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Aaron Rodgers - Injury History

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Aaron Rodgers
GB

QB GB

#9 Quarterback

385 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 16 Yr(s)
Age: 37
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.71

Injury Predictor Injury Predictor

Medium Risk

Chance of Injury in 2021

17%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

1.1%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2021

0.60

Durability

5

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Nov 19, 2006 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Rodgers was placed on IR after suffering a foot fracture.
Oct 10, 2010 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Rodgers didn't miss a game following his Week 5 concussion.
Dec 12, 2010 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Rodgers missed 1 game with his 2nd concussion of 2010.
Nov 4, 2013 NFL Shoulder Clavicle Fracture Rodgers' injury forced him to miss the next 7 games.
Dec 21, 2014 NFL Leg Calf Tear Rodgers reportedly had a "slight" tear in his calf.
Dec 11, 2016 NFL Leg Calf Strain Rodgers' injury wasn't considered serious.
Oct 15, 2017 NFL Shoulder Clavicle Fracture Rodgers returned for 1 game before sitting out the final 2 weeks.
Dec 30, 2018 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Rodgers departed in the 2nd quarter and never returned.
Sep 9, 2018 NFL Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2 Rodgers was carted off but later returned vs. Chicago. He dealt with a sprain and a bone bruise for most of the season.

Basic Stats Full Player Fantasy Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • The one thing we all need to know is where Rodgers will actually play football this season. That overrides everything else in this list. And we’ll see.
  • That would matter less if the 37-year-old weren’t coming off an otherworldly rebound campaign.
  • Rodgers went from 62.3% and 62.0% completions the previous 2 seasons to a career-high, league-leading 70.7% in 2020.
  • He tossed a career-high, league-leading 48 TD passes, at a career-high, league-leading 9.1% TD rate.
    • That followed TD rates of just 4.2% and 4.6% the previous 2 years. Those are his only 2 seasons under 5.2% among 13 starting campaigns. His median TD rate over those 13 seasons is 5.9%.
    • That number would have ranked a solid 11th in the league last year.
    • Rodgers is the only QB to ever reach 9% twice (min. 300 pass attempts).
    • He’s also the only QB to ever reach 7% four times.
  • Rodgers delivered 8.2 yards per pass attempt, his highest rate since 2014 and 3rd-most among qualifiers.
  • He posted the 2nd-best passer rating and top QBR of his career, leading the NFL in both categories (for the 1st time since 2011).
  • Good protection helped. Rodgers encountered a career-low 3.7% sack rate. According to Pro Football Reference, he ranked just 28th in pressures faced compared with 13th in pass attempts.
  • Rodgers’ 2020 delivered the 2nd-largest fantasy total ever from a QB age 37 or older, trailing only Peyton Manning’s 55-TD 2013.
  • There have only been 4 seasons so far of 300+ fantasy points in an age-38 season or later.
    • One of those came from 43-year-old Tom Brady last year.
    • Another came from Manning, the year after his record-setting TDs.
    • Brady also hit this range at 38, and Drew Brees did at 39.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Rodgers is likely to lose some efficiency vs. last year’s numbers no matter where he plays in 2021. But he could’ve shed 100 fantasy points off last year’s total and still finished top 12. There’s certainly no reason to believe his performance will suddenly implode. The big question here is whether Rodgers patches things up with the Packers, which seems unlikely as of now. At the same time, Green Bay doesn’t appear all that motivated to trade the disgruntled vet. As long as the stalemate remains, you’ll have a draft-day decision to make:

  1. Take a shot on the likely depressed cost of Rodgers and trust that he’ll start somewhere Week 1.
  2. Pass on him for a more stable option.

If you’re drafting a bunch of best-ball teams, work in some Rodgers shares -- especially if/when he falls beyond his QB11 ADP on FFPC. In lineup-setting formats, either path could work. The bevy of QB options means you can stock your roster with either an attractive alternative or Rodgers insurance.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Packers are keeping LT David Bakhtiari on the PUP list to begin the regular season, as he continues to work back from a late-2020 ACL tear. We're not downgrading QB Aaron Rodgers or RB Aaron Jones on this news, but it'll be an area to watch early in the year. The move means Bakhtiari will miss at least the 1st 6 weeks.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers reported for the start of training camp on Tuesday. It's still unclear if he and the team have officially agreed to whatever deal they're reportedly working on. But it sure looks like he's committed to play in Green Bay for at least 1 more season. We've bumped Rodgers, WR Davante Adams and RB Aaron Jones up the rankings.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Following up on NFL Network's Ian Rapoport's story this morning, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the Packers and QB Aaron Rodgers are "close" to working on a deal that would bring Rodgers back to Green Bay for the 2021 season. Per Schefter, the agreement would void the 2023 year in Rodgers' contract and ensure that the team reviews Rodgers' situation after this year. It essentially sounds like this would be his final season with the Packers. We'll continue to track this situation, but Rodgers and Green Bay's skill-position players look much safer to draft now than they did 12 hours ago.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that "Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has indicated to people close to him that he does plan to play for GB this season." We're still waiting for Rodgers to officially report to the team, but this is at least a positive sign. There will be risk to drafting Rodgers until he actually shows up, but his depressed ADP has also presented upside. He's QB11 in current FFPC best-ball drafting, coming off a QB3 fantasy finish.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Multiple Las Vegas sportsbooks believe Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will retire next week, according to Sports Illustrated's Bill Huber. Westgate SuperBook, for example, has taken down all its NFC North win totals and playoff odds. “Vegas oddsmakers tend to be pretty sharp," a source with knowledge of Rodgers' situation told Pro Football Talk. The thinking here is that Rodgers would "retire" until he was able to get out of Green Bay -- even if that wasn't until 2022. We'll continue to keep a close eye on this situation, but Rodgers carries lots of risk in fantasy drafts until this gets settled.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

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