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Javon Baker - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJavon Baker's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 21.9
Bye: 14
Experience: 0
Age: 22.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 202
40 Time: 4.54
Burst Score (Rank): 123.40 (62%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.22 (86%)

Javon Baker's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.7 23.1 0.12 2.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Javon Baker's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#99 Wide Receiver

80.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
21.9 28.9 392.7 2.04 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJavon Baker's Preseason Player Analysis

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Javon Baker, WR NE

12:40pm EDT 4/27/24

Javon Bakers joins rebuilt Patriots passing game

The Patriots selected UCF WR Javon Baker in Round 4 of the NFL Draft. Baker’s college journey began at Alabama, where he arrived as a four-star recruit. Meaningful production simply didn’t follow. From 2020-2021, the Georgia native tallied only 9 catches (19 games). He entered the transfer portal in January of 2022 and landed at UCF that June. Right away, he led the Knights in yards (796) while finishing second in catches (56) and TDs (5). Baker’s production hit new highs last fall (52-1,139-7) as he played more of a downfield role. His aDOT finished at 17.1, while he also averaged 7.2 yards after catch per reception. Baker’s 3.21 yards per route run should also open eyes. That ranked eighth among 78 WRs with 80+ targets. Baker doesn’t always show plus speed on tape, but at 6’1, 207, he does a nice job in contested situations. We’ll just have to keep an eye on his hands. For his career, Baker dropped 15 passes for an 11.4% drop rate. The rookie joins a rebuilding Patriots offense that’s also added QB Drake Maye and WR Ja’Lynn Polk so far in this draft. There’s certainly opportunity for Baker to earn a 2024 role, although he’s only worth a shot in deep best-ball drafts for now. Longer term, he could develop into a top-2 option for New England.

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UCF WR Javon Baker clocked a 4.54-second 40-yard dash at the Combine on Saturday. It's not a bad time for the 6'1, 202-pounder, but it was slower than we expected to see from a guy who averaged 17.5 yards per catch for his college career and 21.9 yards per catch last year. There are, of course, other ways to win downfield besides pure speed. Baker's downfield ability should still be respected -- and we still have him highlighted as a potential sleeper. We'll see if the 40 time impacts his draft stock.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Javon Baker, WR NE
Dynasty MVP 41.5
Position Rank #179 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
117
210
432
Dynasty Write-up
A former four-star recruit, Baker’s college career began at Alabama. His production didn’t take off until he transferred to UCF, where he racked up 108-1,935-12 over the last two seasons. Baker really emerged as a deep threat in 2023 (21.9 yards per catch, 17.1-yard aDOT). Drops are a minor concern here, but Baker’s college career shows a solid all-around game. Despite Round 4 draft capital, he should be able to compete for rookie-year snaps.
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