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Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Courtland Sutton
DEN

WR DEN

#25 Wide Receiver

142 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 218
40 Time: 4.54

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

High Floor

7.4

DS Projection

9.3

Consensus

38 other sites
9

Low Ceiling

13

Rest of
Season

9.4

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.6 68.6 0.4 9.3
Weekly Writeup
Sunday might be Sutton’s last with Jerry Jeudy sidelined (high-ankle sprain). But it’s a nice matchup, as Sutton should see a good bit of 5’8 CB Amik Robertson. He's also hit 8 targets in 3 of his past 4 matchups.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 70 0.4 9.4
Week 5
Sutton entered Week 5 questionable with an ankle injury he suffered in Friday’s practice, but you wouldn’t have known it from his performance.

Sutton drew a game-high 11 targets in Sunday’s loss at Pittsburgh, catching 7 for 120 yards. The big strike was a 39-yard TD in the 4th quarter.

Sutton has averaged 9 targets, 6 receptions and 90.8 yards per game in 4 contests since Jerry Jeudy went down in Week 1. It’s not yet clear how soon Denver can expect to get Jeudy back, so we can expect Sutton to remain the lead wideout for at least the foreseeable fantasy future.
Week 4
Sutton caught just 3 of his 8 targets against the Ravens for 47 yards. While the volume was great to see, including an even split of targets from both QBs, the production left a lot to be desired.

The good news is despite the lack of production, this was the 2nd most targets and yards he has produced all season. He also saw the 2nd most targets after Lock took over in the 2nd half.

Going forward, Lock starting might be a win for Sutton. While the targets won’t be nearly as accurate, the air yards and big play opportunities should grow. It will be a bit more boom or bust, but Sutton is a compelling option this week.
Week 3
Sutton caught all 5 of his targets for 37 yards against the Jets in Week 3. This was a sizable departure from the 12 targets he saw the week prior. Clearly the coaching staff knew this game would provide little need to pummel their star WR with volume.

Going forward, there is little reason to doubt Sutton. With Jerry Jeudy still missing time and K.J. Hamler leaving this game with a torn ACL, Sutton's volume should be locked and loaded the rest of the way. Denver still has 2 matchups with Kansas City, Las Vegas and the Chargers. Denver will be forced to throw with those three dynamic offenses. Sutton could prove to be one of the biggest values from draft season.
Week 2
With a forgettable Week 1 in the rear-view mirror, Jerry Jeudy (ankle) was on IR and Sutton became the clear alpha WR for Teddy Bridgewater. Even though the duo missed on 1 deep pass and another potentially long TD early in the game, Sutton was targeted on 12 of Bridgewater’s 34 passes, and his 159 yards made him the only Denver receiver over 37 yards in the contest. Not only did the QB have time to throw, but the Jaguars’ CBs were no match for Sutton.
At least while Jeudy is out, it would appear that Sutton will continue to see a high number of targets each week. It also helps that even with the Broncos winning their first 2 games, that they’re willing to throw a little more than half the time, so there should be plenty of opportunity. However, it’s fair to wonder that when Jeudy comes back if the top 2 WRs will be treated as co # 1s, which would limit Sutton’s overall fantasy ceiling in many games.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Sutton sprained the AC joint in his right shoulder a few days before the start of last season and missed the opener.
  • He returned for Week 2 but lasted just 31 snaps before suffering a season-ending torn ACL and MCL in his left knee.
  • Sutton had resumed jogging by February and was running routes in March. He said in mid-May that the “game plan” is to be ready for training camp.
  • Sutton was the 40th overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft after totaling 2,331 yards and 22 TDs over his final 2 seasons at SMU.
  • He posted a 42-704-4 line and WR50 PPR finish as a rookie in 2018.
  • Sutton boosted his numbers across the board in 2019: 72 catches, 1,112 yards and 6 TDs. All 3 marks easily led the Broncos. Sutton finished 19th among WRs in PPR points and 18th in non-PPR.
  • Among 79 WRs with 50+ targets in 2019, Sutton ranked 12th in yards per route run and 13th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • He’ll face much tougher target competition this year than he did back in 2019. WRs Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler should take steps forward in their 2nd seasons. And TE Noah Fant is still on the ascent entering year 3.
  • The Broncos traded for QB Teddy Bridgewater in April. He’ll compete with QB Drew Lock for the starting job.
  • Bridgewater sports a career 66.5% completion rate and 7.3 yards per attempt average -- much better than Lock’s 59.1% completion rate and 6.6 yards per attempt through 2 seasons.
  • Whether Lock takes a significant step forward in 2021 or Bridgewater beats him out, Denver should get better QB play this season than last.
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
    • The 2020 Broncos ranked 19th in pass attempts and 20th in pass rate.
    • Shurmur has tended to be a pass-leaning play caller, with 9 of his previous 11 NFL offenses finishing top 16 in pass attempts.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We’ll track Sutton’s recovery from last September’s torn ACL and MCL throughout the summer. But the timing of the injury means he should be ready come Week 1.

Sutton looked like an ascending star before that injury, posting a 42-704-4 line as a rookie and then finishing as a top-20 fantasy WR in 2019. Target competition and QB play in Denver are valid concerns heading into this season. But Sutton has the talent to produce nice numbers in spite of those issues.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton is active for today’s game vs. the Steelers. He was a game-time decision after rolling his ankle in Friday’s practice. It obviously adds risk to Sutton’s Week 5 fantasy profile.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton (ankle) is a game-time decision for today's tilt with the Steelers, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Sutton rolled his ankle in Friday's practice, although inside Mike Klis reported that it's "not overly serious." We'll get Sutton's game status around 11:30 am ET.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton injured his ankle in Friday's practice and is listed as questionable for this weekend's game vs. the Steelers. Already down Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler, Denver would be left with WRs Tim Patrick, Kendall Hinton, David Moore and Diontae Spencer if Sutton is out. Stay tuned for updates on his status.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton (knee) put in a full week of practice and isn't listed on the final injury report. He'll be out there for Sunday's opener vs. the Giants. We haven't heard anything about a snap count for Sutton, but he carries slightly elevated risk in his 1st regular-season action since last September's torn ACL.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton hauled in 2 of 3 targets for 27 yards and a score in Saturday night's preseason finale vs. the Rams. It was Sutton's 1st live action since tearing his ACL last September. He looked good to us -- and ESPN medical expert Stephania Bell noted that Sutton cut well off his surgically repaired knee. His fantasy value is trending up after this outing. Sutton brings plenty of profit potential at a 7th- or 8th-round price tag.

View all Courtland Sutton Shark Bites »

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