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Playoff Rankings

By Draft Sharks Staff 3:48pm EST 1/10/22


Maybe we say this every year ... but this year's NFL playoffs feel more wide open than ever. There wasn't a single consistently dominant team during the regular season. And all 14 playoff teams enter with some questions.

The numbers and Vegas odds have the Packers as the favorite to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. FiveThirtyEight's model has Green Bay with a 50% chance to win the NFC and a 27% chance to win the Super Bowl. The Bucs (24%) and Cowboys (13%) are the only other NFC teams with more than a 7% chance to win the conference. The Vegas odds have the Packers as the favorite to come out of the NFC, the Bucs 2nd but the Rams 3rd, ahead of the Cowboys.

The AFC side is funky. Most would agree that the Chiefs and Bills are the conference's best teams. But it's the Titans with the all-important 1st-round bye. So FiveThirtyEight has chances to make the Super Bowl as the following: Chiefs 38%, Titans 31%, Bills 16%. FiveThirtyEight's rating system has the Chiefs and Bills as better than the Titans -- but Buffalo will play in Kansas City in the Divisional Round if both teams win their 1st games.

The rankings below skew heavily toward a Packers-Bills Super Bowl. The NFC goes through Lambeau Field -- and Aaron Rodgers is 17-2 at home over the past 2 seasons. The Bills have been 1 of the more inconsistent teams in the league this year. But they might just have the highest ceiling when everything is clicking.

A final note: There are a bunch of injuries we'll be tracking leading up to the start of the playoffs. Injured guys are italicized below, and we'll continue to update these rankings throughout the week.

(Find Playoff IDP Rankings here.)


Top 60 Overall

  1. Davante Adams, WR, Packers
  2. Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills
  3. Aaron Jones, RB, Packers
  4. Devin Singletary, RB, Bills
  5. Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals
  6. Josh Allen, QB, Bills
  7. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
  8. Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs
  9. Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Bengals
  10. Tee Higgins, WR, Bengals
  11. Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs
  12. Leonard Fournette, RB, Bucs (RULED OUT)
  13. Mike Evans, WR, Bucs
  14. Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams
  15. CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys
  16. Amari Cooper, WR, Cowboys
  17. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Bucs
  18. Dalton Schultz, TE, Cowboys
  19. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys
  20. Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys
  21. Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals
  22. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
  23. Tom Brady, QB, Bucs
  24. A.J. Dillon, RB, Packers
  25. Derrick Henry, RB, Titans
  26. A.J. Brown, WR, Titans
  27. Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers
  28. Gabriel Davis, WR, Bills
  29. Sony Michel, RB, Rams
  30. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs
  31. Tony Pollard, RB, Cowboys
  32. Dawson Knox, TE, Bills
  33. Diontae Johnson, QB, Steelers
  34. Odell Beckham, WR, Rams
  35. Christian Kirk, WR, Cardinals
  36. Allen Lazard, WR, Packers
  37. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, Packers
  38. Cedrick Wilson, QB, Cowboys
  39. Eli Mitchell, RB, 49ers
  40. James Conner, RB, Cardinals
  41. Chase Edmonds, RB, Cardinals
  42. Najee Harris, RB, Steelers
  43. Darrel Williams, Chiefs
  44. Damien Harris, RB, Patriots
  45. Josh Jacobs, RB, Raiders
  46. Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals
  47. Matt Stafford, QB, Rams
  48. Cole Beasley, WR, Bills
  49. Van Jefferson, WR, Rams
  50. Brandon Aiyuk, WR, 49ers
  51. Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals
  52. Tyler Higbee, TE, Rams
  53. George Kittle, TE, 49ers
  54. Darren Waller, TE, Raiders
  55. Zach Ertz, TE, Cardinals
  56. Chase Claypool, WR, Steelers
  57. Byron Pringle, WR, Chiefs
  58. Mecole Hardman, WR, Chiefs
  59. Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots
  60. Jakobi Meyers, WR, Patriots


QBs

  1. Josh Allen, Bills
  2. Aaron Rodgers, Packers
  3. Dak Prescott, Cowboys
  4. Joe Burrow, Bengals
  5. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
  6. Tom Brady, Bucs
  7. Kyler Murray, Cardinals
  8. Matt Stafford, Rams
  9. Ryan Tannehill, Titans
  10. Jalen Hurts, Eagles
  11. Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers
  12. Derek Carr, Raiders
  13. Mac Jones, Patriots
  14. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers


