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Christian McCaffrey - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChristian McCaffrey's Basic Stats

Christian McCaffrey
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26.6
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.48
SPARQx (Rank): 105.10 (33%)
Burst Score (Rank): 124.30 (80%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.79 (98%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.57

Christian McCaffrey's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Christian McCaffrey's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Running Back

246.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 214.8 1014.1 8.6 2.3 0.8 87.6 717.9 3.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChristian McCaffrey's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • McCaffrey ranked 5th among RBs in PPR points per game last season … including the 2 games he left early with injuries. Take those 2 away, and he led the position.
  • McCaffrey’s mere 3 appearances in 2020 found him scoring even better, beating #2 Alvin Kamara by 4.9 PPR points per game.
  • The previous season, of course, found a healthy McCaffrey dominating fantasy football. He averaged 8.3 more PPR points per game than any other RB; 5.9 more than any WR. Among all positions, only Lamar Jackson beat McCaffrey in points per game. If you took only McCaffrey’s receiving production for that season, he would have tied for 11th among RBs and ranked 12th among WRs.
  • 2018 delivered his breakout, with McCaffrey ranking 2nd among RBs in total PPR points and 3rd in points per game.
  • According to our data, McCaffrey is a “medium” risk to miss time this season, with a projection of 1.9 missed games. For some context, Derrick Henry and Austin Ekeler come in as higher risks. Najee Harris projects similarly.
  • McCaffrey lost time to hamstring and left-ankle injuries last year. In 2020, it was a high right ankle sprain, then a shoulder injury, then a thigh injury.
  • For his 5 healthy games last season, McCaffrey garnered 58.2% carry share and 22.9% target share. That was right in line with his passing-game standing in 2019, the last time we got a full season. The carry share was down, however, vs. 74.4% in 2019. McCaffrey opened 2021 at that higher level before his initial injury.
  • "Any time Christian is out there, he changes, tilts the game, tilts the field," HC Matt Rhule said in late May, according to SI.com. "At the same time, we're trying to really invest in Chuba [Hubbard], invest in D'Onta [Foreman], and the other backs because we want to make sure that we have a well-rounded offense.
  • That sounds like the team knows it needs to spell McCaffrey a bit more than previous offensive plans did.
  • The Panthers signed D’Onta Foreman to a 1-year, $2 million early in free agency. He joins returnee Chuba Hubbard. Ameer Abdullah – who arrived in the middle of last year and took on some receiving work late – is gone.
  • Among Panthers, only D.J. Moore and Robbie Anderson cracked double digits in target share last year.
  • Panthers HC Matt Rhule has no plans to lighten RB Christian McCaffrey's workload.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

If we could guarantee a full – or even near-full – healthy season for McCaffrey, then no one would contest his early Round 1 draft position. Whether to draft him at cost really comes down to your comfort level. McCaffrey’s displayed ceiling makes it worth some discomfort, though.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Christian McCaffrey, RB SF

9:25pm EST 1/29/23

McCaffrey finds end zone in loss vs. Eagles

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey logged 15 carries for 84 yards and a TD in Sunday's NFC Championship loss vs. the Eagles. He also added 4 catches for 22 yards as a receiver in the contest. The early injury to QB Brock Purdy forced the 49ers to dramatically shift their offensive game plan to a predictable, run-heavy attack. McCaffrey and company ultimately suffered as a result, though 106 total yards and a score is no small feat for the veteran RB all things considered. The soon-to-be 27-year-old is under contract through 2025 and figures to be a major focal point of this offense in the near future. McCaffrey will once again be in the RB1 overall discussion in 2023 regardless of who's under center at QB.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

49ers RB Elijah Mitchell (groin) is inactive for today's NFC Championship game vs. the Eagles. RB Tevin Coleman was elevated from the practice squad on Saturday and is active for this one. He joins Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason in San Francisco's backfield. RB Ty Davis-Price is a healthy scratch. Check out the updated projections for the 49ers backfield.

View all Elijah Mitchell Shark Bites »

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (calf) upgraded to full practice participation on Friday and doesn't carry an official injury designation for Sunday's NFC Championship vs. the Eagles. Teammate RB Elijah Mitchell (groin) didn't practice at all this week and is listed as questionable. A potential Mitchell absence would be a slight boost to McCaffrey's fantasy appeal, but not by a ton. McCaffrey has logged 15+ touches in every playoff game with an average of 19.6 PPR points per game. If anything, WR Deebo Samuel would gain some value with additional touches out of the backfield possibly. The Eagles' defense ranks as the 14th-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

49ers RBs Christian McCaffrey (calf) and Elijah Mitchell (groin) missed their 2nd straight practices on Thursday. We're still tentatively expecting both guys to play in Sunday's NFC Championship game vs. the Eagles, but check back Friday afternoon to see how they're listed on the final injury report.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (calf) was listed as a non-participant on Wednesday's injury report. Teammate RB Elijah Mitchell (groin) also didn't practice. It's less than ideal to see both of the Niners' top RBs listed as DNP ahead of Sunday's NFC Championship game vs. the Eagles. Fortunately, we still have a a few more days to wait and see if their participation ramps up. Be certain to check back for updates tomorrow.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Christian McCaffrey, RB SF
Dynasty MVP 164.0
Position Rank #9 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
688
875
875
Dynasty Write-up
Healthy CMC returned for 2022, while a move to San Francisco only rejuvenated his fantasy value. Attached to Kyle Shanahan and under contract through the 2025 season, McCaffrey remains a dual-threat RB1.

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