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Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Courtland Sutton
DEN

WR DEN

#23 Wide Receiver

144 Projected Points

ADP: 7.8
Bye: 11
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 218
40 Time: 4.54

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Wide Receiver

144 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
7.8 70 1021 7 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

121

DS Projection

144

Consensus

38 other sites
149.9

Low Ceiling

172.8

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Sutton sprained the AC joint in his right shoulder a few days before the start of last season and missed the opener.
  • He returned for Week 2 but lasted just 31 snaps before suffering a season-ending torn ACL and MCL in his left knee.
  • Sutton had resumed jogging by February and was running routes in March. He said in mid-May that the “game plan” is to be ready for training camp.
  • Sutton was the 40th overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft after totaling 2,331 yards and 22 TDs over his final 2 seasons at SMU.
  • He posted a 42-704-4 line and WR50 PPR finish as a rookie in 2018.
  • Sutton boosted his numbers across the board in 2019: 72 catches, 1,112 yards and 6 TDs. All 3 marks easily led the Broncos. Sutton finished 19th among WRs in PPR points and 18th in non-PPR.
  • Among 79 WRs with 50+ targets in 2019, Sutton ranked 12th in yards per route run and 13th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • He’ll face much tougher target competition this year than he did back in 2019. WRs Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler should take steps forward in their 2nd seasons. And TE Noah Fant is still on the ascent entering year 3.
  • The Broncos traded for QB Teddy Bridgewater in April. He’ll compete with QB Drew Lock for the starting job.
  • Bridgewater sports a career 66.5% completion rate and 7.3 yards per attempt average -- much better than Lock’s 59.1% completion rate and 6.6 yards per attempt through 2 seasons.
  • Whether Lock takes a significant step forward in 2021 or Bridgewater beats him out, Denver should get better QB play this season than last.
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
    • The 2020 Broncos ranked 19th in pass attempts and 20th in pass rate.
    • Shurmur has tended to be a pass-leaning play caller, with 9 of his previous 11 NFL offenses finishing top 16 in pass attempts.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We’ll track Sutton’s recovery from last September’s torn ACL and MCL throughout the summer. But the timing of the injury means he should be ready come Week 1.

Sutton looked like an ascending star before that injury, posting a 42-704-4 line as a rookie and then finishing as a top-20 fantasy WR in 2019. Target competition and QB play in Denver are valid concerns heading into this season. But Sutton has the talent to produce nice numbers in spite of those issues.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton (knee) will be "managed" early on in training camp, HC Vic Fangio said Tuesday. Now a little over 10 months removed from his torn ACL, Sutton seems to be trending toward being ready for the season opener. “I feel very close to 100%," he said. "The last percent I need is football.” We'll continue to track his progress.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

According to ESPN's Jeff Legwold, Broncos HC Vic Fangio said this month that he "fully" expects WR Courtland Sutton to be ready for the regular season. That follows in line with other positive offseason reports on the 4th-year wideout. Sutton, of course, is working back from a Week 1 ACL tear. The team will monitor him throughout summer workouts and likely keep him on some sort of pitch count for preseason games and training-camp practices. We'll certainly watch reports on Sutton throughout the summer. His current ADP just outside the top 30 at WR, though, makes him easy to take some chances on.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton (knee) won't start training camp on the PUP list, HC Vic Fangio said. Sutton is still rehabbing last September's torn ACL and MCL. But he'll evidently at least be ready for some work at the start of camp and is on track to be on the field for the season opener. We'll continue to track his progress.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton has resumed jogging as he works his way back from September's torn ACL. “I’m very grateful to be on-track and be feeling good with the spot I’m in," Sutton told the Denver Post. The timing of Sutton's injury means that he should be ready to go for the start of the 2021 campaign. The 25-year-old broke out for a 72-1,112-6 line in his 2019 sophomore season, finishing 19th among WRs in PPR points. QB play is still a concern in Denver, but Sutton should at least be drafted as an upside WR3 in early best balls.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton suffered a torn ACL in Sunday's loss to the Steelers, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That obviously ends Sutton's season. It also likely means a starting spot going forward for Tim Patrick, who led Broncos wideouts in snaps at Pittsburgh. Jerry Jeudy's target ceiling climbs as well, but he'll be playing with backup QB Jeff Driskel for the next 2-6 weeks. Perhaps that's not truly a downgrade from Drew Lock (AC joint sprain), but this promises to be a volatile pass offense going forward. Sutton might be worth a price check on the buyer's market for dynasty owners. He'll be 25 when the 2021 season begins.

Update: Sutton also reportedly tore the MCL in the same knee. We'll see about his recovery in the offseason.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

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