Drew Lock - Fantasy Points Outlook

What You Need to Know:

• Lock was shipped from Denver to Seattle as part of the Russell Wilson trade in March.
• Lock made 21 starts across 3 seasons with the Broncos, departing with a 59.3% completion rate and 6.7 yards per attempt.
  • Those marks rank 39th and 31st, respectively, among 40 QBs with 500+ attempts over the last 3 seasons.
  • Lock ranks 36th out of those 40 QBs in adjusted yards per pass attempt and 37th in QB Rating.
• Lock finished as a top-12 fantasy QB in 6 of his 21 starts with Denver (29%).
• Seattle re-signed QB Geno Smith to a 1-year, $3.5 million deal in April. HC Pete Carroll and OC Shane Waldron said in May that Smith opens the offseason atop the depth chart. But Waldron added, "We have a long way to go to see where this competition (goes).”
• Carroll conceded that Lock needs to cut down on the turnovers:
  • "Unfortunately for him, his play has come about where there are a lot of turnovers in his game and that just doesn’t fit with us. We have to fix that and change his mentality and do the things to help him be his best."
• The Seahawks return 1 of the best WR duos in the league in D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. And they upgraded at TE, acquiring Noah Fant in the Russell Wilson trade.
• The 2021 Seahawks ranked 31st in pass attempts and 24th in situation-neutral pass rate … with Russell Wilson. This will again be a run-centric offense in 2022.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lock flopped in Denver over the past 3 seasons. He figures to get another shot to start in Seattle, with Geno Smith the competition. But, even with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to throw to, Lock is unlikely to be a fantasy asset in Seattle’s run-heavy offense.