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Gabriel Davis - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsGabriel Davis's Basic Stats

Gabriel Davis
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 216
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 103.10
SPARQx (Rank): 96.40 (27%)
Burst Score (Rank): 121.50 (52%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.67 (10%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.94 (33%)

Gabriel Davis's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Gabriel Davis's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#27 Wide Receiver

145 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 66.1 988.2 7.9 2.5 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsGabriel Davis's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need To Know:

  • Davis saw a 10.1% target share last year. But from Week 14 through the postseason, he earned a larger role that included a 21.3% target share.
  • On the year, Davis ran a route at a healthy clip — 93.1% of pass plays. It helped that Buffalo ranked 3rd league-wide in percentage of 4-WR sets.
  • His 1.62 yards per route run marked a sizable increase from his rookie-year tally of 1.29.
  • There’s room for growth on deep balls: Davis caught only 33.3% of his deep ball (20+ yard) targets.
  • His rate of deep ball targets (24.6%) ranked 19th among 69 WRs with 10+ deep targets. Davis can win deep, especially with Josh Allen behind center.
  • He posted 1 top-12 finish during the regular season; 4 others inside the top-30.
  • Davis missed only 1 game all season (COVID list).
  • Davis erupted in the postseason with an 8-catch, 201-yard (4 TD!) game at Kansas City.
  • GM Brandon Beane gushed about Davis over the spring: “Gabriel, he’s a stud, and I mean that in all sense,” Beane said. “His habits, he is serious about football. Even his eyes. I mean, he’s got that look, the eye of the tiger. I’ll go to war with Gabe Davis any day of the week.”
  • NFL insider Albert Breer writes that Bills WR Gabe Davis is “up in the mid-220s” and looks “bigger and leaner.” Breer added that Davis has “really earned Josh Allen’s trust” — something the QB has talked about this offseason.
  • Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley departed in free agency. They leave behind 184 targets.
  • Buffalo’s main offseason additions at pass catcher include RB James Cook, TE O.J. Howard and WRs Jamison Crowder and Khalil Shakir. Stefon Diggs returns as a target magnet.
  • The Bills appear deeper at pass catcher, but Davis is easily their biggest ‘X factor.’ Only 23, he looks like 1 of the league’s top 3rd-year breakout candidates.
  • Josh Allen returns for his 5th starting season, supplying Davis with one of the game’s elite playmakers.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Davis projects as a near full-time player alongside Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Buffalo added several pieces this offseason, but they don’t bring Davis’ combo of size and skill.

We saw the 23-year-old’s upside down the stretch last year. There’s a WR2 ceiling here, and while we wouldn’t go overweight, his Round 8 ADP is an acceptable range to mix in some best ball exposure.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Stefon Diggs, WR BUF

8:25pm EST 1/15/23

Diggs hits century mark

Bills WR Stefon Diggs popped off for 7 catches for 114 yards against Miami. He tied Gabe Davis for the team lead in targets (9). The highlight here was a beautifully thrown Josh Allen deep ball for 52 yards — the duo’s 2nd longest gain of this season. Diggs will likely face the Bengals in the Divisional Round. It would be the first showdown between Buffalo and Cincinnati this season.

View all Stefon Diggs Shark Bites »

The NFL announced that a neutral-site Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Championship game would be held at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Yes ... that'd be Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes in a dome to go to the Super Bowl. Bills-Chiefs produced 62 points in the playoffs 2 years ago and 78 points last year -- with both games coming outside at Arrowhead Stadium.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

The NFL announced that the Bills-Bengals game will not be rescheduled. It's officially a no-contest and players do not receive any stats for the game. Commissioner Roger Goodell is also recommending that the AFC Championship Game be played at a neutral site if the Bills or Bengals make it there as the road team. All 32 teams will vote on that proposal on Friday.

Update: The NFL owners have approved these changes to the playoff setup.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills WR Stefon Diggs garnered just 2 targets in Saturday's win at Chicago, catching both for a mere 26 yards. WR Gabriel Davis led the team with 6 targets, catching 3 for a team-high 45 receiving yards and a TD. TE Dawson Knox followed with a 3-38-1 receiving line on 5 targets. RB Devin Singletary was the only other Bill to catch more than 1 pass.

View all Stefon Diggs Shark Bites »

The forecast for today's Bills-Bears game calls for temperatures in the single digits, wind chill below zero and winds of 20-25 mph with gusts of 35-40 mph. Not quite as bad as what we're seeing in Cleveland -- but pretty ugly. We've adjusted our projections for this game to account for the weather.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Gabriel Davis, WR BUF
Dynasty MVP 145.9
Position Rank #13 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
481
773
1,230
Dynasty Write-up
Expectations were high for Davis following his postseason blowup in Kansas City (8-201-4). But his 2022 turned up more bust weeks than boom. We wouldn’t be surprised if Buffalo pursued an upgrade on the 24-year-old (in April) this offseason. We already know the team has interest in Odell Beckham.

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