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Drew Lock - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Drew Lock


#36 Quarterback

59 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.69

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lock started the final 5 games of his 2019 rookie season, averaging 204 yards, 1.4 TDs and .6 INTs per game on a 64.1% completion rate and 6.5 yards per attempt.
    • One of those games was a big 309-yard, 3-TD effort vs. the Texans. Lock didn’t top 208 yards or 6.3 yards per attempt in any of the other 4.
    • Over those 5 weeks, Lock ranked 27th among 32 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus passing grades.
  • Lock started and played 12 full games last year. In those, he averaged 243 yards, 1.3 TDs and 1.2 INTs per game on a 57.8% completion rate and 6.7 yards per attempt.
    • His fantasy-scoring average in those games ranked 25th among QBs. He scored at a QB1 level in 3 of those 12 outings.
    • Lock ranked 28th in PFF passing grade among 32 qualifiers last year -- although his grade did improve from 2019 to 2020.
  • Lock sprained his right thumb as a rookie and missed 2 games last year with a sprained AC joint in his right shoulder. He also suffered a rib injury last year and missed another game after landing on the COVID list as a close contact.
  • Denver traded a 6th-round pick for QB Teddy Bridgewater in April. They’re reportedly interested in QB Aaron Rodgers (duh), but they passed on QBs in this year’s draft. They notably had a shot at Ohio State’s Justin Fields and Alabama’s Mac Jones at pick #9.
  • Barring a trade for Rodgers, Lock and Bridgewater will battle for the starting job this summer. HC Vic Fangio said those 2 will split reps “50/50” in training camp.
  • Bridgewater has been more efficient than Lock through this point in their careers, with a 66.5% completion rate and 7.3 yards per attempt vs. Lock’s 59.1% and 6.6.
  • Bridgewater beat Lock in PFF passing grade each of the past 2 years.
  • Lock is still capable of taking a step forward. He’s just 24 with 17 NFL games under his belt. He worked with Peyton Manning this offseason to put together an extensive workout plan that included multiple throwing sessions, film sessions and footwork refinement.
  • If Lock wins the starting job, he’ll be working with a strong group of pass-catchers in Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant and K.J. Hamler.
  • Lock has also averaged 13.6 rushing yards in his 17 full games. That’s a full-season pace of 218 yards that would have ranked 15th among QBs last year.
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
    • The 2020 Broncos ranked 19th in pass attempts and 20th in pass rate.
    • Shurmur has tended to be a pass-leaning play caller, with 9 of his previous 11 NFL offenses finishing top 16 in pass attempts.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lock has not been good through 2 NFL seasons -- in real life or fantasy football.

The only move Denver made at QB this offseason, though, was adding Teddy Bridgewater. That tells us they’re still holding out hope for Lock but wanted a viable backup plan in case he doesn’t take a step forward in 2021.

Lock and Bridgewater will duke it out for the starting job this summer. If Lock wins it, he’ll carry some fantasy intrigue thanks to Denver’s strong group of pass-catchers and some rushing ability.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Broncos QB Drew Lock is questionable to return to Sunday's game vs. the Chargers with a right shoulder injury. We'll update his status when we know more. QB Brett Rypien is in for Denver.

Update: Lock returned in the 2nd quarter.

View all Drew Lock Shark Bites »

Broncos HC Vic Fangio said he was pleased with the performance from each of his top 2 QBs in Saturday's preseason opener against the Vikings. Drew Lock started, completed 5 of 7 passes for 151 yards and tossed a pair of TDs -- including an 80-yard connection with K.J. Hamler. Teddy Bridgewater then went 7-of-8 for 74 yards and another TD. "I don't think any separation happened today," Fangio said of the QB competition afterward, according to Andrew Mason of DNVR. Bridgewater is expected to start the next game.

View all Drew Lock Shark Bites »

The Broncos listed QBs Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater as co-starters on the first unofficial depth chart. Per HC Vic Fangio, Lock will start Week 1 of the preseason vs. Minnesota; Bridgewater will start Week 2 against Seattle. Fangio said Lock is getting the first crack at starting because he’s the returning veteran — not because he’s outplayed Bridgewater. We ultimately expect both passers to make starts in 2021.

View all Drew Lock Shark Bites »

The Broncos are giving 1st reps to QB Drew Lock as training camp begins. But it doesn’t sound like we should read too much into that. "We have these first four days. Everything was 50-50 in OTA. We will take look after the first off day. Then maybe do a day where one gets 70 and the other 30 reps,” Fangio said, according to Troy Renck. “It's going to be 50-50." Expect an even split early. We’ll look for signs that either Lock or Teddy Bridgewater is taking the lead in their competition.

View all Drew Lock Shark Bites »

Broncos QB Drew Lock worked with Peyton Manning to put together an extensive offseason workout plan that includes multiple throwing sessions, footwork work and film sessions every day, according to NFL Network's James Palmer. 2021 feels like a make-or-break year for Lock after 2 mostly disappointing seasons to start his NFL career. Denver made a cheap trade for QB Teddy Bridgewater this offseason but didn't add a QB in the draft, so the door remains wide open for Lock to be the 2021 starter. And he certainly has the weapons to be a fantasy factor. We'll monitor the Lock vs. Bridgewater battle all summer.

View all Drew Lock Shark Bites »

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