Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings 2025 (QuarterBack)

Updated on Fri, 5 Dec 2025

These Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings aren’t like any others on the market. Why? Because of how we build them.

Draft Sharks doesn’t just slot the players in the order we think they belong. We build these rankings out from our actual, award-winning projections.

We combine those 2025 projections with two decades of NFL research – as well as a series of machine-learning models – to produce three-year, five-year, and 10-year projections for every player.

We use research-based aging curves and expected retirement rates to turn those projections into 3D+ Values that present the clearest picture of a player’s dynasty outlook you’ll find anywhere.

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Rookies

RK	Player	ADP	Bye	Age	1yr. Proj	3yr. Proj	5yr. Proj	10yr. Proj	DS Analysis	3D Value +


Tier 3
1	Jaxson Dart J Dart NYG QB11	N/A	14	22.5	206	809	1,380	2,785	Dart flashed his arm talent as a true freshman at USC, but he was fully unlocked this past year at Ole Miss. He completed 69.3% of his passes for 4,279 yards, 29 TDs, and 6 INTs. With a quick release and improved coverage recognition, Dart showed the potential to stick as an NFL starter. He also adds enough mobility to make a fantasy impact. The Giants offer a shot at starting at some point in 2025, but Dart’s rookie year figures to be a developmental one	9
5yr. Proj 1380 10yr. Proj 2785 ADP N/A Bye 14 Age 22.5 DS Analysis Dart flashed his arm talent as a true freshman at USC, but he was fully unlocked this past year at Ole Miss. He completed 69.3% of his passes for 4,279 yards, 29 TDs, and 6 INTs. With a quick release and improved coverage recognition, Dart showed the potential to stick as an NFL starter. He also adds enough mobility to make a fantasy impact. The Giants offer a shot at starting at some point in 2025, but Dart’s rookie year figures to be a developmental one

Tier 4
2	Cameron Ward C Ward TEN QB22	N/A	10	23.5	224	770	1,307	2,586	Ward’s college journey took him from Incarnate Word to Washington State to Miami. The top pick improved at each stop, throwing for 4,313 yards, 39 TDs, and seven INTs for the Hurricanes in 2024. Ward showed the ability to extend plays and make accurate throws all over the field. He can also scramble at times, adding potential fantasy value. He’ll be a day 1 starter in Tennessee, but expect him to perform as a fantasy QB2 in ‘25. Longer-term, there’s a top-ten ceiling	1
5yr. Proj 1307 10yr. Proj 2586 ADP N/A Bye 10 Age 23.5 DS Analysis Ward’s college journey took him from Incarnate Word to Washington State to Miami. The top pick improved at each stop, throwing for 4,313 yards, 39 TDs, and seven INTs for the Hurricanes in 2024. Ward showed the ability to extend plays and make accurate throws all over the field. He can also scramble at times, adding potential fantasy value. He’ll be a day 1 starter in Tennessee, but expect him to perform as a fantasy QB2 in ‘25. Longer-term, there’s a top-ten ceiling

