Love is a steady QB2, but Green Bay's declining play volume over the past three seasons keeps him short of starter status in 1-QB leagues. At an ADP as a QB2, he still makes sense as a superflex QB2 or a 1-QB bench stash. If Love's ADP climbs any higher, he's not worth the pick.Customize Love’s projection for your exact league settings inside the Draft War Room.
Fantasy Rankings & Projections
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Jordan Love's Preseason Player Analysis
Draft Sharks Verdict
2025 Role & Results
Production & Fantasy Finishes
Love threw for 3,381 yards and 23 TDs, ranking 13th and 14th, respectively, among QBs with 300+ dropbacks. He added just 6 INTs and posted a 101.2 passer rating.
Love finished as QB13 in total fantasy points but only QB21 in points per game.
The weekly fantasy results were volatile.
Love finished as a top-12 QB just five times, though three of those weeks landed him at QB2 overall. He had only three games outside the top 24, which points to a useful weekly floor even in a 15-game season where he ranked just 19th among QBs in pass attempts at 439.
Usage & Role
Love’s role was strong enough to support fantasy relevance but not big enough to unlock elite volume.
Love ranked 19th among qualifying QBs in attempts (439), completions (291), and dropbacks (493). That volume keeps him out of the QB1 tier.
Love posted the second-highest rushing total of his career with 199 yards. His 3.1 rushes and 13.3 yards per game marked a rebound from Love’s down 2024, finishing close to his first year as a starter (2.9 carries, 14.5 yards per game in 2023). But Love’s 24 scrambles also ranked just 17th at the position, signaling he’s no more of a rushing threat than most QBs.
Efficiency & Regression
Love’s efficiency profile was the strongest part of his 2025 season.
His 66.3% completion rate vs. a 61.8% expected rate amounted to the league’s fifth-best completion percentage over expected. Love paired that with downfield aggression, ranking eighth in intended air yards.
He earned an 88.7 PFF passing grade, fourth among QBs with 300+ dropbacks. His 88.5 PFF overall grade ranked sixth. He ranked eighth in big-time throws and 11th in big-time throw rate.
Love showed strong QB metrics, but didn’t have the volume to turn that performance into strong fantasy output.
Offensive Context
Love ranked just 19th in attempts but still finished 13th in passing yards and 14th in passing TDs. He also ranked 19th in yards per attempt at 7.7.
The team has leaned more toward the run since signing RB Josh Jacobs in 2024. HC Matt LaFleur went from a 58.1% pass rate in 2023 to 48.8% in 2024 and 51.3% in 2025.
The Packers ranked 15th in total yards per game (332.6), 17th in passing yards per game (212.8), 14th in passing TDs per game (1.4), and 15th in expected points added per play (0.19).
Love’s completion efficiency and long passes helped the team’s production despite modest volume.
The Packers ranked 15th in rushing yards per game (212.8) and 12th in rushing TDs per game (1.0).
Historical Production & Trends
2025 was Love’s least productive fantasy season in terms of points per game.
2023: QB6
2024: QB13
2025: QB21
This coincides with a drop in plays per game over that time:
2023: 61.9
2024: 60.4
2025: 59.4
Love’s attempts per game also dropped after 2023, with Jacobs joining the team:
2023: 34.1
2024: 28.3
2025: 29.3
Despite the drop in fantasy performance, Love became more efficient over time, improving his adjusted completion percentage each season:
2023: 72.9%
2024: 74.7%
2025: 77.6%
Along with his adjusted yard per pass attempt over those years:
2023: 7.4
2024: 8.0
2025: 8.1
2026 Opportunity & Projection
Supporting Cast
Love’s receivers still look at least solid, despite Romeo Doubs leaving in free agency and the team trading Dontayvion Wicks to Philadelphia.
WR Christian Watson is coming off arguably his best season yet despite playing only 10 games. He averaged 17.5 yards per catch and 2.51 yards per route run while scoring 6 TDs. His 17.6 average depth of target ranked second WRs with 40+ targets, giving Love a true downfield option.
Slot WR Jayden Reed posted limited production thanks to a broken clavicle and Jones fracture in his left foot that combined to cost him 10 full games and parts of at least two others. Reed led the team in receptions and receiving yards each of the previous two years, though.
Second-year WR Matthew Golden adds another speedy option. His 12.7-yard aDOT and 41.3% slot rate provide flexibility. He'll need to improve on his mere 2.1 catches and 25.8 yards per game as a rookie, though.
TE Tucker Kraft’s 14.7 PPR points per game ranked second among TEs last season. An ACL tear in his right knee -- plus LCL and meniscus damage -- ended his season in November, but Green Bay seems to be expecting him back for the start of 2026.
Jacobs provides a worthwhile receiving presence (2.3 receptions per game over the past two seasons) in addition to carrying the ground game.
Since signing Jacobs in 2024, the Packers’ offense has leaned run:
Plays Per Game | Pass Rate | Neutral Pass Rate | Pass Rate Over Expected | |
2023 | 61.9 | 58.1% | 56.2% | +1.9% |
2024 | 60.4 | 48.8% | 47.8% | -4.5% |
2025 | 59.4 | 56.9% | 52.5% | -2.1% |
Expect the offense to continue down that path, with Jacobs signed through 2027.
The scheme does attempt to push the ball downfield. Love’s 8.8 intended air yards per attempt in 2025 ranked eighth among QBs. He ranked sixth in 2024 at 8.9.
Paths To Ceiling
Love has shown efficiency and talent through his three years as a starter, but the Packers’ run-leaning offense limits his ceiling.
The team did see an increase in pass rate and neutral pass rate last season, but that didn’t translate to bigger numbers for Love.
When the team got behind and was forced to pass, we did see Love spike to QB2 overall in three different weeks. If the team does move to a faster pace with a similar pass rate because of game script, Love’s talent can produce spike weeks. But he will need more than three to deliver low-end QB1 numbers.
An injury to Jacobs would also likely mean more of a passing lean and improve Love’s weekly fantasy output.
Risk Factors
The biggest risk to Love’s scoring profile is simply Green Bay continuing with the same pass-run split of the past two years.
Love has played well, including the league’s seventh-highest passing-TD rate over his three seasons as starter (5.5%). But the limited volume has clearly capped his weekly fantasy output since Jacobs arrived.
One more sneaky factor last year: The offense ran less efficiently than in 2024. That included a dip from 6.1 yards per play to 5.6 and from 53 total offensive TDs to 44. If Green Bay doesn’t rebound from that No. 16 finish in scoring, it’ll lower everyone’s ceiling.
Advanced Stats
- 40 Yard Dash
- 4.7
- 40 Yard Dash Rank
- 70
- Three Cone Drill
- 7.2
- Agility Score
- 11.7
- Agility Score Rank
- 24
- Burst Score
- 121.1
- Burst Score Rank
- 86
- SPARQ-x
- 94.1
- SPARQ-x Rank
- 60
- Throw Velocity
- 54
- Throw Velocity Rank
- 37
Trends
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