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Jake Ferguson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJake Ferguson's Basic Stats

Jake Ferguson
ADP: 8.8
Bye: 7
Experience: 3
Age: 25.5
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 244
40 Time: 4.81

SPARQx (Rank): 92.20 (11%)
Burst Score (Rank): 114.10 (33%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.51 (59%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.92 (36%)

Jake Ferguson's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 47.2 0.41 7.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.4 26.7 0.2 3.9

Jake Ferguson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Tight End

175.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
8.8 67.5 708 6.15 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJake Ferguson's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Ferguson turned a newfound opportunity into a legit 2023 breakout. He finished 10th in TE PPR points per game.

Dallas passed on making a noticeable upgrade to the passing corps. So Ferguson – only 25 – will have a shot to sustain last year’s production.

Treat the third-year pro as a mid-range TE1.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Cowboys used a 2023 Round 2 pick on Michigan TE Luke Schoonmaker, but he missed most of the offseason with a foot injury (plantar fasciitis).
  • Ferguson stepped up to enjoy a breakout season.
    • Across 17 games, he became one of only seven TEs to hit 100 targets.
    • As a result, he posted nine top-12 fantasy finishes, including five inside the top-6.
    • Ferguson ranked second on the Cowboys in targets, catches, and receiving yards. His 5 TDs ranked third.
  • A pass-oriented offense helped Ferguson produce.
    • Dak Prescott ranked third in passing yards and fourth in attempts.
    • The Cowboys finished fourth in pass rate over expected.
  • Among 27 TEs with 50+ targets, Ferguson ranked tied for ninth in yards per catch, ninth in catch rate, fourth in yards after catch per reception, and eighth in PFF receiving grade.
  • Ferguson saw a 22.1% red zone target share -- good for fourth highest among TEs.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Entering year three, Ferguson projects comfortably in Dallas’ lead TE role.
    • Luke Schoonmaker returns, but he’s now way behind in his development.
    • Following the lost rookie year, he underwent shoulder surgery early this year. A hamstring strain surfaced in the spring.
  • Dallas returns target leader CeeDee Lamb and veteran Brandin Cooks.
  • Dallas passed on adding an impact WR. That likely means the team wants to keep Ferguson’s role steady.
  • The same coaching staff returns, led by HC Mike McCarthy and OC Brian Schottenheimer.
  • Dak Prescott returns, but dynasty owners should note that he’s currently slated for free agency in 2025.

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Jake Ferguson, TE DAL

9:27am EDT 6/13/24

Jake Ferguson Still Trending Up

Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson looks to build off a breakout second season. His 2023 included top-10 finishes among TEs in targets, catches, yards, and TDs. As a result, the 25-year-old slotted ninth in total PPR points.

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Cowboys WR Brandin Cooks exploded in Week 10, hauling in 9 of 10 targets for 173 receiving yards and a TD vs. the Giants. Sunday saw several Cowboys pass-catchers post great numbers, including WR CeeDee Lamb (11-151-1) and TE Jake Ferguson (4-26-1), but Cooks is the one that fantasy managers should be wary of chasing in the future. The 10 targets he saw on Sunday were his highest by far this season and mark only the second time in 2023 that Cooks has seen more than 4 in a single game. He and teammate Michael Gallup have essentially taken turns as the Cowboys' WR2 in terms of snap rate and route participation this year. It’s best to avoid chasing this performance if you’re looking for help on the waiver wire this week.

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Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson set season highs Sunday in targets (10), receptions (7), and receiving yards (91) in the loss to the Eagles. He also scored his third TD of the season, from 4 yards out. Ferguson has seen his usage increase vs. the beginning of the year, including running a route on 88.7% of QB Dak Prescott's dropbacks in Philly. He trailed only WR CeeDee Lamb in routes among Cowboys on Sunday. Ferguson took advantage of a positive matchup with the Eagles defense. Week 10 holds the Giants, who have been sixth-toughest on TE scoring by our adjusted fantasy points allowed and rank ninth in TE-coverage DVOA. Carolina in Week 11 looks similar by fantasy scoring but sits just 22nd in TE coverage. Ferguson totaled 7 receptions over the previous three games -- before Sunday -- so he's not quite in every-week starter territory for fantasy teams yet.

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Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb posted a team-leading 49 receiving yards on 4 catches in Week 5’s loss vs. the 49ers. TE Jake Ferguson posted a respectable 3-catch, 28-yard performance that’s passable in PPR scoring, but these Dallas pass-catchers were otherwise underwhelming on Sunday night. The errors forced by QB Dak Prescott (3 INTs) had a tangible impact on the outcome of this contest. Hopefully, this offense will collectively bounce back in Week 6 vs. the Chargers.

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Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson caught all of his team-high 7 targets for 77 yards in Sunday's win over the Patriots. He narrowly missed scoring on the team's first drive, getting taken down at the 1-yard line after a 3-yard catch. He got Dallas down to the 4-yard line with a 14-yard catch-and-run before that. Ferguson continues to have a strong role in a good offense. That makes him a solid weekly starter in fantasy, though a Week 5 visit to San Francisco will challenge that.

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Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Jake Ferguson, TE DAL
Dynasty MVP 85.3
Position Rank #11 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
278
436
761
Dynasty Write-up
Dallas used a 2023 Round 2 pick on TE Luke Schoonmaker, but it was Ferguson who excelled alongside Dak Prescott. We'll see if Schoonmaker, who dealt with foot trouble as a rookie, can make strides in year two. Clearly, though, Ferguson is in the driver's seat as Dallas' top TE.
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