Terrance Ferguson - Fantasy Points Outlook

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Draft Sharks Verdict

Ferguson flashed a big-play skill set as a rookie and will have a chance to pace Rams TEs in production this season. He brings excellent athleticism and will play for one of the NFL’s top play designers in Sean McVay. But even if he captures the lead TE role, Ferguson will be part of an offense that’s at least three deep at the position. The TEs will also be fighting for whatever is left behind Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Ferguson’s worth watching but probably not worth drafting in most formats.

Customize his projection for your exact league settings inside the Draft War Room.

A Quiet Rookie Season

Ferguson spread 11 catches, 231 yards, and 3 TDs across 14 games.

He posted his best two PPR fantasy finishes (TE13 and TE9) with Davante Adams sidelined. The rookie scored in both matchups.

Otherwise, he finished only one other week inside the top 24.

Ferguson Used Like a WR

The Rams leaned into Ferguson’s speed, which showed up at the NFL Combine with an 81st-percentile 40-yard dash and a 91st-percentile 10-yard split, per MockDraftable.

His 18.3-yard average depth of target led all 58 TEs with 25+ targets and ranked third among all 243 players with 25+ targets. He also moved around plenty, running 46.2% of his routes from the slot and 23.7% out wide.

Ferguson simply wasn’t a large part of the Rams’ offense, though. His 5.5% target share ranked seventh on the team and 55th among TEs.

The Stafford-to-Ferguson Connection Needs Work

Ferguson proved boom or bust on his opportunities.

He caught only 44% of his targets but made them count with a massive 21.0 yards per catch. His 1.38 yards per route run ranked third among Rams TEs, behind Colby Parkinson’s 1.67 and Tyler Higbee’s 1.49.

Ferguson’s connection with Matthew Stafford will be worth watching in Year 2. In 2025, Ferguson saw just a 60% catchable target rate, last among 54 TEs with 25+ targets.

Rams Supply a Proven Offense

Ferguson at least plays in a strong offense. Last year’s Rams received an MVP season from Stafford. The 38-year-old played all 17 games and led the league in passing yards (4,707) and TDs (46).

The Rams also finished top-8 in total plays, pass rate over expected, and red-zone pass rate over expected.

Two Missed Games

Ferguson missed Week 18 and the Wild Card Round with a hamstring injury. He returned to catch one of six targets for 19 yards over the Rams' final two postseason games.

Rams Add Another Round 2 TE

Ferguson will have a chance to lead Rams TEs in production this season. Beat writer Nate Atkins of The Athletic even wrote in May that the Rams “hope” Ferguson “takes the lead” in the TE group.

First, he’ll need to beat out the deepest TE group in the league. Colby Parkinson enters a contract year after leading the unit with 43 catches, 408 yards, and 8 TDs, and in 12 shared games he beat Ferguson in targets (46 to 25), catches (35 to 11), yards (361 to 231), and TDs (6 to 3).

The Rams added even more talent to the TE room with Round 2 pick Max Klare. He finished third on Ohio State in receiving last year and brings the hands and route-running chops to contribute early.

Then there’s Tyler Higbee, who returned this offseason on a two-year deal. His $3.4 million in guarantees ranks just 48th among TEs (per Spotrac), and his 21 missed games over the past two seasons suggest the Rams can’t count on him for a sizable role.

Even if Ferguson leads Rams TEs in fantasy scoring, the edge figures to be thin in an offense that still runs through Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Their 55.1% combined target share led all WR duos last season.

Ferguson's Involvement Should Rise in Year 2

L.A. led the league in 1-RB, 3-TE sets (“13” personnel) last year at 30.5%, well ahead of the No. 2 team (Pittsburgh, 14.2%). Interestingly, the Rams finished with the third-lowest rate of 2-TE sets (9.6%).

The Rams lost OC Mike LaFleur to the Cardinals, but this has long been HC Sean McVay’s offense. Look for the Rams to continue leaning into 3-TE sets, especially after spending a high pick at TE in back-to-back drafts.

