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Jayden Reed - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJayden Reed's Basic Stats

Jayden Reed
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 23.6
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 187

Jayden Reed's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.3 48 0.3 7.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.7 37 0.3 6.9

Jayden Reed's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#45 Wide Receiver

111 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 58.9 591.5 4.9 1.5 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJayden Reed's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

The 5’11, 187-pound rookie out of Michigan State should be an intriguing dynasty asset to watch. However, his 2023 outlook is not particularly strong.

Last year’s Packers didn’t present high passing volume, and it’s tough to expect a big shift with a first-time starter at QB. Reed will also battle 2022 rookies Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs – as well as RB Aaron Jones – for targets.

It all makes Reed just a late-round redraft consideration. Though there’s room for him to climb the target-distribution chart.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Reed was selected by the Packers 50th overall, in the second round of the NFL Draft.
  • He began his collegiate career at Western Michigan in 2018 before transferring to Michigan State for his final three seasons.
  • Reed finished ranking sixth in Michigan State history in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and tied for seventh in TD catches.
    • He started all 31 games in which he appeared over his three seasons.
  • As a senior in 2022, Reed recorded 55 catches, 636 receiving yards, and 5 TDs.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Packers lost WR Allen Lazard to the Jets in free agency, removing last season’s target leader. Between Lazard, TE Robert Tonyan, WR Randall Cobb, and WR Sammy Watkins, Green Bay shed 42.5% of last year’s targets.
  • Reed’s likely to spend most of his time in the slot:
    • Over his four college seasons, Reed went from running 98.3% of his routes from the slot as a 2018 freshman to 75.8% in 2020 and then 15.9% and 22.2% the past two years – according to Pro Football Focus.
    • However, Reed spent 59 of 68 offensive snaps in the slot when he appeared in the Reese’s Senior Bowl this February.
    • He also worked there in spring workouts with the Packers.
  • The team also drafted two TEs – Luke Musgrave in the second, Tucker Kraft in the third. That duo could factor into receiving work in the same area of the field.
  • We’re not projecting big passing volume in Green Bay, which ranked just 18th in the league in pass rate last year – with Aaron Rodgers as opposed to first-time starter Jordan Love.

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Dontayvion Wicks, WR GB

11:04am EST 11/23/23

Dontayvion Wicks inactive

Packers WR Dontayvion Wicks (concussion, knee) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Lions. Green Bay’s No. 4 WR has totaled 17 targets (11.6% share) over the last four games. His absence is a slight boost for WRs Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Jayden Reed.

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Packers WR Jayden Reed (chest) is not listed on the final Week 12 injury report. He was limited in Tuesday's practice but put in a full workout on Wednesday and will play vs. the Lions on Thanksgiving. Reed has averaged 4.0 catches and 58 yards per game over the last four, although it's come on just 5.0 targets per game. Consider Reed a risk/reward WR4 play in Week 12.

View all Jayden Reed Shark Bites »

Packers WR Dontayvion Wicks is in the concussion protocol. He's also dealing with a knee injury and was listed as a non-participant on Monday's estimated practice report. The concussion makes Wicks a long shot to be cleared for Thursday's game vs. the Lions. The rookie has played about one-third of Green Bay's offensive snaps over the past four weeks, totaling 17 targets (11.6% share). His absence is a slight boost for WRs Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Jayden Reed.

View all Dontayvion Wicks Shark Bites »

Packers WR Jayden Reed delivered a big fantasy line in an unconventional way Sunday against the Chargers. He scored from 32 yards out on a carry, one of three he logged before the middle of the second quarter. Reed totaled 46 rushing yards to lead the team in a game that saw RB Aaron Jones leave early with a knee injury. All three of Reed's rushes came before Jones left the game, which could bode well for that aspect staying in his game. He had just two rushes for the season entering Sunday's game. The rookie also tied for the team lead with 6 targets and notched 4 receptions for another 46 yards. This isn't the kind of stat line we can count on Reed repeating, but his usage was encouraging. Reed's 34 routes (among 44 dropbacks) finished basically tied with Christian Watson (36) and Romeo Doubs (33). Watson got 4 targets, tallying 2 receptions for 21 yards and a TD. Doubs posted a 5-53-1 line on 6 targets. It was an optimal matchup for the Green Bay passing offense, especially after losing its lead back. Don't expect as much Green Bay passing success the rest of the way. A Week 12 matchup at Detroit, however, could once again boost passing upside.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Jayden Reed, WR GB
Dynasty MVP 98.5
Position Rank #54 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
312
512
891
Dynasty Write-up
Green Bay used Round 2 draft capital on Reed — an excellent development for a guy most pegged in Round 3. While undersized, Reed was a freshman-year breakout at Western Michigan and shows up as a polished route runner on tape. The 23-year-old was also a Senior Bowl riser. In a best-case scenario, he’s the Packers' long-term No. 2.
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