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Sam Darnold - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsSam Darnold's Basic Stats

Sam Darnold
ADP: 21.1
Bye: 13
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 25.0
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.85
SPARQx (Rank): 82.90 (25%)
Burst Score (Rank): 98.90 (7%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.36 (64%)

Sam Darnold's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#44 Quarterback

157.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
21.1 212.4/351 2341.8 13.4 10.2 39 163.8 2.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsSam Darnold's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • New team, same result: Darnold isn’t very good.
  • He started 2021 solidly, completing 67.8% of passes at 8.1 yards per attempt with 5 TDs (and 3 INTs) and tallying 3 games of more than 300 yards. But he didn’t reach 220 yards again in 8 more appearances, averaging just 167.3 per game the rest of the way.
  • Carolina tried some P.J. Walker and Cam Newton, but neither fared much better. The team then drafted Matt Corral in Round 3. Rumors now have a Baker Mayfield trade nearing.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

It’s not worth digging further into Darnold’s numbers. He’s had 4 years with 2 teams to show he doesn’t stink, but his TD rate and yards per attempt have fallen vs. the beginning of his career. The only reason to draft Darnold is to take a chance at stacking him with a Panthers pass-catcher as the 3rd QB on your best-ball roster. Even that move has a shot to leave you with a dead roster spot.

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Matt Corral, QB CAR

6:39am EDT 6/16/22

Corral has work to do

Speaking at minicamp, Panthers HC Matt Rhule indicated that QB Matt Corral isn’t close to earning the starting job. “He has a good spirit, a good demeanor about him when he walks in the building. And I think he understands there’s no timetable for him,” Rhule said Tuesday. “I think he has that sense of urgency when he works. I respect the way he works. But he has a lot to learn. A lot to learn.” None of this should be shocking — it’s June, and Corral’s a Round 3 rookie. Still, with Sam Darnold running with the starters and Carolina reportedly very interested in Baker Mayfield, Corral’s path to year 1 snaps looks rough. He’s a dynasty-only stash for now.

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CBS' Jonathan Jones reports that the Browns and Panthers are involved in trade talks "surrounding" QB Baker Mayfield. Jones reports that there's "urgency" for Carolina to make a move early enough to get Mayfield some minicamp reps with the team. He adds that the Panthers' offer is the best Cleveland has gotten and that the primary sticking point is how much of Mayfield's 2022 salary the Browns would pay. The QB is in the 5th and final year of his rookie contract and will likely face a "prove it" year, with unrestricted free agency ahead in March 2023. He makes obvious sense for Carolina, which currently sports Sam Darnold and Matt Corral as the top 2 options. And the relationship between Mayfield and the Browns looks finished. Mayfield hasn't proved to be a high-upside fantasy QB through 4 seasons, but the Panthers would set him up with nice pass-catching talent -- led by D.J. Moore and Christian McCaffrey. Stacking him with 1 or both players in best-ball tournament lineups now would be a low-risk, high-upside move.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

According to beat writer Jonathan Alexander, Panthers QB Sam Darnold “seems primed" to start the season opener vs. Cleveland. Alexander points to Darnold's experience and performance at OTAs thus far as supporting evidence. While Darnold’s a near lock to start Week 1, the smart money is on rookie Matt Corral taking over at some point in 2022.

View all Sam Darnold Shark Bites »

The Panthers' starting QB job is "up for grabs," GM Scott Fitterer said. Fitterer said that Sam Darnold "is the number one guy right now" and "has every opportunity to take it and run with it." But he also added that QB Matt Corral will play if he “gives us the best opportunity to win.” Frankly, it's a win for the rookie that the GM isn't fully committing to the veteran at this point of the offseason. If it's truly an open competition in training camp, Corral has a shot to be under center come Week 1.

View all Matt Corral Shark Bites »

The Panthers chose QB Matt Corral in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. Corral’s college career infamously finished with a high-ankle sprain in the Sugar Bowl. Before that, though, came a pair of successful starting seasons under HC Lane Kiffin. Corral threw 49 TDs vs. 19 INTs over those 2 campaigns, cutting his turnovers down as a senior. More importantly for fantasy, he also tallied 1,120 yards and 15 TDs on the ground in an RPO-heavy offense. Corral doesn’t look like a future fantasy stud, but he could be a useful QB2. He’ll immediately push QB Sam Darnold for the starting job in Carolina.

View all Matt Corral Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Sam Darnold, QB CAR
Dynasty MVP 137.9
Position Rank #44 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
479
797
946
Dynasty Write-up
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