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Mike Evans - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Mike Evans
TB

WR TB

#10 Wide Receiver

171 Projected Points

ADP: 4.1
Bye: 9
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 231
40 Time: 4.46

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#10 Wide Receiver

171 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.1 76 1115 10 4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

152.2

DS Projection

171

Consensus

38 other sites
166.7

Low Ceiling

201.8

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-Evans’ remarkably consistent run continued in 2020. He slashed 109/70/1,006/13, giving him 1,000+ yards in 7 straight seasons. The 13 scores marked a career high.

-Evans left some meat on the bone: A 10.3% drop rate marked the 2nd highest total of his career.

-Still, getting Tom Brady in the lineup helped produce a 62.3% catch rate — his 2nd best tally. That’s despite heavy usage as a downfield threat (14.1 average depth of target).

-Evans also benefited from a pass-heavy offense. Tampa Bay ranked 3rd in pass rate (62.9%); Brady ranked 2nd in raw attempts (610).

-Evans was a major red zone factor. His 18 RZ targets ranked 4th most among WRs. He saw 23.1% of the team’s total RZ targets — 6th most among WRs.

-On a macro level, Evans benefited from 4 missed games from Chris Godwin. Evans chalked up 7-104-1 (Panthers), 7-122-1 (Chargers), 5-41-1 (Bears) and 5-55-1 (Giants) in those 4.

-Antonio Brown joined the team at midseason. His arrival didn’t crush Evans’ fantasy stock, though. He ranked as the WR19 from Weeks 1-8 (without AB); the WR11 from Weeks 9-17 (with AB).

-Evans, 28, returns for his 8th season in Tampa Bay with the same exact supporting cast. Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski signed 1-year deals over the offseason.

-Brady showed no obvious signs of decline last year. His YPA, QBR and QB rating all ranked top-12 league-wide.

-Brady also chucked ~15% of his targets 20+ air yards — the 2nd highest rate among 36 QBs with 200+ attempts. Key for Evans’ value.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Evans has been among the most productive WRs league-wide since his rookie season (2014). Over the past 7 seasons, he ranks 9th among WRs in catches, 3rd in yards and 3rd in TDs. He’s missed just 7 games over that stretch.

Such a loaded supporting cast does put a lid on his 2021 upside. But if the Bucs remain extremely pass heavy, fantasy owners can live with a fringe WR1 ceiling. He’s currently coming off the board around WR16.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Buccaneers WR Mike Evans (knee) is active for tonight's game against Washington. We know he'll be somewhere short of 100%, though. Just how far short remains to be seen during the game. Evans makes for a risky fantasy play.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports that Buccaneers WR Mike Evans plans to "try everything he possibly can" to play in Saturday night's game against Washington. It's good that he sounds like he'll be able to play through the Week 17 knee injury, but it also sounds like Evans will be a risky fantasy play this weekend. We'll see about his official game status Saturday evening.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

Bucs WR Mike Evans (knee) is listed as questionable for Saturday night's Wild Card game vs. Washington. He returned to a limited practice and will be a game-time decision, HC Bruce Arians said. We'll get Evans' game status by 7 pm ET on Saturday.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

Bucs WR Mike Evans (knee) remained sidelined for Wednesday's practice. His injury reportedly isn't serious, and he could play in this weekend's game vs. Washington without practicing. But his availabilty for that one remains uncertain. We'll get another update on his status tomorrow.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that there's "optimism" Bucs WR Mike Evans (knee) will be able to play vs. Washington on Saturday night. He was officially listed as "did not practice" on Tuesday but was reportedly out on the field for the walkthrough. We'll continue to keep a close eye on his status over the next few days.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

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