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Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCourtland Sutton's Basic Stats

Courtland Sutton
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27.1
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 216
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 105.40
SPARQx (Rank): 118.00 (85%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.40 (57%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.68 (97%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.31 (91%)

Courtland Sutton's Weekly Outlook

Week 12 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.8 63.4 0.4 8.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.2 53.9 0.5 8.4

Courtland Sutton's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#16 Wide Receiver

159.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 73.5 1100 8.4 2.8 0.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCourtland Sutton's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Sutton spent most of last offseason rehabbing a September 2020 ACL tear. He avoided the PUP list to open training camp, played in Denver’s preseason finale and was active for Week 1.
  • Sutton finished the 2021 campaign with a 58-776-2 receiving line. He ranked 45th among WRs in PPR points, 47th in half-PPR points and 51st in non-PPR points.
  • Sutton had massive splits with and without WR Jerry Jeudy, who missed 6 games with a high-ankle sprain and 1 on the COVID list.
    • In those 7 games Jeudy missed, Sutton averaged 8.6 targets (24.6% share), 5.7 catches, 83.6 yards and .29 TDs. His PPR scoring average in those games would have ranked 13th among WRs for the season.
    • In 10 games with Jeudy, Sutton averaged just 3.8 targets (12.8%), 1.8 catches, 19.1 yards and 0 TDs. That’s 3.7 PPR points per game, which would have ranked 152nd among WRs for the season. Sutton didn’t finish as a top-45 PPR WR in any of those 10 weeks.
  • Sutton ranked 49th among 89 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 receiving grades. That was 2 spots ahead of Jeudy and 2 spots behind teammate Tim Patrick.
  • Sutton’s 1.43 yards per route run ranked 60th among those 89 qualifying WRs – behind both Jeudy (1.85) and Patrick (1.48).
  • Sutton was better over his first 2 NFL seasons.
    • He posted a 42-704-4 line and PPR WR50 finish as a rookie in 2018. He ranked 65th in PFF receiving grade and 58th in yards per route run among 79 qualifiers.
    • Sutton broke out with 1,112 yards and 6 scores on 72 catches in 2019, finishing 19th among WRs in PPR points. He ranked 13th in PFF grade and 12th in yards per route run among 79 qualifiers.
  • Sutton has dealt with subpar QB play throughout his time in Denver: Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater. The Broncos ranked 21st in 2018 PFF passing grade, 29th in 2019 and 19th last year.
  • QB Russell Wilson will be a big upgrade in 2022. He struggled after suffering a right finger injury last October. But Wilson was excellent before that and had shown no signs of decline the previous few seasons.
  • Sutton will play under a new coaching staff this offseason after the Broncos named Nathaniel Hackett their HC.
    • It’s Hackett’s first crack at a HC gig. He has 8 years of NFL OC experience: 2013-2014 with the Bills, 2016-2018 with the Jaguars and 2019-2021 with the Packers.
    • Hackett’s Bills and Jaguars offenses – piloted by E.J. Manuel, Kyle Orton and Blake Bortles – were run leaning. But Hackett went pass heavier when he hooked up with Aaron Rodgers. The Packers ranked 7th, 9th and 11th in situation-neutral pass rate the last 3 seasons.
  • With Wilson and Hackett in town, we’re projecting the Broncos to pass at a tangibly higher clip than they did last season.
  • Sutton will face similar target competition this season, with Jeudy, Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon all back. The Broncos lost TE Noah Fant in the Russell Wilson trade but retain TE Albert Okwuegbunam and drafted TE Greg Dulcich in Round 3. They’ll also get WR K.J. Hamler back after last September’s torn ACL, but Sutton does get a target boost with Tim Patrick out for the season (ACL tear).
  • The Broncos gave Sutton a 4-year, $60.8 million extension in November, so the team obviously views him as a big part of their offense.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

It was a tale of 2 seasons for Sutton last year. He scored as PPR WR13 in 7 games without WR Jerry Jeudy but WR152 in 10 games with Jeudy. It’s worth remembering that he was coming off a September 2020 ACL tear – but it’s tough to blame that for the inconsistency.

Jeudy is back for 2022 – but Tim Patrick isn't following a summer ACL tear. Sutton is getting a huge QB upgrade in Russell Wilson and will be playing under a new coaching staff led by HC Nathaniel Hackett. Sutton also opened his NFL career with 2 promising seasons and is still just 26.

So, while the 2021 season is concerning, we’re more than open to a bounce-back campaign from Sutton. He's a WR2 with immense upside.

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Jerry Jeudy, WR DEN

3:57pm EST 11/25/22

Jeudy out for Week 12

Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy (ankle) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Panthers. Kendall Hinton should again serve as Denver’s #2 WR. Jeudy’s absence also adds target upside for WR Courtland Sutton and TE Greg Dulcich.

View all Jerry Jeudy Shark Bites »

Broncos WRs Jerry Jeudy (ankle) and K.J. Hamler (hamstring) are out for Sunday's game vs. the Raiders. WR Kendall Hinton (shoulder) is listed as questionable. WR Courtland Sutton and TE Greg Dulcich should be Denver's top 2 targets in this weekend's plus matchup.

View all Jerry Jeudy Shark Bites »

Broncos QB Russell Wilson finished Sunday's game with his 2nd-largest passing-yardage total of the season. His 286 yards were his most since Week 1. But so were his 42 attempts. Wilson completed just half of those, while taking 6 sacks and tossing an INT. He did manage an OK 6.8 yards per attempt, thanks in part to a 66-yard TD connection with rookie WR Jalen Virgil. WR Courtland Sutton led the team with 11 targets, 6 receptions and 66 yards (tying Virgil). Denver was missing WR K.J. Hamler and lost WR Jerry Jeudy during the game. WR Kendall Hinton and RB Melvin Gordon tied for 2nd on the team with 4 catches apiece. Rookie TE Greg Dulcich endured a disappointing day, catching just 1 of 4 targets for 11 yards. The Broncos face a more generous Raiders defense in Week 11.

View all Russell Wilson Shark Bites »

Broncos QB Russell Wilson made it through his return from the hamstring injury in Sunday morning's victory over the Jaguars. He threw for 252 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT on 18-of-30 passing, adding 17 yards on the ground. Wilson targeted WR Jerry Jeudy most (7 times), connecting for a 6-63-1 receiving line. TE Greg Dulcich led the team with 87 receiving yards on 4 catches, finishing 2nd in targets (5). WR Courtland Sutton drew just 4 looks and caught only 1 for 13 yards. Denver likely welcomes a Week 9 bye and then gets 3 straight soft pass defenses: Titans, Raiders, Panthers.

View all Russell Wilson Shark Bites »

Broncos HC Nathaniel Hackett said Friday morning that QB Russell Wilson (hamstring) will start Sunday's game vs. the Jaguars, barring a setback between now and then. Wilson, of course, had been struggling even before this hamstring injury. He's just a QB2 in Week 8 fantasy lineups, but we'd still consider him a tangible upgrade over QB Brett Rypien.

View all Russell Wilson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Courtland Sutton, WR DEN
Dynasty MVP 131.7
Position Rank #25 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
466
753
889
Dynasty Write-up
Sutton's 2020 ACL tear didn't seem to be a problem last year. His terrible target share in games with Jerry Jeudy definitely was, though. Sutton drew 24.6% of Broncos targets in games Jeudy missed vs. just 12.8% when Jeudy played. On the plus side, QB Russell Wilson's arrival boosts everyone.

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