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Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCourtland Sutton's Basic Stats

Courtland Sutton
ADP: 6.11
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.7
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 216
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 105.40
SPARQx (Rank): 118.00 (85%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.40 (57%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.68 (97%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.31 (91%)

Courtland Sutton's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Wide Receiver

142.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.11 68.9 1018.7 7 2.5 0.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCourtland Sutton's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Sutton spent most of last offseason rehabbing a September 2020 ACL tear. He avoided the PUP list to open training camp, played in Denver’s preseason finale and was active for Week 1.
  • Sutton finished the 2021 campaign with a 58-776-2 receiving line. He ranked 45th among WRs in PPR points, 47th in half-PPR points and 51st in non-PPR points.
  • Sutton had massive splits with and without WR Jerry Jeudy, who missed 6 games with a high-ankle sprain and 1 on the COVID list.
    • In those 7 games Jeudy missed, Sutton averaged 8.6 targets (24.6% share), 5.7 catches, 83.6 yards and .29 TDs. His PPR scoring average in those games would have ranked 13th among WRs for the season.
    • In 10 games with Jeudy, Sutton averaged just 3.8 targets (12.8%), 1.8 catches, 19.1 yards and 0 TDs. That’s 3.7 PPR points per game, which would have ranked 152nd among WRs for the season. Sutton didn’t finish as a top-45 PPR WR in any of those 10 weeks.
  • Sutton ranked 49th among 89 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 receiving grades. That was 2 spots ahead of Jeudy and 2 spots behind teammate Tim Patrick.
  • Sutton’s 1.43 yards per route run ranked 60th among those 89 qualifying WRs – behind both Jeudy (1.85) and Patrick (1.48).
  • Sutton was better over his first 2 NFL seasons.
    • He posted a 42-704-4 line and PPR WR50 finish as a rookie in 2018. He ranked 65th in PFF receiving grade and 58th in yards per route run among 79 qualifiers.
    • Sutton broke out with 1,112 yards and 6 scores on 72 catches in 2019, finishing 19th among WRs in PPR points. He ranked 13th in PFF grade and 12th in yards per route run among 79 qualifiers.
  • Sutton has dealt with subpar QB play throughout his time in Denver: Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater. The Broncos ranked 21st in 2018 PFF passing grade, 29th in 2019 and 19th last year.
  • QB Russell Wilson will be a big upgrade in 2022. He struggled after suffering a right finger injury last October. But Wilson was excellent before that and had shown no signs of decline the previous few seasons.
  • Sutton will play under a new coaching staff this offseason after the Broncos named Nathaniel Hackett their HC.
    • It’s Hackett’s first crack at a HC gig. He has 8 years of NFL OC experience: 2013-2014 with the Bills, 2016-2018 with the Jaguars and 2019-2021 with the Packers.
    • Hackett’s Bills and Jaguars offenses – piloted by E.J. Manuel, Kyle Orton and Blake Bortles – were run leaning. But Hackett went pass heavier when he hooked up with Aaron Rodgers. The Packers ranked 7th, 9th and 11th in situation-neutral pass rate the last 3 seasons.
  • With Wilson and Hackett in town, we’re projecting the Broncos to pass at a tangibly higher clip than they did last season.
  • Sutton will face similar target competition this season, with Jeudy, Patrick, Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon all back. The Broncos lost TE Noah Fant in the Russell Wilson trade but retain TE Albert Okwuegbunam and drafted TE Greg Dulcich in Round 3. They’ll also get WR K.J. Hamler back after last September’s torn ACL.
  • The Broncos gave Sutton a 4-year, $60.8 million extension in November, so the team obviously views him as a big part of their offense.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

It was a tale of 2 seasons for Sutton last year. He scored as PPR WR13 in 7 games without WR Jerry Jeudy but WR152 in 10 games with Jeudy. It’s worth remembering that he was coming off a September 2020 ACL tear – but it’s tough to blame that for the inconsistency.

Jeudy is back for 2022 – along with WR Tim Patrick. But Sutton is getting a huge QB upgrade in Russell Wilson and will be playing under a new coaching staff led by HC Nathaniel Hackett. Sutton also opened his NFL career with 2 promising seasons and is still just 26.

So, while the 2021 season is concerning, we’re open to a bounce-back campaign from Sutton. We’ll see this summer how his rapport develops with Wilson and where his ADP settles in fantasy drafts.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Javonte Williams, RB DEN

10:34am EST 1/9/22

Broncos fire Fangio

The Broncos fired HC Vic Fangio. He won just 7, 5 and 7 games across 3 seasons with Denver. No word yet on OC Pat Shurmur, but we imagine he'll also be gone. We'll see who GM George Paton tabs as his new HC.

Update: The Broncos have also fired OC Pat Shurmur, according to insider Mike Klis.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy was placed on the COVID list on Friday, making him a long shot to play vs. the Chargers on Sunday. WR Tim Patrick is also on the COVID list, so Denver will likely be down to WRs Courtland Sutton, Kendall Hinton and Diontae Spencer. Sutton and TEs Noah Fant and Albert Okwuegbunam should get target boosts this weekend, but it's still tough to get excited about any of them with QB Drew Lock.

View all Jerry Jeudy Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Tim Patrick has been placed on the COVID list. He'll likely miss Sunday's game vs. the Chargers. Patrick has averaged 5 targets per game this season, so his absence leaves some extra volume for Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant. It'd still be tough to trust any of those guys in Week 17 fantasy lineups.

View all Tim Patrick Shark Bites »

Broncos HC Vic Fangio confirmed on Wednesday that QB Teddy Bridgewater (concussion) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Raiders. QB Drew Lock will make his 1st start of the season in that one. The 3rd-year QB is the polar opposite of Bridgewater: big-armed, aggressive but inaccurate. We'll see exactly what Lock means for Denver's WRs, but we'd try to avoid Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick in Week 16 fantasy lineups.

View all Teddy Bridgewater Shark Bites »

The Broncos and WR Courtland Sutton have agreed to a 4-year, $60.8 million extension with $34.9 million guaranteed, his agency tells NFL Network. Sutton was set to hit free agency in March but is now signed with Denver through the 2025 season. Denver also recently extended WR Tim Patrick through 2024. WR Jerry Jeudy is also under team control through 2024. Now if the Broncos could just find a QB ...

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Courtland Sutton, WR DEN
Dynasty MVP 121.9
Position Rank #31 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
418
675
911
Dynasty Write-up
Sutton's 2020 ACL tear didn't seem to be a problem this year. His terrible target share in games with Jerry Jeudy definitely was, though. Sutton drew 24.6% of Broncos targets in games Jeudy missed vs. just 12.8% when Jeudy played. On the plus side, QB Russell Wilson's arrival boosts everyone.
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