Matthew Stafford, Lions ($7,300) at Jacksonville
This looks like a tough week for selecting a cash game QB; there’s simply not a true standout value. You can go the safe route up top with Lamar Jackson, but at a pricy $9,000, I’ll take a cheaper approach.
Stafford — coming off a bye — returns to a healthy Detroit offense. They draw a banged up Jacksonville offense that sits last in both Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA and adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs. Stafford also enters Sunday with 2+ passing scores in 3 straight and in 6 of his past 7 dating back to 2019.
Also consider: Ryan Fitzpatrick
Alexander Mattison, Vikings ($7,000) vs. Falcons
Kudos to FanDuel for pricing up Mattison following Dalvin Cook’s injury.
He’s not quite a lock at this price. But … he’s still a strong play.
Atlanta provides an excellent scoring matchup, as only the Cowboys have allowed more points per game. The Falcons are better against the run than they are vs. the pass, but Mattison’s volume for the run-committed Vikings trumps all. I’d be shocked if he falls shy of 20 touches.
Myles Gaskin, Dolphins ($5,700) vs. Jets
In a surprise move, the Fins deactivated goal line back Jordan Howard in last week’s win over San Francisco. Howard had carries 8 times inside the 5 yard-line, but his absence opened the door for Gaskin to score a close-range TD. Miami won in blowout fashion over the 49ers.
Enter Week 6, and the Dolphins have an implied team total of 28.5 points. Gaskin is positioned to do damage against a Jets defense that’s surrendered multiple rushing TDs to 3 of its first 5 opponents.
We’ll see if Howard’s inactive again, but he clearly doesn't provide any missing element in this backfield. Regardless, an underpriced Gaskin should pay off.
Also consider: Derrick Henry, David Montgomery
Davante Adams, Packers ($9,000) at Tampa Bay
Adams looks like a full-go this week after missing time with a hamstring injury. He returns to face a young Bucs secondary that’s funneled targets to WR1s. Adams, of course, projects as a target hog any time he steps on the field.
He’s not cheap, but with a lack of other spend up options, you can absorb the hefty price tag.
Allen Robinson, Bears ($7,000) at Carolina
Robinson sits a clear #1 in our $/point rankings. Using our DFS lineup builder, he pops up in the optimal lineup. And it’s not a surprise why. He’s seen massive 29% target share for a Chicago squad thin at WR.
Carolina’s mostly been getting torched on the ground, but they’ve also allowed a trio of 100-yard receivers through just 5 weeks.
Marquise Brown, Ravens ($6,300) at Philadelphia
As of this writing, CB Darius Slay remains in the concussion protocol. But even if he’s active, Brown looks like a strong value at $6.3K. The Eagles sit 24th in Pro Football Focus’ pass coverage grade. Brown, meanwhile, has seen 8 and 10 targets over the past 2 weeks.
Also consider: Adam Thielen, Chase Claypool
Jonnu Smith, Titans ($5,800) vs. Houston
As with QB, TE looks like a tough spot this week. Kelce and Kittle are off the main slate. Darren Waller and Hunter Henry are on byes.
Like Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews draws a favorable matchup against Philly’s bad coverage LBs. But I’ll save some coin and drop down to Smith, who’s already scored 5 TDs on 6 red zone targets.
Sure, that rate isn’t sustainable. But Smith should again be an offensive focal point, especially with Corey Davis (COVID list) likely to miss another game.
Here’s another factor worth considering: Pro Football Focus’ grades have Smith’s primary matchup (S Lonnie Johnson) as the 4th most advantageous on the main slate. With Ryan Tannehill playing so well, you can stomach a bit of target volatility here.
Also consider: T.J. Hockenson
Steelers ($4,500) vs. Browns
Giants ($3,900) vs. Washington