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Mike Evans - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Mike Evans
TB

WR TB

#10 Wide Receiver

170 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 231
40 Time: 4.46

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

6.1

DS Projection

11

Consensus

38 other sites
11

Low Ceiling

14.7

Rest of
Season

10.2

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 74.1 0.6 11
Weekly Writeup
Evans has certainly been hurt a bit by Antonio Brown, who actually leads Tampa's WRs in targets per game. But Evans still sits 15th among WRs in PPR points and has too high a ceiling to ever consider benching.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 66 0.6 10.2
Week 6
What happened to Evans in Week 6? Nothing in particular.

He led Buccaneers wideouts in playing time and routes: 1 route ahead of Chris Godwin and 11 ahead of Antonio Brown.

Tampa Bay led the whole way, yet still elected to throw 42 passes. Evans drew just 4 targets, tying for 5th on the team. He caught only 2 for 27 yards.

Unfortunately, that’s going to happen -- especially given the strength of Tampa’s trio at receiver. But the Philly game should be no cause for alarm; nor are upcoming matchups with Chicago, New Orleans or Washington.

Expect Evans to remain a volatile fantasy producer.
Week 5
Evans looked to be on his way to a pedestrian fantasy day. Then came the 4th quarter … and a pair of difference-making TDs. First, he beat CB Byron Jones on a deep ball. Then came a shorter-range strike where Evans found a soft spot in the zone — then dodged one defender en route to the end zone. In total, Evans tallied 6-113-2, giving him 75+ yards in 4 straight. Rob Gronkowski will remain out on Thursday night (at Philly), adding some safety to Evans as a WR1/2.
Week 4
Evans had a solid outing, despite the rest of the passing game’s ability to maintain any momentum throughout the game. Evans led the team in targets, catches, and receiving yards in this game against the Patriots. He continues to be a favorite target for Brady whenever he needs a reliable option in the passing game. Evans finished with 7 catches (on 12 targets) for 75 yards and 0 TDs. Evans has put up 256 yards and 2 TDs over the last three weeks and will look to keep that productivity against the Dolphins this weekend. While the Dolphins have a solid secondary, we have him ranked at WR15 this week against Miami. The Miami secondary has held opposing WR groups to less than 150 yards in 3 of 4 games so far this season. His next three games on the schedule are MIA, @PHI, CHI.
Week 3
After a slow Week 1, Evans has bounced back nicely, leading the Bucs in receiving in back-to-back weeks. This includes a solid 100-yard performance against the Rams in Week 3. Evans has been a bit TD dependent with Tom Brady, but this 100-yard game should ease the mind of owners moving forward. Once Antonio Brown returns, we should continue to monitor Evans’ usage. But playing time back in Week 1 suggests that Evans and Godwin are the top 2 WRs on this team.
This week the Buccaneers will take on the Patriots as Brady will look to get his revenge. The Patriots D has yet to face an elite pass game in 2021 and with no Stephon Gilmore we shouldn’t be fading any Bucs pass catcher in this one. This makes Evans as solid WR2 in Week 4.
Week 2
Evans caught 5 of 9 targets for 75 yards and 2 TDs in the Bucs' Week 2 win over the Falcons.
It was a clear rebound spot for Evans, who was extremely quiet in Week 1’s win against the Cowboys. Brady hit Evans on his first 2 throws of the game for 45 yards on the opening drive before Gronk capped it off with a TD.
Evans scored both of his TDs in close with 1 on 1 coverage as he easily out jumped the defender on a lob to the back of the end zone and ran a simple out route on the other.
Evans may not be consistent every week with so many weapons in Tampa, but he is going to score a lot of TDs as he figures to be Brady’s top option in the red zone.
Evans is a borderline WR1 and has a matchup in Week 3 against the Rams where he may be matched up against stud CB Jalen Ramsey for some of the game.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Evans’ remarkably consistent run continued in 2020. He slashed 109/70/1,006/13, giving him 1,000+ yards in 7 straight seasons. The 13 scores marked a career high.
  • Evans left some meat on the bone: A 10.3% drop rate marked the 2nd highest total of his career.
  • Still, getting Tom Brady in the lineup helped produce a 62.3% catch rate — his 2nd best tally. That’s despite heavy usage as a downfield threat (14.1 average depth of target).
  • Evans also benefited from a pass-heavy offense. Tampa Bay ranked 3rd in pass rate (62.9%); Brady ranked 2nd in raw attempts (610).
  • Evans was a major red zone factor. His 18 RZ targets ranked 4th most among WRs. He saw 23.1% of the team’s total RZ targets — 6th most among WRs.
  • On a macro level, Evans benefited from 4 missed games from Chris Godwin. Evans chalked up 7-104-1 (Panthers), 7-122-1 (Chargers), 5-41-1 (Bears) and 5-55-1 (Giants) in those 4.
  • Antonio Brown joined the team at midseason. His arrival didn’t crush Evans’ fantasy stock, though. He ranked as the WR19 from Weeks 1-8 (without AB); the WR11 from Weeks 9-17 (with AB).
  • Evans, 28, returns for his 8th season in Tampa Bay with the same exact supporting cast. Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski signed 1-year deals over the offseason.
  • Brady showed no obvious signs of decline last year. His YPA, QBR and QB rating all ranked top-12 league-wide.
  • Brady also chucked ~15% of his targets 20+ air yards — the 2nd highest rate among 36 QBs with 200+ attempts. Key for Evans’ value.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Evans has been among the most productive WRs league-wide since his rookie season (2014). Over the past 7 seasons, he ranks 9th among WRs in catches, 3rd in yards and 3rd in TDs. He’s missed just 7 games over that stretch.

Such a loaded supporting cast does put a lid on his 2021 upside. But if the Bucs remain extremely pass heavy, fantasy owners can live with a fringe WR1 ceiling. He’s currently coming off the board around WR16.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Buccaneers WR Mike Evans (knee) is active for tonight's game against Washington. We know he'll be somewhere short of 100%, though. Just how far short remains to be seen during the game. Evans makes for a risky fantasy play.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports that Buccaneers WR Mike Evans plans to "try everything he possibly can" to play in Saturday night's game against Washington. It's good that he sounds like he'll be able to play through the Week 17 knee injury, but it also sounds like Evans will be a risky fantasy play this weekend. We'll see about his official game status Saturday evening.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

Bucs WR Mike Evans (knee) is listed as questionable for Saturday night's Wild Card game vs. Washington. He returned to a limited practice and will be a game-time decision, HC Bruce Arians said. We'll get Evans' game status by 7 pm ET on Saturday.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

Bucs WR Mike Evans (knee) remained sidelined for Wednesday's practice. His injury reportedly isn't serious, and he could play in this weekend's game vs. Washington without practicing. But his availabilty for that one remains uncertain. We'll get another update on his status tomorrow.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that there's "optimism" Bucs WR Mike Evans (knee) will be able to play vs. Washington on Saturday night. He was officially listed as "did not practice" on Tuesday but was reportedly out on the field for the walkthrough. We'll continue to keep a close eye on his status over the next few days.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

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