Tier 5
3	Tyler Shough T Shough NO QB28	N/A	11	26.2	126	665	1,085	2,018	Shough’s early second-round draft capital makes him the likely heir apparent to QB Derek Carr, who retired in May. Turning 26 in September, Shough will be older than almost a third of starting NFL QBs. Still, he has some appeal given HC Kellen Moore’s resume with QBs	-20
5yr. Proj 1085 10yr. Proj 2018 ADP N/A Bye 11 Age 26.2 DS Analysis Shough’s early second-round draft capital makes him the likely heir apparent to QB Derek Carr, who retired in May. Turning 26 in September, Shough will be older than almost a third of starting NFL QBs. Still, he has some appeal given HC Kellen Moore’s resume with QBs
Tier 8
4	Shedeur Sanders S Sanders CLE QB31	N/A	9	23.8	93	407	687	1,327	Sanders' fall to the fifth round changes his NFL potential massively. Sanders looks like he will make the team as a reserve, but won’t start anytime soon. His arm talent at least makes him worth rostering in Superflex leagues.	-56
5yr. Proj 687 10yr. Proj 1327 ADP N/A Bye 9 Age 23.8 DS Analysis Sanders' fall to the fifth round changes his NFL potential massively. Sanders looks like he will make the team as a reserve, but won’t start anytime soon. His arm talent at least makes him worth rostering in Superflex leagues.
5	Jalen Milroe J Milroe SEA QB32	N/A	8	22.9	0	419	707	1,326	Milroe boasts one of the best QB rushing profiles since Lamar Jackson. He should be developed as a passer behind Sam Darnold, giving the Seahawks the potential for an electric QB down the line. If they can figure out how to harness Milroe’s passing, he could be gangbusters for fantasy in a few years	-58
5yr. Proj 707 10yr. Proj 1326 ADP N/A Bye 8 Age 22.9 DS Analysis Milroe boasts one of the best QB rushing profiles since Lamar Jackson. He should be developed as a passer behind Sam Darnold, giving the Seahawks the potential for an electric QB down the line. If they can figure out how to harness Milroe’s passing, he could be gangbusters for fantasy in a few years
6	Dillon Gabriel D Gabriel CLE QB33	N/A	9	24.9	75	416	692	1,307	Gabriel was a surprise third-round pick for the Browns, but enters one of the worst QB rooms in the league. Though Kenny Pickett and Joe Flacco will get first crack to start, Gabriel could see starts as a rookie. He is small, but the rushing upside and accuracy are intriguing for QB2 numbers if he gets a chance in the future	-59
5yr. Proj 692 10yr. Proj 1307 ADP N/A Bye 9 Age 24.9 DS Analysis Gabriel was a surprise third-round pick for the Browns, but enters one of the worst QB rooms in the league. Though Kenny Pickett and Joe Flacco will get first crack to start, Gabriel could see starts as a rookie. He is small, but the rushing upside and accuracy are intriguing for QB2 numbers if he gets a chance in the future
Tier 10
7	Quinn Ewers Q Ewers MIA QB37	N/A	12	22.7	0	208	355	717	Ewers was one of the best QB recruits of all time, but he could never pull off consistent play at Texas. He threw for a modest 3,189 yards, 29 TDs, and 11 INTs, despite Texas transferring in top WR talent. Ewers could be a long-term option for the Dolphins if Tua Tagovailoa gets injured again and they want a young player with upside to develop	-89
5yr. Proj 355 10yr. Proj 717 ADP N/A Bye 12 Age 22.7 DS Analysis Ewers was one of the best QB recruits of all time, but he could never pull off consistent play at Texas. He threw for a modest 3,189 yards, 29 TDs, and 11 INTs, despite Texas transferring in top WR talent. Ewers could be a long-term option for the Dolphins if Tua Tagovailoa gets injured again and they want a young player with upside to develop
8	Will Howard W Howard PIT QB38	N/A	5	24.2	0	204	345	666	Howard has generally been a mediocre QB in terms of accuracy and arm strength for most of his career, but he had an outstanding playoff run, throwing for 1,150 yards and eight TDs with two INTs. Howard lands in a good situation on the Steelers to be a potential starter long term, and maybe even find a few starts this year. He has some rushing upside and plenty of experience. If he does end up as the starter someday, he will be a low ceiling/high floor player	-90
5yr. Proj 345 10yr. Proj 666 ADP N/A Bye 5 Age 24.2 DS Analysis Howard has generally been a mediocre QB in terms of accuracy and arm strength for most of his career, but he had an outstanding playoff run, throwing for 1,150 yards and eight TDs with two INTs. Howard lands in a good situation on the Steelers to be a potential starter long term, and maybe even find a few starts this year. He has some rushing upside and plenty of experience. If he does end up as the starter someday, he will be a low ceiling/high floor player
Tier 14
9	Riley Leonard R Leonard IND QB46	N/A	11	23.2	0	12	21	42	Leonard brings rushing ability to the table with 832 yards on the ground this season, but also was efficient through the year, completing 66.5% of passes for 2,383 yards, 18 TDs and 6 INTs. Leonard will be a developmental QB for the Colts, but his rushing upside could make him an attractive streaming candidate if he ever is thrust into the lineup	-119
5yr. Proj 21 10yr. Proj 42 ADP N/A Bye 11 Age 23.2 DS Analysis Leonard brings rushing ability to the table with 832 yards on the ground this season, but also was efficient through the year, completing 66.5% of passes for 2,383 yards, 18 TDs and 6 INTs. Leonard will be a developmental QB for the Colts, but his rushing upside could make him an attractive streaming candidate if he ever is thrust into the lineup
10	Max Brosmer M Brosmer MIN QB47	N/A	6	24.7	9	0	0	0		-121
5yr. Proj 0 10yr. Proj 0 ADP N/A Bye 6 Age 24.7 DS Analysis

