Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings 2026 (QuarterBack)

Updated on Sun, 29 Mar 2026

These Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings aren’t like any others on the market. Why? Because of how we build them.

Draft Sharks doesn’t just slot the players in the order we think they belong. We build these rankings out from our actual, award-winning projections.

We combine those 2026 projections with two decades of NFL research – as well as a series of machine-learning models – to produce three-year, five-year, and 10-year projections for every player.

We use research-based aging curves and expected retirement rates to turn those projections into 3D+ Values that present the clearest picture of a player’s dynasty outlook you’ll find anywhere.

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RK	Player	ADP	Bye	Age	1yr. Proj	3yr. Proj	5yr. Proj	10yr. Proj	DS Analysis	3D Value +


Tier 3
1	Fernando Mendoza F Mendoza RK QB15	3.08	18	22.4	250	838	1,411	2,828	Mendoza posted two straight 3,000-yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana and is slated to join Vegas in the NFL Draft. He displays a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but Mendoza has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy QB.	12
5yr. Proj 1411 10yr. Proj 2828 ADP 3.08 Bye 18 Age 22.4 DS Analysis Mendoza posted two straight 3,000-yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana and is slated to join Vegas in the NFL Draft. He displays a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but Mendoza has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy QB.

Tier 5
2	Ty Simpson T Simpson RK QB29	9.12	18	23.3	162	676	1,147	2,270	Simpson flashed elite ball placement and mechanics at Alabama, but heading into the NFL Draft with only 15 starts is concerning. He threw for 3,567 yards with 28 TDs and 5 INTs this past season. Simpson has a good pocket presence and scrambling abilities, but his lack of experience shows in holding onto the ball too long. He could go in the first round or fall to Day 2, making him a risky bet.	-9
5yr. Proj 1147 10yr. Proj 2270 ADP 9.12 Bye 18 Age 23.3 DS Analysis Simpson flashed elite ball placement and mechanics at Alabama, but heading into the NFL Draft with only 15 starts is concerning. He threw for 3,567 yards with 28 TDs and 5 INTs this past season. Simpson has a good pocket presence and scrambling abilities, but his lack of experience shows in holding onto the ball too long. He could go in the first round or fall to Day 2, making him a risky bet.

