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Aaron Rodgers - Injury History

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Aaron Rodgers
GB

QB GB

#9 Quarterback

385 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 16 Yr(s)
Age: 38
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.71

Injury Predictor Injury Predictor

Medium Risk

Chance of Injury in 2021

17%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

1.1%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2021

0.60

Durability

5

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Nov 19, 2006 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Rodgers was placed on IR after suffering a foot fracture.
Oct 10, 2010 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Rodgers didn't miss a game following his Week 5 concussion.
Dec 12, 2010 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Rodgers missed 1 game with his 2nd concussion of 2010.
Nov 4, 2013 NFL Shoulder Clavicle Fracture Rodgers' injury forced him to miss the next 7 games.
Dec 21, 2014 NFL Leg Calf Tear Rodgers reportedly had a "slight" tear in his calf.
Dec 11, 2016 NFL Leg Calf Strain Rodgers' injury wasn't considered serious.
Oct 15, 2017 NFL Shoulder Clavicle Fracture Rodgers returned for 1 game before sitting out the final 2 weeks.
Dec 30, 2018 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Rodgers departed in the 2nd quarter and never returned.
Sep 9, 2018 NFL Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2 Rodgers was carted off but later returned vs. Chicago. He dealt with a sprain and a bone bruise for most of the season.
Nov 13, 2021 NFL Pedal Toe Fracture Rodgers fractured his pinky toe during the ramp-up exercise period as he worked toward gaining medical clearance to play in the Packers' Week 10 game vs. Seattle.

Basic Stats Full Player Fantasy Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • The one thing we all need to know is where Rodgers will actually play football this season. That overrides everything else in this list. And we’ll see.
  • That would matter less if the 37-year-old weren’t coming off an otherworldly rebound campaign.
  • Rodgers went from 62.3% and 62.0% completions the previous 2 seasons to a career-high, league-leading 70.7% in 2020.
  • He tossed a career-high, league-leading 48 TD passes, at a career-high, league-leading 9.1% TD rate.
    • That followed TD rates of just 4.2% and 4.6% the previous 2 years. Those are his only 2 seasons under 5.2% among 13 starting campaigns. His median TD rate over those 13 seasons is 5.9%.
    • That number would have ranked a solid 11th in the league last year.
    • Rodgers is the only QB to ever reach 9% twice (min. 300 pass attempts).
    • He’s also the only QB to ever reach 7% four times.
  • Rodgers delivered 8.2 yards per pass attempt, his highest rate since 2014 and 3rd-most among qualifiers.
  • He posted the 2nd-best passer rating and top QBR of his career, leading the NFL in both categories (for the 1st time since 2011).
  • Good protection helped. Rodgers encountered a career-low 3.7% sack rate. According to Pro Football Reference, he ranked just 28th in pressures faced compared with 13th in pass attempts.
  • Rodgers’ 2020 delivered the 2nd-largest fantasy total ever from a QB age 37 or older, trailing only Peyton Manning’s 55-TD 2013.
  • There have only been 4 seasons so far of 300+ fantasy points in an age-38 season or later.
    • One of those came from 43-year-old Tom Brady last year.
    • Another came from Manning, the year after his record-setting TDs.
    • Brady also hit this range at 38, and Drew Brees did at 39.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Rodgers is likely to lose some efficiency vs. last year’s numbers no matter where he plays in 2021. But he could’ve shed 100 fantasy points off last year’s total and still finished top 12. There’s certainly no reason to believe his performance will suddenly implode. The big question here is whether Rodgers patches things up with the Packers, which seems unlikely as of now. At the same time, Green Bay doesn’t appear all that motivated to trade the disgruntled vet. As long as the stalemate remains, you’ll have a draft-day decision to make:

  1. Take a shot on the likely depressed cost of Rodgers and trust that he’ll start somewhere Week 1.
  2. Pass on him for a more stable option.

If you’re drafting a bunch of best-ball teams, work in some Rodgers shares -- especially if/when he falls beyond his QB11 ADP on FFPC. In lineup-setting formats, either path could work. The bevy of QB options means you can stock your roster with either an attractive alternative or Rodgers insurance.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has decided against surgery on his fractured toe "at this time," NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports. Rodgers had been considering a procedure over the bye week but will instead opt for just rest and rehab. It sounds like offseason surgery is still a possibility. Although he's admitted that the toe is an issue, it hasn't impacted his play over the last 2 weeks. Rodgers has racked up 692 passing yards with 6 TDs.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers told (and showed) the media on Wednesday that he's dealing with a fractured toe. He's admitted that it's an issue but certainly didn't seem bothered by it while throwing for 385 yards and 4 TDs in last week's loss to the Vikings. We'll continue to keep an eye on him but aren't adjusting Rodgers' Week 12 projections. The Packers have a Week 13 bye.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers' toe injury is "real and concerning," NFL Network's Ian Rapoport says. Rodgers downplayed the issue this week, but he only got in a limited practice on Friday. And, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero, Rodgers only took about 15 reps in that practice. The lack of practice time is less of a concern than the fact that Rodgers' mobility figures to be limited by this injury. And Rapoport hears that Rodgers will likely be dealing with it for the rest of the season. We'll see how he fares vs. the Vikings today.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (toe) is not listed on the final injury report. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, but we never sensed any concern about his status. The toe shouldn't be a factor in Sunday's game vs. the Vikings.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (toe) missed his 2nd straight practice on Thursday. He didn't seem worried about his Week 11 status when talking to reporters on Wednesday, but this has certainly become a situation to monitor. We'll get another update tomorrow.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

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