DeAndre Hopkins's 2024 Projections & Outlook
Scoring
#42 Wide Receiver
166.9 Projected Points
ADP |
Rec |
Rec Yds |
Rec TDs |
100 |
Fum |
Not Available |
62.3 |
716.1 |
5.5 |
1 |
0 |
DS 3D Projections
Bottom Line
Hopkins was the epitome of a roller coaster WR last year with some huge performances mixed with complete duds.
Getting a full season with Will Levis should help Hopkins become a little more consistent as Levis locked on early in his starts. Some may be scared away by his age, but 32-year-old WRs still perform at 85% of their peak value.
Adding Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard could pull some targets away, but Hopkins is still underrated as a WR3 with potential for WR1 weeks mixed in.
What We Learned Last Year
- Hopkins’s per-game averages were his best in four years:
- 8.06 targets
- 4.41 receptions
- 62.2 yards
- 14.1 yards per catch
- 0.41 TDs
- His per-game statistics improved when Will Levis was playing over Ryan Tannehill:
- 8.63 targets (7.71)
- 4.00 receptions (4.85)
- 67.88 yards (54.71)
- 16.97 yards per catch (11.28)
- 0.75 TDs (0.00)
- Hopkins ranked as the PPR WR22 in total fantasy points and the WR30 in points per game.
- Last year, he did not miss a game. It was Hopkins’ first full season in three years.
- He had three top-12 finishes. He also had eight WR37 or worse finishes.
- Hopkin’s target share (28.0%) was its highest in three years (12th best among WRs).
- Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, he ranked:
- 18th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
- 17th in yards per route run (2.09)
- 12th in average target depth (14.8).
- Among those same 92 WRs, Hopkins was 85th in average separation yards (2.3), per NFL Next Gen Stats.
What to Expect in 2024
- Hopkins enters his second season on the Titans, but his first season with:
- HC and play caller Brian Callahan
- OC Nick Holz
- The Titans figure to throw it significantly more under the new coaching staff.
- Four of Callahan’s five Bengals offenses ranked top-12 in pass rate, including a trio of top-6 finishes.
- The Titans never finished higher than 24th in pass rate in six seasons under HC Mike Vrabel.
- The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
- They sit tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
- Hopkins enters his 12th season at 32 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Hopkins’ career and profile will produce at 86% of peak value at age-32.
- Hopkins beat new teammate Calvin Ridley in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year.