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Joe Burrow - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Burrow's Basic Stats

Joe Burrow
CIN

QB CIN

#9 Quarterback

333.2 Projected Points

ADP: 4.2
Bye: 7
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26.8
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.82

Joe Burrow's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
249.7 1.8 0.6 4.4 16.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
278.2 2 0.8 8.3 20

Joe Burrow's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Quarterback

322.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
4.2 409.6/593 4426.4 31.6 15.1 63 213.5 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Burrow's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

The former Heisman winner and first overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft has quickly emerged as one of the league’s top QBs. That success has translated to fantasy in each of the last two seasons, and there are no signs of him slowing down any time soon.

Draft Burrow with a great deal of confidence in 2023.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Burrow entered last year coming off a 2021 campaign in which he finished first in PFF passing grade among qualified players and a QB9 overall fantasy finish (19.6 points per game).
  • He not only repeated as PFF’s highest-graded passer in 2022 but also improved his overall fantasy finish (QB4) and points per game average (21.9).
  • Burrow was consistently a locked-and-loaded producer in fantasy lineups. He ended the season with only five weekly finishes outside the top-12 and six top-5 efforts (including three weeks as the QB1 overall).
  • Once you dig into the numbers, you further appreciate how good Burrow was in 2022. Here’s how he ranked among the 24 QBs who logged 400+ dropbacks:
    • 8th in adjusted completion percentage (77.3%)
    • 8th in yards per attempt (7.3)
    • 6th in passer rating (99.0)
    • 2nd in passing yards (5,195)
    • 2nd in passing TDs (39)
  • Burrow did all of this behind a Bengals offensive line that ranked 31st in PFF pass blocking grade.
  • Burrow also nearly doubled his previous career-highs in both rushing yards (257) and rushing TDs (5) in 2022. He’s not known for his scrambling acumen, but it’s nice to see now that he’s even further removed from the devastating multi-ligament knee injury he sustained in 2020.
What to Expect in 2023
  • With a top-end WR duo of Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins at his disposal, there’s little reason to expect anything other than another stellar season from Burrow in 2023.
  • The offseason addition of four-time Pro Bowl OT Orlando Brown Jr. should also bring a massive boost to the Bengals’ offensive line.
    • Brown Jr. has finished within the top 20 of PFF pass blocking grade in each of the last four seasons among OTs who’ve logged 1,000+ snaps annually.
  • No need to overthink this one. Burrow is a bonafide top-5 fantasy QB in 2023.
View QB Fantasy Rankings »

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN

3 hours ago

"Optimism" Joe Burrow plays Week 3

The Athletic's Dianna Russini hears that there's "optimism" Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) will be able to play vs. the Rams tonight. He'll go through a workout this morning, per Russini, before a final decision is made. "Burrow is campaigning with the coaching staff and trainers to play, however his status is still uncertain," Russini adds. We'll keep you updated on the situation.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Related Players Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) is shaping up as a game-time decision for Monday night's game vs. the Rams, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "He's been feeling progressively better as we've gone throughout the week," Rapoport says. "Took just a few snaps on Friday, a little bit more on Saturday ... If he plays, he's likely going to play in pain." Between the late kickoff and Burrow's struggles so far, he should be on fantasy benches this week. WRs Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are worth keeping in starting lineups in most cases, although they'll move down the WR Rankings if QB Jake Browning ends up starting.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Related Players Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) is listed as questionable for Monday night's game vs. the Rams. He was limited in practice on Friday and Saturday. WR Ja'Marr Chase said that Burrow didn't throw much on Friday, but he took all the red-zone snaps in the portion of Saturday's practice open to the media, according to insider Mike Petraglia. "We'll see." Zac Taylor said on Burrow's status for Monday night. "Thought he looked good today." We'll look for further updates on the situation. But between the late kickoff and how poorly Burrow has played so far this season, he's better off on fantasy benches for Week 3. If Burrow can't go, QB Jake Browning would start and downgrade Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to WR2/3 territory.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Related Players Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN
Dynasty MVP 299.0
Position Rank #8 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
923
1,503
2,884
Dynasty Write-up
Burrow set a career-high in total TDs this past season — despite several missed games from WRs Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Fortunately, that duo will play together for at least one more season. Burrow, meanwhile, is a candidate for a new (and highly lucrative) contract.

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