Tier 1
11	Bijan Robinson B Robinson ATL RB1	N/A	5	23.8	243	690	1,111	1,866	Robinson profiled as the best RB prospect since Saquon Barkley. Thickly built and explosive, the Texas product simply never earned a consistent role under HC Arthur Smith. With Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. He's on track to remain a clear RB1 for the forseeable future	100
5yr. Proj 1111 10yr. Proj 1866 ADP N/A Bye 5 Age 23.8 DS Analysis Robinson profiled as the best RB prospect since Saquon Barkley. Thickly built and explosive, the Texas product simply never earned a consistent role under HC Arthur Smith. With Smith out of town, Robinson's production exploded to 1,881 total yards and 15 TDs in 2024. He's on track to remain a clear RB1 for the forseeable future
12	Jahmyr Gibbs J Gibbs DET RB2	N/A	8	23.7	247	676	1,090	1,816	Despite a slow start, Gibbs largely delivered as a rookie RB. He averaged 5.2 YPC and popped in 10 TDs on 182 attempts, adding 52 receptions. His production reached new heights in 2024, and he proved more than capable as a workhorse back following a late-season injury to David Montgomery. Only 23, Gibbs shouldn't slow down any time soon	98
5yr. Proj 1090 10yr. Proj 1816 ADP N/A Bye 8 Age 23.7 DS Analysis Despite a slow start, Gibbs largely delivered as a rookie RB. He averaged 5.2 YPC and popped in 10 TDs on 182 attempts, adding 52 receptions. His production reached new heights in 2024, and he proved more than capable as a workhorse back following a late-season injury to David Montgomery. Only 23, Gibbs shouldn't slow down any time soon
Tier 1
13	Ja'Marr Chase J Chase CIN WR1	N/A	10	25.8	183	651	1,055	1,949	Chase became only the fifth WR ever to win the triple crown in the Super Bowl era, leading the league in receptions, yards and TDs. He outscored Justin Jefferson (the WR2 on the season) by more than four PPR points per game in 2024. Losing Joe Burrow will hurt Chase's stats, but he should be in line to be WR1 again in 2026.	92
5yr. Proj 1055 10yr. Proj 1949 ADP N/A Bye 10 Age 25.8 DS Analysis Chase became only the fifth WR ever to win the triple crown in the Super Bowl era, leading the league in receptions, yards and TDs. He outscored Justin Jefferson (the WR2 on the season) by more than four PPR points per game in 2024. Losing Joe Burrow will hurt Chase's stats, but he should be in line to be WR1 again in 2026.
14	Jonathan Taylor J Taylor IND RB3	N/A	11	26.8	272	659	1,014	1,661	Ankle issues and a sluggish Colts offense forced a major drop in production in 2022. Injuries and a contract dispute made headlines in 2023, but when healthy, Taylor flashed his high-end talent. Taylor missed three games in 2024 but remained busy on a per game basis (23 touches per). The former Round 2 pick is under contract for two more seasons	91
5yr. Proj 1014 10yr. Proj 1661 ADP N/A Bye 11 Age 26.8 DS Analysis Ankle issues and a sluggish Colts offense forced a major drop in production in 2022. Injuries and a contract dispute made headlines in 2023, but when healthy, Taylor flashed his high-end talent. Taylor missed three games in 2024 but remained busy on a per game basis (23 touches per). The former Round 2 pick is under contract for two more seasons
15	Justin Jefferson J Jefferson MIN WR2	N/A	6	26.4	162	638	1,035	1,895	Jefferson ended 2024 as the PPR WR2, notchign his fifth straight 1,000+ yard season to start his career. With Sam Darnold’s emergence, Jefferson was able to catch 10 TDs, matching his career high. He went for 100+ catches for the third time in his career. Jefferson should continue to flourish alongside young QB J.J. McCarthy.	88
5yr. Proj 1035 10yr. Proj 1895 ADP N/A Bye 6 Age 26.4 DS Analysis Jefferson ended 2024 as the PPR WR2, notchign his fifth straight 1,000+ yard season to start his career. With Sam Darnold’s emergence, Jefferson was able to catch 10 TDs, matching his career high. He went for 100+ catches for the third time in his career. Jefferson should continue to flourish alongside young QB J.J. McCarthy.
16	CeeDee Lamb C Lamb DAL WR3	N/A	10	26.6	159	608	985	1,821	Even with QB Dak Prescott missing most of 2024, Lamb ended the year as the PPR WR5. Lamb had double-digit targets in six of his nine games and was a WR2 or better in those six. The high volume of targets should continue with Lamb under contract through 2028.	82
5yr. Proj 985 10yr. Proj 1821 ADP N/A Bye 10 Age 26.6 DS Analysis Even with QB Dak Prescott missing most of 2024, Lamb ended the year as the PPR WR5. Lamb had double-digit targets in six of his nine games and was a WR2 or better in those six. The high volume of targets should continue with Lamb under contract through 2028.

