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Joe Burrow - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Burrow's Basic Stats

Joe Burrow
CIN

QB CIN

#9 Quarterback

333.2 Projected Points

ADP: 4.2
Bye: 7
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26.8
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.82

Joe Burrow's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
291.7 1.9 0.8 3.1 18.4
Weekly Writeup
Burrow has been off to a rough start so far this season. A right calf injury has slowed him down a bit, but it's not as though he's just forgotten how to play football entirely. Week 4 presents him with an opportunity to do some damage to a Titans defense that ranks as the ninth-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs this season. Despite not being fully healthy right now, we like him enough as a borderline QB1 option.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
276.7 2 0.9 13.3 20.2

Joe Burrow's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Quarterback

322.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
4.2 409.6/593 4426.4 31.6 15.1 63 213.5 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Burrow's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

The former Heisman winner and first overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft has quickly emerged as one of the league’s top QBs. That success has translated to fantasy in each of the last two seasons, and there are no signs of him slowing down any time soon.

Draft Burrow with a great deal of confidence in 2023.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Burrow entered last year coming off a 2021 campaign in which he finished first in PFF passing grade among qualified players and a QB9 overall fantasy finish (19.6 points per game).
  • He not only repeated as PFF’s highest-graded passer in 2022 but also improved his overall fantasy finish (QB4) and points per game average (21.9).
  • Burrow was consistently a locked-and-loaded producer in fantasy lineups. He ended the season with only five weekly finishes outside the top-12 and six top-5 efforts (including three weeks as the QB1 overall).
  • Once you dig into the numbers, you further appreciate how good Burrow was in 2022. Here’s how he ranked among the 24 QBs who logged 400+ dropbacks:
    • 8th in adjusted completion percentage (77.3%)
    • 8th in yards per attempt (7.3)
    • 6th in passer rating (99.0)
    • 2nd in passing yards (5,195)
    • 2nd in passing TDs (39)
  • Burrow did all of this behind a Bengals offensive line that ranked 31st in PFF pass blocking grade.
  • Burrow also nearly doubled his previous career-highs in both rushing yards (257) and rushing TDs (5) in 2022. He’s not known for his scrambling acumen, but it’s nice to see now that he’s even further removed from the devastating multi-ligament knee injury he sustained in 2020.
What to Expect in 2023
  • With a top-end WR duo of Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins at his disposal, there’s little reason to expect anything other than another stellar season from Burrow in 2023.
  • The offseason addition of four-time Pro Bowl OT Orlando Brown Jr. should also bring a massive boost to the Bengals’ offensive line.
    • Brown Jr. has finished within the top 20 of PFF pass blocking grade in each of the last four seasons among OTs who’ve logged 1,000+ snaps annually.
  • No need to overthink this one. Burrow is a bonafide top-5 fantasy QB in 2023.
View QB Fantasy Rankings »

Adjust Joe Burrow's Projections

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN

19 hours ago

Joe Burrow ready for Week 4

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) was a full participant in practice all week and isn't listed on the final injury report for Sunday's game vs. the Titans. He's seemingly healthier this week than last and gets one of the league's best passing matchups. There's slump-busting potential for Burrow this week.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) was listed as a full participant in Wednesday's practice. It's a good sign after he got in just two limited practices last week. Burrow said he avoided a setback with that calf in Monday night's win, so he should be closer to 100% for this weekend's game vs. the Titans.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow ultimately gutted it out, played through his lingering calf injury in Week 3, and helped to put up a victory vs. the Rams. He completed 26 of 49 passes for 259 yards with 0 TDs and 1 INT in the contest. It’s rather apparent that Burrow is still having a tough time moving around, but he was able to put some weight behind longer throws throughout. We hope he’ll be even healthier in Week 4 vs. the Titans.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) is officially active for tonight's game vs. the Rams. He's struggled playing through this injury so far, aggravated it last week, and is at risk of re-injury tonight. QB Matt Stafford and even QB Baker Mayfield are safer fantasy plays tonight. But if you were waiting on Burrow, he is available.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) is expected to play vs. the Rams tonight, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "He is not going to be 100%," Rapoport confirms. We'll get Cincinnati's inactives around 6:45 pm ET.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN
Dynasty MVP 299.0
Position Rank #8 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
923
1,503
2,884
Dynasty Write-up
Burrow set a career-high in total TDs this past season — despite several missed games from WRs Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Fortunately, that duo will play together for at least one more season. Burrow, meanwhile, is a candidate for a new (and highly lucrative) contract.

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