Tier 9
3	Garrett Nussmeier G Nussmeier RK QB36	17.11	18	24.1	95	356	601	1,161	Nussmeier showcased a strong arm in 2024 at LSU, throwing for 4,052 yards with 29 TDs and 12 INTs. He dealt with an abdominal strain all season in 2025, causing him to miss the final four games. He is a pure pocket passer who can get the ball out quickly and likes taking risks, but he may be tough for NFL teams to trust before Day 3.	-50
5yr. Proj 601 10yr. Proj 1161 ADP 17.11 Bye 18 Age 24.1 DS Analysis Nussmeier showcased a strong arm in 2024 at LSU, throwing for 4,052 yards with 29 TDs and 12 INTs. He dealt with an abdominal strain all season in 2025, causing him to miss the final four games. He is a pure pocket passer who can get the ball out quickly and likes taking risks, but he may be tough for NFL teams to trust before Day 3.
Tier 11
4	Drew Allar D Allar RK QB41	369.07	18	22	59	241	411	830	Allar was a potential top-100 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft but opted to go back to school. That led to only 8 TDs and 3 INTs in 6 games before Allar broke his ankle. He has some interesting traits, including a bit of rushing upside. But, Allar has never pulled together a full college season and may be overdrafted based on his physical tools.	-64
5yr. Proj 411 10yr. Proj 830 ADP 369.07 Bye 18 Age 22 DS Analysis Allar was a potential top-100 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft but opted to go back to school. That led to only 8 TDs and 3 INTs in 6 games before Allar broke his ankle. He has some interesting traits, including a bit of rushing upside. But, Allar has never pulled together a full college season and may be overdrafted based on his physical tools.
Tier 12
5	Carson Beck C Beck RK QB42	25.03	18	23.3	25	260	441	872	Beck's strong end of the season in the college football playoff could prop him up, but the Miami QB was volatile throughout the season. Beck has a ton of experience, and strong footwork makes him an ideal backup QB in the NFL. With three years starting for high-end programs, Beck could find his way to start in the league before his career is over.	-69
5yr. Proj 441 10yr. Proj 872 ADP 25.03 Bye 18 Age 23.3 DS Analysis Beck's strong end of the season in the college football playoff could prop him up, but the Miami QB was volatile throughout the season. Beck has a ton of experience, and strong footwork makes him an ideal backup QB in the NFL. With three years starting for high-end programs, Beck could find his way to start in the league before his career is over.
Tier 14
6	Cole Payton C Payton RK QB45	366.08	18	23.1	8	180	305	604	Payton is a small school prospect with only one year of starting. He led a successful NDSU offense throwing for 2,719 yards with 16 TDs and 4 INTs. He is a big QB who can take hits and keeps his eyes downfield, but Payton will be a developmental prospect.	-79
5yr. Proj 305 10yr. Proj 604 ADP 366.08 Bye 18 Age 23.1 DS Analysis Payton is a small school prospect with only one year of starting. He led a successful NDSU offense throwing for 2,719 yards with 16 TDs and 4 INTs. He is a big QB who can take hits and keeps his eyes downfield, but Payton will be a developmental prospect.
7	Taylen Green T Green RK QB48	368.08	18	23.4	9	162	275	545	Green spent two years at Boise State before transferring to Arkansas. He has a strong arm, but Green's advantage is in his rushing ability. Over the past two years, he has rushed for a combined 1,379 yards and 16 TDs. Standing at 6'6 and 235 pounds, Green is an athletic freak who could become a fantasy starter if he gets the opportunity to play for a team.	-81
5yr. Proj 275 10yr. Proj 545 ADP 368.08 Bye 18 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Green spent two years at Boise State before transferring to Arkansas. He has a strong arm, but Green's advantage is in his rushing ability. Over the past two years, he has rushed for a combined 1,379 yards and 16 TDs. Standing at 6'6 and 235 pounds, Green is an athletic freak who could become a fantasy starter if he gets the opportunity to play for a team.
Tier 15
8	Luke Altmyer L Altmyer RK QB52	368.01	18	23.4	10	67	114	225	Altmyer found success as a three-year starter for the Illini. He peaked in 2025, throwing for 3,007 yards and 22 TDs. He also ran for over 200 yards and 3 TDs every season. His dual-threat ability could make Altmyer an intriguing fantasy taxi stash.	-93
5yr. Proj 114 10yr. Proj 225 ADP 368.01 Bye 18 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Altmyer found success as a three-year starter for the Illini. He peaked in 2025, throwing for 3,007 yards and 22 TDs. He also ran for over 200 yards and 3 TDs every season. His dual-threat ability could make Altmyer an intriguing fantasy taxi stash.
9	Diego Pavia D Pavia RK QB53	N/A	18	24.1	10	65	109	211	Pavia became a Heisman finalist after leading Vanderbilt to a top-25 season. He started his playing career at the New Mexico Military Institute, followed by two years at New Mexico State. He ended his career with two years at Vanderbilt, helping to elevate their offense. Pavia's toughness and leadership, combined with his athleticism, could make him an intriguing fantasy option if he moves up draft boards. At only 5'10, though, he's a long shot.	-93
5yr. Proj 109 10yr. Proj 211 ADP N/A Bye 18 Age 24.1 DS Analysis Pavia became a Heisman finalist after leading Vanderbilt to a top-25 season. He started his playing career at the New Mexico Military Institute, followed by two years at New Mexico State. He ended his career with two years at Vanderbilt, helping to elevate their offense. Pavia's toughness and leadership, combined with his athleticism, could make him an intriguing fantasy option if he moves up draft boards. At only 5'10, though, he's a long shot.
10	Haynes King H King RK QB54	N/A	18	25.2	9	62	103	194	King played for three years at Texas A&M before transferring to Georgia Tech as their three-year starter. He's dealt with injuries throughout his career, including a fractured leg and ankle in 2021 and a torn labrum in 2024. King is only an average thrower, but his rushing ability is the selling point. King went 185-953-15 on the ground this season. He could be a late-round draft pick with his experience and athleticism.	-94
5yr. Proj 103 10yr. Proj 194 ADP N/A Bye 18 Age 0 DS Analysis King played for three years at Texas A&M before transferring to Georgia Tech as their three-year starter. He's dealt with injuries throughout his career, including a fractured leg and ankle in 2021 and a torn labrum in 2024. King is only an average thrower, but his rushing ability is the selling point. King went 185-953-15 on the ground this season. He could be a late-round draft pick with his experience and athleticism.
11	Cade Klubnik C Klubnik RK QB55	22.11	18	22.4	0	59	101	204	Klubnik came into college football as a five-star recruit who became a starter before the end of his first season. He never reached his potential, especially in terms of developing more arm strength. He flashed some athleticism in 2024, going for 119-463-7 on the ground. He could be a late-round draft pick with some upside.	-94
5yr. Proj 101 10yr. Proj 204 ADP 22.11 Bye 18 Age 22.4 DS Analysis Klubnik came into college football as a five-star recruit who became a starter before the end of his first season. He never reached his potential, especially in terms of developing more arm strength. He flashed some athleticism in 2024, going for 119-463-7 on the ground. He could be a late-round draft pick with some upside.
12	Sawyer Robertson S Robertson RK QB56	N/A	18	23.1	9	54	92	182	Robertson was a four-star recruit who went to the Air Raid scheme at Mississippi State. After transferring to Baylor, Robertson showed a strong arm and good footwork through his three years. He took a slight step back in 2025, throwing 12 INTs, but Robertson has flashed as a pro passer. He could be a late-round draft pick.	-95
5yr. Proj 92 10yr. Proj 182 ADP N/A Bye 18 Age 23.1 DS Analysis Robertson was a four-star recruit who went to the Air Raid scheme at Mississippi State. After transferring to Baylor, Robertson showed a strong arm and good footwork through his three years. He took a slight step back in 2025, throwing 12 INTs, but Robertson has flashed as a pro passer. He could be a late-round draft pick.
13	Jalon Daniels J Daniels RK QB57	N/A	18	23.4	9	42	72	142	Daniels flashed early in his career at Kansas, but he never crossed into NFL potential territory. He did throw for 2,531 yards with 22 TDs and 7 INTs in 2025. The turnovers and poor decision-making certainly hurt Daniels' pro prospects. His rushing makes him intriguing, though, with two straight 400+ yard rushing seasons.	-96
5yr. Proj 72 10yr. Proj 142 ADP N/A Bye 18 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Daniels flashed early in his career at Kansas, but he never crossed into NFL potential territory. He did throw for 2,531 yards with 22 TDs and 7 INTs in 2025. The turnovers and poor decision-making certainly hurt Daniels' pro prospects. His rushing makes him intriguing, though, with two straight 400+ yard rushing seasons.
14	Behren Morton B Morton RK QB58	369.02	18	25.2	0	25	41	78	Morton spent five years in college at Texas Tech. He helped carry the offense to a playoff berth, but Morton is a bit of a one-trick pony. He has a strong arm and not much else. The lack of rushing upside makes Morton a long shot to make a fantasy impact.	-99
5yr. Proj 41 10yr. Proj 78 ADP 369.02 Bye 18 Age 0 DS Analysis Morton spent five years in college at Texas Tech. He helped carry the offense to a playoff berth, but Morton is a bit of a one-trick pony. He has a strong arm and not much else. The lack of rushing upside makes Morton a long shot to make a fantasy impact.
15	Joe Fagnano J Fagnano RK QB59	365.12	18	24.9	3	8	13	24	Fagnano started his college career at Maine before transferring to UConn. He has good size at 6'4, 225 pounds and can scramble when given the chance. Fagnano improved every season but likely sits as an NFL backup at best	-100
5yr. Proj 13 10yr. Proj 24 ADP 365.12 Bye 18 Age 24.9 DS Analysis Fagnano started his college career at Maine before transferring to UConn. He has good size at 6'4, 225 pounds and can scramble when given the chance. Fagnano improved every season but likely sits as an NFL backup at best

