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Drew Lock - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDrew Lock's Basic Stats

Drew Lock
ADP: 21.12
Bye: 11
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.6
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.69
SPARQx (Rank): 103.50 (88%)
Burst Score (Rank): 110.30 (48%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.15 (82%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 54.00 (37%)

Drew Lock's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#46 Quarterback

174.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
21.12 218.4/364 2584.4 16.1 8.8 36 147.6 3.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDrew Lock's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Lock was shipped from Denver to Seattle as part of the Russell Wilson trade in March.
  • Lock made 21 starts across 3 seasons with the Broncos, departing with a 59.3% completion rate and 6.7 yards per attempt.
    • Those marks rank 39th and 31st, respectively, among 40 QBs with 500+ attempts over the last 3 seasons.
    • Lock ranks 36th out of those 40 QBs in adjusted yards per pass attempt and 37th in QB Rating.
  • Lock finished as a top-12 fantasy QB in 6 of his 21 starts with Denver (29%).
  • Seattle re-signed QB Geno Smith to a 1-year, $3.5 million deal in April. HC Pete Carroll and OC Shane Waldron said in May that Smith opens the offseason atop the depth chart. But Waldron added, "We have a long way to go to see where this competition (goes).”
  • Carroll conceded that Lock needs to cut down on the turnovers:
    • "Unfortunately for him, his play has come about where there are a lot of turnovers in his game and that just doesn’t fit with us. We have to fix that and change his mentality and do the things to help him be his best."
  • The Seahawks return 1 of the best WR duos in the league in D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. And they upgraded at TE, acquiring Noah Fant in the Russell Wilson trade.
  • The 2021 Seahawks ranked 31st in pass attempts and 24th in situation-neutral pass rate … with Russell Wilson. This will again be a run-centric offense in 2022.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lock flopped in Denver over the past 3 seasons. He figures to get another shot to start in Seattle, with Geno Smith the competition. But, even with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to throw to, Lock is unlikely to be a fantasy asset in Seattle’s run-heavy offense.

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Geno Smith, QB SEA

10:10am EDT 6/10/22

Still in the lead?

Let's start with HC Pete Carroll's full quote on the Geno Smith-Drew Lock competition after Thursday's practice (per Liz Matthews of Seahawks Wire: “Geno’s still ahead, you can tell that, but it’s not going to be too much for Drew to be caught up. By the time we get through camp he’ll be there. He’s really bright. It makes sense to him. He’s really sharp in the huddle and at the line of scrimmage and all of that. So it’s just time that he needs, and there’s nothing we can do but gain some more of that.” You could easily read that and come away with the headline that Smith is the leader in the race for the starting gig. It sure seems like Carroll is expecting (hoping?) Lock to catch up and potentially overtake him, though. Carroll added that "it's gonna be a real battle." It's not surprising that the incumbent stands ahead at this early stage. We'd still bet Lock between them as the Week 1 starter, though. And we also still wouldn't rule out the possibility of the team adding someone else, such as Baker Mayfield.

View all Geno Smith Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Michael-Shawn Dugar projects Geno Smith as Seattle's starting QB in his post-draft depth chart, with Drew Lock as the #2. "But this will be an open competition that may not see a winner until the third and final preseason game," Dugar concedes. The Seahawks will have arguably the worst QB play in the NFL regardless of who's under center this season, barring a trade for someone like Baker Mayfield or Jimmy Garoppolo. Neither Smith nor Lock is worth a pick in early best-ball drafts.

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Per Ian Rapoport, the Seahawks have re-signed QB Geno Smith to a 1-year deal worth $7 million. It’s a nice sum for Smith, who Rapoport says has “a chance to push for starter reps and more" this summer. Of course, Seattle added Drew Lock last month, and there’s no question that they could spend an early pick on a rookie passer. The Seahawks hold 8 picks, with 3 in the top-41.

View all Geno Smith Shark Bites »

The Broncos placed QB Teddy Bridgewater (concussion) on IR. It's confirmation that QB Drew Lock will start Saturday's finale vs. the Chiefs. Bridgewater is set to hit the free-agent market in March.

View all Teddy Bridgewater Shark Bites »

Broncos QB Drew Lock is questionable to return to Sunday's game vs. the Chargers with a right shoulder injury. We'll update his status when we know more. QB Brett Rypien is in for Denver.

Update: Lock returned in the 2nd quarter.

View all Drew Lock Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Drew Lock, QB SEA
Dynasty MVP 202.5
Position Rank #33 QB
3yr Projection
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Dynasty Write-up

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