% chance misses at least 2 quarters
1- 17√1-% Inj/Season
Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable
Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly
Burns hit the league looking light for a full-time DE, at 249 pounds. A wrist injury and 43% snap share in his rookie season seemed to back that up. But he jumped to 75% playing time last season and held up until a shoulder injury knocked him out for the finale.
More importantly, he delivered. The 9 sacks marked a jump of just 1.5 from his rookie-year total. But Pro Football Focus graded Burns 6th-best among all edge rushers, and his 57 total pressures tied for 7th in the league.
It didn't hurt that the Panthers defense on whole got more efficient rushing the passer over the 2nd half. According to ESPN, Carolina climbed from 2.8% in sack rate of the first 10 games to 7.4% the rest of the way. After planning to go primarily 4-3 with his defensive front, 1st-year DC Phil Snow leaned toward a 3-5-3 alignment.
We'll see what Year 2 holds for the scheme, but not having Burns bang with huge OTs as a hand-down DE every play seems like a good way to keep him from wearing down. And a growing defense around him -- 2020 first-round DT Derrick Brown, 2nd-round DE Yetur Gross-Matos, free-agent import DE Haason Reddick -- has the potential to help alleviate some blocking attention.
All told, Burns has proved quite promising through 2 seasons. Don't be surprised when he bolts into double-digit sack territory this year and delivers regular top-level fantasy scores.
Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a rankingView Our Accuracy Awards »
Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs
Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.
Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.
$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.