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Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyreek Hill's Basic Stats

Tyreek Hill
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28.7
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 185
40 Time: 4.34
Speed Score: 100.00
SPARQx (Rank): 122.50 (92%)
Burst Score (Rank): 133.40 (94%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.59 (98%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (94%)

Tyreek Hill's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.8 89.4 0.5 12.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.1 95.2 0.6 13.2

Tyreek Hill's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Wide Receiver

182.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 91.4 1233.1 8.5 3.1 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyreek Hill's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Despite an early-season quad injury, Hill finished as the PPR WR6 in 2021. He barely played in the finale with a heel injury.
  • He appeared in all 17 games, recording 1,239 yards and 9 TDs on a career-high 6.5 catches per game.
  • Unsurprisingly, Hill leads all WRs in TDs on deep passes (20+ yards) since 2017 (29).
  • However, Hill was used more as a short-range target in ‘21. His aDOT dropped from 13.4, 12.5 and 15.5 (2018-2020) to 11.0 last season.
  • That explains Hill’s career-low 11.2 yards per catch. His yards per route run figure (2.11) ranked 12th among 49 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • Miami traded for Hill, 28, this offseason and rewarded him with a massive 4-year extension that includes $72 million guaranteed.
  • His deep speed is a questionable fit alongside the more conservative Tua Tagovailoa. But new HC Mike McDaniel is expected to orchestrate an offense predicated on catch-and-run opportunities.
  • The Fins are strong at pass catcher beyond Hill: Jaylen Waddle, Cedrick Wilson, Mike Gesicki and Chase Edmonds. Hill’s nowhere near a lock for another 159 targets.
  • Miami’s also not expected to be near the top of the league in pass rate. McDaniel, though, has never never called plays, so we have nothing concrete to go off.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Hill’s ranked as a top-9 PPR WR in 4 of the past 5 seasons.

But 2022 turns up a major QB downgrade, going from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa in a make-or-break campaign.

Hill will also play in a Miami offense that’s not expected to throw as much as the Chiefs have in recent years (61% in 2021 and 2020).

Still, we’re talking about an all-time talent here. Only 28, we’ve seen no indication that he’ll decline physically. And with Miami’s offense expected to emphasize catch-and-run opportunities, Hill should remain a PPR and YAC monster.

He remains on track for another WR1 season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Tyreek Hill, WR MIA

2:45pm EST 11/28/22

Hill comes through with 85 yards

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill finished Week 12 with 6 grabs for 85 yards. Jaylen Waddle led the team in targets, but the margin was slim (10 vs. 9 for Hill). Both guys took advantage of a Texans secondary minus top CB Derek Stingley. Hill did miss some time with cramping, but fantasy owners should be pleased with the result nevertheless. He’s now up to 87-1,233-4 in 11 games. Next up is a road matchup at San Francisco.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill led the team with a 26.6% target share in Week 9. As a result, he posted another monster fantasy line: 7 catches, 143 yards and 1 score. Hill continues to create separation with ease. And it’s hard to see a dud creeping up here, as a hyper-accurate Tua Tagovailoa continuously feeds his playmakers. Jaylen Waddle contributed 5-85-1, giving him 85+ yards in 4 straight. Both guys are top-5 PPR WRs entering a Week 10 date with Cleveland.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill put up another monster line in Week 8 against Detroit, this time slashing 12/188/0. Hill saw 14 targets — a 38.8% target share. Tua Tagovailoa again delivered some underthrown deep balls, but Hill continued to make the necessary adjustments. The former Chief is now on pace for over 2,000 receiving yards over a full season. He'll face the Bears in Week 9.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa returned Sunday night for his 1st game action since the scary concussion at Cincinnati in Week 4. He completed 21 of 35 passes in the win over the Steelers for 261 yards and 1 TD. Tagovailoa took nary a sack, avoided turnovers and even ran for 15 yards on 4 rushes. WR Tyreek Hill led the offense with 13 targets and 7 catches (for 72 yards), while WR Jaylen Waddle paced the group with 88 yards (on 5 targets, 4 receptions). TE Mike Gesicki drew 7 targets for the 2nd straight game but managed just 3 catches for 27 yards. The whole group gets a high-ceiling matchup at Detroit in Week 8, with solid-to-good spots the next 2 weeks as well vs. Chicago and Cleveland.

View all Tua Tagovailoa Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill went off for 12 catches and 177 yards in Week 6. Starting QB Skylar Thompson left the game in the 1st half due to injury, putting Teddy Bridgewater back on the field. But it simply didn’t matter for Hill, whose speed overwhelmed the Minnesota secondary. He’s now posted 3 games of 10+ catches as a Dolphin. Week 7 (vs. Pittsburgh) should bring the return of Tua Tagovailoa.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Tyreek Hill, WR MIA
Dynasty MVP 148.0
Position Rank #12 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
528
845
988
Dynasty Write-up
Hill's average target depth in 2021 dipped to its lowest level since his 2016 rookie campaign, bringing his yards per catch down with it. But he also set a new career high in targets per game and produced his 3rd top-6 PPR finish of the past 4 years. (Hill missed 4 games and parts of 2 others in 2019.) Dolphins HC Mike McDaniel has hinted at continued varied usage of the versatile speedster. It's tough to see the same fantasy ceiling, though, with a swap of Patrick Mahomes for Tua Tagovailoa at QB.
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