Playoff Rankings

Maybe we say this every year ... but this year's NFL playoffs feel more wide open than ever. There wasn't a single consistently dominant team during the regular season. And all 14 playoff teams enter with some questions.
The numbers and Vegas odds have the Packers as the favorite to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. FiveThirtyEight's model has Green Bay with a 50% chance to win the NFC and a 27% chance to win the Super Bowl. The Bucs (24%) and Cowboys (13%) are the only other NFC teams with more than a 7% chance to win the conference. The Vegas odds have the Packers as the favorite to come out of the NFC, the Bucs 2nd but the Rams 3rd, ahead of the Cowboys.
The AFC side is funky. Most would agree that the Chiefs and Bills are the conference's best teams. But it's the Titans with the all-important 1st-round bye. So FiveThirtyEight has chances to make the Super Bowl as the following: Chiefs 38%, Titans 31%, Bills 16%. FiveThirtyEight's rating system has the Chiefs and Bills as better than the Titans -- but Buffalo will play in Kansas City in the Divisional Round if both teams win their 1st games.
The rankings below skew heavily toward a Packers-Bills Super Bowl. The NFC goes through Lambeau Field -- and Aaron Rodgers is 17-2 at home over the past 2 seasons. The Bills have been 1 of the more inconsistent teams in the league this year. But they might just have the highest ceiling when everything is clicking.
A final note: There are a bunch of injuries we'll be tracking leading up to the start of the playoffs. Injured guys are italicized below, and we'll continue to update these rankings throughout the week.
(Find Playoff IDP Rankings here.)
Top 60 Overall
- Davante Adams, WR, Packers
- Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills
- Aaron Jones, RB, Packers
- Devin Singletary, RB, Bills
- Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals
- Josh Allen, QB, Bills
- Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs
- Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Bengals
- Tee Higgins, WR, Bengals
- Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs
- Leonard Fournette, RB, Bucs (RULED OUT)
- Mike Evans, WR, Bucs
- Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams
- CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys
- Amari Cooper, WR, Cowboys
- Rob Gronkowski, TE, Bucs
- Dalton Schultz, TE, Cowboys
- Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys
- Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys
- Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
- Tom Brady, QB, Bucs
- A.J. Dillon, RB, Packers
- Derrick Henry, RB, Titans
- A.J. Brown, WR, Titans
- Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers
- Gabriel Davis, WR, Bills
- Sony Michel, RB, Rams
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs
- Tony Pollard, RB, Cowboys
- Dawson Knox, TE, Bills
- Diontae Johnson, QB, Steelers
- Odell Beckham, WR, Rams
- Christian Kirk, WR, Cardinals
- Allen Lazard, WR, Packers
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, Packers
- Cedrick Wilson, QB, Cowboys
- Eli Mitchell, RB, 49ers
- James Conner, RB, Cardinals
- Chase Edmonds, RB, Cardinals
- Najee Harris, RB, Steelers
- Darrel Williams, Chiefs
- Damien Harris, RB, Patriots
- Josh Jacobs, RB, Raiders
- Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals
- Matt Stafford, QB, Rams
- Cole Beasley, WR, Bills
- Van Jefferson, WR, Rams
- Brandon Aiyuk, WR, 49ers
- Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals
- Tyler Higbee, TE, Rams
- George Kittle, TE, 49ers
- Darren Waller, TE, Raiders
- Zach Ertz, TE, Cardinals
- Chase Claypool, WR, Steelers
- Byron Pringle, WR, Chiefs
- Mecole Hardman, WR, Chiefs
- Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots
