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Joe Burrow - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Burrow's Basic Stats

Joe Burrow
Bye: 10
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 25.8
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 221
40 Time: 4.82

Joe Burrow's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
289.7 2 0.9 15.1 20.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
284.6 2.2 0.8 10.1 20.6

Joe Burrow's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#8 Quarterback

346.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 413.7/604 4922.6 35.5 13.2 49 171.8 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Burrow's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Burrow ranked just 15th in pass attempts last season but 6th in passing yards. He delivered a league-high 8.9 yards per attempt.
  • His 6.5% passing-TD rate trailed only Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford. The league average tends to hover around 5%.
  • There are, however, 8 active QBs who have delivered multiple seasons of 6+% TD rate. That includes:
    • 8 such seasons for Russell Wilson
    • 7 for Aaron Rodgers
    • 6 for Tom Brady
    • 3 for Ryan Tannehill
    • 3 for Matthew Stafford
    • 2 for Patrick Mahomes
    • 2 for Lamar Jackson
    • 2 for Deshaun Watson
  • The 2021 Bengals increased their passing lean during the season. The 1st 3 games found them ranking last in the league twice in neutral-situation pass rate, according to, and 16th the other week. Tee Higgins returned in Week 5 from 2 games lost to a shoulder injury. From that game through the playoffs, Cincinnati went 8th most pass-heavy in neutral situations.
  • Cincinnati’s pass rate over that span: 55.5%. Each of the Bengals’ 4 playoff games found the team passing at a rate of 58.8% or higher in neutral situations.
  • Burrow registered 7 games with Pro Football Focus passing grades of 80+ last season. Five of those occurred in Week 12 or later.
  • He tallied 1 such game across 10 appearances as a 2020 rookie.
  • Burrow tore his left ACL on Nov. 22 of his rookie season.
  • His Week 12 game in 2021 came on Nov. 28.
  • From Week 1 through Week 11 last season, Burrow ranked 14th among QBs in total fantasy points.
  • From Week 12 through Week 17, he ranked 2nd. (Burrow sat out the regular-season finale.)

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There’s regression potential in Burrow’s 6.5% TD rate from last year, as well as his league-leading 70.4% completion rate and 8.9 yards per pass attempt. But we could also see the Bengals increase their passing volume. And we could very well see more of the sharper Burrow that we got over the 2nd half of last year. Now more than a year removed from a double-ligament tear in his left knee, Burrow has the skills, draft pedigree and surrounding talent to settle in among the league’s perennial top passing producers. The biggest issue with valuing him in fantasy is that you likely won’t get a discount. As of this writing, he sits 7th among QBs in FFPC best-ball ADP, which seems fair.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN

8:55pm EDT 9/26/22

Burrow, wideouts score vs. Jets

Bengals QB Joe Burrow rebounded from a pair of shaky outings to post his best fantasy outing so far this season in Sunday's win over the Jets. Burrow tallied 275 yards and 3 TDs, hitting Samaje Perine, Ja'Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd for scores. Chase led the team with 10 targets but managed only 29 yards on his 6 receptions. Boyd checked in 4th with 5 targets but caught 4 of them for 105 yards. His big strike was a 56-yard catch-and-run TD. Higgins proved steadiest, catching 5 balls for 93 yards among 7 looks. Cincinnati gets a home date with the Dolphins this Thursday night, then visits to Baltimore and New Orleans.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow tossed 3 first-half INTs and took 4 sacks before the break in Sunday's OT loss to the Steelers. He settled down in the 2nd half, though, finishing with 338 yards, 2 TDs and 4 INTs on 53 pass attempts. The 7 sacks for the game might be most alarming for Burrow's outlook. His ability to salvage the fantasy line despite losing WR Tee Higgins to a 1st-half concussion, though, should remind you why you drafted the 3rd-year QB.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

In a game that lasted all of regulation and overtime, Bengals QB Joe Burrow tallied 338 yards and 2 TDs on 33 of 53 passing. Burrow added 4 INTs and took 7 sacks despite facing pressure on only 14.1% of his dropbacks, per TruMediaSports. Adding 47 rushing yards, Burrow really delivered for fantasy owners. His decision-making must get cleaned up, though. One particularly late throw to the outside was returned for 6 by S Minkah Fitzpatrick. Note that Burrow lost WR Tee Higgins to a concussion in the 1st half, making him questionable for a Week 2 matchup at Dallas.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN
Dynasty MVP 338.5
Position Rank #9 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Burrow took a major year 2 leap — and he did so after his rookie year ended with a devastating knee injury. He’s positioned for long-term success alongside Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.

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