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Garrett Wilson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsGarrett Wilson's Basic Stats

Garrett Wilson
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 192
40 Time: 4.38
Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (58%)

Garrett Wilson's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 58.5 0.2 7.1
Weekly Writeup
Zach Wilson coming back gives a shot in the arm for Garrett Wilson who has a chance to rebound. In the 10 games togethers, Garrett has 5 with double digit targets. Despite this, it is hard to expect anything more than WR2 numbers this week, especially with Wilson matching up with Derek Stingley.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.6 63 0.3 8

Garrett Wilson's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#27 Wide Receiver

128.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 73.4 1008.1 5 2.5 1.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsGarrett Wilson's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Wilson excelled as a Round 1 rookie despite awful QB play.

Year two brings greater target competition, but more importantly, the arrival of QB Aaron Rodgers. If fed another target share around 25% – as projected – Wilson should finish as a WR1.

With an ADP in Round 2, however, fantasy drafters shouldn’t expect to get him at a discount.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Wilson led all rookies in catches and receiving yards.
    • He posted the 13th most receiving yards by a rookie in league history.
  • He tallied five top-12 PPR fantasy finishes, with four coming over the final seven games.
  • Among 41 WRs with 40+ targets, Wilson ranked ninth in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, 16th in yards per catch, 14th in yards after catch per reception, and 23rd in yards per route run.
  • Wilson earned a 25% target share – an elite mark. Only 5 WRs topped his 147 targets.
  • He caught only 59.7% of his targets, despite only two drops.
  • All told, Wilson’s tape showed excellent separation skills and a knack for making tough catches.
  • That he delivered with Zach WIlson, Joe Flacco, and Mike White only solidifies his high-end talent.
  • Despite a relatively thin frame, Wilson didn’t miss any games due to injury.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Wilson received a major QB upgrade with the arrival of Aaron Rodgers.
  • Rodgers’ play declined from its MVP level in 2020 and 2021, but he still ranked top-12 in Pro Football Focus passing grade and second in on-target percentage (per Pro Football Reference).
  • WRs Allen Lazard and Mecole Hardman signed in free agency.
    • Lazard brings five years of experience alongside Rodgers but is maxed out as a real-life WR2.
    • Hardman never delivered on his Round 2 draft capital in Kansas City. He’s also coming off February groin surgery.
  • WR Corey Davis has been a cut/trade candidate this offseason but appears likely to stick around. He’s missed 11 games over the past two seasons.
  • The Jets let go of OC Mike LaFleur and brought in Rodgers’ former OC, Nathaniel Hackett.
    • Hackett flopped as HC in Denver, but his reunion with Rodgers should only help this offense perform at its peak.
  • Current projections have the Jets at 588 pass attempts, a figure that would’ve ranked 10th in 2022.
  • Only 23, Wilson should remain on the ascent entering his first full NFL offseason. We'll just need to keep an eye on a low-ankle sprain suffered at training camp in late July.

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C.J. Stroud, QB HOU

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Texans-Jets weather update

The forecast for today's Texans-Jets game calls for a near 100% chance of rain. Winds will be at 10-15 mph with potential gusts of 30+. Tough conditions for the passing and kicking games. This over/under has dropped from 38.5 to 33.0. The Texans are implied for only 18.0 points. Check out the updated projections for this game.

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Jets HC Robert Saleh announced Wednesday that he's going back to QB Zach Wilson as the starter for Week 14 vs. the Texans and for the rest of the season. Wilson was bad over the first 10 games of the season, completing 59% of his passes at 6.1 yards per attempt. But QBs Tim Boyle and Trevor Siemian combined for 5.2 yards per attempt on a 60.5% completion rate over the last two weeks. Consider Wilson's return a small upgrade for the Jets passing game. WR Garrett Wilson and RB Breece Hall, of course, remain the only viable fantasy starters in this offense.

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A source tells NFL Network's Ian Rapoport that Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) is "unlikely" to play again this season. Rodgers got back on the practice field this week -- less than three months after tearing his Achilles. But the thought all along was that he'd only play again if the Jets were still in the playoff hunt. At 4-7, they'd likely need to win out to earn a postseason berth. So we'll be forced to watch more Tim Boyle or Zach Wilson or Trevor Siemian the rest of the way. Rodgers is at least on track to return to save WR Garrett Wilson and RB Breece Hall in 2024.

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Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) has been designated to return from IR. It means he'll be back on the practice field this week. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said on Sunday that Rodgers is still targeting a Week 16 return -- but we remain skeptical that he'll play again this season for a Jets team without a realistic chance to make the playoffs. We'll keep you updated on the situation. If Rodgers does return, it'd be excellent news for the late-season fantasy prospects of RB Breece Hall and WR Garrett Wilson.

View all Aaron Rodgers Shark Bites »

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) is still hoping to get back on the field for the Week 16 game against the Commanders, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. (What QB wouldn't want to play against that pass defense?!) There's a chance that Rodgers returns to practice this coming week, per Rapoport, although getting back on the practice field the following week is considered more likely. This is a bit of a surprise since earlier reports said Rodgers would only return if the Jets were in the playoff hunt. They have less than a 1% chance to make it after Friday's loss to the Dolphins, according to The New York Times' model. But Rodgers is obviously out to prove something with this return from a torn Achilles. And it'd be nice to build some positive momentum heading into 2024. Rodgers would be tough to trust in fantasy lineups if he does make it back. But it'd be excellent news for WR Garrett Wilson and RB Breece Hall's late-season fantasy value.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Garrett Wilson, WR NYJ
Dynasty MVP 109.8
Position Rank #32 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
323
557
1,103
Dynasty Write-up
Wilson quickly became the go-to pass catcher in New York en route to a 140+ target season. Proving durable, too, the main topic now turns to how he'll gel with QB Aaron Rodgers.
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