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Derek Carr - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDerek Carr's Basic Stats

Derek Carr
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 31.5
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.69
SPARQx (Rank): 102.80 (87%)
Burst Score (Rank): 115.40 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.20 (79%)

Derek Carr's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
266 1.6 0.8 7.1 16.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
278.5 1.8 0.7 6.1 18.5

Derek Carr's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Quarterback

312.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 418.8/607 4734.6 31 11.5 36 104.4 2.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDerek Carr's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Carr chucked for 4,804 yards and 23 TDs on a 68.4% completion rate and 7.7 yards per attempt last year.
  • The 4,804 yards were a career high and ranked 5th league-wide, just behind Patrick Mahomes and right ahead of Joe Burrow.
  • Carr’s 23 passing scores ranked just 13th.
  • His 3.7% passing TD rate was the 3rd-lowest mark of his 8-year career and ranked 23rd among 33 qualifying QBs.
  • Carr finished 13th among QBs in fantasy points, depending on the scoring system.
  • He finished 13th, 16th and 18th at the position in fantasy points over the previous 3 seasons.
  • The Raiders swung a trade in March for WR Davante Adams.
    • The 29-year-old leads the NFL in catches, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the past 4 seasons.
    • His ranks in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades those 4 years: 8th, 4th, 1st and 2nd.
    • Carr and Adams played together for 2 seasons at Fresno State, connecting for 3,031 yards and 38 TDs.
  • Vegas also returns WR Hunter Renfrow, TE Darren Waller and RBs Josh Jacobs and Kenyan Drake.
  • The 2021 Raiders ranked 22nd in Pro Football Focus’ pass-blocking grades and 18th in adjusted sack rate. They’ll get G Denzelle Good back after he tore an ACL in last year’s opener but otherwise return a similar O-line.
  • Carr will play under a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Carr is coming off a career high in passing yards and QB13 fantasy finish, despite a below-average TD rate.

That TD rate should rebound in 2022, especially with the arrival of WR Davante Adams. WR Hunter Renfrow and TE Darren Waller are also back, giving Carr the best group of weapons of his career. We’ll see what the offense looks like under new HC Josh McDaniels, but we’re expecting it to be pass leaning.

Carr’s lack of rushing ability caps the fantasy ceiling, but he has a good chance to provide at least low-end QB1 production this year.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Derek Carr, QB LVR

2:35pm EDT 10/3/22

Carr a Week 4 dud

Raiders QB Derek Carr managed only 188 yards and 0 TDs in a Week 4 win over Denver. He tallied only 5.6 yards per attempt but added 40 yards on the ground. In total, this passing game proved highly concentrated, with only 5 players receiving targets. Davante Adams led the way with 9-101 on 13 targets. Look for a fantasy bounce-back Monday at Kansas City, especially if Hunter Renfrow (concussion) is able to return.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Derek Carr tallied 303 yards and a pair of TDs (plus an INT) on 26-of-44 passing (59.1%) in Sunday's loss to the Titans. Carr found Mack Hollins and Davante Adams for scores. RB Josh Jacobs joined them as the only Raiders to catch more than 3 passes. Similar to the first 2 weeks, Carr wound up with solid production on less-than-stellar play. Through 3 games, he ranks just 24th among starters in Pro Football Focus passing grade.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow (concussion) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Titans. We’ll see if he can get cleared for Week 4. Renfrow’s absence will leave Tyron Johnson and Keelan Cole as Vegas’ #3 and #4 WRs behind Davante Adams and Mack Hollins. Adams and TE Darren Waller should dominate Raiders targets this weekend.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr posted an up and down Week 1, completing 22 of 37 passes (59.4%) for 295 yards and 2 scores. He added 3 INTs — and each one was truly on the QB. He underthrew deep balls to Darren Waller and Davante Adams and threw well behind Hunter Renfrow. On the positive side, Adams was every bit of the guy we saw in Green Bay, scoring 1 of Carr’s TDs and hauling in 10 of 17 targets. Carr’s other score came on a nice touch pass to Brandon Bolden. Next up for the 31-year-old is a favorable home draw vs. Arizona.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

According to Raiders beat writer Tashan Reed, the Raiders will hold “active competitions” for 4 starting O-line spots. That includes LG, C, RG and RT, with only Kolton Miller locked in at LT. This unit will be under the tutelage of OL coach Carmen Bricillo, formerly with HC Josh McDaniels in New England. The potentially high turnover here is worth monitoring for Derek Carr and the Vegas offense.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Derek Carr, QB LVR
Dynasty MVP 271.4
Position Rank #19 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
892
1,456
2,257
Dynasty Write-up
Carr wasn't anything special as a fantasy passer in 2021, despite finishing 5th in attempts. His supporting cast got an upgrade, though, with the arrivals of HC Josh McDaniels and WR Davante Adams. Carr inked a 3-year extension this offseason that keeps him in Vegas through 2025.
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