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Nathaniel Dell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Basic Stats

Nathaniel Dell
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 24.9
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 165
40 Time: 4.49

Nathaniel Dell's Weekly Outlook

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.2 66.5 0.46 10.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 63.2 0.4 9.2

Nathaniel Dell's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Wide Receiver

201.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 65.1 934.9 5.59 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Dell’s connection with C.J. Stroud was apparent in his rookie season. He was on pace to be a top-15 WR until a broken fibula ended his season prematurely.

The Texans have a bevy of weapons in Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Joe Mixon, and Stefon Diggs, so the ball may get spread around more than last season.

Despite this, Dell and Stroud’s rapport cannot be denied. Expect Dell to still deliver low-end WR2/high-end WR3 numbers.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Dell’s per-game averages as a rookie:
    • 6.82 targets
    • 4.27 receptions
    • 64.5 yards
    • 15.1 yards per catch
    • 0.64 TDs
  • He ranked as the PPR WR38 in total fantasy points (165.0) and WR16 in points per game (9.8).
  • He missed one game (Week 6) due to concussion and then suffered a season-ending broken fibula in Week 13.
  • Out of his 11 games played, Dell had four top-12 finishes. He also had five WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Dell’s target share was 21.8% (35th best among WRs).
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, Dell ranked
    • 15th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 16th in yards per route run (2.22)
    • 15th in average target depth (14.4).
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Dell was 30th in average separation yards (2.9), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Dell enters his second season under HC DeMeco Ryans and OC Bobby Slowik.
  • He is recovering from an April gunshot wound and is expected to make a full recovery.
  • The Texans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They have the highest win total in the AFC South at 9.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also have the eighth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600 on most sportsbooks, best in the division.
  • Dell enters his second season at 24 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Dell’s career and profile will produce at 94-95% of peak value at age-24.
  • He’ll face tougher target competition this year with the arrival of Stefon Diggs. But Dell notably beat Diggs last year in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Nathaniel Dell, WR HOU

4:19pm EDT 10/13/24

Tank Dell Arrives with Nico Collins out

Texans WR Tank Dell caught 6 of 7 targets for 77 yards and finally caught a TD with WR Nico Collins out. As long as Collins is on the sideline, Dell should be a solid fantasy contributor.

View Full Story »

The Texans placed WR Nico Collins on IR. That knocks him out for at least the next four games vs. the Patriots, Packers, Colts, and Jets. Collins will be eligible to return for Week 10's game against the Lions. "While hamstrings can be tricky, the belief is that Nico Collins will be back sooner, rather than later," NFL Network's Ian Rapoport tweets.

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When addressing WR Nico Collins' injury on Monday, Texans HC Demeco Ryans said, "it takes a couple of weeks for a hamstring, so we'll evaluate that on a week-to-week basis." It's not exactly a concrete timetable for Collins' return, but it sounds like the Texans are bracing for a potential multi-game absence. We'll keep an eye on Collins this week, but fantasy owners should at least prepare to be without him for this Sunday's game vs. the Patriots. Collins' absence would leave behind a ton of opportunity for WRs Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell. Xavier Hutchinson stepped in as Houston's No. 3 WR in the second half of last week's game but would be a desperation fantasy play.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

The Texans consider WR Nico Collins "day to day" with the hamstring injury that knocked him out of Sunday's game vs. the Bills, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. It sounds like Collins avoided a significant injury, although we'd still consider him iffy for Week 6's meeting with the Patriots. We'll keep you updated on Collins' status throughout this week. WRs Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell will get rankings boosts with Collins misses more time.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

Texans WR Tank Dell caught all four of his targets for 38 yards in Sunday's win over the Bills. He also carried once for a loss of five yards. The quiet outing was even more disappointing considering WR Nico Collins missed the entire second half with a hamstring injury. Dell ranked just fourth on the Texans in targets with a 10.5% share.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Nathaniel Dell, WR HOU
Dynasty MVP 39.3
Position Rank #26 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
349
564
985
Dynasty Write-up
As a rookie, Dell shoved aside size concerns to quickly develop into a go-to target for C.J. Stroud. While his season ended with a fractured fibula, Dell should be 100% ahead of Week 1, 2024. Stroud’s quick ascent supplies a nice boost to the WR’s dynasty stock, but his short-term numbers take a hit with the addition of Stefon Diggs.
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