Expect Him to Remain the No. 2
The Giants didn’t add competition to a backfield of Skattebo and Tracy.
Skattebo’s ankle recovery continues to trend well, with the rookie even logging some reps at minicamp. He remains on track for Week 1 and looks set to lead the backfield after HC John Harbaugh labeled him the starter in June.
That likely leaves Tracy in a low-volume role, with our projections pegging him for only 7.1 carries and 1.2 catches per game.
QB, O-line Could Be Bright Spots
Jaxson Dart returns for his first full season as the starter.
His advanced metrics were mixed as a rookie. Among 34 QBs with 300+ snaps, he ranked 14th in expected points added (EPA) per play, 19th in passing success rate, and 25th in completion rate over expected. There’s certainly room for the second-year Round 1 QB to grow, especially if Malik Nabers regains full health after missing most of last season with a torn ACL and meniscus.
The Giants return four starters from a capable O-line. The only change comes at RG, where Round 1 pick Francis Mauigoa will move inside from his college RT spot. The 6’5, 330-pounder presents a talent upgrade on 2025 starter Greg Van Roten, a 36-year-old who finished with average marks in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades.
Giants Add a New Play Caller ... But Not a Proven One
The Giants have a new play caller in OC Matt Nagy, who spent the past three seasons as Andy Reid’s OC but didn’t call plays. He held that job from 2018-2021 as Chicago’s HC, posting finishes of sixth, 20th, 27th, and 11th in rush attempts.
His finishes in run rate:
Nagy’s units also lacked efficiency, ranking 27th, 29th, 21st, and 21st in yards per carry.
Our current projections put the Giants at a 46% run rate, which would have ranked ninth last season. That helps give Tracy some chance at emerging as more than a handcuff.
Paths to Ceiling
Skattebo’s 2025 ankle injury could affect his 2026 play, which would give Tracy a chance to earn a larger role. The offense could also improve if Nabers returns healthy and Dart improves. But even in that case, Tracy’s ceiling likely stops short of RB2 territory without Skattebo missing time.
Risk Factors
A healthy Skattebo likely leads this backfield, and Nagy’s history doesn’t suggest the type of rushing environment that can support two fantasy-relevant RBs. Tracy might be no more than a handcuff.