Tier 1
17	Brock Bowers B Bowers LVR TE1	N/A	8	22.9	126	460	748	1,332	Bowers lived up to the hype, setting the all-time rookie receptions record with 110, along with the rookie TE receiving yards record with 1,194. Doing all of that on one of the worst offenses in the NFL was tremendously impressive. Bowers projects as a high-end TE1 for the foreseeable future.	52
5yr. Proj 748 10yr. Proj 1332 ADP N/A Bye 8 Age 22.9 DS Analysis Bowers lived up to the hype, setting the all-time rookie receptions record with 110, along with the rookie TE receiving yards record with 1,194. Doing all of that on one of the worst offenses in the NFL was tremendously impressive. Bowers projects as a high-end TE1 for the foreseeable future.
18	Trey McBride T McBride ARI TE2	N/A	8	26	149	444	723	1,343	McBride was the PPR TE3 for the 2024 season, and this was despite not scoring a receiving TD until Week 17. His 147 targets and 111 catches were enough to carry him in PPR leagues, and there should be some positive TD regression coming. McBride’s talent and Kyler Murray’s willingness to lock onto him should keep McBride as a top dynasty TE going forward.	51
5yr. Proj 723 10yr. Proj 1343 ADP N/A Bye 8 Age 26 DS Analysis McBride was the PPR TE3 for the 2024 season, and this was despite not scoring a receiving TD until Week 17. His 147 targets and 111 catches were enough to carry him in PPR leagues, and there should be some positive TD regression coming. McBride’s talent and Kyler Murray’s willingness to lock onto him should keep McBride as a top dynasty TE going forward.