- Jakobi Meyers, WR, Patriots
QBs
- Josh Allen, Bills
- Aaron Rodgers, Packers
- Dak Prescott, Cowboys
- Joe Burrow, Bengals
- Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
- Tom Brady, Bucs
- Kyler Murray, Cardinals
- Matt Stafford, Rams
- Ryan Tannehill, Titans
- Jalen Hurts, Eagles
- Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers
- Derek Carr, Raiders
- Mac Jones, Patriots
- Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
RBs
- Aaron Jones, Packers
- Devin Singletary, Bills
- Joe Mixon, Bengals
- Leonard Fournette, Bucs (RULED OUT)
- Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys
- A.J. Dillon, Packers
- Derrick Henry, Titans
- Sony Michel, Rams
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chiefs
- Tony Pollard, Cowboys
- Eli Mitchell, 49ers
- James Conner, Cardinals
- Chase Edmonds, Cardinals
- Najee Harris, Steelers
- Darrel Williams, Chiefs
- Damien Harris, Patriots
- Josh Jacobs, Raiders
- Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots
- D’Onta Foreman, Titans
- Miles Sanders, Eagles
- Boston Scott, Eagles
- Jordan Howard, Eagles
- Zack Moss, Bills
- Ronald Jones, Bucs
- Cam Akers, Rams
- Ke’Shawn Vaughn, Bucs
- Le’Veon Bell, Bucs
- Dontrelle Hilliard, Titans
- Samaje Perine, Bengals
- Brandon Bolden, Patriots
- Kenneth Gainwell, Eagles
- Eno Benjamin, Cardinals
- JaMycal Hasty, 49ers
- Darrell Henderson, Rams
- Jalen Richard, Raiders
- Benny Snell, Steelers
WRs
- Davante Adams, Packers
- Stefon Diggs, Bills
- Tyreek Hill, Chiefs
- Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals
- Tee Higgins, Bengals
- Mike Evans, Bucs
- Cooper Kupp, Rams
- CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys
- Amari Cooper, Cowboys
- A.J. Brown, Titans
- Deebo Samuel, 49ers
- Gabriel Davis, Bills
- Diontae Johnson, Steelers
- Odell Beckham, Rams
- Christian Kirk, Cardinals
- Allen Lazard, Packers
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Packers
- Cedrick Wilson, Cowboys
- Cole Beasley, Bills
- Van Jefferson, Rams
- Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers
- Tyler Boyd, Bengals
- Chase Claypool, Steelers
- Byron Pringle, Chiefs
- Mecole Hardman, Chiefs
- Jakobi Meyers, Patriots
- DeVonta Smith, Eagles
- Julio Jones, Titans
- A.J. Green, Cardinals
- Hunter Renfrow, Raiders
- Zay Jones, Raiders
- Antoine Wesley, Cardinals
- Breshad Perriman, Bucs
- Tyler Johnson, Bucs
- Cyril Grayson, Bucs
- Emmanuel Sanders, Bills
- Kendrick Bourne, Patriots
- Demarcus Robinson, Chiefs
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Titans
- Jauan Jennings, 49ers
- Bryan Edwards, Raiders
- DeSean Jackson, Raiders
- Rondale Moore, Cardinals
- Nelson Agholor, Patriots
- Quez Watkins, Eagles
- Ray-Ray McCloud, WR, Steelers
- Jalen Reagor, Eagles
- James Washington, Steelers
TEs
- Travis Kelce, Chiefs
- Rob Gronkowski, Bucs
- Dalton Schultz, Cowboys
- Dawson Knox, Bills
- Tyler Higbee, Rams
- George Kittle, 49ers
- Darren Waller, Raiders
- Zach Ertz, Cardinals
- C.J. Uzomah, Bengals
- Josiah Deguara, Packers
- Dallas Goedert, Eagles
- Hunter Henry, Patriots
- Pat Freiermuth, Steelers
- Cameron Brate, Bucs
- Anthony Firkser, Titans
- Geoff Swaim, Titans
- Blake Jarwin, Cowboys
- Foster Moreau, Raiders
- Jonnu Smith, Patriots
Ks
- Tyler Bass, Bills
- Mason Crosby, Packers
- Greg Zuerlein, Cowboys
- Evan McPherson, Bengals
- Harrison Butker, Chiefs
- Ryan Succop, Bucs
- Matt Gay, Rams
- Matt Prater, Cardinals
- Randy Bullock, Titans
- Robbie Gould, 49ers
- Nick Folk, Patriots
- Daniel Carlson, Raiders
- Jake Elliott, Eagles
- Chris Boswell, Steelers
DSTs
- Bills
- Cowboys
- Packers
- Bengals
- Chiefs
- Bucs
- Titans
- Rams
- Patriots
- Cardinals
- Raiders
- 49ers
- Steelers
- Eagles
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