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Gabriel Davis Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsGabriel Davis's Basic Stats

Gabriel Davis
ADP: 12.7
Bye: 12
Experience: 4
Age: 25.2
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 103.10

SPARQx (Rank): 96.40 (27%)
Burst Score (Rank): 121.50 (51%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.67 (11%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.90 (33%)

Injury PredictorGabriel Davis's Injury Guide

Medium Risk

Chance of Injury in 2024

41.5%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

3.1%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2024

0.90

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Jan 16, 2021 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Davis suffered an ankle injury during the divisional-round game against the Ravens. He was active for the next game.
Sep 15, 2021 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Davis missed Buffalo's practice leading up to Week 2 game due to an ankle injury
Sep 17, 2022 NFL Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3 Davis was injured at a Saturday practice. He missed 1 game.
Jan 7, 2024 NFL Knee PCL Sprain Grade 2 Davis sustained a left knee injury early in Week 18 vs. the Dolphins. He was later diagnosed with a sprained PCL.

Basic StatsGabriel Davis's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

The shine has worn off of the Davis hype from preseason of 2022. He went back to being the deep threat for the Bills over the past two seasons.

The Jaguars handing him $24 million guaranteed was a slight surprise given Davis’ overall lack of production, but it means he will get plenty of playing time this season.

Despite this, Davis will be big-play reliant and not a great target bet in Jacksonville. Trevor Lawrence is unlikely to latch onto Davis, making him a late-round shot who you have to start on the right weeks.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Davis’ per-game stat lines for the Bills were a step back from 2022:
    • 4.76 targets (6.20)
    • 2.65 receptions (3.20)
    • 43.9 yards (55.7)
    • 16.6 yards per catch (17.4)
    • 0.41 TDs (0.47)
  • He ranked as the PPR WR41 in total fantasy points and WR52 in points per game.
  • Davis did not miss a game due to injury. He has only missed one game in his four-year career.
  • He had five top-12 finishes. He also had eight WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Davis’ 16.6% target share was 60th among WRs.
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, he ranked:
    • 56th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 59th in yards per route run (1.34)
    • 8th in average target depth (15.6)
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Davis was 44th in average separation yards (2.8), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Davis signed with the Jaguars on a three-year deal worth $39 million with $24 million guaranteed. His $13 million per year ranks 28th among WRs.
  • He will enter his first season with the Jaguars under HC Doug Pederson and OC Press Taylor.
  • Jacksonville lost WR Calvin Ridley in free agency but added first-round rookie Brian Thomas Jr. He, Davis, and Christian Kirk will be the top three WRs. We’ll see who stays on the field in two-WR sets.
  • The Jaguars are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 17th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +5000 on most sportsbooks, second highest in the division.
  • Davis enters his fifth season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Davis’ career and profile will produce at 91-97% of peak value at age-25.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

Gabriel Davis, WR JAC

11:41am EST 1/19/24

HC rules Gabe Davis (PCL) out vs. Chiefs

Bills HC Sean McDermott said Friday that WR Gabe Davis (knee) won't play Sunday against the Chiefs. That should mean a continued role increase for WR Khalil Shakir. But WR Trent Sherfield got an even bigger bump the past two games. He has played his two largest snap shares of the season -- 71% at Miami, 63% vs. Steelers -- in the game Davis left and then the playoff opener he missed. Sherfield didn't see a target against Pittsburgh, so he's only in range as a DFS flyer and for deeper fantasy formats. Shakir racked up 6-105 receiving in the regular-season finale but then drew just 3 targets against the Steelers. He presents intriguing upside but is also no lock for opportunities. The Bills will also go without CB Christian Benford and S Taylor Rapp.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

Bills WR Gabriel Davis (knee) remained sidelined on Wednesday. We're currently projecting him to miss Sunday's Divisional Round game vs. the Chiefs but will continue to track his status over the next few days.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

See how we built the 17 indicators into our Draft War Room »
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