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Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyreek Hill's Basic Stats

Tyreek Hill
ADP: 1.6
Bye: 10
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 29.5
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 191
40 Time: 4.34
Speed Score: 100.00
SPARQx (Rank): 122.50 (92%)
Burst Score (Rank): 133.40 (94%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.59 (98%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (94%)

Tyreek Hill's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.4 101.2 0.7 14.7
Weekly Writeup
We expect Jaylen Waddle (concussion) to miss Sunday's game. So it's no surprise current projections have Hill for a 30% target share vs. Denver (and it might be on the low end).

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.2 99.1 0.6 13.8

Tyreek Hill's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Wide Receiver

213.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.6 107.9 1516.3 9.3 3.8 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyreek Hill's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Hill showed no signs of decline in 2022. In fact, he set a career-high with 341 PPR points.

If Tua Tagovailoa stays healthy, Hill should have little trouble repeating as a high-end WR1.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Hill ranked 2nd in total WR PPR points; 4th in points per game.
  • The former Chief finished as a top-6 fantasy WR six times. Only Justin Jefferson and Davante Adams posted more top-6 finishes.
  • Hill set career highs in targets (170), catches (119), and receiving yards (1,710).
  • He led the league with a massive 3.07 yards per route run. The 29-year-old also sat first with a personal-best 92.0 Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • Hill tallied lines of 7-47 (vs. Jets), 12-177 (vs. Vikings), 4-55 (vs. Patriots), and 2-23 (vs. Jets) without Tua Tagovailoa.
  • Hill played all 17 games for the second straight season. He suffered a minor ankle injury in Week 17 but was fine for the Wild Card Round loss to Buffalo.
  • Jaylen Waddle did, too, though Hill crushed him in target share (30.2% to 20.8%).
  • Hill was investigated on assault and battery allegations for an incident at a Miami Beach marina in late June. The two parties "resolved their differences" near the end of July, so we're not expecting any NFL discipline.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Hill’s 2022 production won’t be easy to match. Since 2000, only eight WRs have hit 20+ PPR points per game at age 29: Marvin Harrison, Jordy Nelson, Terrell Owens, Davante Adams, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, Torry Holt, and Cooper Kupp.
  • Hill’s tape showed he’s still an elite talent, though. And Miami didn’t make any significant moves at pass catcher, providing similar target upside for 2023.
  • The Dolphins return the same HC (Mike McDaniel), OC (Frank Smith), and WR coach (Wes Welker).
  • Miami ranked 8th in pass rate last season (60%). With the same staff back, we expect a similar rate in 2023.
  • Hill’s 8th pro season will largely come down to the health of Tua Tagovailoa, who suffered multiple concussions in 2022. In four games without Tua, Hill finished as the WR25, WR3, WR17, and WR74.
  • Miami at least upgraded their backup QB spot, signing former Jet Mike White to a 2-year deal with $4.5 million guaranteed.
  • Hill told the Totally Offensive podcast in April that he currently plans to retire after the 2025 season. He’ll be nearly 32 years old at that time.

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Tyreek Hill, WR MIA

12:13am EDT 9/18/23

Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle post modest production

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill was held to 5 catches on 9 targets for 40 receiving yards in Sunday night’s win over the Patriots. Teammate Jaylen Waddle led the team in receiving with 86 yards on 4 catches in the divisional bout. It’s a familiar anecdote that Patriots HC Bill Belichick is good at tailoring a game plan around attempting to shut down an opponent’s most effective playmaker, so fantasy managers should have no reason to go away from Hill looking forward. Both he and Waddle are prime plays in Week 3 vs. the Broncos. This Miami offense has started the year firing on all cylinders.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill started hot, snagging 11 balls for 215 yards and 2 TDs in a win over Los Angeles. His yardage marked the third-most in a season-opener in league history, per ESPN’s Adam Schefter. Hill scored from deep and in close, showcasing his extraordinary burst throughout the game. On the day, Hill saw a 33.3% target share and accounted for 46.1% of Tua Tagovailoa’s 466(!) passing yards. If Tua continues to cook, Hill will retain an overall WR1 upside for the road ahead. The upcoming schedule just isn’t a cakewalk: at New England, vs. Denver, and at Buffalo.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill won't be suspended for his altercation at a Miami Beach marina back in June, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. That's been the assumption since Hill's accuser declined to press charges, but it's nice to have confirmation as we enter another big weekend of fantasy drafts. See where Hill sits in the WR rankings.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

SI.com’s Omar Kelly says Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill merely “blended in” across Week 1 of training camp. “You can tell he's either slowed by a nagging injury, or his focus is off because he's had too many drops,” Kelly writes. This isn’t enough to make us alter Hill’s standing in our 2023 fantasy football rankings. But we’ll keep an eye on him to see if things remain off.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

The attorneys for Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill and Hill's accuser issued a joint statement that the parties have "resolved their differences" after an altercation in mid-June. With no formal charges against Hill, it seems unlikely that he'll face any NFL discipline for the incident. We just nudged Hill up the WR Rankings.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Tyreek Hill, WR MIA
Dynasty MVP 142.3
Position Rank #7 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
471
735
1,227
Dynasty Write-up
Hill finished as the PPR WR2 last year and started hot in 2023. He'll turn 30 in March.
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