Tier 1
16	Bijan Robinson B Robinson ATL RB1	1.01	5	24.1	278	690	1,111	1,866	With OC Arthur Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. While his TD count dropped in 2025, he still posted a career-high 22.0 PPR points per game. He also played all 17 games for the third straight season. At only 24, Bijan should remain an elite fantasy option for the foreseeable future.	100
5yr. Proj 1111 10yr. Proj 1866 ADP 1.01 Bye 5 Age 24.1 DS Analysis With OC Arthur Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. While his TD count dropped in 2025, he still posted a career-high 22.0 PPR points per game. He also played all 17 games for the third straight season. At only 24, Bijan should remain an elite fantasy option for the foreseeable future.
Tier 1
17	Ja'Marr Chase J Chase CIN WR1	1.02	10	26	213	651	1,055	1,949	Chase took a slight step back after his 2024 triple crown, but Joe Burrow’s extended absence shaped much of that dip. Even so, Chase still finished WR3 in PPR points per game at 19.7. That number felt much closer to his floor than his ceiling. As long as Burrow stays healthy, Chase will push for the top WR spot each year for the foreseeable future. He's only 26 years old.	90
5yr. Proj 1055 10yr. Proj 1949 ADP 1.02 Bye 10 Age 26 DS Analysis Chase took a slight step back after his 2024 triple crown, but Joe Burrow’s extended absence shaped much of that dip. Even so, Chase still finished WR3 in PPR points per game at 19.7. That number felt much closer to his floor than his ceiling. As long as Burrow stays healthy, Chase will push for the top WR spot each year for the foreseeable future. He's only 26 years old.
18	Jahmyr Gibbs J Gibbs DET RB2	1.03	8	24	280	651	1,032	1,649	Despite a slow start, Gibbs largely delivered as a rookie RB. He averaged 5.2 YPC and popped in 10 TDs on 182 attempts, adding 52 receptions. His production reached new heights in 2024, and he proved more than capable as a workhorse back following a late-season injury to David Montgomery. 2025 turned up much of the same, as he finished as the PPR RB3 even with a few late-season duds. The former Round 1 pick is now eligible for a contract extension.	89
5yr. Proj 1032 10yr. Proj 1649 ADP 1.03 Bye 8 Age 24 DS Analysis Despite a slow start, Gibbs largely delivered as a rookie RB. He averaged 5.2 YPC and popped in 10 TDs on 182 attempts, adding 52 receptions. His production reached new heights in 2024, and he proved more than capable as a workhorse back following a late-season injury to David Montgomery. 2025 turned up much of the same, as he finished as the PPR RB3 even with a few late-season duds. The former Round 1 pick is now eligible for a contract extension.

