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Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Tyreek Hill
KC

WR KC

#1 Wide Receiver

228 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 185
40 Time: 4.29

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

9

DS Projection

13.3

Consensus

38 other sites
14

Low Ceiling

15.3

Rest of
Season

13.6

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.5 85 0.7 13.3
Weekly Writeup
Hill missed the 1st 2 days of practice this week and will bear watching into the weekend. If he's good to go, he gets maybe the only pass defense worse than his own team's so far this year.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.2 81 0.7 13.6
Week 5
Hill caught 7 of 13 targets for 63 yards in the Chiefs' Week 5 loss to the Bills.
The Chiefs and Hill did not look right in a big Week 5 matchup at home as the Bills had plenty of attention on Hill throughout the game.
The Chiefs should have utilized him more on shallow routes and let him run after the catch, but they kept sending him deep, where the Bills were sagging off with their 2 stud safeties.
Hill is an every week top 5 WR and should bounce back with ease in Week 6 against the terrible Washington defense.
Week 4
What can we say after Hill’s Week 4 outing? He’s awesome. His QB is awesome. And together they exploited a bad Philly secondary.

Hill scored from near (6 yards), far (44 yards) and in between (12 yards). He nearly scored a 4th time, but a 1st-quarter, 37-yard reception initially ruled a TD was overturned after review found him doing down short of the goal line.

Hill gets a much tougher matchup with Buffalo in Week 5, but the Bills allowed him 9-172 receiving on 11 targets last time they met. He’s not sitting against anyone.
Week 3
Don’t be concerned about Hill’s rough game vs. the Chargers. Patrick Mahomes (260-3-2) didn’t play his best ball against a tough Bolts D that made it their mission to slow down Hill. After totaling just 70 yards over the past 2 games, we’d be surprised if he doesn’t go off this week at Philly. The Eagles haven’t used CB Darius Slay to shadow so far in 2021.
Week 2
It was a quiet night for Tyreek Hill on Sunday against the Ravens. Anthony Averett and the Baltimore DBs did a great job of forcing Patrick Mahomes away from targeting the speedster. Mahomes was spreading the ball around (to 9 different receivers) against the Ravens, and Hill was unable to impact the game like he normally does. He finished tied for 3rd on the team with 4 targets. Hill brought in three catches for 14 yards on the night.

Hill still finds himself in the top 10 in air yards in the NFL and is seeing over a 30% target share through 2 weeks. He has an elite QB, experienced play-caller, and tremendous talent. Hill will be just fine. The production will undoubtedly come, and likely very soon.
Week 1
Hill caught 11 of 15 targets for 197 yards and 1 TD in Kansas City's 33-29 Week 1 win over the Browns.
Hill dominated from the beginning of the game as they used him a lot in the slot to create mismatches in the middle of the field. Hill was picking up consistent chunks and then finally hit a bomb in the 2nd half on a 75-yard TD catch deep down the field in 1 on 1 coverage vs. safety John Johnson.
Hill is an every-week WR1 no matter what the matchup is and has an excellent chance to finish as the top WR in fantasy football if he stays healthy for 17 games.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Hill caught 87 balls for 1,276 yards and a career-high 15 TDs in 15 games last season. (He sat out the meaningless finale.)
  • He finished 2nd among WRs in PPR and non-PPR points.
  • Hill scored as a WR1 in 7 of 15 games -- 3rd most.
  • But he was also more consistent than you might think. He scored as a top-24 WR in a league-high 12 weeks.
  • Hill benefitted from nice volume, finishing 9th among WRs with 134 targets.
  • And he was efficient. Among 87 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Hill ranked 16th in yards per target and 12th in yards per route run.
  • He finished 16th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades and 14th in Football Outsiders DVOA.
  • Hill added a 13-123-2 rushing line and has averaged 16.8 carries, 125 yards and 1.2 TDs per season for his 5-year career.
  • Hill finished 8th, 5th and 11th at his position in PPR points per game from 2017 to 2019.
  • He’s likely in for some TD regression this season after scoring on 17.2% of his receptions last year. He scored on 11.4% over his first 4 seasons.
  • But that could be offset by a spike in targets.
    • The Chiefs parted ways this offseason with WR Sammy Watkins, who ranked 3rd on the team last year with 5.5 targets per game.
    • WRs Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson and Byron Pringle return, but the only addition Kansas City made was 5th-round rookie Cornell Powell.
    • So Hill could top last year’s 135 targets and 23.0% target share. He saw 137 targets on a 23.5% share in 2018 and garnered 25.9% of Chiefs targets in his 10 healthy games in 2019.
  • The Chiefs remade their offensive line this offseason, adding OT Orlando Brown, Gs Joe Thuney and Kyle Long and Cs Austin Blythe and Creed Humphrey. Improved protection for QB Patrick Mahomes would help him hit Hill downfield for more big plays.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Hill is coming off a WR2 finish across fantasy scoring formats and has been a top-12 WR for 4 straight seasons now. He’s still just 27 and returns to the same offense with the same (elite) QB in 2021. Hill is even a threat to set a new career high in targets this season with Kansas City’s WR depth looking weak.

Hill is 1 of the safer picks in fantasy football and worth considering anywhere in the back half of Round 1.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (quad) is active for today’s game vs. Washington. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, but we never heard any real concern about Hill’s status for this one. He carries a bit more risk than usual but remains a must-start.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (quad) is expected to play vs. Washington today, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Hill only got in a limited practice on Friday, but HC Andy Reid said he looked good then. We never heard any concern about Hill's status throughout the week. He remains a must-start in season-long fantasy leagues -- and we wouldn't be afraid to use Hill in DFS tournaments.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (quad) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. Washington. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, although HC Andy Reid said Hill was "bouncing around pretty good" in Friday’s workout. We’ll look for an update on Hill on Sunday morning and will get his game status around 11:30 am ET.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (quad) missed his 2nd straight practice on Thursday. His availability for this weekend's game vs. Washington is now in some doubt. We'll see if he practices on Friday and then how he's listed on the final injury.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill did not practice on Wednesday. He's dealing with a quad injury, rather than the previously reported knee. Hill is expected to be fine for Sunday's game vs. Washington, but his status is certainly worth monitoring over the next few days.

View all Tyreek Hill Shark Bites »

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