Production & Fantasy Finishes
Ward threw for 3,169 yards, 15 TDs, and 7 INTs across 17 games last year. His 186.4 passing yards per game ranked 31st among 42 QBs that made 4+ starts.
Ward added 159 yards and two scores on the ground to finish 37th among QBs in fantasy points per game.
He turned in just one top-12 finish and landed outside the top 20 QBs in 10 of 17 outings.
Efficiency & Regression
Ward was one of the least effective passers in the league last year by most metrics. Among 42 QBs with 150+ attempts, he ranked:
- 36th in completion rate
- 37th in adjusted completion rate
- 35th in completion rate over expected
- 34th in on-target pass rate
- 39th in yards per attempt
- 37th in adjusted yards per attempt
- 41st in TD rate
- 38th in Pro Football Focus pass grade
Ward at least showed improvement down the stretch, throwing 2 TDs in each of his final four full games. His three best adjusted yards per attempt marks and two of his three best PFF passing grades also came over his final three outings.
Offensive Context
Ward didn’t get much help from his supporting cast last year.
Calvin Ridley was supposed to be Tennessee’s No. 1 WR but played just seven games. That left these guys as the team's top five targets:
- Elic Ayomanor
- Chig Okonkwo
- Chimere Dike
- Gunnar Helm
- Van Jefferson
The Titans ranked 27th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
The offensive line was a bit better, finishing 13th in PFF pass-blocking grade and 16th in ESPN pass-block win rate.
Ward also dealt with a midseason coaching change after Tennessee fired HC Brian Callahan in October.
Historical Production & Trends
Ward was the first overall pick of the 2025 draft after a highly productive college career.
He dominated at Incarnate Word, winning Freshman of the Year honors in 2020 and then leading the FCS with 47 passing TDs in 2021.
Ward parlayed that success into a starting job at Washington State, where he threw for 6,968 yards and 48 TDs on a 65.5% completion rate across the 2022 and 2023 seasons. He tacked on another 12 scores on the ground.
Ward then set career highs at Miami in 2024 in:
- Completion rate (67.2%)
- Passing yards (4,313)
- Yards per attempt (9.5)
He was named a first-team All-American and won the Davey O’Brien Award given to the nation’s top QB.
That résumé is why Tennessee is still betting on a Year 2 jump, and why fantasy managers should not write Ward off after one ugly season.
Injury History & Durability
Ward sprained the AC joint in his right shoulder in last year’s finale but avoided surgery and was able to throw in OTAs and minicamp. It shouldn’t impact his 2026 season.
Ward did not miss any time with injury in college.