Paths To Ceiling

Ferguson needs a Year 2 leap, a larger role, and continued efficiency.

Ferguson also needs Stafford to hold off decline after leading the NFL in passing yards (4,707) and TDs (46) while finishing third in attempts (597) last year.

The Rams also ranked top-8 in total plays, pass rate over expected, and red-zone pass rate over expected, all key for a TE unlikely to rank near the top of the position in snaps and route rate.

40 Yard Dash: 4.6
40 Yard Dash Rank: 85
Burst Score: 129.3
Burst Score Rank: 94
Speed Score: 108.3
Speed Score Rank: 85
Catch Radius: 10.3
Catch Radius Rank: 91

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Puka Nacua

LAR WR 3 hours ago

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Rams WR Puka Nacua (hip) will be listed as doubtful for Sunday night's game against the Broncos, HC Sean McVay said Friday. Nacua didn't practice all week and does not have a clear timetable for return. WR Davante Adams (32% target share) and TE Terrance Ferguson (29%) dominated passing-game work with Nucua out last week. We're expecting a similar attack in Denver.

Update: McVay said Nacua is expected back for Week 4, barring a setback between now and then, per ESPN's Sarah Barshop.

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Puka Nacua

LAR WR Sep 22, 2026

Rams "Hopeful" Puka Nacua Plays Week 3

Rams HC Sean McVay was non-committal on WR Puka Nacua's status for Week 3 on Tuesday, saying only that he's "hopeful" Nacua will be available. "When you have soft tissue injuries with guys like that that are skill players, you're going to err on the side of caution," McVay added. We'll keep a close eye on Nacua's status throughout this week, but fantasy managers might again be in a tough spot with the Rams playing the Broncos on Sunday night. WR Davante Adams (8-195-2 on 10 targets) and TE Terrance Ferguson (6-54-1 on 9 targets) were the big winners of Nacua's absence in Monday night's win over the Giants.

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Terrance Ferguson

LAR TE Sep 22, 2026

Terrance Ferguson leaps Colby Parkinson and flashes TE1 potential

In a lopsided win for the Rams without their star WR active, it was a career day for their second-year TE Terrance Ferguson. Last year’s second round pick produced 6 receptions on nine targets for 54 yards and a touchdown, in what was a career-high 17.4 PPR point performance.

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Puka Nacua

LAR WR Sep 21, 2026

Puka Nacua INACTIVE

Rams WR Puka Nacua (hip) is inactive for tonight's game vs. the Giants. He went through what sounded like a half-speed warmup but didn't get the green light. We'll see if he can make it back for Sunday night's game vs. the Broncos. Nacua's absence leaves a giant hole in the Rams' passing game. WR Davante Adams is the best target bet, and we'll likely see plenty of 2- and 3-TE sets. TE Terrance Ferguson is a candidate for a big role in the passing game tonight.

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Puka Nacua

LAR WR Sep 19, 2026

Puka Nacua Out Again Saturday, Questionable For Week 2

Rams WR Puka Nacua (hip) will not practice today and will be listed as questionable for Monday night's game vs. the Giants, HC Sean McVay said. That's two missed practices in a row for Nacua after he was not listed on Thursday's injury report. We'll look for further updates on his status but might not find out whether he's playing until we get inactives around 7 pm ET on Monday. Nacua would carry elevate risk if he suits up but would still be a strong fantasy play. The late kickoff obviously puts fantasy managers in a tough spot, though. Malachi Fields and Jordan Whittington are the top widely available players from that game that can be added as insurance. TE Terrance Ferguson could also see a spike in usage if Nacua sits and could be used in place of Nacua in a flex spot.

Update: Whittington will be listed as doubtful with a quad injury, McVay said. That leaves Davante Adams, Xavier Smith, Konata Mumpfield, Tutu Atwell, and C.J. Daniels as the Rams' healthy WRs.

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