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Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyjae Spears's Basic Stats

Tyjae Spears
ADP: 9.1
Bye: 5
Experience: 1
Age: 23.7
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.59

SPARQx (Rank): 110.50 (50%)
Burst Score (Rank): 128.80 (90%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.59 (29%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.27

Tyjae Spears's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
37.2 0.22 2.1 15.8 0.08 6.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
21.8 0.2 1.2 9.3 0 4.2

Tyjae Spears's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Running Back

156.9 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
9.1 144.4 647.6 3.83 0 1.7 36.6 276 1.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyjae Spears's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Spears flashed as a talented runner and receiver last season behind Derrick Henry.

It looked like he might get a shot as the starter this season, but the team invested heavily in Tony Pollard in free agency.

Spears' receiving ability will be his calling card and could make him solid RB3 in PPR with major upside if Pollard gets injured.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Spears’ 453 rushing yards ranked 42nd among RBs. His 52 catches tied for ninth at the position.
  • He did not miss any games due to injury.
  • Spears ranked as the PPR RB34 in total fantasy points and RB42 in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better one time. He recorded two games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 52nd among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 34.3%.
  • He played 53% of the Titans’ offensive snaps last season.
  • His per-game averages:
    • 5.88 carries
    • 26.6 rushing yards
    • 0.12 rushing TDs
    • 4.12 targets
    • 3.06 catches
    • 22.6 receiving yards
    • 0.06 receiving TDs
  • Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Spears ranked:
    • 34th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • Eighth in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 32nd in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • His receiving metrics were outstanding. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, Spears ranked:
    • Seventh in PFF receiving grade
    • 11th in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Spears enters his second season on the Titans, but his first season with:
    • HC and play caller Brian Callahan
    • OC Nick Holz
  • The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
  • Spears enters his second season at 23 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Spears’ career and profile will produce at 93% of peak value at age-23.
  • Spears beat new teammate Pollard last year in:
    • Rush yards after contact per attempt
    • PFF Elusive Rating
    • Rush yards over expected per attempt
    • PFF receiving grade
    • Yards per route run

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Tony Pollard, RB TEN

12:42pm EDT 3/11/24

Titans think Tony Pollard a better Tyjae Spears?

Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 in Houston reports that the Titans are expected to sign RB Tony Pollard. That'll be a surprising move for a team that drafted RB Tyjae Spears in Round 3 last year -- and a GM who talked him up at the Combine. Pollard's coming off a disappointing season in his first turn as Dallas' lead back. But it has since been reported that he spent much of 2023 still working back from his end-of-2022 leg injury. ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Tennessee is giving Pollard a three-year, $24 million deal. That obviously positions Pollard as the Titans' new lead back and crushes Spears' 2024 upside. Unfortunately, you'll probably have to hang on to the second-year runner rather than sell low in dynasty. Pollard has been going RB22 in Underdog Fantasy ADP -- four spots behind Spears in positional ADP. Expect both those numbers to change. Pollard should remain a fine best ball target at least up to RB15 range. Check our updated RB rankings to see where he and Spears settle.

View all Tony Pollard Shark Bites »

The Titans fired HC Mike Vrabel. Tennessee went 41-24 over Vrabel's first four seasons, making the playoffs in 2019, 2020, and 2021. But the Titans won just 13 games total over the last two seasons and ranked bottom-5 in total offense both years. This offense might look a lot different in 2024, with a new coaching staff and potentially no Derrick Henry.

View all Will Levis Shark Bites »

Titans RB Derrick Henry managed just 42 yards on 12 carries in Sunday's loss to the Texans. That marked his third time in the past four games with 3.5 yards per carry or less. Henry also went without a catch for the first time since Week 3. He has finished seven of his past eight contests with 1 reception or fewer. That all makes Henry a shaky play for Week 18 vs. Jacksonville. And might we also see Tennessee give more work to rookie RB Tyjae Spears in the game's final season -- ahead of an offseason that will almost certainly see Henry leave? It wouldn't be a crazy move. We'll watch for any indication of Week 18 plans. Either way, you shouldn't be excited to play Henry in any format in Week 18.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Titans RB Derrick Henry logged a ridiculously low 10 total yards in Sunday's OT loss to the Texans. It wasn't because of a lack of touches, though. Henry carried 16 times, his fourth straight games with at least that many rushing attempts. He also caught a team-high four passes on 4 targets. Both tied his season highs. But Henry ran for just 9 yards and managed a single receiving yard. Perhaps Houston just figured out how to defend him. If that's the case, he'll be unhappy to see the Texans again in Week 17. And we'll have to be wary of that matchup. In between comes a positive spot against Seattle. Rookie Tyjae Spears nearly equaled Henry's playing time against the Texans, logging 33 snaps to Henry's 34. He beat Henry 18-13 in pass routes and took his 9 carries for 30 yards (3.3 per rush). Spears remains just a handcuff for fantasy, though.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Titans HC Mike Vrabel said Monday afternoon that RB Derrick Henry is not in the concussion protocol, contrary to what ESPN's Adam Schefter reported this morning. "We checked on him last night, then checked on him in the morning," Vrabel said. We'll keep an eye on Henry throughout the week, but it sounds like he should be available for next Monday night's game vs. the Dolphins.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Tyjae Spears, RB TEN
Dynasty MVP 79.8
Position Rank #43 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
275
413
647
Dynasty Write-up
Spears rebounded from a 2020 ACL tear to post 2,444 yards over the next 2 seasons. While undersized, the Tulane product is a capable pass catcher with excellent burst and agility. He showed that in 2023, filling a change-of-pace role behind Derrick Henry en route to 837 total yards. He looked like a 2024 breakout candidate...until Tennessee spent up to sign Tony Pollard. They'll battle for touches in training camp.
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