Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Hayden Hurst - Injury History

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Hayden Hurst
ATL

TE ATL

#28 Tight End

65 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.67

Injury Predictor Injury Predictor

Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2021

20%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

1.3%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2021

0.50

Durability

5

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Aug 24, 2018 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Hurst had surgery on August 24 to repair a stress fracture in his foot. He missed the first 4 games of the season.

Basic Stats Full Player Fantasy Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Volume propelled Hurst to a TE9 finish last season. He ran the 4th most routes among TEs and averaged nearly 5.5 targets per game.
  • This came in a season that saw only 9 appearances from Julio Jones.
  • Hurst filled a short-range role (7.6-yard average depth of target) and wasn’t much of a big-play threat with only 10.2 YPC.
  • Among 26 TEs with 50+ targets, Hurst ranked 23rd in yards per route run (1.08, a career low).
  • 4 of his 6 TDs surfaced in the red zone. He tallied only 5 fewer red zone looks than Calvin Ridley (15 vs. 20).
  • 2021 brings a significant change, most notably with the arrival of top pick Kyle Pitts. A generational player on tape, Pitts will command a sizable target share right away.
  • Julio Jones was traded to the Titans in June. Last year, he was on pace for 121 targets.
  • Losing Jones theoretically allows Pitts to play more of a “big slot” role and potentially add in-line snaps to Hurst’s plate. Last year, the former Raven played 43.4% of his snaps in-line.
  • Hurst, though, was among the league’s worst graded run and pass-blocking TEs (via Pro Football Focus). Atlanta did add pure blocking TE Lee Smith in free agency.
  • New HC Arthur Smith, a former TE coach and the Titans OC last year, used 2-TE sets on a league-high 35% of the team’s snaps last year.
  • Don’t count out Hurst as at least a potential streamer in FFPC formats. As Titans OC last year, Smith’s TEs combined for a massive 29.4% target share.
  • Look for the Falcons’ pass volume to come down, though. They just ranked 1st league-wide in raw attempts (684) and pass rate (65.4%).

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

A favorable environment helped Hurst post career highs in 2020.

2021, though, looks like a year for sharp regression. Kyle Pitts is a clear upgrade, and even at 20, he projects as an immediate contributor. The Julio Jones trade helps Hurst, but the latter will still need some good fortune to have a legit shot at cracking TE2 range.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Falcons TE Hayden Hurst (ankle) is out for Thursday night's game vs. the Patriots. Hurst has played 52% of Atlanta's offensive snaps this season but averaged just 2.8 targets per game, so there's not much fantasy impact here.

View all Hayden Hurst Shark Bites »

It was easy to write off Falcons TE Hayden Hurst after the team drafted Kyle Pitts 4th overall and declined the 5th-year option on Hurst's rookie contract (making this the final year on his deal). But Matt Urben of Falcons Wire says to "look for Hurst to be a featured player" in the offense this year, which is expected to deploy multiple TEs as part of the plan to replace WR Julio Jones' production. We'll have to see just what Hurst's role looks like, but we saw HC Arthur Smith use Jonnu Smith and Anthony Firkser simultaneously with last year's Titans. The biggest draw to Hurst is an ADP that will find him undrafted in most fantasy football leagues.

View all Hayden Hurst Shark Bites »

Tori McElhaney of The Athletic reports that Falcons TE Hayden Hurst has shed 18 pounds vs. last year's playing weight (down to 250). Hurst -- who had his 5th-year option declined by the team this offseason -- still appears headed for a significant role in the offense. McElhaney writes: "Because of [Arthur] Smith's scheme, there are just as many opportunities for Hurst as [Kyle] Pitts. And if training camp is any indicator, we'll see both of them on the field together a lot." That's worth keeping in mind as you navigate reserve TE territory in best-ball drafts. Hurst sits just 27th among TEs in current FFPC best-ball ADP.

View all Hayden Hurst Shark Bites »

Falcons TE Hayden Hurst (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Raiders. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, so he obviously won't be at 100%. But Hurst might get a target boost with WR Julio Jones out.

View all Hayden Hurst Shark Bites »

Falcons TE Hayden Hurst (ankle) is expected to play Sunday against the Raiders, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Hurst managed only a limited Friday practice after sitting out the previous 2 days, so he'll present some risk even if active. Las Vegas also rates 9th in TE coverage, according to Football Outsiders. We'll confirm Hurst's status when the early-game inactives come out.

View all Hayden Hurst Shark Bites »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play