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Christian McCaffrey - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Christian McCaffrey
CAR

RB CAR

#1 Running Back

310 Projected Points

ADP: 1.1
Bye: 13
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 202
40 Time: 4.48

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Running Back

310 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
1.1 294 1356 12 7 1 95 791 4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

248

DS Projection

310

Consensus

38 other sites
276.8

Low Ceiling

347.2

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-2020 was a trying year for CMC. After signing a contract extension in the offseason, he suffered a high ankle sprain in Week 2.

-McCaffrey returned for Week 9 to carry 18 times for 69 yards — plus add 10 catches. It marked the 9th time he’s caught 10+ balls in his 4-year career. Insane.

-However, he also sustained a shoulder sprain in that game. Combined with a quad/thigh injury weeks down the road, CMC never saw the field again. It’s possible he could have played near the tail end of the season, but the Panthers — out of the playoff mix — played it safe.

-CMC finished with 59-225-5 rushing and 19-17-149-1 receiving. A small sample size for sure — but nothing surprising under new HC Matt Rhule and OC Joe Brady.

-Carolina’s O-line ranked 19th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades. They lost veteran LT Russell Okung but added a potential replacement in BYU rookie Brady Christensen.

-Veterans Cameron Erving (another potential LT) and Pat Elflein (a potential interior starter) arrived in free agency. Most critically, RT Taylor Moton was retained via the franchise tag.

-The Jets acquired Sam Darnold over the offseason. He represents a major downgrade from Teddy Bridgewater when it comes to accuracy. But don’t expect Darnold to torpedo CMC’s fantasy value.

-A supporting cast that includes DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and rookie Terrace Marshall looks strong. McCaffrey shouldn’t see a ton of loaded boxes.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Before a non-existent 2020, McCaffrey’s career started with PPR finishes of RB9, RB2 and RB1. You know he’s well established as an elite, dual-threat playmaker.

The question is whether or not he’s worth the 1st overall pick in fantasy drafts. Our answer: Yes. 2020 turned up the only missed games of his career. And you won’t find a RB with a better combination of ability, touch safety and reception upside.

We’d be surprised if the 25-year-old McCaffrey doesn’t rebound.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (thigh) won't play in Sunday's finale vs. the Saints, HC Matt Rhule said. The consensus #1 overall pick in 2020 fantasy drafts ends up playing just 3 games. Disaster. The good news is that McCaffrey should be a full-go for the offseason program. And remember that he played all 16 games in each of his first 3 NFL seasons. He's an easy 2021 bounce-back candidate. Mike Davis will close out this season as Carolina's lead back, although he lost 7 carries and 2 targets to RB Rodney Smith last week.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (thigh) is inactive for today’s game vs. Washington. We’ll see if he can make it back for next week’s finale but wouldn’t bet on it. Mike Davis gets another game as lead back today.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (thigh) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game against Washington. Mike Davis gets another game as lead back but is just a lower-end RB2 after disappointing in terms of usage and production last week.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (quad) is inactive for tonight's game against the Packers, as expected. Mike Davis gets another game as lead back.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (thigh) is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game against the Packers. He's not going to play. Mike Davis will get another game as Carolina's lead back vs. a Green Bay defense ranked 28th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

View all Christian McCaffrey Shark Bites »

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