RBs

  1. Aaron Jones, Packers
  2. Devin Singletary, Bills
  3. Joe Mixon, Bengals
  4. Leonard Fournette, Bucs (RULED OUT)
  5. Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys
  6. A.J. Dillon, Packers
  7. Derrick Henry, Titans
  8. Sony Michel, Rams
  9. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chiefs
  10. Tony Pollard, Cowboys
  11. Eli Mitchell, 49ers
  12. James Conner, Cardinals
  13. Chase Edmonds, Cardinals
  14. Najee Harris, Steelers
  15. Darrel Williams, Chiefs
  16. Damien Harris, Patriots
  17. Josh Jacobs, Raiders
  18. Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots
  19. D’Onta Foreman, Titans
  20. Miles Sanders, Eagles
  21. Boston Scott, Eagles
  22. Jordan Howard, Eagles
  23. Zack Moss, Bills
  24. Ronald Jones, Bucs
  25. Cam Akers, Rams
  26. Ke’Shawn Vaughn, Bucs
  27. Le’Veon Bell, Bucs
  28. Dontrelle Hilliard, Titans
  29. Samaje Perine, Bengals
  30. Brandon Bolden, Patriots
  31. Kenneth Gainwell, Eagles
  32. Eno Benjamin, Cardinals
  33. JaMycal Hasty, 49ers
  34. Darrell Henderson, Rams
  35. Jalen Richard, Raiders
  36. Benny Snell, Steelers


WRs

  1. Davante Adams, Packers
  2. Stefon Diggs, Bills
  3. Tyreek Hill, Chiefs
  4. Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals
  5. Tee Higgins, Bengals
  6. Mike Evans, Bucs
  7. Cooper Kupp, Rams
  8. CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys
  9. Amari Cooper, Cowboys
  10. A.J. Brown, Titans
  11. Deebo Samuel, 49ers
  12. Gabriel Davis, Bills
  13. Diontae Johnson, Steelers
  14. Odell Beckham, Rams
  15. Christian Kirk, Cardinals
  16. Allen Lazard, Packers
  17. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Packers
  18. Cedrick Wilson, Cowboys
  19. Cole Beasley, Bills
  20. Van Jefferson, Rams
  21. Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers
  22. Tyler Boyd, Bengals
  23. Chase Claypool, Steelers
  24. Byron Pringle, Chiefs
  25. Mecole Hardman, Chiefs
  26. Jakobi Meyers, Patriots
  27. DeVonta Smith, Eagles
  28. Julio Jones, Titans
  29. A.J. Green, Cardinals
  30. Hunter Renfrow, Raiders
  31. Zay Jones, Raiders
  32. Antoine Wesley, Cardinals
  33. Breshad Perriman, Bucs
  34. Tyler Johnson, Bucs
  35. Cyril Grayson, Bucs
  36. Emmanuel Sanders, Bills
  37. Kendrick Bourne, Patriots
  38. Demarcus Robinson, Chiefs
  39. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Titans
  40. Jauan Jennings, 49ers
  41. Bryan Edwards, Raiders
  42. DeSean Jackson, Raiders
  43. Rondale Moore, Cardinals
  44. Nelson Agholor, Patriots
  45. Quez Watkins, Eagles
  46. Ray-Ray McCloud, WR, Steelers
  47. Jalen Reagor, Eagles
  48. James Washington, Steelers


TEs

  1. Travis Kelce, Chiefs
  2. Rob Gronkowski, Bucs
  3. Dalton Schultz, Cowboys
  4. Dawson Knox, Bills
  5. Tyler Higbee, Rams
  6. George Kittle, 49ers
  7. Darren Waller, Raiders
  8. Zach Ertz, Cardinals
  9. C.J. Uzomah, Bengals
  10. Josiah Deguara, Packers
  11. Dallas Goedert, Eagles
  12. Hunter Henry, Patriots
  13. Pat Freiermuth, Steelers
  14. Cameron Brate, Bucs
  15. Anthony Firkser, Titans
  16. Geoff Swaim, Titans
  17. Blake Jarwin, Cowboys
  18. Foster Moreau, Raiders
  19. Jonnu Smith, Patriots


Ks

  1. Tyler Bass, Bills
  2. Mason Crosby, Packers
  3. Greg Zuerlein, Cowboys
  4. Evan McPherson, Bengals
  5. Harrison Butker, Chiefs
  6. Ryan Succop, Bucs
  7. Matt Gay, Rams
  8. Matt Prater, Cardinals
  9. Randy Bullock, Titans
  10. Robbie Gould, 49ers
  11. Nick Folk, Patriots
  12. Daniel Carlson, Raiders
  13. Jake Elliott, Eagles
  14. Chris Boswell, Steelers


DSTs

  1. Bills
  2. Cowboys
  3. Packers
  4. Bengals
  5. Chiefs
  6. Bucs
  7. Titans
  8. Rams
  9. Patriots
  10. Cardinals
  11. Raiders
  12. 49ers
  13. Steelers
  14. Eagles


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