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Tony Pollard - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Tony Pollard
DAL

RB DAL

#45 Running Back

97 Projected Points

ADP: 10.9
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.52

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#45 Running Back

97 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
10.9 110 487 3 0 1 33 244 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

79.5

DS Projection

97

Consensus

38 other sites
88.1

High Ceiling

194

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Pollard saw only a slight bump in usage in his 2nd season. As a 2019 rookie, he drew 20.1% of Dallas’ carries and 3.7% of targets over his 15 games. In the 15 games he shared with Ezekiel Elliott last season, Pollard saw 21.8% carry share and 5.1% target share.
  • His playing time saw a similarly slight bump. After playing 19% of offensive snaps for his 15 games in 2019, Pollard played 28.6% of the snaps in Elliott’s 15 games last season.
  • Through 2 years, Pollard has seen about double the usage in a receiver spot compared with Elliott. According to Pro Football Focus, Pollard lined up out wide or in the slot on 15.1% of his 2019 offensive snaps and then 16% of his 2020 snaps. Elliott did so on about 6% and 8% of his snaps, respectively.
  • Pollard has been a big winner in PFF’s elusive rating each year so far. He ranked 2nd in that category last season among 63 RBs with 75+ carries. In 2019, Pollard led the 61 RBs in that group.
  • The Cowboys’ offense should be in much better shape for 2020 with some key injury returns. In addition to QB Dak Prescott, RT La’El Collins missed all of 2020 with a hip injury, LT Tyron Smith lost 14 games to a neck injury and star RG Zack Martin played just 54% of the snaps because of a calf strain.
  • Those absences -- plus the loss of center Travis Frederick to retirement -- knocked Dallas from 7th in PFF run-blocking grade in 2019 all the way down to 29th last season.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We wouldn’t be surprised to see another slight uptick in Pollard’s workload, but the Dallas backfield remains under Ezekiel Elliott’s control. Pollard looks like 1 of the few handcuffs worth targeting in fantasy drafts, but beware overpaying for a guy who likely won’t start for you unless Elliott goes down. Pollard is currently going inside the top 40 at RB in FFPC best-ball drafting, at the Round 9-10 turn.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Tony Pollard (knee) practiced all week and will return for Sunday’s game against the Rams. The rookie has averaged just 3.5 carries and 1.5 targets over his last 8 games.

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Cowboys RB Tony Pollard (knee) is inactive for tonight's game against the Bears. The rookie has averaged 2.6 carries and 2.4 targets over the past 5 weeks, so his absence is a slight boost to RB Ezekiel Elliott's projected volume.

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Cowboys RB Tony Pollard (ankle) is listed as questionable for Thursday night's game against the Bears. He didn't practice on Tuesday or Wednesday. Pollard hasn't reached fantasy relevancy this year, but he's averaged 2.6 carries and 2.4 targets over the past 5 weeks. So his absence would be a slight boost to RB Ezekiel Elliott's stock.

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Cowboys owner Jerry Jones talked up RB Tony Pollard after the rookie ran for 42 yards and a score on 5 carries in Saturday's preseason game. "If he goes out there and he plays to that level he's going to be [at] for the next several weeks, he's going to be right in the middle of it early," Jones said. "That will really complement what we're doing with Zeke ... I can picture those guys [having] success at the same time out there really giving the defense some fits." Elliott was a 3-down workhorse last year, excelling both on the ground and as a pass-catcher. We doubt Pollard would see enough action behind Zeke to be a real fantasy option. But the longer Zeke's holdout lasts, the more intriguing a late-round flier Pollard becomes.

View all Tony Pollard Shark Bites »

Cowboys VP Stephen Jones singled out RB Tony Pollard as a standout in training camp. "Tony Pollard has done a real nice job out there," Jones said. "He's getting a little bit of everything. He's probably one that has stuck out for me if I were going to pick one." The 4th-round rookie played behind Darrell Henderson at Memphis but averaged 6.8 yards per carry and 12.4 yards per catch on 104 grabs over the last 3 seasons. The 6'0, 210-pounder clocked a 4.41-second 40 time at the Combine and registered a 72nd percentile SPARQ score. Pollard has been getting 1st-team reps in camp -- a sign that he's set to play a real role this season. How big that role is obviously depends heavily on whether RB Ezekiel Elliott shows up. We'll continue to monitor the Zeke situation, but Pollard is certainly worth a late-round flier in upcoming fantasy drafts.

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