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Aaron Rodgers - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAaron Rodgers's Basic Stats

Aaron Rodgers
ADP: 9.5
Bye: 7
Experience: 18 Yr(s)
Age: 39.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.71
SPARQx (Rank): 99.50 (79%)
Burst Score (Rank): 115.40 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.71 (28%)

Aaron Rodgers's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections

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Rest Of Way Outlook

Aaron Rodgers's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

# Quarterback

0 Projected Points

This player has no projection

Basic StatsAaron Rodgers's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Was 2022 evidence of Rodgers’ decline? Or the result of a young WR corps and/or an early-season thumb injury?

In our view: You’d be foolish to be totally out on Rodgers in 2023 drafts. His offensive system won’t require a major learning curve, while Garrett Wilson supplies an upside WR1.

At bottom, the future Hall of Famer is reasonably priced in fantasy drafts.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Rodgers’ MVP-level play vanished. His completion rate, TD rate, yards per attempt, QBR, and Pro Football Focus passing grade all hit multi-year lows.
  • Rodgers’ 26 TDs marked his fewest since 2018. His 12 INTs were his most since 2010.
  • Of course, 2022 turned up his first season without Davante Adams since 2013.
    • Rodgers was tasked with breaking in rookie WRs Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs.
    • No. 2/3-type Allen Lazard and fringe guys like Sammy Watkins and Randall Cobb were next up.
  • Green Bay ranked 5th in ESPN’s Pass Block Win Rate; 3rd in PFF pass blocking grade. So his protection at least delivered the goods.
  • Still, Rodgers finished better than QB12 once. He didn’t post a single top-five fantasy week.
  • He finished QB22 in fantasy PPG.
    • He ranked QB13 overall, with help from 17 games played.
  • Credit the 39 year old for remaining durable. He hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2017.
    • Rodgers has played through toe and thumb fractures over the past two seasons, with the right thumb popping up in 2022.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Since the 1970 NFL merger, only Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Brett Favre, and Warren Moon have posted a top-12 fantasy season at age 39+.
  • After his trade to the Jets, Rodgers has a shot to capture his pre-2022 magic.
    • The Jets feature his former OC in Green Bay, Nathaniel Hackett. There won’t be a totally new playbook for Rodgers to absorb.
    • Matt LaFleur called plays during Hackett’s time as OC, but the Packers ranked 16th, 24th, and 15th in pass attempts over that stretch.
  • On the field, the Jets look deep at pass catcher.
    • WR Garrett Wilson returns after a Rookie of the Year campaign. He profiles as a bona fide No. 1 WR.
    • The Jets added WR Allen Lazard in free agency. Given $22 million guaranteed, he’s ticketed for the No. 2 role
    • WR Mecole Hardman signed a one-year deal worth $3.5 million guaranteed. He adds a speedy, run-after-catch element
    • Veteran WR Corey Davis was a trade/cut candidate this offseason. As of now, though, he’s still on the roster.
    • TE isn’t particularly exciting with Tyler Conklin as the position’s leader. The 28-year-old at least brings plus athleticism.
  • RB Breece Hall could be an additional weapon in the passing game. The Jets have taken an optomistic tone on his Week 1 readiness following an October ACL tear.
  • This O-line looks deeper following the arrival of rookie C Joe Tippmann. RT Mekhi Becton, if healthy, could put this unit among the league's best.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Aaron Rodgers, QB NYJ

8:14am EDT 9/17/23

Aaron Rodgers back for the playoffs?

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) is targeting a return for the NFL playoffs, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Rodgers underwent an "innovative" surgery on Wednesday "designed to accelerate the normal rehabilitation process," Rapoport writes. The procedure could reportedly have Rodgers back on the field in four months, which would be mid-January. The playoffs start on January 13. Rodgers is still not worth stashing in any redraft fantasy leagues. But, for dynasty owners, it's clear that he's hoping to continue his NFL career.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

An MRI confirmed that Jets QB Aaron Rodgers has a torn Achilles, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That ends Rodgers' season after just four snaps. Turning 40 in December, Rodgers' football future is uncertain. He's signed with the Jets for two more seasons, although he carries a $51.5 million cap hit in 2025. The Rodgers injury puts Zach Wilson back under center for now. We'll see if the Jets -- with Super Bowl aspirations -- make a move at QB. For now, all Jets skill-position players are fantasy losers.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Aaron Rodgers, QB NYJ There is no dynasty data for this player.
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