19	Tyler Warren T Warren IND TE3	N/A	11	23.5	135	418	703	1,353	In 2024, Warren was the Nittany Lions’ leading receiver with 104 catches for 1,233 yards and 8 TDs. He has a massive 6’6, 261-pound frame with the typical Penn State top-tier athleticism. Add in monster in-line blocking, and Warren projects as an impact rookie for the Colts. QB play might cap his short-term ceiling, though. Indy will roll into the season with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones.	49
5yr. Proj 703 10yr. Proj 1353 ADP N/A Bye 11 Age 23.5 DS Analysis In 2024, Warren was the Nittany Lions’ leading receiver with 104 catches for 1,233 yards and 8 TDs. He has a massive 6’6, 261-pound frame with the typical Penn State top-tier athleticism. Add in monster in-line blocking, and Warren projects as an impact rookie for the Colts. QB play might cap his short-term ceiling, though. Indy will roll into the season with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones.
Tier 1
20	Jayden Daniels J Daniels WAS QB1	N/A	12	24.9	212	1,064	1,732	3,234	Daniels proved pro-ready, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs in 2024. Washington added useful pieces this offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil.	45
5yr. Proj 1732 10yr. Proj 3234 ADP N/A Bye 12 Age 24.9 DS Analysis Daniels proved pro-ready, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 TDs, and 9 INTs on a 69% completion rate. His 891 rushing yards ranked second among QBs in 2024. Washington added useful pieces this offseason, including WR Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil.
21	Josh Allen J Allen BUF QB2	N/A	7	29.5	361	1,046	1,699	3,249	Allen wrapped up 2024 with 3,731 yards, 28 TDs, and 6 INTs in 16 games. He remained excellent on the ground with 531 yards and 12 TDs. Only 29 ahead of next season, Allen’s elite run should continue, especially with his rushing upside.	43
5yr. Proj 1699 10yr. Proj 3249 ADP N/A Bye 7 Age 29.5 DS Analysis Allen wrapped up 2024 with 3,731 yards, 28 TDs, and 6 INTs in 16 games. He remained excellent on the ground with 531 yards and 12 TDs. Only 29 ahead of next season, Allen’s elite run should continue, especially with his rushing upside.

Tier 1
22	Blake Cashman B Cashman MIN LB1	N/A	6	29.5	89	278	422	641		40
5yr. Proj 422 10yr. Proj 641 ADP N/A Bye 6 Age 29.5 DS Analysis
23	Fred Warner F Warner SF LB2	N/A	14	29	45	270	411	624		36
5yr. Proj 411 10yr. Proj 624 ADP N/A Bye 14 Age 29 DS Analysis
24	Lamar Jackson L Jackson BAL QB3	N/A	7	28.8	276	1,049	1,712	3,004	Jackson posted an MVP-caliber performance in 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. He’s under contract through the 2028 season	36
5yr. Proj 1712 10yr. Proj 3004 ADP N/A Bye 7 Age 28.8 DS Analysis Jackson posted an MVP-caliber performance in 2024, resulting in a career-high 488 fantasy points. He’s under contract through the 2028 season
25	Jalen Hurts J Hurts PHI QB4	N/A	9	27.3	340	1,067	1,707	2,917	The Eagles signed Hurts to a five-year extension in April 2023. In 2024, his passing production took a step back after a career-best 2023. Still, he hit 10+ rushing TDs for the fourth straight year. Rushing should continue boosting Hurts' fantasy value for at least the next couple of seasons	36
5yr. Proj 1707 10yr. Proj 2917 ADP N/A Bye 9 Age 27.3 DS Analysis The Eagles signed Hurts to a five-year extension in April 2023. In 2024, his passing production took a step back after a career-best 2023. Still, he hit 10+ rushing TDs for the fourth straight year. Rushing should continue boosting Hurts' fantasy value for at least the next couple of seasons

Dynasty Rookie QB Rankings 2025 (QuarterBack)

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