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DeAndre Hopkins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDeAndre Hopkins's Basic Stats

DeAndre Hopkins
ADP: 8.1
Bye: 5
Experience: 11
Age: 32.1
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 212
40 Time: 4.57
Speed Score: 98.10

SPARQx (Rank): 99.90 (37%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.70 (36%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.33 (40%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.03 (55%)

DeAndre Hopkins's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 62.2 0.42 8.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.2 65.1 0.4 9

DeAndre Hopkins's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#27 Wide Receiver

206.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
8.1 75 933 6.3 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDeAndre Hopkins's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Hopkins was the epitome of a roller coaster WR last year with some huge performances mixed with complete duds.

Getting a full season with Will Levis should help Hopkins become a little more consistent as Levis locked on early in his starts. Some may be scared away by his age, but 32-year-old WRs still perform at 85% of their peak value.

Adding Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard could pull some targets away, but Hopkins is still underrated as a WR3 with potential for WR1 weeks mixed in.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Hopkins’s per-game averages were his best in four years:
    • 8.06 targets
    • 4.41 receptions
    • 62.2 yards
    • 14.1 yards per catch
    • 0.41 TDs
  • His per-game statistics improved when Will Levis was playing over Ryan Tannehill:
    • 8.63 targets (7.71)
    • 4.00 receptions (4.85)
    • 67.88 yards (54.71)
    • 16.97 yards per catch (11.28)
    • 0.75 TDs (0.00)
  • Hopkins ranked as the PPR WR22 in total fantasy points and the WR30 in points per game.
  • Last year, he did not miss a game. It was Hopkins’ first full season in three years.
  • He had three top-12 finishes. He also had eight WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Hopkin’s target share (28.0%) was its highest in three years (12th best among WRs).
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, he ranked:
    • 18th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 17th in yards per route run (2.09)
    • 12th in average target depth (14.8).
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Hopkins was 85th in average separation yards (2.3), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Hopkins enters his second season on the Titans, but his first season with:
    • HC and play caller Brian Callahan
    • OC Nick Holz
  • The Titans figure to throw it significantly more under the new coaching staff.
    • Four of Callahan’s five Bengals offenses ranked top-12 in pass rate, including a trio of top-6 finishes.
    • The Titans never finished higher than 24th in pass rate in six seasons under HC Mike Vrabel.
  • The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
  • Hopkins enters his 12th season at 32 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Hopkins’ career and profile will produce at 86% of peak value at age-32.
  • Hopkins beat new teammate Calvin Ridley in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year.

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Will Levis, QB TEN

23 hours ago

Will Levis "Really Impressive" In Camp So Far

Titans HC Brian Callahan said QB Will Levis has been "really impressive" through the first two days of training camp.

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The Titans signed WR Tyler Boyd to a one-year deal worth up to $4.5 million, according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. Boyd is reuniting with new Titans HC Brian Callahan, who spent the past five seasons with Boyd in Cincinnati. Boyd went for a career-high 1,046 yards in Callahan's first season as Bengals OC back in 2019, but his yardage has declined each year since, bottoming out at 667 last year. Boyd's Pro Football Focus receiving grade has also been in decline. He ranked 63rd among 80 qualifiers last year.

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The Titans surprisingly landed WR Calvin Ridley on Wednesday with a four-year, $92 million deal, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. The pact includes $50 million guaranteed, adding Ridley to a WR corps that returns DeAndre Hopkins and Treylon Burks. That's probably the strongest collection of WR talent the franchise has had since moving from Houston to Nashville. And the Ridley move just might be the strongest sign that HC Brian Callahan's Titans plan to throw the ball quite a bit more than the Mike Vrabel version. Even big-money RB Tony Pollard brings more receiving pedigree than rushing. How will all these WRs fit together by target share? Burks figures to sit a clear third, barring some gigantic steps for him this summer. Ridley hasn't been as much of a target earner as Hopkins throughout their respective careers. So we'll likely favor Hopkins between them. But expect both veteran wideouts to garner shares of 20+%. As for scheme fit, Burks enjoyed quite a bit of success from the slot at Arkansas before arriving as a first-round pick. This will be a very interesting offense heading into the 2024 season. And the biggest individual winner might be QB Will Levis. He's available late in best ball drafts (QB27 Underdog Fantasy ADP) but can at least offer high weekly ceilings. There might be top-16 season upside to Levis. Check our best ball rankings for everyone's updated numbers.

View all Calvin Ridley Shark Bites »

The Titans are set to hire Brian Callahan as their new HC, according to multiple sources. It'll be the 39-year-old's first HC gig. Callahan spent the past five seasons as Cincinnati's OC, leading the Bengals to top-13 finishes in total yards and points in 2021 and 2022. Cincinnati sunk to 22nd in yards and 16th in points this past year, due in large part to QB Joe Burrow missing 7.5 games. Callahan was a pass-leaning play caller, with four of his five Bengals offenses ranking top-12 in pass rate, including a trio of top-6 finishes. That means a big shift is coming in Tennessee, where the Titans never finished higher than 25th in pass attempts in six seasons under HC Mike Vrabel. Callahan's arrival is certainly good news for the fantasy upside on QB Will Levis, WRs DeAndre Hopkins and Treylon Burks, and TE Chig Okonkwo.

View all Will Levis Shark Bites »

The Titans fired HC Mike Vrabel. Tennessee went 41-24 over Vrabel's first four seasons, making the playoffs in 2019, 2020, and 2021. But the Titans won just 13 games total over the last two seasons and ranked bottom-5 in total offense both years. This offense might look a lot different in 2024, with a new coaching staff and potentially no Derrick Henry.

View all Will Levis Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

DeAndre Hopkins, WR TEN
Dynasty MVP 76.0
Position Rank #113 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
268
385
618
Dynasty Write-up
Hopkins predictably saw high volume in 2023 (136 targets). He's still a clear-cut NFL starter, but the 11-year pro will play next season at 32. The Titans also added stiff target competition in veteran Calvin Ridley.
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