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Josh Downs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Downs’s Basic Stats

Josh Downs
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 23.3
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 171
40 Time: 4.48

Burst Score (Rank): 131.00 (89%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.90 (86%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.06 (61%)

Josh Downs's Weekly Outlook

Week 11 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 45.2 0.24 5.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 56.2 0.3 7.4

Josh Downs's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#44 Wide Receiver

172.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 71.6 759.7 4.07 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Downs's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Downs settled into the slot role in the Steichen offense last season but was often not utilized enough to be fantasy relevant. Like many slot WRs, he needs volume to be startable and it simply wasn’t there.

With Adonai Mitchell added as a Day 2 draft pick, there are likely to be even fewer targets for Downs this season.

Unless he finds an early connection with Anthony Richardson, Downs is just a depth piece for fantasy squads.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Down’s per-game averages as a rookie:
    • 5.76 targets
    • 4.00 receptions
    • 45.4 yards
    • 11.3 yards per catch
    • 0.12 TDs
  • His per-game statistics stayed consistent when Gardner Minshew took over for the injured Anthony Richardson:
    • 5.42 targets
    • 3.75 receptions
    • 43.0 yards
    • 11.47 yards per catch
    • 0.17 TDs
  • Downs ranked as the PPR WR43 in total fantasy points (157.1) and WR56 in points per game (9.2).
  • He did not miss a game due to injury but left early in Week 9 due to a knee injury.
  • Downs had one top-12 finish. He also had 14 WR37 or worse finishes.
  • 81.3% of his snaps were played from the slot.
  • His 18.2% target share ranked 44th in the NFL.
  • Among 92 WRs with 40+ targets, Downs ranked 46th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route run (1.60).
  • Among those same 92 WRs, Downs was 14th in average separation yards (3.3), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Downs enters his second season with the Colts under HC and play-caller Shane Steichen and OC Jim Bob Cooter.
  • The Colts are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are tied for the second-highest win total in the AFC South at 8.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They sit 20th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +6000 on most sportsbooks, third highest in the division.
  • Downs enters his second season at 23 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Downs’ career and profile will produce at 93% of his peak value at age-23.
  • The Colts spent a Round 2 pick this spring on WR Adonai Mitchell, although he’s more likely to impact WR Alec Pierce on the outside than Downs’ slot role.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Anthony Richardson, QB IND

8 hours ago

Anthony Richardson Starting Week 11 Against Jets

Colts QB Anthony Richardson has been announced as the starter by HC Shane Steichen. After spending two weeks as the back-up to QB Joe Flacco, Richardson is back in the starting role. The Colts are currently 4-6 and in desperation mode to get back into the playoff hunt in the AFC

View Full Story »

The Colts have ruled WR Michael Pittman Jr. out for Sunday's game against the Bills. He's officially listed with back and finger injuries and has missed practice all week. The back issue seems to be what's keeping him out this week, though. Pittman returned to last week's game after dislocating the finger.

View Full Story »

Colts WR Josh Downs (toe, groin) returned to a full practice on Thursday. He'll play vs. the Texans this weekend but is a shaky fantasy starter with QB Anthony Richardson under center. Downs has posted 3-22-0 and 1-3-0 receiving lines in two games with Richardson this season.

View all Josh Downs Shark Bites »

Colts WR Josh Downs missed Wednesday's practice and is on the injury report with toe and groin issues. He's been playing through the toe for a couple of weeks now, but the groin is new. We'll see if Downs gets back on the field tomorrow, although he's not a recommended Week 8 fantasy starter. He caught just one of three targets for three yards with Anthony Richardson back under center last week.

View all Josh Downs Shark Bites »

Colts WRs Josh Downs (toe), Michael Pittman (back), and Alec Pierce (shoulder) are active for today’s game vs. the Dolphins. We’re expecting them to play their usual roles as the team’s top three WRs. But their projections take significant hits with QB Anthony Richardson back at the helm. See where the Colts land in the Week 7 WR Rankings.

View all Josh Downs Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Downs, WR IND
Dynasty MVP 32.2
Position Rank #41 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
288
479
890
Dynasty Write-up
As a rookie, Downs stayed healthy for 17 games. But a nagging knee injury likely limited his second-half production. He also played just a few games alongside rookie QB Anthony Richardson. Fortunately, Richardson will be back healthy for 2024 following right shoulder surgery in October.
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