Preseason Player Analysis
What You Need to Know:
- The Texans signed Lindsay this offseason to a 1-year, $3.25 million deal with $1 million guaranteed.
- He joins the backfield alongside David Johnson, who agreed to a restructured 1-year, $5 million deal with $4.25 million guaranteed this offseason, and Mark Ingram, who inked a 1-year, $2.5 million deal with half-a-million guaranteed in free agency.
- Lindsay is coming off a disappointing 2020 season with the Broncos, missing 3 games with a sprained toe, 2 more with a hip injury and parts of 2 others with a concussion and a knee injury. He averaged a career-low 4.3 yards per carry.
- Among 47 RBs with 100+ carries last year, Lindsay ranked 36th in Elusive Rating, 21st in Pro Football Focus rushing grade and 45th in Football Outsiders DVOA.
- Lindsay beat Johnson in PFF rushing grade but trailed him in Elusive Rating and DVOA. Lindsay beat Ingram in rushing grade and Elusive Rating but finished behind Ingram in DVOA.
- Lindsay was much better in his first 2 seasons with Denver, topping 1,000 rushing yards both years and averaging 4.9 yards per carry.
- He ranked 4th and 8th in PFF rushing grade those years.
- Lindsay was inefficient in the passing game over his 3 years with the Broncos. His 4.3 yards per target ranked 67th among 71 RBs with 50+ targets during that span.
- He also struggled in pass protection, according to PFF, especially the past 2 seasons.
- With Deshaun Watson’s Texans future on the ropes and WR Will Fuller gone, this could be 1 of the worst offenses in the league. The other QBs are Tyrod Taylor and rookie Davis Mills. The top 5 WRs figure to be Brandin Cooks, Randall Cobb, Nico Collins, Keke Coutee and Chris Conley.
- The 2020 Texans offensive line ranked 27th in both Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades and Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards.
- 3 of 5 starters return from that group: LT Laremy Tunsil, RT Tytus Howard and LG Max Scharping.
- The Texans traded for former Patriot Marcus Cannon, who’s expected to start at RG. He opted out of the 2020 season and received middling Pro Football Focus grades the previous 2 years.
- C Nick Martin is expected to be replaced by Justin Britt, who tore an ACL in October of 2019 and missed all of 2020.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Lindsay struggled through a bunch of injuries last year and averaged a career-low 4.3 yards per carry. He ripped off back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons on 4.9 yards per carry in his first 2 NFL campaigns, though.
If that guy shows up in Houston, he’d be the Texans’ best runner and have a shot to lead the team in carries. But even in that case, his ceiling would be capped by his subpar pass-catching ability and a likely bad Texans offense.
Consider Lindsay a bench stash with only moderate upside.