% chance misses at least 2 quarters
1- 17√1-% Inj/Season
Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable
Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly
|Aug 14, 2017||Non-NFL||Hand Wrist Fracture||Burrow suffered a broken bone in his throwing hand during practice and had an operation to repair the fracture. He missed the start of the season|
|Jan 16, 2020||Non-NFL||Chest Rib Fracture||Burrow suffered torn rib cartilage near the end of the second quarter in the College Football Playoff national championship game in New Orleans.|
|Nov 22, 2020||NFL||Knee ACL Tear Grade 3||Burrow suffered a torn left ACL during Week 11's loss to Washington. He was placed on IR and was shut down for the 2020 season.|
|Nov 22, 2020||NFL||Knee MCL Tear Grade 3||Burrow suffered a torn left MCL during Week 11's loss to Washington. He was placed on IR and was shut down for the 2020 season.|
|Nov 22, 2020||NFL||Knee PCL Tear Grade 3||Burrow suffered a partial tear to his PCL during Week 11's loss to Washington. He was placed on IR and was shut down for the 2020 season.|
|Nov 22, 2020||NFL||Knee Meniscus Tear||Burrow suffered a partial tear to his meniscus during Week 11's loss to Washington. He was placed on IR and was shut down for the 2020 season.|
What You Need to Know:
-The top pick in the 2020 draft, Burrow averaged 276.1 passing yards and 1.3 passing TDs per game.
-Quietly, he popped in 3 rushing scores to go along with 142 yards.
-Volume was huge here, as missed time from Joe Mixon and a bad defense put Burrow on a full-season pace of 647 attempts.
-Burrow went down in Week 11 with a significant knee injury (ACL/MCL tear, other ligament damage). His doctor does expect Burrow to be a full-go for Week 1.
-He finished as a QB1 in 2 of 9 full games, maxing out as the QB3 Week 7 vs. Cleveland.
-Burrow’s TD rate of 3.2% ranked near the bottom of the league.
-Burrow struggled on deep balls— quite a departure from his performance at LSU. His 20.8% adjusted completion rate ranked 41st among 44 QBs with 10+ deep attempts.
-A.J. Green was targeted heavily (and inefficiently) on those deep passes. Replacing the veteran with a rare talent like Ja’Marr Chase should fuel instant progress.
-Burrow played behind a bad O-line; Pro Football Focus graded Cincy 27th in pass blocking.
-Burrow faced pressure on 32.2% of his dropbacks — 16th most among 30 QBs with 100+ dropbacks under pressure. He struggled to deliver with the 2nd lowest adjusted completion rate among those same 30 passers.
-Over the offseason, the Bengals added O-line help in veteran RT Riley Reiff and rookie OG Jackson Carman. Reiff is the only one guaranteed to start, though.
-The Bengals passed on Penei Sewell in Round 1 to select Chase, Burrow’s former LSU teammate.
-A rare talent like Chase — paired with Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins — gives this offense a high-end 3-WR set.
-The Bengals led the league in 3-WR sets last year (76%), and that number should only stabilize in ’21.
-Cincy provides continuity for Burrow, returning the same HC (Zac Taylor), OC (Brian Callahan) and QB coach (Dan Pitcher). 2021 does set up as a make-or-break year for Taylor’s staff.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line
A prolific college passer in 2019, Burrow flashed high-end ability at times during his rookie season. Overall, though, he hit some rough patches due to a leaky O-line and a major, season-ending knee injury.
While the O-line remains a question mark, there’s optimism that it’ll improve in year 2. Burrow’s health will bear watching in the coming months, but the early word is that the knee will be fine for Week 1. Whether he’s at pre-injury levels mentally or physically right away remains to be seen.
Regardless, over a 17-game season, Burrow will bring tantalizing upside because of Cincinnati’s pass catchers. He’s certainly a candidate to jump up into QB1 territory.
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