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Logan Thomas - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Logan Thomas
WAS

TE WAS

#15 Tight End

95 Projected Points

ADP: 9.5
Bye: 9
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 30
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 248
40 Time: 4.54

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Tight End

95 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
9.5 67 653 5 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Low Floor

83.6

DS Projection

95

Consensus

38 other sites
28

Low Ceiling

114

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Thomas entered 2020 with 35 career receptions after converting from QB early in his career. He doubled that career total by Week 13 of last season.
  • Thomas’ target volume got a huge late-season boost. He averaged 5.5 targets and 3.1 receptions over the first 11 games. That jumped to 9.8 targets and 7.2 catches per game the rest of the way (including the playoff loss).
  • The latter stretch began with the Week 13 game at Pittsburgh, which Terry McLaurin entered questionable with an ankle sprain. McLaurin endured 2 straight 2-catch games and later missed Week 16.
  • Thomas jumped from 15.4% target share over the first 11 games to 23% over the final 6.
  • Among 55 TEs who drew at least 20 targets last season, Thomas ranked:
    • 41st in yards per route run, according to Pro Football Focus
    • 42nd in passer rating on balls thrown his way
    • 29th in contested catch rate
    • T-29th in receiving grade
    • T-25th in average depth of target
  • Football Outsiders rated him just 34th among 49 qualifying TEs in both receiving DYAR and DVOA.
  • Thomas ranked 3rd among all TEs in targets, 3rd in catches, 7th in yards, tied for 9th in TDs. Among that group of 20+ target TEs, Thomas checked in just 43rd in yards per reception.
  • Washington added a lot of bodies at TE this offseason but no single, scary challenger.
    • The team signed Ricky Seals-Jones, Deon Yelder and Dylan Cantrell to modest 1-year contracts.
    • It spent a 4th-round pick on John Bates, who caught 47 balls (including just 2 TDs) across 4 seasons at Boise State.
    • Washington signed basketball-player-turned-footballer Sammis Reyes to a 3-year deal after his impressive workout at Florida’s pro day.
  • Reyes might be the most intriguing but he didn’t play football in college or high school. So expecting any 2021 contribution seems unwise.
  • Washington made more significant additions at WR -- led by Curtis Samuel, 3rd-round rookie Dyami Brown and Adam Humphries -- after producing the league’s 4th smallest target share at the position last year. Expect the 2021 WR group to get more looks.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Thomas lived off huge target volume in 2020 -- especially late in the season, as Washington dealt with injuries and lackluster play at WR. He still looks like the roster’s best bet at TE, but Washington has added some competition there and more impressive talent at wideout. Washington WRs should command significantly more targets than last year, which could cut well into Thomas’ work. Given that he’s a marginal talent at the position -- and heading into his age-30 season -- we don’t see much reason to buy Thomas inside the position’s top 12. He’s an OK PPR target if he makes it out of that range, though.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Washington has agreed to a 3-year extension with TE Logan Thomas, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo. We haven't seen the terms yet, but this development obviously points to the team wanting Thomas as a key piece beyond this season. That enhances the dynasty outlook for a player who just turned 30 coming off his 1st year with more than 16 receptions. It also gives at least a slight boost to Thomas' 2021 outlook, solidifying his standing with the team.

View all Logan Thomas Shark Bites »

The Washington Post's Nicki Jhabvala believes Logan Thomas is "emerging as Washington's top TE." The former QB has had a nice start to training camp. "He’s got enough athleticism that he can be dynamic," HC Ron Rivera said. "We’re pretty excited about who he is.” Thomas owns just 35 NFL catches, so he's still a long shot to emerge as a real fantasy factor this season. But he's 6'6, 248 pounds with 4.6 speed. And with very little at WR behind Terry McLaurin, there are targets for the taking in Washington. Thomas will be worth monitoring early this season -- and might even be worth a pick late in FFPC drafts.

View all Logan Thomas Shark Bites »

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