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Amari Cooper - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAmari Cooper's Basic Stats

Amari Cooper
ADP: 5.4
Bye: 10
Experience: 9
Age: 30.0
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.42
Speed Score: 110.60

Burst Score (Rank): 116.10 (23%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.69 (97%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.15 (76%)

Amari Cooper's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 64 0.4 8.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 69.1 0.5 9.9

Amari Cooper's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#35 Wide Receiver

184.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.4 61.6 896 5.6 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAmari Cooper's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Cooper has rarely challenged for the top 12 among fantasy WRs. But he has consistently delivered solid-to-good WR2 numbers. He still looks like the best bet for receiving production among Browns in 2024. We’ll see if the QB play can step up to help him. As long as Cooper’s ADP stays in WR3 range, he’ll be a solid target across fantasy formats.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Cooper fared better when QB Deshaun Watson was on the field.
    • In Watson’s five full games, Cooper averaged 2.73 yards per route. That would have been the best mark if his career by a wide margin for the full season.
    • The other 11 contests (including the playoff loss) found Cooper averaging just 1.99 yards per route.
  • Interestingly, that ran counter to 2022, Cooper’s first year in Cleveland.
    • Then, his production dipped when Watson returned from suspension to take over for QB Jacoby Brissett – including a drop from WR14 in total PPR points weeks 1-12 to WR38 over the final six weeks.
  • Really, the culprits were backup QBs not named Joe Flacco. The veteran swooped in into Week 13 with cape on and helped Cooper to an even better 2.78 yards per route.
    • In games piloted by someone other than Flacco or Watson, Cooper managed a measly 1.30 yards per route.
  • The biggest key was deep passing. Cooper drew the deepest average depth of target in his career in 2023 (14.1), a season after setting his previous high (13.3).
    • Watson improved on his poor deep passing of 2022. According to Pro Football Focus, on throws 20+ yards downfield:
      • He went from 23.1% completions in 2022 to 34.8% last season.
      • He jumped from 6.9 yards per attempt to 12.2.
      • And Watson increased his deep attempts from 7.6% of total attempts to 13.5%.
    • His performance in that area still fell well short of where it was during his Houston years. That leaves room for further improvement, though we obviously can’t count on it.
  • Cooper’s target share declined in 2023 to 23.6% (25th among WRs) after ranking 17th at the position the year before. Both rates beat his target shares for the previous four seasons, though.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Watson is coming off surgery for the right shoulder injury that ended his 2023 season. He wasn’t fully back by June minicamp but threw some in the spring workouts and appears on track for training camp.
  • Watson’s progress and status will bear watching throughout the summer. It will be a key factor in projecting Cooper’s season.
  • Cleveland let Joe Flacco walk but imported QB Jameis Winston as the new backup. Like Watson and Flacco, Winston hasn’t been the most efficient passer but is willing to challenge defenses downfield.
  • Cooper heads into his age-30 season, but our aging-curve research says that hasn’t been a worrisome age for high-level WRs. And the Cooper of 2023 looked just like the Cooper of other recent seasons.
  • He’s not a target hog and really hasn’t been throughout his career. That lowers Cooper’s annual fantasy ceiling, but it also makes WR Jerry Jeudy’s arrival less worrisome. We have a lot more data backing Cooper as the likely corps leader than we do suggesting Jeudy’s a threat to overtake him.
    • Does Jeudy siphon some of his target share away? That’s always possible. But Cooper’s record of target shares and production makes him look like a pretty solid bet to stay in the range where he has operated for years.
  • It’s also possible these Browns plan to pass more. They replaced OC Alex Van Pelt with Ken Dorsey, who got fired just past the midway point of his second season as Buffalo’s OC.
    • Dorsey’s Bills ranked among the league’s most pass-heavy offenses. Cleveland ranked 19th in neutral-situation pass rate over the past two years.
    • Throw in the uncertainty surrounding RB Nick Chubb’s return from a serious knee injury, and it would make sense for the passing volume to get at least a slight boost.

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Amari Cooper, WR CLE

6:23am EDT 6/12/24

Amari Cooper Skipping Minicamp

Browns WR Amari Cooper did not report with the rest of the team for manadatory minicamp Tuesday. That followed the veteran staying away from voluntary OTAs as well. Cooper's contract runs out at the end of this season, so he's likely staying away in pursuit of an extension. We'll see whether this spills over into training camp.

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The Broncos are trading WR Jerry Jeudy to the Browns for fifth- and sixth-round picks in this year's draft, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. It's clearly a cost-cutting move for Denver, which avoids the nearly $13 million cap hit of the final season on Jeudy's contract. The move should allow second-year WR Marvin Mims to hit the starting lineup, though he'll have to compete with returning WR Tim Patrick. Jeudy arrives to a Cleveland corps that already sported WRs Amari Cooper and Elijah Moore. Right now we'd bet on Jeudy garnering more targets than Moore, who earned just 16.7% target share in his first year with the Browns. But it's certainly not an exciting landing spot for Jeudy's upside. That's magnified by QB Deshaun Watson's lackluster play in 2023 before his season-ending shoulder injury. Jeudy's fine to stack with Watson on best ball rosters at their respective prices: WR61 in Underdog Fantasy ADP for Jeudy; QB23 for Watson. Just don't expect either to be a championship winner. That said, Watson sports a nice crew of pass-catchers now, with the aforementioned wideouts and TE David Njoku. Cleveland second-year WR Cedric Tillman, meanwhile, looks blocked from relevance for at least one more year. He's not a must-hold in dynasty.

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The Browns are hiring Ken Dorsey as their OC, according to multiple sources. He'll replace Alex Van Pelt, who'd been Cleveland's OC since HC Kevin Stefanski took over in 2020. Dorsey spent a season-and-a-half as Buffalo's OC, taking over in 2022 and leading the Bills to second-place finishes in both total yards and points. He was fired midway through this past season, despite the Bills averaging 26.2 points through the opening 10 games. (They averaged 27.1 the rest of the way.) We'll see exactly how much say Dorsey has in Stefanski's offense this coming season. Stefanski has called plays the last four seasons.

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The Browns have fired OC Alex Van Pelt and RBs coach Stump Mitchell. Van Pelt has been Cleveland's OC since HC Kevin Stefanski was hired in 2020; Mitchell started his Browns tenure in 2019. We'll see who replaces those guys, but we wouldn't expect sweeping changes to the offense considering Stefanski has always had a big say in the operation.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Amari Cooper, WR CLE
Dynasty MVP 79.6
Position Rank #103 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
265
413
676
Dynasty Write-up
Cooper remained effective in 2023, hitting 65+ catches for the sixth straight season. His 1,250 yards set a career-high. Deshaun Watson (shoulder surgery) will be back at full strength ahead of Week 1, 2024.
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