Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Josh Downs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Downs's Basic Stats

Josh Downs
ADP: 13.6
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 22.9
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 171
40 Time: 4.48

Burst Score (Rank): 131.00 (89%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.90 (86%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.06 (61%)

Josh Downs's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 43.5 0.24 5.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.8 32 0.2 4.5

Josh Downs's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#63 Wide Receiver

143.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
13.6 57 652.5 3.6 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Downs's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Downs settled into the slot role in the Steichen offense last season but was often not utilized enough to be fantasy relevant. Like many slot WRs, he needs volume to be startable and it simply wasn’t there.

With Adonai Mitchell added as a Day 2 draft pick, there are likely to be even fewer targets for Downs this season.

Unless he finds an early connection with Anthony Richardson, Downs is just a depth piece for fantasy squads.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Down’s per-game averages as a rookie:
    • 5.76 targets
    • 4.00 receptions
    • 45.4 yards
    • 11.3 yards per catch
    • 0.12 TDs
  • His per-game statistics stayed consistent when Gardner Minshew took over for the injured Anthony Richardson:
    • 5.42 targets
    • 3.75 receptions
    • 43.0 yards
    • 11.47 yards per catch
    • 0.17 TDs
  • Downs ranked as the PPR WR43 in total fantasy points (157.1) and WR56 in points per game (9.2).
  • He did not miss a game due to injury but left early in Week 9 due to a knee injury.
  • Downs had one top-12 finish. He also had 14 WR37 or worse finishes.
  • 81.3% of his snaps were played from the slot.
  • His 18.2% target share ranked 44th in the NFL.
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, Downs ranked 46th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route run (1.60).
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Downs was 14th in average separation yards (3.3), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Downs enters his second season with the Colts under HC and play-caller Shane Steichen and OC Jim Bob Cooter.
  • The Colts are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 20th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +6000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Downs enters his second season at 23 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Downs’ career and profile will produce at 93% of his peak value at age-23.
  • The Colts spent a Round 2 pick this spring on WR Adonai Mitchell, although he’s more likely to impact WR Alec Pierce on the outside than Downs’ slot role.

Adjust Josh Downs's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and 3D Value based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Downs, WR IND

8:09am EDT 7/16/24

Josh Downs Primed for a Year 2 Leap?

The Athletic's James Boyd highlighted WR Josh Downs as the Colts' 2024 breakout player. It's a noteworthy selection after Indianapolis added WR Adonai Mitchell with the 52nd overall pick of this spring's draft. Downs, though, was a Round 3 pick just a year ago. And Boyd noted that he and QB Anthony Richardson connected often this spring.

View Full Story »

The Colts signed QB Joe Flacco to a one-year deal worth "up to" $8.7 million, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Flacco gets $4.5 million guaranteed. The 2023 Comeback Player of the Year played well down the stretch for the Browns last season, averaging 321 passing yards on a 63% completion rate and 7.7 yards per attempt across six outings. He tossed 14 TDs but also 10 INTs. Flacco is quality insurance for the Colts behind QB Anthony Richardson, who made it through just two full games as a rookie last year. The signing makes guys like WR Michael Pittman and WR Josh Downs slightly safer fantasy bets.

View all Joe Flacco Shark Bites »

Colts WR Michael Pittman Jr. returned from missing Week 16 with a shoulder injury to regain control of the team's receiving in Sunday's win over the Raiders. Pittman posted an unimpressive 5-46 receiving line on 7 targets. But he drew a target on 30.4% of the team's pass attempts and claimed 33.3% of Colts completions. WR Alec Pierce took his lone catch for a 58-yard TD to lead the team in receiving yards. Rookie WR Josh Downs followed with 53 yards on just 2 receptions. QB Gardner Minshew attempted just 23 passes, completing 15 for 224 yards on a day that found Indy running on more than half of its offensive plays. Pittman looks like the only startable Colts pass-catcher for most fantasy formats in Week 18. Indy faces Houston, which allowed Pittman 8 receptions back in Week 2. Pittman also caught 8+ passes in six straight full outings before the Week 15 game he left early.

View all Michael Pittman Jr. Shark Bites »

Colts rookie WR Josh Downs drew a team-high 9 targets in Sunday's loss to the Falcons, 24.3% of the team total. WR Michael Pittman's absence obviously helped. Downs caught six (team high) but managed just 39 yards (6.5 per catch). That makes seven straight games of 43 yards or less for Downs. He's not especially attractive for a Week 17 date with the Raiders, whether Pittman's back or not.

View all Josh Downs Shark Bites »

Colts WR Michael Pittman has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game vs. the Falcons. Pittman cleared concussion protocol on Friday but was experiencing symptoms again when the team arrived in Atlanta, according to ESPN's Stephen Holder. We'll track Pittman's status this coming week and see if he can make it back for next Sunday's game vs. the Raiders. His absence leaves Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, and D.J. Montgomery as Indianapolis' top three WRs against the Falcons.

View all Michael Pittman Jr. Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Downs, WR IND
Dynasty MVP 73.2
Position Rank #119 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
220
373
715
Dynasty Write-up
As a rookie, Downs stayed healthy for 17 games. But a nagging knee injury likely limited his second-half production. He also played just a few games alongside rookie QB Anthony Richardson. Fortunately, Richardson will be back healthy for 2024 following right shoulder surgery in October.
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »