Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings 2026 (QuarterBack)

Updated on Thu, 14 May 2026

These Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings aren’t like any others on the market. Why? Because of how we build them.

Draft Sharks doesn’t just slot the players in the order we think they belong. We build these rankings out from our actual, award-winning projections.

We combine those 2026 projections with two decades of NFL research – as well as a series of machine-learning models – to produce three-year, five-year, and 10-year projections for every player.

We use research-based aging curves and expected retirement rates to turn those projections into 3D+ Values that present the clearest picture of a player’s dynasty outlook you’ll find anywhere.

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Rookies

RK	Player	ADP	Bye	Age	1yr. Proj	3yr. Proj	5yr. Proj	10yr. Proj	DS Analysis	3D Value +


Tier 3
1	Fernando Mendoza F Mendoza LVR QB17	9.03	8	22.6	195	812	1,363	2,702	Mendoza posted two straight 3,000-yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana. He displays a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some, too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but Mendoza has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy QB. Mendoza gets a true centerpiece target in Brock Bowers and a play-caller in Klint Kubiak who has shown the ability to scheme an efficient offense.	10
5yr. Proj 1363 10yr. Proj 2702 ADP 9.03 Bye 8 Age 22.6 DS Analysis Mendoza posted two straight 3,000-yard passing seasons at Cal and Indiana. He displays a strong arm and great mid-range accuracy while showing toughness in the pocket. Mendoza can scramble some, too, which should help his fantasy output. He lacks the upside of recent top QBs like Caleb Williams, but Mendoza has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy QB. Mendoza gets a true centerpiece target in Brock Bowers and a play-caller in Klint Kubiak who has shown the ability to scheme an efficient offense.

Tier 5
2	Ty Simpson T Simpson LAR QB28	15.05	8	23.3	30	751	1,274	2,521	Simpson threw for 3,567 yards with 28 TDs and 5 INTs at Alabama this past season. He shows solid pocket feel and enough mobility to extend plays, but his inexperience pops up when he holds the ball too long. The Rams made him a surprise pick at No. 13 overall, signaling belief in his long-term upside. Short term, though, this is Matthew Stafford’s job. Simpson’s path to the field hinges on Stafford’s health and timeline.	-5
5yr. Proj 1274 10yr. Proj 2521 ADP 15.05 Bye 8 Age 23.3 DS Analysis Simpson threw for 3,567 yards with 28 TDs and 5 INTs at Alabama this past season. He shows solid pocket feel and enough mobility to extend plays, but his inexperience pops up when he holds the ball too long. The Rams made him a surprise pick at No. 13 overall, signaling belief in his long-term upside. Short term, though, this is Matthew Stafford’s job. Simpson’s path to the field hinges on Stafford’s health and timeline.

