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Amon-Ra St. Brown - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET

WR DET

#79 Wide Receiver

80 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.61

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

2.7

DS Projection

4.2

Consensus

38 other sites
5

High Ceiling

7.1

Rest of
Season

5.5

Week 3 Projections

Weekly numbers will be released Tuesday at 12pm

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3 37 0.3 5.5

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • The Lions chose St. Brown in Round 4, the 17th WR off the 2021 board.
  • Sammy Watkins ranked 50th among PPR WRs last season with 137.5 points. Only 8 rookie WRs drafted in Round 4 or later have ever reached that point total. Here’s the list:
    • Mike Williams, Buccaneers, 2010 -- 223.4
    • Marques Colston, Saints, 2006 -- 221.8
    • Tyreek Hill, Chiefs, 2016 -- 217.0
    • Darius Slayton, Giants, 2019 -- 170.0
    • Austin Collie, Colts, 2009 -- 169.7
    • Darnell Mooney, Bears, 2020 -- 152.1
    • Stefon Diggs, Vikings, 2015 -- 149.3
    • Willie Jackson, Falcons, 1995 -- 139.9
  • St. Brown arrives to a WR depth chart under full renovation. The Lions let Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones walk in free agency, removing the lead targets from the past 2 seasons. Also gone is Danny Amendola, who averaged 5.7 targets per game over the past 2 years.
  • In addition to the rookie, the most prominent WR imports have been Tyrell Williams, Breshad Perriman and … actually, that’s it.
    • Williams has posted nice efficiency numbers for his career and enjoyed a strong 2016, but he also lost all of last season to a shoulder injury and dealt with plantar fasciitis the year before. The Raiders dumped him 2 years into a 4-year contract.
    • Perriman was a 1st-round pick of the Ravens back in 2015. He’s now on his 5th team and has yet to catch more than 36 passes in a season.
  • St. Brown -- the younger brother of Equanimeous St. Brown -- broke out as a 2018 true freshman at USC, claiming the receptions lead in an offense that included then-junior Michael Pittman Jr.
  • He followed with similar market shares across receiving categories the next 2 years, though St. Brown ceded the receiving yards lead last season to sophomore Drake Jordan.
  • St. Brown ran just a 17th-percentile 40-yard dash at his pro day (even without adjusting it downward for being a pro-day time). He ran above average in the 3-cone drill, though, and tested 84th percentile or better in the jumps. Altogether, he posted just a decent Relative Athletic Score.
  • Here’s what HC Dan Campbell had to say after the Lions drafted St. Brown: “He’s a competitor, he’s tough, he’s crafty, he’s smart, he’s versatile. We think he can go in there and compete at slot receiver, but I think this kid has some outside flex to him, too.”
  • St. Brown figures to start by battling Quintez Cephus for the primary slot job. The injury histories for both Williams and Perriman outside, though, add opportunity upside.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

St. Brown arrives as a decent prospect, who many expected to go earlier than he did. He lands in the perfect spot for immediate opportunity. His range of possible outcomes for 2021 includes leading Detroit WRs in targets and catches. But it also includes him ranking no better than 4th and losing out to Quintez Cephus for the primary slot job.

Fortunately, it’s not likely that his draft-day price will climb too high to make the risk outweigh the upside. As of this writing, the rookie sits 71st among WRs in FFPC best-ball ADP.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Lions held QB Jared Goff and many other starters out of Friday night's preseason finale. Fourth-round rookie WR Amon-Ra St. Brown played, however, and continued to see just limited action. He spent just 7 snaps on the field, while the game's starters played 26. According to Pro Football Focus' Nathan Jahnke, St. Brown "hasn't played a single snap" in 2 WR sets through 3 preseason contests. There's certainly room for his role to grow through the season, but the rookie doesn't look like a player you should bother with in redraft fantasy football leagues.

View all Amon-Ra St. Brown Shark Bites »

Lions rookie WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen "consistent work" rotating in with starters as a slot receiver so far in camp, according to Nick Baumgardner of The Athletic. The 4th-round pick has reportedly displayed strong route-running that has challenged any position trying to cover him and been 1 of the team's top rookies in early workouts. Baumgardner writes that St. Brown getting open underneath has "been a constant" and that he's "likely going to see a bunch of targets underneath this season, especially early." A shaky deep-passing game and lackluster WR depth chart overall can only help St. Brown in that pursuit. The rookie sits outside the top 70 WRs in ADP across FFPC draft formats right now, making him a low-risk bet late in drafts.

View all Amon-Ra St. Brown Shark Bites »

Detroit picked WR Amon-Ra St. Brown in Round 4 of the 2021 NFL Draft. Equanimeous’ brother was the #2 WR in his recruiting class and became just the 4th true freshman to lead USC in catches when he hauled in 60 balls for 750 yards and 3 scores in 2018. St. Brown then posted a 77-1,042-6 line as a true sophomore, although that came on a strong Trojans passing attack. His market shares were mediocre: 21% of the catches, 24% of the yards and 17% of the TDs. St. Brown led USC with 41 catches and 7 TDs in an abbreviated 6-game 2020 season, but sophomore WR Drake Jordan beat him 502 to 478 in yards. St. Brown is a solid all-around receiver on tape, with good contested ability, decent route running and some juice after the catch. “Steady,” “dependable” and “average” were 3 words used by scouts to describe St. Brown’s game in Bob McGinn’s excellent article on The Athletic. Durability is also a question mark here after St. Brown suffered a hand injury as a high school senior, sprained the AC joint in his shoulder in 2018 and 2020 and needed sports hernia surgery after the 2019 campaign. He lands in an offense with a clear need at the position, though. Detroit's WR depth chart currently appears to be led by Tyrell Williams and Quintez Cephus. We'll see how quickly the rookie can climb it.

View all Amon-Ra St. Brown Shark Bites »

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