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Joshua Kelley - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoshua Kelley's Basic Stats

Joshua Kelley
ADP: N/A
Bye: 5
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26.0
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 212
40 Time: 4.49
SPARQx (Rank): 116.80 (70%)
Burst Score (Rank): 113.20 (25%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.23 (70%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.95

Joshua Kelley's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
25.6 0.2 1 6.9 0 4.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
25.1 0.2 1.2 9.5 0 4.2

Joshua Kelley's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#63 Running Back

67.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 137.3 400.9 2.4 0.9 2.3 18.6 152.4 0.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoshua Kelley's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Kelley heads to training camp as the favorite for the Chargers’ No. 2 RB job. He’ll need to hold off 2022 fourth-rounder Isaiah Spiller.

If he does, Kelley will be worth rostering in deeper fantasy leagues as the Austin Ekeler handcuff. Just don’t expect any reliable fantasy value as long as Ekeler is healthy.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Kelley finished second among Chargers RBs in carries (69), rushing yards (287) and rushing TDs (2), behind Austin Ekeler but ahead of Sony Michel, Isaiah Spiller, and Larry Rountree.
  • That, of course, wasn’t enough to make Kelley a fantasy asset. He finished 75th among RBs in PPR points per game and 72nd in non-PPR points per game.
  • Kelley never topped 10 carries in a game last year and topped five carries just five times.
  • Kelley set career highs in Pro Football Focus rushing grade and elusive rating last year.
  • But he still ranked just 49th in rushing grade and 44th in elusive rating among 67 RBs with 50+ carries.

What to Expect in 2023:
  • Austin Ekeler and the Chargers agreed to a restructured contract in May that keeps him in town for 2023.
  • The Chargers did not re-sign Sony Michel but return Isaiah Spiller and Larry Rountree.
  • Kelley heads to training camp as the favorite for the No. 2 RB job. But Spiller could make a run at him in his second NFL season. And the Chargers could still add competition.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Austin Ekeler, RB LAC

1:03pm EST 12/7/23

Austin Ekeler to lose carries?

Chargers HC Brandon Staley hinted that RB Austin Ekeler might start losing carries. "Competition for carries is going to be something that you can see happening," Staley said Wednesday. "We're going to keep exploring, making adjustments, so that we can find that rhythm that I've been talking about. That's certainly one way to do it." Ekeler has been consistently inefficient since returning from his high-ankle sprain, topping 3.5 yards per carry in just one of eight games. He's averaged 3.0 yards per carry across those outings. RB Joshua Kelley has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over that same span. We could see Kelley stealing a handful of carries from Ekeler in Sunday's game vs. the Broncos -- although Ekeler should continue to dominate passing-down work.

View all Austin Ekeler Shark Bites »

Chargers RB Josh Kelley ran for 75 yards and a TD on a tough offensive day overall in the loss to the Chiefs. Don't read too much into that production, though. Kelley exploited a hole, a stacked box, and poor pursuit by K.C. DBs for a 49-yard TD run in the second quarter. His other 6 carries averaged a just OK 4.3 yards per rush. Even that outpaced Austin Ekeler's 3.2 yards per carry for the game. Those 7 carries marked a rebound from the single attempt Kelley got in Ekeler's return game the week before. Of course, it's also worth noting that Kelley averaged just 2.8 yards per rush across the three contests Ekeler missed and entered this game averaging 3.6 per carry for the season. Kelley's at his best as a complement to Ekeler. We'll see if he garners any more work going forward, but we won't bet on it before we see it or hear about such a plan from coaches.

View all Joshua Kelley Shark Bites »

Chargers RB Austin Ekeler (ankle) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Raiders. He put in three limited practices this week and seems to be trending toward a return after Los Angeles’ Week 5 bye. Joshua Kelley gets another crack at lead duties today.

View all Austin Ekeler Shark Bites »

Chargers RB Austin Ekeler (ankle) is listed as doubtful for Sunday's game vs. the Raiders. He got back on the practice field this week, but it looks like he'll be held out one more game, with the Chargers getting a Week 5 bye. Barring a setback, Ekeler should return for Week 6. Joshua Kelley gets another game as Los Angeles' lead back this weekend but is tough to trust as more than a RB3 after disappointing outings the last two weeks.

View all Austin Ekeler Shark Bites »

Chargers RB Joshua Kelley carried just 11 times for 12 yards in Sunday's win over the Vikings. The team went extremely pass-heavy, dropping QB Justin Herbert back on 75.8% of offensive snaps. Despite leading the backfield in routes (13), Kelley tied for just sixth on the team in that category. Kelley tripled the snap count of No. 2 RB Isaiah Spiller, with Austin Ekeler out. But he spent much of his day blocking. Even if Ekeler remains out in Week 4, Kelley will be tough to like against the Raiders after consecutive duds. This week should have been at least a decent spot for him, against a Minnesota team that D'Andre Swift and the Eagles brutalized in Week 2.

View all Joshua Kelley Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Joshua Kelley, RB LAC
Dynasty MVP 42.5
Position Rank #109 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
142
223
354
Dynasty Write-up
Last year, Kelley remained a lightly-used back behind Austin Ekeler. Now he'll learn a new system under OC Kellen Moore while trying to hold off Isaiah Spiller and others.
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