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Rice has been one of the most efficient receivers in the NFL when on the field, dominating target shares and turning short passes into big gains at an elite level. The issue is staying on the field. He's missed significant time in each of the last two seasons. He's a fine risk in the third round of 12-team PPR drafts, but not worth reaching for if his ADP climbs into the second.
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Rashee Rice caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 TDs. He also ran the ball five times for 20 yards and a TD.
Rice's 2025 season lasted just eight games due to a six-game suspension and missing the final three games with a concussion. He still ranked fifth among WRs in PPR points per game with top-12 finishes in five of those eight contests, delivering his best per-game production to date:
Season | Games | FPTS/G | Rank |
2023 | 16 | 13.3 | WR29 |
2024 | 3 | 15.9 | WR11 |
2025 | 8 | 18.8 | WR5 |
Rice thrived on a strong target share and elite after-catch production. Over eight games, Rice commanded 26.5% of targets, 12th among 104 WRs with 50+ targets. He also ranked third in targets per route run at 0.291. He led the entire league in yards after catch per reception at 7.98.
Rice doesn't need a deep target profile to produce. His 4.9-yard average depth of target ranked 75th because Kansas City used him almost entirely underneath, essentially treating those catches like an extension of the run game.
His 2.15 yards per route ranked 15th among all wide receivers. And strong target shares have arrived consistently when Rice has been on the field:
Season | Target Share |
2023 (final 10 games with full time snaps, inc. playoffs) | 24.0% |
2024 (three full games) | 31.5% |
2025 (eight games) | 26.5% |
Rice has become the lead pass catcher through his first three seasons.
The off-field issues still belong in the conversation. Rice was arrested after leaving a high-speed crash in Dallas in 2024, which led to his six-game suspension in 2025, and he served 30 days in jail this May after violating probation with a positive marijuana test. Nothing currently suggests it will affect his 2026 availability, but the character risk hasn't disappeared.
Injuries factor in as well. Rice missed the final two games last season with a concussion after an LCL tear cost him the final 13 games of 2024.
He also had knee surgery in May to clean up some debris in his knee. It isn’t expected to limit his availability, but worth noting after Rice’s recent injury issues.
The target competition in Kansas City remains largely unchanged for Rice.
TE Travis Kelce heads into his age-37 season and risks a continued trend downward. His 1.47 yards per route run was a career low, and his target share dropped from 22.8% in 2024 to 18.5% last year with work shifting back to the WRs. He still finished as TE9 in PPR PPG.
Worthy managed just a 16.1% target share and finished WR60 in points per game. His 12.8 aDOT makes him more of a deep threat than a real challenger to Rice's underneath role. Worthy had a 15.0% target share last season in games where Rashee Rice played. That was well behind Rice’s 26.5%. It is also in line with the 16.0% target share for Worthy in his rookie season. He doesn’t represent much threat to Rice’s workload.
The one potential impact to Rice is new RB Kenneth Walker. Walker showcased receiving ability (1.44 YPRR, 12th among RBs) establishing him as a better receiving back than the Chiefs have had since Rice arrived in 2023. Walker also ranked 18th in targets per route run (0.22) last season including the playoffs, showing some trust in him as a receiver. Walker’s -1.4 aDOT last year in Seattle shows that he operated on dump-offs behind the line.
RB targets were closely tied to Rice’s availability last season. RBs had an 18% target share in games with Rice. That increase to 27.0% in games with Mahomes had QB during Rice’s suspension.
Walker’s presence could also cut into Rice’s targets. Short passes to Rice replaced rushing attempts or short RB targets at times last season. Those could go down if Walker shows efficiency rushing the ball.
We already know Rice can deliver top-12 numbers. We’ve seen that over the past two years, albeit in limited samples.
If he plays a full season with a competent Mahomes, the ceiling reaches into the position’s top 6 in PPR scoring.
The biggest risk is Kansas City shifting some of its short game back to the run now that Walker is in town. That would threaten Rice's target volume. The injury plus off-field concerns are still part of the package. His repaired knee in 2024 and clean-up surgery this past May presents that injury risk, though he is expected to be ready for the preseason.
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Xavier Worthy Dealing with Shoulder Issue
Xavier Worthy Dealing with Shoulder Issue
ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the Chiefs are "evaluating" a shoulder injury for WR Xavier Worthy.
Rashee Rice Leaves Practice Early For Knee Rehab, Doesn't Look 100% Yet
Rashee Rice Leaves Practice Early For Knee Rehab, Doesn't Look 100% Yet
Chiefs WR Rashee Rice has been leaving training camp practice early each day for knee rehab, according to Ron Kopp Jr. of Arrowhead Pride. Rice had knee surgery in May, followed by a 30-day jail sentence for violating probation. Kopp also relayed a video of Rice running a post (against no defenders) and it looked…less than stellar. Rice’s slow foot speed and lumbering movement wouldn’t beat any NFL CB in man coverage. He is clearly still recovering from his injury and surgery.
Rashee Rice Cleared For Camp, On Track For Week 1
Rashee Rice Cleared For Camp, On Track For Week 1
Chiefs HC Andy Reid said Friday that WR Rashee Rice (knee) “is doing great” and is “cleared to go" for the start of training camp. It was a tumultuous offseason for Rice, who had right knee surgery in mid-May and was sentenced to 30 days in jail just a few days later. But he's not expected to face further punishment from the league, and his knee appears on track for Week 1.
Rashee Rice Released From Jail, Escaping Suspension?
Rashee Rice Released From Jail, Escaping Suspension?
Chiefs WR Rashee Rice is scheduled to be released from jail today. He served a 30-day sentence for testing positive for THC, violating the terms of his probation. It sounds like that'll be the end of the discipline for that incident. Pro Football Talk's Mike Florio writes that, "The league has shown no inclination to impose further punishment on Rice for his probation violation."
Rashee Rice Will Recover From Knee Surgery In Jail
Rashee Rice Will Recover From Knee Surgery In Jail
Chiefs WR Rashee Rice underwent surgery on his right knee a week ago to remove loose debris that was causing inflammation, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That's the same knee in which Rice tore the LCL in September 2024. This latest procedure is expected to sideline him for two months, according to Schefter. That timeline would have Rice back on the field by mid-July, just before the start of training camp. But his recovery is complicated by the fact that he'll spend the next 30 days in jail after violating the terms of his probation.
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