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Dan Arnold - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dan Arnold
CAR

TE CAR

#32 Tight End

61 Projected Points

ADP: 21.7
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.63

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

1.9

DS Projection

3.7

Consensus

38 other sites
4

High Ceiling

5.9

Rest of
Season

4.1

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2 25 0.2 3.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.1 28.6 0.2 4.1

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • A 2017 UDFA, Arnold — essentially a hulked up WR — posted a career-best 45-31-438-4 line last fall.
  • As for the catch-first nature of his game: Note that Arnold’s been asked to pass protect on only 8 career snaps. He’s on the field to run routes.
  • The 6’6 target ranked 5th on the Cardinals in catches; 3rd in receiving yards.
  • Arnold was fairly efficient on a per-route basis: His 1.47 yards per route run ranked 15th among 34 TEs with 40+ targets.
  • In mid-March, Arnold, 26, signed a 2-year deal with Carolina worth $6 million. Current Panthers OC Joe Brady coached Arnold in New Orleans from 2017-2018.
  • Ian Thomas led the 2020 Panthers in TE target share (5.8%). Carolina TEs combined for just 41 targets (7.7%).
  • Thomas was hyped as a breakout candidate last fall but fell flat despite a strong size/athletic profile (20-145-1). He remains on the team but figures to have his role reduced.
  • The Panthers added another piece to the position with Round 3 pick Tommy Tremble. The Notre Dame product is an excellent blocker yet unrefined as a pass catcher.
  • Carolina will roll out DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and rookie Terrace Marshall in most 3-WR sets. Christian McCaffrey returns after an injury-riddled 2020.
  • Carolina finished mid-pack in pass rate last year, so volume doesn’t project as an ally here.
  • New QB Sam Darnold also represents a bit of a wild card. His accuracy suffered in a bad situation with the Jets. But there’s at least optimism that he’ll creep towards average in a much better spot.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Arnold has the catch-first skill set we like out of a fantasy TE. He just doesn’t have the volume to make him dependable as an early-season streamer. Take a wait-and-see approach to the 1st-year Panther.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Panthers OC Joe Brady indicated recently that we should expect a lot more from the team's TEs in his 2nd season there. "The tree that I grew up in, the tight ends are the most important position on the field, the matchups that they create, and everything," Brady said in early July, according to the team website. "It's been a point of emphasis this offseason, just trying to get those guys going in the passing game. And I think those guys have kind of taken and ran with it." Ian Thomas led Panthers TEs with just 20 receptions last year, and no team threw a smaller percentage of its targets to the position. Sounds like that should change significantly in 2021. But Carolina signed Dan Arnold in free agency and drafted Tommy Tremble in Round 3. HC Matt Rhule has also said Thomas is having a "tremendous offseason." There's too much going on that the position right now for us to target any Panthers TE in fantasy drafts. We'll see whether Thomas or Arnold can step ahead of the other as an upside option for August drafts.

View all Dan Arnold Shark Bites »

The Panthers signed TE Dan Arnold to a 2-year, $6 million deal. He's coming off a career-best 31-438-4 line in Arizona last year, ranking 17th among 43 qualifying TEs in yards per route run. Arnold will battle with Ian Thomas for TE targets in Carolina. Panthers TEs TOTALED just 41 targets last year -- although there could be more for the group in 2021 with WR Curtis Samuel gone.

View all Dan Arnold Shark Bites »

Saints TE Dan Arnold is inactive for today's game against the Bucs. He wasn't on the injury report, so it looks like he's a healthy scratch. That's a surprise after Arnold's role had grown in recent weeks. His absence leaves Josh Hill and Ben Watson at TE. Neither is a reliable fantasy play.

View all Dan Arnold Shark Bites »

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