryce Young B Young CAR QB24	14.10	14	24.5	244	759	1,283	2,477	Young's rookie year was nothing short of a disaster: 2,877 yards, 11 TDs, and 11 INTs across 16 games. HC Dave Canales arrived to help Young post a promising 2024 – particularly later in the season. From Week 12 on, the 'Bama product ranked sixth in QB fantasy points. His supporting cast received a boost with the arrival of Round 1 WR Tetairoa McMillan in 2025. Still, he underwhelmed for fantasy with a QB18 finish. We're not expecting a major breakout in the fall.	-2
5yr. Proj 1283 10yr. Proj 2477 ADP 14.10 Bye 14 Age 24.5 DS Analysis Young's rookie year was nothing short of a disaster: 2,877 yards, 11 TDs, and 11 INTs across 16 games. HC Dave Canales arrived to help Young post a promising 2024 – particularly later in the season. From Week 12 on, the 'Bama product ranked sixth in QB fantasy points. His supporting cast received a boost with the arrival of Round 1 WR Tetairoa McMillan in 2025. Still, he underwhelmed for fantasy with a QB18 finish. We're not expecting a major breakout in the fall.

25	Matthew Stafford M Stafford LAR QB25	23.03	8	38	300	845	1,273	1,905	Stafford is under contract through the 2026 season and continued to look excellent in 2025. He finished the regular season with 4,707 yards and a career-high 46 TD passes. He'll play next season at 38 years old.	-4
5yr. Proj 1273 10yr. Proj 1905 ADP 23.03 Bye 8 Age 38 DS Analysis Stafford is under contract through the 2026 season and continued to look excellent in 2025. He finished the regular season with 4,707 yards and a career-high 46 TD passes. He'll play next season at 38 years old.

Dynasty QB Rankings 2026 (Quarterback)

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