Tier 1
19	Carson Schwesinger C Schwesinger CLE LB1	N/A	9	23.1	160	462	764	1,431		50
5yr. Proj 764 10yr. Proj 1431 ADP N/A Bye 9 Age 23.1 DS Analysis
20	Cedric Gray C Gray TEN LB2	N/A	10	23.3	158	454	751	1,408		48
5yr. Proj 751 10yr. Proj 1408 ADP N/A Bye 10 Age 23.3 DS Analysis
Tier 1
21	Josh Allen J Allen BUF QB1	1.06	7	29.8	377	1,037	1,688	3,200	Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future. He gets a nice boost with the addition of D.J. Moore, who should stick around for at least the next two seasons.	47
5yr. Proj 1688 10yr. Proj 3200 ADP 1.06 Bye 7 Age 29.8 DS Analysis Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future. He gets a nice boost with the addition of D.J. Moore, who should stick around for at least the next two seasons.

Tier 1
22	Brock Bowers B Bowers LVR TE1	1.10	8	23.3	151	460	748	1,332	Bowers disappointed in 2025 while dealing with a knee injury. He only played in 12 games and finished with 64-680-7 receiving. The talent is still undeniable, and Bowers should rebound alongside Fernando Mendoza in 2026.	44
5yr. Proj 748 10yr. Proj 1332 ADP 1.10 Bye 8 Age 23.3 DS Analysis Bowers disappointed in 2025 while dealing with a knee injury. He only played in 12 games and finished with 64-680-7 receiving. The talent is still undeniable, and Bowers should rebound alongside Fernando Mendoza in 2026.
23	Trey McBride T McBride ARI TE2	1.12	8	26.3	158	444	723	1,343	McBride had a dominant 2025, breaking the single-season TE receptions record in Week 17. His fantasy season ended at 119-1174-11. QB play is a minor issue in the short term, but there's no doubt McBride remains an elite dynasty TE.	43
5yr. Proj 723 10yr. Proj 1343 ADP 1.12 Bye 8 Age 26.3 DS Analysis McBride had a dominant 2025, breaking the single-season TE receptions record in Week 17. His fantasy season ended at 119-1174-11. QB play is a minor issue in the short term, but there's no doubt McBride remains an elite dynasty TE.
24	Drake Maye D Maye NE QB2	1.09	14	23.5	343	983	1,664	3,325	Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.	41
5yr. Proj 1664 10yr. Proj 3325 ADP 1.09 Bye 14 Age 23.5 DS Analysis Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.
25	Jayden Daniels J Daniels WAS QB3	2.03	12	25.3	329	1,018	1,657	3,094	Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.	36
5yr. Proj 1657 10yr. Proj 3094 ADP 2.03 Bye 12 Age 25.3 DS Analysis Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.

Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings 2026 (QuarterBack)

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