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Aaron Rodgers - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAaron Rodgers's Basic Stats

Aaron Rodgers
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 18 Yr(s)
Age: 39.9
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.71
SPARQx (Rank): 99.50 (79%)
Burst Score (Rank): 115.40 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.71 (28%)

Aaron Rodgers's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
103.3 0.5 0.3 0.8 5.7

Aaron Rodgers's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Quarterback

91.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 185/223 1652 8.1 5 3 12 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAaron Rodgers's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Was 2022 evidence of Rodgers’ decline? Or the result of a young WR corps and/or an early-season thumb injury?

In our view: You’d be foolish to be totally out on Rodgers in 2023 drafts. His offensive system won’t require a major learning curve, while Garrett Wilson supplies an upside WR1.

At bottom, the future Hall of Famer is reasonably priced in fantasy drafts.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Rodgers’ MVP-level play vanished. His completion rate, TD rate, yards per attempt, QBR, and Pro Football Focus passing grade all hit multi-year lows.
  • Rodgers’ 26 TDs marked his fewest since 2018. His 12 INTs were his most since 2010.
  • Of course, 2022 turned up his first season without Davante Adams since 2013.
    • Rodgers was tasked with breaking in rookie WRs Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs.
    • No. 2/3-type Allen Lazard and fringe guys like Sammy Watkins and Randall Cobb were next up.
  • Green Bay ranked 5th in ESPN’s Pass Block Win Rate; 3rd in PFF pass blocking grade. So his protection at least delivered the goods.
  • Still, Rodgers finished better than QB12 once. He didn’t post a single top-five fantasy week.
  • He finished QB22 in fantasy PPG.
    • He ranked QB13 overall, with help from 17 games played.
  • Credit the 39 year old for remaining durable. He hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2017.
    • Rodgers has played through toe and thumb fractures over the past two seasons, with the right thumb popping up in 2022.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Since the 1970 NFL merger, only Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Brett Favre, and Warren Moon have posted a top-12 fantasy season at age 39+.
  • After his trade to the Jets, Rodgers has a shot to capture his pre-2022 magic.
    • The Jets feature his former OC in Green Bay, Nathaniel Hackett. There won’t be a totally new playbook for Rodgers to absorb.
    • Matt LaFleur called plays during Hackett’s time as OC, but the Packers ranked 16th, 24th, and 15th in pass attempts over that stretch.
  • On the field, the Jets look deep at pass catcher.
    • WR Garrett Wilson returns after a Rookie of the Year campaign. He profiles as a bona fide No. 1 WR.
    • The Jets added WR Allen Lazard in free agency. Given $22 million guaranteed, he’s ticketed for the No. 2 role
    • WR Mecole Hardman signed a one-year deal worth $3.5 million guaranteed. He adds a speedy, run-after-catch element
    • Veteran WR Corey Davis was a trade/cut candidate this offseason. As of now, though, he’s still on the roster.
    • TE isn’t particularly exciting with Tyler Conklin as the position’s leader. The 28-year-old at least brings plus athleticism.
  • RB Breece Hall could be an additional weapon in the passing game. The Jets have taken an optomistic tone on his Week 1 readiness following an October ACL tear.
  • This O-line looks deeper following the arrival of rookie C Joe Tippmann. RT Mekhi Becton, if healthy, could put this unit among the league's best.

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Aaron Rodgers, QB NYJ

8 hours ago

Aaron Rodgers designated to return

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) has been designated to return from IR. It means he'll be back on the practice field this week. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said on Sunday that Rodgers is still targeting a Week 16 return -- but we remain skeptical that he'll play again this season for a Jets team without a realistic chance to make the playoffs. We'll keep you updated on the situation. If Rodgers does return, it'd be excellent news for the late-season fantasy prospects of RB Breece Hall and WR Garrett Wilson.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) is still hoping to get back on the field for the Week 16 game against the Commanders, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. (What QB wouldn't want to play against that pass defense?!) There's a chance that Rodgers returns to practice this coming week, per Rapoport, although getting back on the practice field the following week is considered more likely. This is a bit of a surprise since earlier reports said Rodgers would only return if the Jets were in the playoff hunt. They have less than a 1% chance to make it after Friday's loss to the Dolphins, according to The New York Times' model. But Rodgers is obviously out to prove something with this return from a torn Achilles. And it'd be nice to build some positive momentum heading into 2024. Rodgers would be tough to trust in fantasy lineups if he does make it back. But it'd be excellent news for WR Garrett Wilson and RB Breece Hall's late-season fantasy value.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers' most likely return target from his Achilles injury is Week 16, NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears. Rodgers will only return "if he can protect himself" and if the Jets remain in the playoff hunt, Rapoport adds. At 4-5, the Jets would likely need to win at least three of their next five games to stay alive for a playoff spot. Their opponents: Bills, Dolphins, Falcons, Texans, and Dolphins again. We'd still consider Rodgers unlikely to play again this season. And even if he did, he'd be tough to trust as a QB1 in fantasy lineups. We'll continue to monitor the situation.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Aaron Rodgers, QB NYJ
Dynasty MVP 10.4
Position Rank #78 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
36
50
91
Dynasty Write-up
Rodgers tore his Achilles back in Week 1. That only complicated the outlook for a 40-year-old who’s unlikely to have more than a year or two left in the league.
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