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Kenny Pickett - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKenny Pickett's Basic Stats

Kenny Pickett
ADP: 19.1
Bye: 9
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.73
Burst Score (Rank): 119.10 (84%)

Kenny Pickett's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
232 1 0.8 16.9 14.4

Kenny Pickett's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#28 Quarterback

178.2 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
19.1 228.6/371 2551.6 15.8 8.5 40 185.9 2.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKenny Pickett's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Pickett spent 4 years as the Pitt starter after appearing in just 4 games as a true freshman. (The COVID year – 2020 – added a year of eligibility.)
  • He spent most of his time compiling bottom-shelf stats, including just 38 TDs over his first 3 seasons. Pickett exploded as a 5th-year senior, though. He racked up 4,319 yards and 42 TD passes vs. just 7 INTs.
  • Pickett added solid rushing production, primarily in the TD category: 13 scores over his final 2 seasons.
  • He then ran a 72nd-percentile 40-yard dash time at the Scouting Combine.
  • His Pro Football Focus passing grade in 2021 leaped vs. the rest of his college seasons

  • Pickett’s 9.2-yard career average depth of target in college beats Ben Roethlisberger’s 2021 average by 2.1. If he wins the starting job, he would find a WR corps capable of leveraging deeper targets.
  • He’ll battle Mitchell Trubisky and Mason Rudolph in training camp and preseason.
  • Since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002, there have been 64 QBs drafted in Round 1. The 63 taken before this year averaged Week 7 of their rookie season for Start #1, with a median of Week 4.
  • The Steelers’ initial “unofficial” depth chart has rookie QB Kenny Pickett 3rd behind Mitchell Trubisky and Mason Rudolph.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Historically, we like QBs who bring a lot of starting experience into the league. But it’s alarming that Pickett looked so different as a 5th-year senior vs. the rest of his college career – both statistically and in other performance indicators. His battle with Mitchell Trubisky (we’ll unofficially throw Mason Rudolph out) doesn’t matter much for fantasy football. Historically, Pickett is likely to step in at some point this year – even if just as an injury fill-in. If he does hit the field, the rookie’s outlook will probably be similar to Trubisky’s. Neither should be counted on as a starter in a 1-QB fantasy league. But each will have weekly upside by virtue of his mobility and talented pass-catching corps.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kenny Pickett, QB PIT

2:55pm EDT 10/2/22

Pickett steps in vs. Jets

The Steelers have removed QB Mitchell Trubisky from their game against the Jets and inserted rookie Kenny Pickett. We'll see how this initial appearance goes and what HC Mike Tomlin says afterward, but don't be surprised if this switch becomes permanent. Trubisky has continued to play like Trubisky through the early part of this season. That included going 7 of 13 passing against the Jets, for 84 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT.

View all Kenny Pickett Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that the Steelers will give QB Mitchell Trubisky a "long look" as the starter. 1st-round rookie QB Kenny Pickett had a strong preseason, but according to Rapoport, the Steelers would like this to play out like it did for Patrick Mahomes in Kansas City, with Trubisky starting all year and Pickett taking over in 2023. We'll see if Trubisky can play well enough to make that happen. We're still betting on seeing Pickett this year.

View all Mitchell Trubisky Shark Bites »

Steelers HC Mike Tomlin officially named QB Mitch Trubisky the starter for Sunday's opener vs. the Bengals. He played well enough in the preseason to hold off a hard-charging Kenny Pickett. “We're really comfortable with what Mitch has shown us," Tomlin said. We're still expecting Pickett to take over at some point this season. In the meantime, Trubisky's rushing ability and weaponry gives him some QB2 appeal.

View all Mitchell Trubisky Shark Bites »

The Steelers' Week 1 QB depth chart reads: Mitchell Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, Kenny Pickett. HC Mike Tomlin hasn't announced his Week 1 starter, but it sure looks like it'll be Trubisky under center vs. Cincinnati. We're still expecting to see Pickett make multiple starts this season.

View all Mitchell Trubisky Shark Bites »

Steelers HC Mike Tomlin announced Friday that QB Mitchell Trubisky will start the preseason finale. He did not specify how much each QB will play in the game. This doesn't necessarily mean Trubisky will open the regular season as starter. But it would seem to make sense for the team to get a look at Kenny Pickett to open the game if it planned to put him behind center in Week 1. We're certainly betting on the 1st-round rookie taking over at some point this season, and we'll see about the Week 1 plan. Signs points to Pittsburgh opening with the vet, though.

View all Mitchell Trubisky Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Kenny Pickett, QB PIT
Dynasty MVP 203.0
Position Rank #35 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
586
1,107
1,921
Dynasty Write-up
Pickett wound up going 2 rounds ahead of any other QB, and it's not like he's a terrible prospect. Comparisons with Andy Dalton and Teddy Bridgewater speak to a serviceable QB -- both in NFL and fantasy terms -- albeit with a limited ceiling. There is some running ability here. His 4.73-second 40 time isn't far behind Mitchell Trubisky's (4.67) and rates 75th percentile among NFL QBs. Trubisky -- who failed out of Chicago after being drafted 2nd overall -- is the only hurdle between Pickett and a starting gig. And starting in Pittsburgh will mean throwing passes to Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth and Najee Harris.
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