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Kenny Pickett - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKenny Pickett's Basic Stats

Kenny Pickett
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 24.7
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.73
Burst Score (Rank): 119.10 (84%)

Kenny Pickett's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Kenny Pickett's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#27 Quarterback

178.2 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 228.6/371 2551.6 15.8 8.5 40 185.9 2.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKenny Pickett's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Pickett spent 4 years as the Pitt starter after appearing in just 4 games as a true freshman. (The COVID year – 2020 – added a year of eligibility.)
  • He spent most of his time compiling bottom-shelf stats, including just 38 TDs over his first 3 seasons. Pickett exploded as a 5th-year senior, though. He racked up 4,319 yards and 42 TD passes vs. just 7 INTs.
  • Pickett added solid rushing production, primarily in the TD category: 13 scores over his final 2 seasons.
  • He then ran a 72nd-percentile 40-yard dash time at the Scouting Combine.
  • His Pro Football Focus passing grade in 2021 leaped vs. the rest of his college seasons

  • Pickett’s 9.2-yard career average depth of target in college beats Ben Roethlisberger’s 2021 average by 2.1. If he wins the starting job, he would find a WR corps capable of leveraging deeper targets.
  • He’ll battle Mitchell Trubisky and Mason Rudolph in training camp and preseason.
  • Since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002, there have been 64 QBs drafted in Round 1. The 63 taken before this year averaged Week 7 of their rookie season for Start #1, with a median of Week 4.
  • The Steelers’ initial “unofficial” depth chart has rookie QB Kenny Pickett 3rd behind Mitchell Trubisky and Mason Rudolph.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Historically, we like QBs who bring a lot of starting experience into the league. But it’s alarming that Pickett looked so different as a 5th-year senior vs. the rest of his college career – both statistically and in other performance indicators. His battle with Mitchell Trubisky (we’ll unofficially throw Mason Rudolph out) doesn’t matter much for fantasy football. Historically, Pickett is likely to step in at some point this year – even if just as an injury fill-in. If he does hit the field, the rookie’s outlook will probably be similar to Trubisky’s. Neither should be counted on as a starter in a 1-QB fantasy league. But each will have weekly upside by virtue of his mobility and talented pass-catching corps.

Adjust Kenny Pickett's Projections

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kenny Pickett, QB PIT

12:11am EST 1/2/23

Pickett lobs 1 TD in Week 17 win

Steelers QB Kenny Pickett completed 15 of 27 passes for 168 yards and 1 TD in Week 17's win vs. the Ravens. The rookie hasn't been much of a fantasy factor this season and his performance on Sunday night is more impressive in real life than anything else. Pickett has yet to throw for multiple TD passes in a game through 11 NFL starts and only has 4 games with over 200 passing yards. Still, he's shown flashes of promise at times and will be a fun name to watch in 2023 and beyond as he continues to learn and improve.

View all Kenny Pickett Shark Bites »

Steelers QB Kenny Pickett (concussion) practiced fully for the 2nd day in a row. HC Mike Tomlin said earlier this week that he expected the rookie to clear concussion protocol and start against the Raiders on Saturday. This week's practice reports reflect that. While the Raiders rank as the 3rd-best matchup in adjusted points allowed to QBs, the weather in Pittsburgh may cause passing the ball to be challenging for both teams. As such, Pickett is a low-end QB2 worthy of consideration in superflex leagues only.

View all Kenny Pickett Shark Bites »

Steelers QB Kenny Pickett (concussion) will start this weekend's game vs. the Raiders, HC Mike Tomlin said Tuesday. It sounds like Pickett still has 1 more step to pass protocol, so we'll keep an eye on his practice participation this week. Vegas ranks 30th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs, but Pickett hasn't shown enough this season to be more than a mid-range QB2 for Week 16.

View all Kenny Pickett Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Kenny Pickett, QB PIT
Dynasty MVP 183.7
Position Rank #38 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
535
956
1,814
Dynasty Write-up
Pickett wound up going 2 rounds ahead of any other QB in the 2022 draft. He proceeded to take over Pittsburgh’s starting job early on, although he never became much of a fantasy spot-starter. Pickett also suffered a pair of concussions as a rookie. Still, he likely did enough to keep the job for Week 1, 2023.
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