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DeAndre Hopkins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

DeAndre Hopkins
ARI

WR ARI

#7 Wide Receiver

193 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 29
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.51

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

8.2

DS Projection

11.7

Consensus

38 other sites
12

Low Ceiling

15.8

Rest of
Season

10.7

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 74.8 0.7 11.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.5 71 0.6 10.7
Week 6
Hopkins delivered a strong fantasy line in Week 6, but his 2 TDs masked continued disappointing usage.

The veteran caught 3 of his mere 4 targets, tying for 3rd on the team in the latter category. That marked the 4th time this season he has caught 4 passes or fewer. He had just 3 such games all last year. And his rib injury has now been off the injury report for 2 weeks, so it’s tough to imagine that’s affecting him.

Hopkins remains the team target leader, but he’s there with just a 19.5% target share -- well below his 27.9% mark from last season.

With Arizona starting the year 6-0, 4th in scoring and 5th in pass-offense DVOA, it’s hard to imagine the Cardinals feeling any need to change up their offensive approach.

We don’t expect Hopkins to kill your fantasy lineup going forward. But we also can’t bet on him getting back to the target hogging that has been his norm for so long. That makes it worth checking his “sell” value this week.
Week 5
While it seemed like it would be a relatively quiet day for Hopkins, a late TD helped seal a fantastic performance. He caught 6 of his team-high 9 targets for 87 yards and a TD. This was his second 9-target game of the season. In each he surpassed 80 receiving yards and scored at least 1 TD.

Going forward, Hopkins remains an elite WR as the primary focus in a Kyler Murray led offense.
Week 4
Hopkins still looks great out there. He made a few impressive grabs outside of his frame in the Week 4 win over the Rams.

The problem from a fantasy perspective is that he’s not getting the elite usage we’re used to. Green led the team in targets in this one, but his 7 looks were just 21.9% of the team total. And that’s a higher target share than he registered over the first 3 weeks.

Hopkins has seen 18.7% of Cardinals targets on the season. WR A.J. Green is just 1 target behind. RB Chase Edmonds, WR Rondale Moore and WR Christian Kirk are all within 7 targets.

We’re projecting Hopkins’ target share to come up from its current level. But we don’t expect it to get back to last year’s 27.8%. That’s going to keep him outside the elite tier of fantasy WRs. But he’s still good enough -- and this Cardinals passing game explosive enough -- to keep him in low-end WR1 territory.
Week 1
Hopkins reminded everyone of his talents on Sunday, catching 6 of his 8 targets for 83 yards and 2 TDs. Both of his touchdowns were incredibly impressive plays with the first one coming in the back of the end zone with some fancy footwork. For anyone rostering Hopkins, seeing this connection thrive so early was a great sign. He didn't have a single game with 2 TDs all of 2020 and only found the end zone 6 times. It sure feels like regression to the mean is coming. With Kyler Murray playing the way he did and Hopkins being the primary focus, there is little reason to doubt his potential to not only be a WR1 but to be THE WR 1 this season.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Making his Cardinals debut last year, Hopkins finished 4th among WRs in PPR points and 9th in non-PPR.
  • He scored as a top-24 PPR WR in 9 of 16 games. That rate of 56.3% ranked 6th highest. Hopkins scored as a top-12 WR in 50% of his games -- 2nd highest behind only Davante Adams.
  • He ranked 2nd at his position in catches (115), 2nd in yards (1,407) and 21st in TDs (6).
  • Hopkins got unlucky in the TD department.
    • His 5.2% TD rate was the 3rd-lowest mark in his 8-year career and more than 3 percentage points below his average with the Texans over the previous 7 seasons.
    • He tied for 6th among WRs with 10 targets inside the 10-yard line. But he scored on just 2 of those.
  • Hopkins garnered a big 27.8% of Cardinals targets.
  • His 160 total targets ranked 2nd behind only Buffalo’s Stefon Diggs (168).
  • Among 87 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Hopkins ranked 31st in yards per target, 9th in yards per route run and 6th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grade.
  • His production tailed off a bit late last season with QB Kyler Murray dealing with a shoulder injury (and missing about half of the finale with an ankle injury).
    • In his first 10 games, Hopkins averaged 7.2 catches, 91.2 yards and .4 TDs.
    • Over his final 6, he averaged 7.2 catches, 82.5 yards and .3 TDs.
  • Hopkins played all 16 games last season but dealt with hamstring, ankle, neck and back injuries throughout the year.
  • He’s missed just 2 games over his 8-year career.
  • Hopkins now heads into his 2nd season with Murray and HC Kliff Kingsbury.
  • WR Larry Fitzgerald, who ranked 3rd on the team with 72 targets last year, has not been re-signed as of early June. The soon-to-be 38-year-old might retire. Arizona added veteran WR A.J. Green and rookie WR Rondale Moore. But Hopkins should dominate targets again in 2021.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Hopkins was excellent in his Cardinals debut last year, finishing 4th among WRs in PPR points and 9th in non-PPR. And that was despite getting a bit unlucky with only 6 TDs.

He could be even better in his 2nd season with HC Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray. Most importantly, Hopkins should again be among the league leaders in targets.

He’s a safe bet for another WR1 finish with a ceiling extending to the top of the position.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins (illness) isn't listed on the final injury report. He was sidelined on Wednesday and Thursday but put in a full practice on Friday. Hopkins should be ready for his usual role in Sunday's game vs. the Browns.

View all DeAndre Hopkins Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins (illness) missed his 2nd straight practice on Thursday. We usually don't worry about guys missing time with illnesses, but it's a different climate with COVID. ESPN's Dan Graziano reported earlier today that the Cardinals have had 3 positive COVID tests this week. To be clear, we don't know that Hopkins is 1 of them. We'll get another update on his status by Friday afternoon at the latest.

View all DeAndre Hopkins Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins (ribs) returned to practice on Thursday. He's going to play Sunday vs. the Rams -- but between the rib injury, his slow start and a matchup vs. CB Jalen Ramsey, Hopkins looks like just a WR2 for Week 4.

View all DeAndre Hopkins Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins (ribs) did not practice on Wednesday. He sat out all 3 practices last week before playing 91% of the snaps vs. Jacksonville. But Hopkins mustered just 3 catches on 6 targets for 21 yards. We're fully expecting him to play against the Rams this weekend, but consider Hopkins more of a WR2 until we know he's healthy.

View all DeAndre Hopkins Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins (ribs) is active for today’s game vs. the Jaguars. He was a game-time decision and carries added risk in Week 3 fantasy lineups. Of course, Hopkins still boasts WR1 upside -- especially in this plus matchup.

View all DeAndre Hopkins Shark Bites »

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