Tier 10
3	Drew Allar D Allar PIT QB35	26.02	5	22.2	14	448	764	1,083	Allar was a potential top-100 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft but opted to go back to school. That led to only 8 TDs and 3 INTs in 6 games before Allar broke his ankle. The physical tools are there for Allar to develop into the Steelers' starting QB in 2027, but the team could still draft a new one in a year. Allar is worth stashing in Superflex.	-47
5yr. Proj 764 10yr. Proj 1083 ADP 26.02 Bye 5 Age 22.2 DS Analysis Allar was a potential top-100 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft but opted to go back to school. That led to only 8 TDs and 3 INTs in 6 games before Allar broke his ankle. The physical tools are there for Allar to develop into the Steelers' starting QB in 2027, but the team could still draft a new one in a year. Allar is worth stashing in Superflex.
4	Carson Beck C Beck ARI QB36	23.05	8	23.4	55	390	662	795	Beck's strong end of the season in the college football playoff propped him up to being drafted in the third round. But Beck was volatile throughout the season. Beck has a ton of experience, and strong footwork makes him an ideal backup QB in the NFL. He will get an opportunity to prove himself at some point this season, but Beck is unlikely to stick as the Cardinals long term franchise QB.	-48
5yr. Proj 662 10yr. Proj 795 ADP 23.05 Bye 8 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Beck's strong end of the season in the college football playoff propped him up to being drafted in the third round. But Beck was volatile throughout the season. Beck has a ton of experience, and strong footwork makes him an ideal backup QB in the NFL. He will get an opportunity to prove himself at some point this season, but Beck is unlikely to stick as the Cardinals long term franchise QB.
5	Cade Klubnik C Klubnik NYJ QB39	26.07	9	22.6	28	429	728	874	Klubnik came into college football as a five-star recruit who became a starter before the end of his first season. He never reached his potential, especially in terms of developing more arm strength. He flashed some athleticism in 2024, going for 119-463-7 on the ground. He could be a late-round draft pick with some upside.	-51
5yr. Proj 728 10yr. Proj 874 ADP 26.07 Bye 9 Age 22.6 DS Analysis Klubnik came into college football as a five-star recruit who became a starter before the end of his first season. He never reached his potential, especially in terms of developing more arm strength. He flashed some athleticism in 2024, going for 119-463-7 on the ground. He could be a late-round draft pick with some upside.
Tier 12
6	Taylen Green T Green CLE QB41	30.08	9	23.5	14	359	607	601	Green spent two years at Boise State before transferring to Arkansas. He has a strong arm, but Green's advantage is in his rushing ability. Over the past two years, he has rushed for a combined 1,379 yards and 16 TDs. Standing at 6'6 and 235 pounds, Green is an athletic freak who the Browns may bring along to develop in a weak QB room.	-60
5yr. Proj 607 10yr. Proj 601 ADP 30.08 Bye 9 Age 23.5 DS Analysis Green spent two years at Boise State before transferring to Arkansas. He has a strong arm, but Green's advantage is in his rushing ability. Over the past two years, he has rushed for a combined 1,379 yards and 16 TDs. Standing at 6'6 and 235 pounds, Green is an athletic freak who the Browns may bring along to develop in a weak QB room.
Tier 14
7	Garrett Nussmeier G Nussmeier KC QB44	25.10	10	24.3	0	191	323	623		-74
5yr. Proj 323 10yr. Proj 623 ADP 25.10 Bye 10 Age 24.3 DS Analysis
Tier 15
8	Athan Kaliakmanis A Kaliakmanis WAS QB47	397.05	12	22.7	0	122	207	409	Kaliakmanis was a surprise pick by the Washington Commanders. He has a good arm, but his lack of accuracy and college success makes him a hard pass in dynasty.	-82
5yr. Proj 207 10yr. Proj 409 ADP 397.05 Bye 12 Age 22.7 DS Analysis Kaliakmanis was a surprise pick by the Washington Commanders. He has a good arm, but his lack of accuracy and college success makes him a hard pass in dynasty.
9	Behren Morton B Morton NE QB50	30.09	14	24.3	0	25	41	78	Morton spent five years in college at Texas Tech. He helped carry the offense to a playoff berth, but Morton is a bit of a one-trick pony. He has a strong arm and not much else. Morton will have an uphill battle to make an impact on the Patriots' roster.	-94
5yr. Proj 41 10yr. Proj 78 ADP 30.09 Bye 14 Age 24.3 DS Analysis Morton spent five years in college at Texas Tech. He helped carry the offense to a playoff berth, but Morton is a bit of a one-trick pony. He has a strong arm and not much else. Morton will have an uphill battle to make an impact on the Patriots' roster.
10	Joey Aguilar J Aguilar JAC QB51	402.02	8	24.8	0	0	0	0	Aguilar went undrafted after being a very late declare due to NCAA eligibility issues.	-97
5yr. Proj 0 10yr. Proj 0 ADP 402.02 Bye 8 Age 24.8 DS Analysis Aguilar went undrafted after being a very late declare due to NCAA eligibility issues.

Tier 1
11	Bijan Robinson B Robinson ATL RB1	1.01	5	24.3	277	690	1,111	1,866	With OC Arthur Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. While his TD count dropped in 2025, he still posted a career-high 22.0 PPR points per game. He also played all 17 games for the third straight season. At only 24, Bijan should remain an elite fantasy option for the foreseeable future.	100
5yr. Proj 1111 10yr. Proj 1866 ADP 1.01 Bye 5 Age 24.3 DS Analysis With OC Arthur Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. While his TD count dropped in 2025, he still posted a career-high 22.0 PPR points per game. He also played all 17 games for the third straight season. At only 24, Bijan should remain an elite fantasy option for the foreseeable future.
Tier 1
12	Ja'Marr Chase J Chase CIN WR1	1.02	10	26.2	215	655	1,061	1,961	Chase took a slight step back after his 2024 triple crown, but Joe Burrow’s extended absence shaped much of that dip. Even so, Chase still finished WR3 in PPR points per game at 19.7. That number felt much closer to his floor than his ceiling. As long as Burrow stays healthy, Chase will push for the top WR spot each year for the foreseeable future. He's only 26 years old.	91
5yr. Proj 1061 10yr. Proj 1961 ADP 1.02 Bye 10 Age 26.2 DS Analysis Chase took a slight step back after his 2024 triple crown, but Joe Burrow’s extended absence shaped much of that dip. Even so, Chase still finished WR3 in PPR points per game at 19.7. That number felt much closer to his floor than his ceiling. As long as Burrow stays healthy, Chase will push for the top WR spot each year for the foreseeable future. He's only 26 years old.

