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Garrett Wilson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsGarrett Wilson's Basic Stats

Garrett Wilson
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 192
40 Time: 4.38

Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (57%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.01 (53%)

Garrett Wilson's Weekly Outlook

Week 8 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.8 56.5 0.43 8.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 69.6 0.4 9.8

Garrett Wilson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Wide Receiver

256.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 91.6 1170.8 7.38 0.1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsGarrett Wilson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Wilson’s tallied 2,145 yards over his first two seasons. Since 1990, only 17 WRs have exceeded that yardage across years one and two.

So Wilson’s enjoyed a strong start – despite lousy QB play. That figures to change in 2024, as long as Aaron Rodgers stays on the field.

Rodgers’ health adds a layer of fragility to Wilson’s fantasy outlook. But the upside here makes the investment worthwhile – provided you can land him near the 1-2 turn or beyond.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Wilson lost Aaron Rodgers to a Week 1 Achilles tear. Surprisingly, it didn’t torpedo his season.
    • The former Round 1 pick finished as the WR24 in PPR.
    • He simply lacked a high-end ceiling, scoring only 3 times while catching balls from Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, and Tim Boyle.
    • Wilson cracked the top 10 in a given week only once (Week 14 vs. Houston).
  • Wilson was a true target-earner.
    • He saw 168 targets -- 4th most in the league.
    • He led the NFL in percentage of his team’s air yards (44.8%)
    • Wilson ranked T-5th among 153 qualifers in ESPN's Open Score. Essentially, he excelled as a pure separator.
  • Given the awful QB play, Wilson’s efficiency metrics weren’t great.
    • He posted just 11 yards per catch, 3.4 yards after catch per reception, and 1.55 yards per route run -- all steps down from his '22 production.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Aaron Rodgers is on track to begin the season at 100%
    • Clearly, he’s an upgrade from what Wilson played with in 2023.
    • Still, in 2022, Rodgers fell below career averages in yards per attempt (6.8), completion rate (64.6%), and yards per game (217).
  • Wilson’s volume will remain strong.
    • New York added Mike Williams and Round 3 WR Malachi Corley to the WR corps this offseason.
    • Williams’ effectiveness is questionable after a Week 3 ACL tear last fall.
    • Corley brings a feisty run-after-catch skill set but doesn’t project for a sizable target share.
  • The 2023 Jets, despite QB issues, ranked 5th in pass rate; 13th in pass rate over expected. Look for their pass-centric ways to remain following the return of Rodgers and OC Nathaniel Hackett.

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Davante Adams, WR NYJ

9:36am EDT 10/21/24

Davante Adams Struggles Despite Solid Volume

Jets WR Davante Adams wasn’t limited in his first game with the Jets. Coming off a hamstring strain, the veteran played 55 snaps and ran 39 routes – only one fewer than Garrett Wilson. Still, Adams caught only 33% of his targets in Sunday’s blowout loss to Pittsburgh.

View Full Story »

New Jets WR Davante Adams is "planning" to play vs. the Steelers on Sunday night, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. We'll see if Adams' (alleged) hamstring injury impacts his practice week. Considering his long history with QB Aaron Rodgers, we'd expect his transition to a new team to be much smoother than it is for most WRs who move in-season. The matchup is tough against Pittsburgh's fourth-ranked WR defense, but Adams will certainly be startable for most fantasy teams.

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NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that the Raiders are finalizing a deal to send WR Davante Adams to the Jets for a conditional draft pick that could become a second-rounder at peak.

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Todd Downing will replace Nathaniel Hackett as the Jets' play-caller, interim HC Jeff Ulbrich announced on Thursday. While defensive-minded HC Robert Saleh was canned earlier this week, the offense has been the real problem in New York. The Jets rank 23rd in points, 27th in total yards, and 27th in yards per play. That's largely on Hackett, who has deployed a stale offense. We're just not sure it'll get much better with Downing. He's spent three seasons as an NFL OC, one with the Raiders and two with the Titans. Those offenses ranked 17th, 17th, and 30th in total yards. QB Aaron Rodgers is on board with the move, according to insider Connor Hughes. We'll get our first look at Downing's offense in Monday night's Jets vs. Bills game.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

The New York Jets have fired Head Coach Robert Saleh after the Jets started with a 2-3 record. They are coming off a 23-17 loss to the Vikings in the UK. Defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich is being named the interim head coach and will coach the team on Monday when they face off against the Buffalo Bills.

View Full Story »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Garrett Wilson, WR NYJ
Dynasty MVP 55.3
Position Rank #10 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
420
687
1,286
Dynasty Write-up
Considering the issues at QB, you have to consider Wilson's second season (95-1,042-3) a success. He's set to get Aaron Rodgers back in 2024, but he's obviously not the long-term solution.
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