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Tony Pollard - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTony Pollard's Basic Stats

Tony Pollard
ADP: 7.9
Bye: 5
Experience: 5
Age: 27.2
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.52

SPARQx (Rank): 100.90 (23%)
Burst Score (Rank): 120.00 (58%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.37 (55%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.00

Tony Pollard's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
53.5 0.36 2.5 19 0.09 10.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
68.5 0.6 3.2 25.8 0.1 13.3

Tony Pollard's 2024 Projections & Outlook


#23 Running Back

197.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
7.9 197.2 865.1 5.83 0.2 1.6 40.2 305 1.45

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTony Pollard's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Pollard didn’t live up to expectations in Dallas last year.

Being paid as a top-ten NFL RB should force the Titans' hand to give him every chance to succeed.

Joe Mixon showed how a RB in the Brian Callahan offense can be utilized in a variety of ways, so Pollard has that same potential.

With Tyjae Spears as a superior receiving option at RB, Pollard will be a TD-dependent RB2 whose volume will be his best asset.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Pollards’ 1,005 rushing yards ranked 12th among RBs. His 55 catches ranked eighth.
  • He did not miss any games due to injury.
  • Pollard ranked as the PPR RB14 in total fantasy points and the RB23 in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better four times. He recorded four games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 15th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 50.0%.
  • He played 71% of the Cowboys offensive snaps last season.
  • His per-game averages for the season were above his career averages:
    • 14.8 carries (9.65)
    • 59.1 rushing yards (45.8)
    • 0.35 rushing TDs (0.29)
    • 3.94 targets (2.89)
    • 3.24 catches (2.23)
    • 18.3 receiving yards (16.7)
    • 0.00 receiving TDs (0.06)
  • Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, Pollard ranked:
    • Ninth in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 36th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 34th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • His receiving metrics raise some red flags. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, Pollard ranked:
    • 40th in PFF receiving grade
    • 36th in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Pollard signed with the Titans on a three-year deal worth $24 million with $10.49 million guaranteed. His $7.25 million per year ranks ninth among RBs.
  • Pollard enters his first season on the Titans under HC and play caller Brian Callahan and OC Nick Holz
  • The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also are tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
  • Pollard enters his sixth season at 27 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Pollard’s career and profile will produce 85-95% of peak value at age-27.
  • New teammate Tyjae Spears beat Pollard last year in:
    • Rush yards after contact per attempt
    • PFF Elusive Rating
    • Rush yards over expected per attempt
    • PFF receiving grade
    • Yards per route run

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Tony Pollard, RB TEN

12:42pm EDT 3/11/24

Titans think Tony Pollard a better Tyjae Spears?

Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 in Houston reports that the Titans are expected to sign RB Tony Pollard. That'll be a surprising move for a team that drafted RB Tyjae Spears in Round 3 last year -- and a GM who talked him up at the Combine. Pollard's coming off a disappointing season in his first turn as Dallas' lead back. But it has since been reported that he spent much of 2023 still working back from his end-of-2022 leg injury. ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Tennessee is giving Pollard a three-year, $24 million deal. That obviously positions Pollard as the Titans' new lead back and crushes Spears' 2024 upside. Unfortunately, you'll probably have to hang on to the second-year runner rather than sell low in dynasty. Pollard has been going RB22 in Underdog Fantasy ADP -- four spots behind Spears in positional ADP. Expect both those numbers to change. Pollard should remain a fine best ball target at least up to RB15 range. Check our updated RB rankings to see where he and Spears settle.

View all Tony Pollard Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Tony Pollard posted another disappointing game in Week 17 vs. the Lions, accumulating 49 rushing yards on 16 carries. This performance ends his fantasy season on a skid of three consecutive games with fewer than 10 PPR points and is pretty emblematic of the year he had in a broad sense. In his first season as Dallas’ unencumbered lead back, Pollard accumulated an average of 76.9 scrimmage yards per game and 4.27 yards per opportunity, both down from his averages of 86.1 scrimmage yards and 5.94 yards per opportunity in 2022. It’s pretty difficult to argue that he holds RB1 value in dynasty formats at this point. Between his downturn in production and the fact that he’ll enter the free agent market at 27 years old, his future prospects will hinge on where he lands in 2024 and what type of role he’s able to secure, whether it be back with the Cowboys or elsewhere.

View all Tony Pollard Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Rico Dowdle (ankle) is out for Saturday night's game vs. the Lions. Deuce Vaughn figures to be active as Dallas' No. 2 RB, but Dowdle's absence could mean a few extra touches for RB Tony Pollard.

View all Rico Dowdle Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Tony Pollard put forth another strong fantasy effort in Week 14 vs. the Eagles, totaling 16 carries for 58 rushing yards and a season-high 7 catches for 37 yards. Sunday night marked the fourth consecutive game in which he has posted at least 16 PPR points in a game. Week 15 presents an upside spot against the Bills (11th-best RB matchup per our adjusted fantasy points allowed).

View all Tony Pollard Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Tony Pollard was bottled up for most of Thursday night's game vs. the Seahawks, totaling just 68 yards on 20 carries (3.4 YPC). But he turned in a solid fantasy outing thanks to a 6-yard score in the third quarter. It was Pollard's third straight game with a TD -- after going eight straight games without one. It's just the latest reminder of the fickle nature of TDs. While Pollard's efficiency remains a concern, his volume and the strength of Dallas' offense should keep him locked into fantasy lineups the rest of the way. Pollard racked up 24 opportunities (20 carries, 4 targets) in Week 13 and has 17+ in four of his last five outings. The Cowboys, meanwhile, look unstoppable at this point, scoring 33+ points in four straight games and five of the last six.

View all Tony Pollard Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Tony Pollard, RB TEN
Dynasty MVP 80.3
Position Rank #53 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Pollard set career highs across the board in 2022. He earned the franchise tag in March of '23, then watched the team release veteran Zeke Elliott. Still, coming off a January fibula fracture, Pollard took a major step back last fall. Now, he projects as a timeshare option alongside Tyjae Spears.
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