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Nathaniel Dell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Basic Stats

Nathaniel Dell
ADP: 4.6
Bye: 7
Experience: 1
Age: 24.4
Height: 5'8"
Weight: 165
40 Time: 4.49

Nathaniel Dell's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.6 66.4 0.38 9.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.5 32.2 0.2 4.4

Nathaniel Dell's 2024 Projections & Outlook


#23 Wide Receiver

160.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.6 78.2 1128.8 6.46 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNathaniel Dell's Preseason Player Analysis

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Stefon Diggs, WR HOU

11:03am EDT 4/3/24

Stefon Diggs trade shakes up two offenses

According to multiple reports, the Bills are sending WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans. Buffalo is also sending a 2024 sixth-round pick and 2025 fifth-rounder to Houston, while getting back only a second-round pick in 2025. Diggs' production fell off late last season after the Bills switched offensive coordinators. Now 30 and in a new offense, Diggs will have to show he's not in decline. He'll add the challenge of splitting targets with Houston's emergent young wideouts. Nico Collins (seventh) and Tank Dell (12th) both ranked among the top 12 WRs in PPR points per game last season, with rookie QB C.J. Stroud. The Diggs addition obviously lowers the target-share ceiling for all three wideouts. We'll also have to see exactly how Houston plans to deploy them. Diggs spent 35.7% of his pass snaps in the slot last year; 34.2% the year before. He topped 30% in that category for three of his four Buffalo seasons, surpassed only by his 2016 sophomore season (62.9%). Collins spent 20.1% of his time in the slot last year; Dell 28.7%. We'd bet on all three moving around the formation some. But Diggs could wind up primarily replacing Robert Woods (55.5% slot) and Noah Brown (39.3%). The trio gives Stroud one of the league's best WR groups and boosts his fantasy upside. The QB already sat sixth at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP, though. That adds risk to Stroud as a draft target and gives him little room to move up. QB Josh Allen, meanwhile, has lost his top two wideouts (Gabe Davis the other) while adding only WR Curtis Samuel this offseason. The dearth of remaining talent adds risk to his fantasy outlook, though you shouldn't expect the high-level rusher to move significantly down our rankings. As for other affected players: Diggs' departure leaves target share available for TE Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. His arrival in Houston makes life tougher for TE Dalton Schultz. He already sat just 13th among TEs in best ball ADP, though, and will likely fall further following this trade. Be sure to check our rankings for your format to see all the effects of this high-impact deal.

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Texans HC Demeco Ryan expects WR Tank Dell (leg) to be ready for the offseason program. Dell fractured a fibula in early December, but the injury shouldn't be an issue for his 2024 fantasy value. He, of course, was excellent before going down, finishing 12th among WRs in PPR points per game as a rookie. Dell returns to the same offense (OC Bobby Slowik) with the same QB (C.J. Stroud) this year. See where Dell sits in our early 2024 fantasy football WR rankings.

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Texans WR Tank Dell expects to be able to participate in the team's offseason program, according to insider Aaron Wilson. Dell's rookie season ended with a fractured fibula in early December, but the injury shouldn't be an issue for his 2024 fantasy value. Dell was brilliant before that injury, ranking 12th among WRs in PPR points per game. His 2.22 yards per route run ranked 16th among 80 qualifying WRs and third among 14 qualifying rookie WRs. Dell sits 20th in our initial PPR WR Rankings.

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Bobby Slowik is getting a "significant raise" to remain the Texans' OC, according to insider Albert Breer. Slowik drew significant HC interest after leading Houston to top-13 finishes in both total yards and points this past year. His return is good news for QB C.J. Stroud and the Texans offense, although we'd like to see Slowik lean further toward the pass in 2024. Last year's Texans ranked 16th in neutral pass rate and 19th in Pass Rate Over Expected.

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Texans WR Tank Dell underwent surgery on his fractured fibula on Monday and will miss the rest of the season, HC Demeco Ryans said. Ryans added that Dell should be ready for the start of the offseason program, so this injury shouldn't impact his 2024 fantasy outlook. Dell averaged 8.4 targets, 5.1 catches, 77.3 yards, and 0.9 TDs in eight games with a snap rate north of 50%. His 2.24 yards per route run ranks 15th among 69 WRs with 40+ targets -- and third among 12 rookie WRs with 40+ targets. Tied to QB C.J. Stroud, Dell looks like a WR2 target in 2024 fantasy drafts and a top-25 dynasty WR.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Nathaniel Dell, WR HOU
Dynasty MVP 116.2
Position Rank #49 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
As a rookie, Dell shoved aside size concerns to quickly develop into a go-to target for C.J. Stroud. While his season ended with a fractured fibula, Dell should be 100% ahead of Week 1, 2024. Stroud’s quick ascent supplies a nice boost to the WR’s dynasty stock, but his short-term numbers take a hit with the addition of Stefon Diggs.
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