|ADP||Rec||Rec Yds||Rec TDs||100||Fum|
What You Need to Know:
-Davis arrived in Buffalo from UCF as a Round 4 pick last spring.
-The 6’2, 216 pounder stepped into a deep threat role that allowed a 17.4 average depth of target alongside breakout Josh Allen.
-John Brown missed 7 games and parts of others, helping Davis reach 62 targets and a 73.2% snap share.
-In the 7 full games without Brown, Davis averaged 5.4 targets, 2.7 catches, 40.8 yards and .42 TDs. He was boom or bust all season, hurt by a 55% catch rate and 5 drops.
-OC Brian Daboll primarily played Davis out wide (63.6% of snaps), but the rookie was also shuffled into the slot a good bit (36.1%).
-The Bills used 4-WR sets on 15% of their plays last year — 2nd most league-wide. Still, that represented only 186 total snaps (11.6 per game).
-Buffalo replaced Brown with former Saint Emmanuel Sanders, who signed a 1-year, $6 million deal. He joins a strong WR corps that also includes Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley.
-The Sanders singing signals that Buffalo isn’t banking on a big leap in production from Davis, who figures to remain in a downfield role.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Davis far exceeded expectations as a mid-round rookie. He flashed big-play ability with 10 grabs of 20+ yards; 3 of 40+. He added 7 scores on just 35 catches.
Don’t expect that type of TD efficiency to repeat. And barring an injury to Diggs, Beasley or Sanders, don’t expect Davis’ 62 targets to significantly rise. The 2nd-year man is left as a later-round option, especially for best ball leagues.