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Derek Carr Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsDerek Carr's Basic Stats

Derek Carr
ADP: 13.3
Bye: 11
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 32.4
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.69
SPARQx (Rank): 102.80 (87%)
Burst Score (Rank): 115.40 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.20 (79%)

Injury PredictorDerek Carr's Injury Guide

Very Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2023

7%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

0.4%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2023

0.40

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Sep 28, 2014 NFL Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2 Carr sprained his MCL and suffered a high-ankle sprain but was ready for the Raiders' next game (following a bye week).
Nov 27, 2016 NFL Hand Finger Fracture Carr dislocated and broke his right pinkie finger on a snap. He returned later that game and didn't miss any additional time with the injury.
Dec 24, 2016 NFL Leg Fibula Fracture Carr broke his fibula in Week 16, had surgery and missed the rest of the season.
Aug 15, 2014 NFL Chest Rib Bruise Carr took a big hit in the preseason, giving him a concussion (see other injuries) and also a rib bruise.
Aug 16, 2014 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Carr took a big hit in the preseason, giving him a concussion. He missed the following week's game but played in the preseason finale.
May 19, 2015 NFL Hand Finger Sprain/Pull Unspecified Carr sprained his ring finger on his throwing hand early in the offseason but was cleared by June minicamp.
Sep 13, 2015 NFL Hand Thumb Sprain Carr suffered a bruised right (throwing) thumb. He missed the rest of the game against the Bengals but returned the following week.
Sep 28, 2014 NFL Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3 Carr suffered a high-ankle sprain -- along with a sprained MCL -- in Week 4. He was able to play in the Raiders' next game, following a Week 5 bye.
Oct 1, 2017 NFL Back Vertebral Fracture Carr suffered a transverse process fracture in his back and missed 1 game.

Basic StatsDerek Carr's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Carr has been a solid – and unspectacular – fantasy QB for a long time. Odds are he’ll be fine in his new digs, with a solid set of skill-position players around him and an experienced coaching staff. Ultimately, though, he’s unlikely to be a fantasy difference maker.

Feel free to draft Carr late as a backup in 1-QB formats and QB2 in best ball. He could be an upside option (at cost) for 2-QB and superflex formats.

What We Learned Last Year
  • We learned that the Raiders suddenly discovered they were paying Carr too much money.
  • His 2022 numbers did drop in a number of categories vs. previous:
    • 60.8% completion rate was Carr’s lowest since his 2014 rookie campaign.
    • 7.0 yards per pass attempt was his lowest since 2017, despite the deepest average target depth of his career (by more than a yard).
    • 2.8% INT rate was the worst of his career.
    • 86.3 passer rating was his worst since 2014.
    • 65.4 Pro Football Focus passing grade was his worst since 2014.
    • 70.8% adjusted completion rate was worst since 2014.
  • Carr finished a decent 16th among fantasy QBs; 20th in points per game among multi-game starters.
  • A 4.8% TD rate helped. That tied for 12th in the league and was the fourth-best rate of Carr’s career.
  • Carr finished his last pre-Josh McDaniels season 12th among fantasy QBs; 14th in points per game.
  • Vegas benched Carr for the final two games last season and then released him on Valentine’s Day. (Feel that love.)
What to Expect in 2023
  • The Saints clearly disagreed with the Raiders’ assessment of Carr. They signed the vet less than a month after his release to a four-year, $150 million contract that includes $100 million in guarantees.
  • HC Dennis Allen said they targeted Carr as soon as it became clear he was done in Vegas. Allen says he values intelligence highly at QB and called Carr “one of the more intelligent people I’ve ever been around in terms of football knowledge.”
  • Carr won’t have Davante Adams in New Orleans. But he’ll have a much younger deep threat. Chris Olave’s average depth of target beat Adams’ by more than 3.5 yards. Sure, they played in different systems, but Olave’s 4.39-second 40 time clearly gives him a higher ceiling in that area.
  • That said, Carr probably won’t throw deep as often as he did last season. Check the annual percentages of his passes that traveled 20+ yards downfield (according to PFF), starting with Jon Gruden’s first year as HC:
    • 2018: 9.2%
    • 2019: 9.4%
    • 2020: 11.6%
    • 2021: 11.9%
    • 2022: 14.1%
  • The Saints actually had Gruden in to consult this spring, seeking to glean from the former Raiders coach what Carr does best. Allen said afterward that he’s not planning to redesign the offense but wanted to capture some of what Carr did during what he termed the most productive stretch of the QB’s career.
  • Besides Olave, Carr will get WR Michael Thomas back from yet another injury. WR Rashid Shaheed brings enviable speed, which can make him both a deep threat and dangerous after the catch. The team also extended TE Juwan Johnson and added TE Foster Moreau.
  • The Saints also retain the same OC, Pete Carmichael, they’ve had since 2009. Once a pass-heavy offense (with Drew Brees), that unit has passed on less than 56% of offensive plays in five of the past six seasons.
  • This year’s backfield has also been restocked, adding RB Jamaal Williams in free agency and then RB Kendre Miller in Round 3 of the draft.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

Hunter Renfrow, WR LVR

2:35pm EST 11/10/22

Hunter Renfrow to IR

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow has been placed on IR with an oblique injury. He'll miss at least the next 4 games, making Week 14 his earliest possible return. Renfrow has dealt with a few different injuries this season and averaged just 4.8 targets, 3.5 caches and 32 yards across 6 games. He's cuttable in all redraft leagues. Vegas will now be without Renfrow and TE Darren Waller for at least the next 4 weeks, which should push even more value to RB Josh Jacobs and WR Davante Adams. WR Mack Hollins and TE Foster Moreau should also get target boosts. Keelan Cole figures to take over as the #3 WR but isn't worth adding to fantasy rosters.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr (back) was upgraded to full participation in Thursday's practice. He'll be ready to go for this weekend's game vs. New Orleans.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr (back) was limited in Wednesday's practice. We've heard nothing to suggest that his availability for Sunday's game vs. the Saints is in question, but we'll keep an eye on him over the next few days.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr took a shot to the helmet on a QB sneak on the 1st play of the 4th quarter in Sunday's game against the Bears. Carr was able to get off the field under his own power but headed straight to the medical tent. Stay tuned for updates.

Update: Carr re-entered after missing a few plays.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr (ankle) put in a full week of practice and isn’t listed on the final injury report. Carr has turned in QB9 and QB8 weekly finishes so far this season and is a viable fantasy start vs. the Dolphins on Sunday.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

See how we built the 17 indicators into our Draft War Room »
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