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Isaiah Hodgins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsIsaiah Hodgins's Basic Stats

Isaiah Hodgins
ADP: 18.6
Bye: 13
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.9
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 201
40 Time: 4.61
Speed Score: 96.80
SPARQx (Rank): 102.10 (43%)
Burst Score (Rank): 124.10 (66%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.13 (63%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.27 (88%)

Isaiah Hodgins's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.9 33.9 0.2 4.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.6 40.5 0.3 5.9

Isaiah Hodgins's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#78 Wide Receiver

79.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
18.6 50.5 610.4 3.8 1.5 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsIsaiah Hodgins's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Hodgins supplied one of the top underdog stories of 2022. A mid-season waiver add, the former Bill posted four top-30 weeks over his final five games.

The Giants overhauled their pass-catching corps this offseason, adding TE Darren Waller as the likely target leader.

Still, there’s a starting role for Hodgins if he maintains his 2022 level of play. We just wouldn’t count on him remaining a weekly WR3.


What We Learned Last Year
  • New York used a waiver claim on Hodgins last November.
    • He was coached by HC Brian Daboll when Daboll held the OC role with Buffalo.
  • Daboll praised Hodgins for his work with the Giants. "I think he’s smart, tough, dependable," Daboll said in season. "He works extremely hard. In between periods, he’s usually throwing there with Daniel on a variety of routes, or they’re talking about things that we’ve installed and make sure that he sees it through the eyes of a quarterback. So, he’s done a good job for us since he’s been here."
  • The former Round 6 pick, standing 6'4, 210 pounds, quickly became a go-to target for Daniel Jones.
  • From Week 13 to Week 17, Hodgins tied for 17th among WRs in catches, ranked 32nd in yards, and tied for second in TDs.
    • He tallied a massive 80.6% catch rate on 31 targets.
    • His target share? A healthy 21.1%, albeit for a Giants’ pass-catching group lacking talent.
    • Hodgins functioned more in the short range with an average depth of target (aDOT) of 9.3
    • He tallied poor marks of 1.40 yards per route run; 2.6 yards after catch per reception.
  • An ankle injury limited him in the postseason, but he’s back at 100%.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Hodgins was an exclusive-rights free agent this offseason but returned on a one-year deal.
  • QB Daniel Jones, HC Brian Daboll, and OC Mike Kafka return for an offense that ranked just 25th in pass attempts per game; 26th in pass rate.
  • There’s plenty of change elsewhere. The Giants added TE Darren Waller, WR Parris Campbell, WR Jamison Crowder, and rookie WR Jalin Hyatt.
    • WR Darius Slayton returned on a two-year deal with nearly $5 million guaranteed. Following 2022 trade rumors, he revived his career with 46-724-2.
    • WR Sterling Shepard is on track to return following a September ACL tear.
    • WR Wan'Dale Robinson suffered an ACL tear in November and is a PUP candidate.
    • Waller’s received plenty of buzz this offseason and looks like the clear target leader. Health is key, though. Since a career-best 2020, Waller has missed 14 games over the past two seasons.
    • Campbell has durability issues, but he’s coming off a personal best 2022. He’s due only ~$3 million guaranteed on a 1-year contract.
    • Crowder knows Daboll from their time in Buffalo. But he’s now 30 and doesn’t profile as anything more than a part-time slot – if he makes the team.
    • Hyatt brings exciting downfield speed, but his game lacks polish. Slipping to Round 3, he’s unlikely to make a major Year 1 impact.

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Daniel Jones, QB NYG

5:35pm EDT 7/3/23

Can Jones reach another level?

Giants QB Daniel Jones looks to build off a solid 2022 in Year 2 with HC Brian Daboll. Jones set career-highs in adjusted completion rate (80.1%), passing yards (3,642), and yards per attempt (6.8). The last two figures aren’t particularly impressive, but remember his leading receivers: Darius Slayton, Richie James, Isaiah Hodgins, and Saquon Barkley. While Sterling Shepard and Wan’Dale Robinson are candidates for the PUP list, New York added pass-catching talent in Darren Waller, Parris Campbell, and Round 3 pick Jalin Hyatt. Even modest passing improvements would give Jones a chance to perform as a top-10 fantasy QB. Last year, he ranked fourth among QBs in rushes; second in scrambles.

View all Daniel Jones Shark Bites »

The Giants have signed WR Isaiah Hodgins, who was headed for exclusive-rights free agency. Terms weren't immediately announced, but we don't expect big numbers to be involved. The sheer fact that the team re-signed Hodgins before it needed to, however, signals he's part of the 2023 plan as opposed to just a depth player. Hodgins arrived from the Bills in the middle of the 2022 season and closed out the year as a full-timer. He played 80%+ snap share in each of his final five regular-season games -- as well as the playoff win at Minnesota. He also tied for the team lead in TD receptions (4) despite playing just eight regular-season games. Hodgins is an intriguing later-round pick in early 2023 best-ball drafts.

View all Isaiah Hodgins Shark Bites »

Giants WR Isaiah Hodgins (ankle) practiced in a limited fashion on Thursday and doesn't carry an official injury designation for Saturday's Divisional Round game vs. the Eagles. Despite being weighed down by his ankle injury last week vs. the Vikings, Hodgins led the Giants in receiving with an 8-105-1 stat line. The Eagles' defense ranks 10th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs and will be a much tougher draw. Still, Hodgins ranks 1st on the Giants in target share (26.5%) and air yards share (36.4%) over their last 4 games, including the Wild Card round. We feel good about his chances regardless of the matchup.

View all Isaiah Hodgins Shark Bites »

Giants WR Isaiah Hodgins (ankle) practiced in a limited fashion again on Wednesday ahead of Saturday's Divisional Round game vs. the Eagles. Hodgins shared a photo on his Instagram story following the team's Wild Card win vs. the Vikings that shows how busted up his ankle is. We'll leave it up to you if you want to look it up and find the picture. The point is that it certainly doesn't look great, though he did manage to play through it this past Sunday. Check back tomorrow for updates regarding the young wideout's status.

View all Isaiah Hodgins Shark Bites »

Giants WR Isaiah Hodgins (ankle) practiced in a limited capacity on Tuesday in advance of Saturday's Divisional Round game vs. the Eagles. The second-year wideout has been a significant contributor to the Giants' offense for several weeks now, so a potential absence from him would leave quite a void. We'll keep tabs on his health as news unfolds in the coming days.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Isaiah Hodgins, WR NYG
Dynasty MVP 69.4
Position Rank #72 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
220
353
643
Dynasty Write-up
Hodgins emerged late in 2022, posting four top-30 weeks over his final five games. But he faces stiffer target competition in 2023. And his pedigree doesn’t suggest he’ll be a long-term fantasy factor.
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