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Christian Watson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChristian Watson's Basic Stats

Christian Watson
ADP: 16.12
Bye: 14
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 23.3
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 208
40 Time: 4.36
SPARQx (Rank): 125.40 (94%)
Burst Score (Rank): 133.50 (95%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.15 (61%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.41 (97%)

Christian Watson's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2 27.7 0.2 4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.3 38.5 0.2 5.3

Christian Watson's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#78 Wide Receiver

90 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
16.12 39.5 612.6 4.1 1.5 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChristian Watson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Watson is a towering presence at 6’4, 208 pounds.
  • He brings sprinter speed, too: The 22-year-old went on to clock a 4.36 forty at the Combine. He added strong times in the vertical (38.5 inches) and broad jump (11’4”).
  • A 2-star high school prospect, Watson landed in a run-heavy North Dakota offense and stayed for 4 seasons. He never posted huge numbers, maxing out with 732 yards (2019) and 800 yards (2021).
  • FBS defensive backs were no match for him, though. His tape turned up a physically superior talent with impressive build-up speed. Unsurprisingly, he posted some huge YPC totals.
  • He was far from perfect, however, posting a big 12.8% drop rate over the past 3 seasons. And a film study from our own Jared Smola turned up underwhelming route running and contested catch ability. There’s no doubt he’ll encounter a major adjustment in the pros.
  • Green Bay still took a shot on his raw tools, trading up to select him 34th overall.
  • The Packers moved on from Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling over the offseason. They leave ~240 vacated targets behind.
  • Green Bay also added rookie Romeo Doubs in Round 4. He joins an underwhelming WR corps that also includes veteran newcomer Sammy Watkins, Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb and Amari Rodgers.
  • Aaron Rodgers at least remains a top-tier passer. Last year, he ranked 3rd in PFF passing grade; 1st in QBR. We don’t see a significant decline risk, even at 39 (in December).

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Here’s what new Packers OC Adam Stenavich said about Watson at rookie minicamp:

“His combination of size and speed is great,” Stenavich said. “He's a big guy, he can move, he's going to be a problem once he figures things out.”

Note the last part of that quote. There’s no doubt Watson brings long-term intrigue, but his 2022 value figures to be inconsistent given his raw game. Ultimately, he’s not one of our preferred late-round targets.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Christian Watson, WR GB

4:34pm EDT 9/30/22

Watson back for Week 4

Packers WR Christian Watson (hamstring) isn’t listed on the final Week 4 injury report. We’ll see how big a role the rookie returns to vs. the Patriots on Sunday, but he can’t be trusted in fantasy lineups.

View all Christian Watson Shark Bites »

Packers WR Christian Watson (hamstring) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. That gives the rookie a shot to return for this weekend's game vs. the Patriots, although he wouldn't be a viable fantasy play.

View all Christian Watson Shark Bites »

Packers WR Romeo Doubs tallied 8 catches for 73 yards and 1 score in Week 3 at Tampa Bay. Fantasy owners were happy early, as the rookie notched 3-35-1 on Green Bay’s first drive alone. The score came on a goal line slant vs. off coverage. Overall, Doubs caught all of his targets and paced the team with a 22.8% target share against a strong Bucs secondary. Sunday’s outing did come with Christian Watson (hamstring) and Sammy Watkins (hamstring, IR) sidelined, but Doubs has earned a weekly role with his performance. Next up is a 3-game home stand vs. the Patriots, Giants and Jets.

View all Romeo Doubs Shark Bites »

As expected, Packers WRs Christian Watson (hamstring) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Bucs but WR Randall Cobb (illness) is active. We’re expecting to see Cobb as Green Bay’s primary slot receiver today, with WRs Allen Lazard and Romeo Doubs on the outside.

View all Christian Watson Shark Bites »

Packers WR Randall Cobb (illness) is "likely" to play vs. the Bucs today, per ESPN's Adam Schefter. But WR Christian Watson (hamstring) is not expected to play. With WR Sammy Watkins (hamstring) on IR, Green Bay will roll out Allen Lazard, Cobb, Romeo Doubs and Juwann Winfree as its top 4 WRs. Look for another RB-centric game plan from the Packers today.

View all Randall Cobb Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Christian Watson, WR GB
Dynasty MVP 99.5
Position Rank #62 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
316
565
800
Dynasty Write-up
Watson undoubtedly lands in an awesome spot for immediate fantasy opportunity. He’ll be catching passes from QB Aaron Rodgers on a WR depth chart that’s topped by Allen Lazard, Sammy Watkins and Randall Cobb. But we question whether Watson is ready for that opportunity. He’s coming from the FCS. And the tape showed a raw route runner with shaky hands. Watson’s long-term situation isn’t as friendly considering Rodgers is 38 and QB Jordan Love doesn’t look capable of succeeding him. Watson’s elite athleticism gives him a path to a big fantasy ceiling that was paved clearer by this landing spot. But he still comes with big bust potential.
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