Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Gardner Minshew Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsGardner Minshew's Basic Stats

Gardner Minshew
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 5
Age: 28.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.97

SPARQx (Rank): 87.30 (39%)
Burst Score (Rank): 116.60 (75%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.59 (39%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 54.00 (37%)

Injury PredictorGardner Minshew's Injury Guide

Very Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2024

13.4%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

0.8%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2024

0.40

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details

Basic StatsGardner Minshew's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Minshew signed a two-year, $25 million contract with the Raiders in free agency that makes him the favorite for the starting job. He’ll need to fend off QB Aidan O’Connell, who’s coming off a respectable rookie season.

Minshew again proved capable last year of keeping an NFL offense on track. But he doesn’t offer much fantasy upside.

Even with a nice trio of weapons in WR Davante Adams, WR Jakobi Meyers, and TE Brock Bowers, Minshew is unlikely to ascend beyond lower-end QB2 status.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Minshew opened last season as the Colts’ backup but wound up playing in 16 games and making 13 starts due to Anthony Richardson injuries.
  • Across those 13 starts, Minshew averaged:
    • 229 passing yards
    • 1.1 passing TDs
    • 0.7 INTs
    • 7.4 rushing yards
    • 0.2 rushing TDs
  • His fantasy-scoring average in those 13 starts would have ranked 28th among QBs on the season.
  • Minshew had three top-10 scoring weeks but failed to crack the top-15 QBs in any of his other 10 starts.
  • Among 45 qualifying QBs, Minshew ranked:
    • 33rd in Pro Football Focus passing grade
    • 33rd in NFL Next Gen Stats’ completion rate over expected

What to Expect in 2024

  • Minshew hit free agency this offseason and inked a two-year, $25 million contract with $15 million guaranteed with the Raiders. That’s certainly not a “starter’s contract” – but it’s a bit more than most backups make.
  • Minshew will compete for Vegas’ starting job with Aidan O’Connell.
    • O’Connell was a fourth-round pick in last year’s draft.
    • He made 10 rookie-year starts, averaging 214 passing yards and 1.1 TDs.
    • O’Connell beat Minshew in Pro Football Focus passing grade last year, ranking 29th among 45 qualifiers. Minshew edged O’Connell in completion rate over expected.
  • After a deal with Kliff Kingsbury fell through, the Raiders hired Luke Getsy as their new OC in February.
    • Getsy spent the last two years as Bears OC, where Chicago ranked 28th and 20th in total yards and 23rd and 18th in points.
    • The Bears ranked 32nd in pass rate and Pass Rate Over Expected in 2022; 31st in pass rate and 27th in PROE last year.
    • Those offenses were predominantly quarterbacked by Justin Fields, which undoubtedly skewed the offense toward the run. We’re projecting a more balanced attack from Getsy in Vegas. It’s worth noting that he was the Packers’ QB coach and passing-game coordinator before his stint with the Bears.
  • Antonio Pierce returns as HC after taking over for the final nine games of last year. The Raiders ran it a bit more under Pierce than they did under previous HC Josh McDaniels.
    • Vegas went from a 61.2% pass rate in eight games under McDaniels to 57.3% pass under Pierce.
    • The Raiders registered a -1% Pass Rate Over Expected under McDaniels vs. -3% under Pierce.
  • The Raiders used the 13th overall pick of this year’s draft on TE Brock Bowers. WRs Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers return to give Vegas a strong trio of pass-catchers.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

Anthony Richardson, QB IND

11:18am EDT 10/18/23

Anthony Richardson right shoulder surgery confirmed; season over

Colts owner Jim Irsay says QB Anthony Richardson has decided to have surgery on his right shoulder, which will end the rookie's season. This was previously reported as the likely move and will mean QB Gardner Minshew starting going forward. Sam Ehlinger sits as the backup, with Kellen Mond on the practice squad. We'll see whether Indy makes any further moves at the position.

View all Anthony Richardson Shark Bites »

Colts QB Anthony Richardson will "probably" miss the rest of the regular season, ESPN's Stephen Holder reports. The rookie might need surgery on his injured right shoulder. That came from Colts owner Jim Irsay, and it should mean Gardner Minshew starting the rest of the season. Richardson remains a high-upside asset for dynasty fantasy football teams. We're not projecting much difference for other Colts offensive pieces with Minshew in place of Richardson. If anything, the swap likely means more passing volume and less goal-line competition for the RBs.

View all Anthony Richardson Shark Bites »

Colts QB Anthony Richardson is "strongly considering" season-ending surgery to repair the damaged AC joint in his throwing shoulder, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Richardson and the Colts sought four or five different opinions on the shoulder, "with a procedure deemed by some as the best option to fully heal his right throwing shoulder," per Rapoport. The labrum in Richardson's shoulder is not torn, Rapoport adds, and the ligaments "looked better than expected." But Richardson's long-term health is more important to the Colts than his short-term availability. We'll keep you updated on Richardson, who can still be stashed in deep fantasy leagues. But fantasy owners should start plan on being without him for the rest of the season.

View all Anthony Richardson Shark Bites »

Colts QB Anthony Richardson is expected to miss four to eight weeks with his shoulder injury, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Richardson was placed on IR earlier today, knocking him out for at least the next four games. But he could miss time beyond that, "depending on his rehab and whether or not he still would need surgery on his right shoulder," per Schefter. Despite Richardson's top-5 weekly upside, he's droppable in standard-sized fantasy leagues.

View all Anthony Richardson Shark Bites »

Colts QB Anthony Richardson has been placed on IR with his Grade 3 AC joint sprain. That knocks him out for at least the next four games vs. the Jaguars, Browns, Saints, and Panthers. The rookie is droppable in shallower fantasy leagues without an IR spot. QB Gardner Minshew will step in as Indianapolis' starter for however long Richardson is out. Minshew is a capable veteran who's already registered a 68.7% completion rate with two TDs vs. 0 INTs this season. He might even be a slight upgrade for WRs Michael Pittman and Josh Downs.

View all Anthony Richardson Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

See how we built the 17 indicators into our Draft War Room »
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »
THE 2024 ROOKIE GUIDE IS HERE! UPDATED POST-DRAFT
Trade Values • Model Scores • Analytics • Sleepers • Busts & More