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Brian Thomas Jr. - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBrian Thomas Jr.'s Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 10.2
Bye: 12
Experience: 0
Age: 21.6
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.33
Burst Score (Rank): 128.50 (83%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.44 (98%)

Brian Thomas Jr.'s Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.5 50.3 0.29 6.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Brian Thomas Jr.'s 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#51 Wide Receiver

108.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
10.2 56 804.8 4.64 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBrian Thomas Jr.'s Preseason Player Analysis

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Zay Jones, WR ARI

9:36pm EDT 4/30/24

Jaguars dump Zay Jones

The Jaguars released WR Zay Jones, saving $4.18 million against the 2024 salary cap. This move was inevitable after Jacksonville took WR Brian Thomas in the first round of the draft -- after signing WR Gabriel Davis in free agency. Jones missed seven games with knee and hamstring injuries last year but caught 82 balls back in 2022. The 29-year-old can still help an NFL team, although Jones is not a good bet to be a major fantasy asset in 2024 or beyond.

View all Zay Jones Shark Bites »

The Jaguars drafted LSU WR Brian Thomas in Round 1 of the NFL Draft. After two relatively quiet seasons to open his college career, Thomas busted out as a junior this past year. He racked up 1,177 yards and an FBS-high 17 TDs on 68 receptions. The big-play machine averaged 17.3 yards per catch on a 13.9-yard average target depth. He hauled in 15 of 22 targets 20+ yards downfield for 670 yards and 12 TDs. The catches, yards, and TDs were all top-3 marks in the nation, and Thomas was one of 24 WRs to score a 99.9 PFF receiving grade on deep targets. With a 4.33-second 40 time, strong ball-tracking ability, and high-end ball skills, Thomas has all the tools to be a dominant deep-ball weapon in the NFL. He wasn’t nearly as productive on short and intermediate routes at LSU and needs to improve as a route runner to emerge as a No. 1 WR in the NFL. But his combination of size (6’3, 209 lbs.) and athleticism (9.84 RAS) gives him the potential to do so. Thomas should at least be a valuable best-ball asset as a rookie. But with Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Evan Engram, and free-agent addition Gabe Davis rostered, the weekly floor figures to be low here. We’ll also see if Trevor Lawrence can improve after plateauing in 2023.

View all Brian Thomas Jr. Shark Bites »

LSU WR Brian Thomas blazed a 4.33-second 40-yard dash at the Combine on Saturday -- second-fastest among the 30 WRs that ran. It certainly matches his pre-draft profile as a deep-ball weapon. Thomas averaged 17.3 yards per catch last year, with 15 of his 68 receptions coming 20+ yards downfield. He earned a 99.9 Pro Football Focus receiving grade on targets of 20+ yards. Thomas also registered a 36.5-inch vertical and 126-inch broad jump in Indianapolis. His 9.97 Relative Athletic Score is. the 10th-highest out of 3,063 WRs from 1987 to 2024. Thomas has been widely considered the No. 4 WR in this year's class and a potential top-20 pick. His Combine showing will only boost his draft stock.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Brian Thomas Jr., WR JAC
Dynasty MVP 100.5
Position Rank #57 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
301
507
1,000
Dynasty Write-up
Playing alongside QB Jayden Daniels and WR Malik Nabers, Thomas enjoyed a third-year breakout. He led LSU in TD catches in 2023 (17) and nearly matched Nabers in yards per catch (17.3 to 17.6). Thomas is a long strider at 6’2, 209 pounds and tracks the ball like a veteran. He also brings desirable NFL athleticism (4.34 forty, 38.5-inch vertical). Jacksonville gives him a shot to eventually develop into the No. 1 target for Trevor Lawrence.
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