Tier 1
13	Trey McBride T McBride ARI TE1	1.12	8	26.4	150	510	830	1,542	McBride had a dominant 2025, breaking the single-season TE receptions record in Week 17. His fantasy season ended at 119-1174-11. QB play is a minor issue in the short term, but there's no doubt McBride remains an elite dynasty TE.	51
5yr. Proj 830 10yr. Proj 1542 ADP 1.12 Bye 8 Age 26.4 DS Analysis McBride had a dominant 2025, breaking the single-season TE receptions record in Week 17. His fantasy season ended at 119-1174-11. QB play is a minor issue in the short term, but there's no doubt McBride remains an elite dynasty TE.
14	Brock Bowers B Bowers LVR TE2	1.10	8	23.4	155	487	816	1,591	Bowers disappointed in 2025 while dealing with a knee injury. He only played in 12 games and finished with 64-680-7 receiving. The talent is still undeniable, and Bowers should rebound alongside Fernando Mendoza in 2026.	51
5yr. Proj 816 10yr. Proj 1591 ADP 1.10 Bye 8 Age 23.4 DS Analysis Bowers disappointed in 2025 while dealing with a knee injury. He only played in 12 games and finished with 64-680-7 receiving. The talent is still undeniable, and Bowers should rebound alongside Fernando Mendoza in 2026.
Tier 1
15	Josh Allen J Allen BUF QB1	1.06	7	29.9	379	1,037	1,688	3,200	Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future. He gets a nice boost with the addition of D.J. Moore, who should stick around for at least the next two seasons.	49
5yr. Proj 1688 10yr. Proj 3200 ADP 1.06 Bye 7 Age 29.9 DS Analysis Despite a weak pass-catching corps, Allen led all QBs in fantasy points per game in 2025. At 30, Allen’s run of elite play should continue for the foreseeable future. He gets a nice boost with the addition of D.J. Moore, who should stick around for at least the next two seasons.

16	Drake Maye D Maye NE QB2	1.09	14	23.7	342	983	1,664	3,325	Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.	42
5yr. Proj 1664 10yr. Proj 3325 ADP 1.09 Bye 14 Age 23.7 DS Analysis Well-built at 6’4, 230, Maye showed he could make any throw on the field as a rookie. Then, alongside an upgraded O-line and an improved WR corps, Maye’s play reached elite levels in 2025. He ranked top five in passing TDs, passing yards, yards per attempt, and passing success rate. His arrow is pointing straight up ahead of Year 3.
17	Jayden Daniels J Daniels WAS QB3	2.03	12	25.3	333	1,018	1,657	3,094	Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.	38
5yr. Proj 1657 10yr. Proj 3094 ADP 2.03 Bye 12 Age 25.3 DS Analysis Daniels proved pro-ready as a rookie, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs. Washington added useful pieces in the '25 offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, but a pair of elbow injuries ultimately derailed the QB's season. At only 25, Daniels is a prime rebound candidate for 2026 and beyond.
Tier 1
18	Carson Schwesinger C Schwesinger CLE LB1	N/A	9	23.2	242	692	1,145	2,145		37
5yr. Proj 1145 10yr. Proj 2145 ADP N/A Bye 9 Age 23.2 DS Analysis
19	Cedric Gray C Gray TEN LB2	N/A	10	23.5	236	679	1,123	2,104		36
5yr. Proj 1123 10yr. Proj 2104 ADP N/A Bye 10 Age 23.5 DS Analysis

20	Lamar Jackson L Jackson BAL QB4	2.05	7	29.3	340	1,000	1,631	2,862	Jackson posted an MVP-caliber 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. But injuries to his back and hamstring severely limited his fantasy output in 2025. In fact, Jackson delivered only three top-5 fantasy finishes -- each over the first three weeks of the season. Jackson is a bounce-back candidate for 2026, his age-29 season.	30
5yr. Proj 1631 10yr. Proj 2862 ADP 2.05 Bye 7 Age 29.3 DS Analysis Jackson posted an MVP-caliber 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. But injuries to his back and hamstring severely limited his fantasy output in 2025. In fact, Jackson delivered only three top-5 fantasy finishes -- each over the first three weeks of the season. Jackson is a bounce-back candidate for 2026, his age-29 season.

Tier 1
21	Nick Emmanwori N Emmanwori SEA DB1	N/A	8	22.3	165	465	761	1,446		23
5yr. Proj 761 10yr. Proj 1446 ADP N/A Bye 8 Age 22.3 DS Analysis

Tier 1
22	Brandon Aubrey B Aubrey DAL K1	496.10	10	31.2	177	406	650	1,188		18
5yr. Proj 650 10yr. Proj 1188 ADP 496.10 Bye 10 Age 31.2 DS Analysis
23	Jake Bates J Bates DET K2	496.05	8	27.2	150	366	613	1,169		14
5yr. Proj 613 10yr. Proj 1169 ADP 496.05 Bye 8 Age 27.2 DS Analysis

Tier 1
24	Will Anderson Jr. W Anderson Jr. HOU DL1	N/A	6	24.7	133	282	473	776		9
5yr. Proj 473 10yr. Proj 776 ADP N/A Bye 6 Age 24.7 DS Analysis

25	Aidan Hutchinson A Hutchinson DET DL2	N/A	8	25.8	134	267	440	671		8
5yr. Proj 440 10yr. Proj 671 ADP N/A Bye 8 Age 25.8 DS Analysis

Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings 2026 (QuarterBack)

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