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Kendre Miller - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKendre Miller's Basic Stats

Kendre Miller
ADP: 16.7
Bye: 12
Experience: 1
Age: 22.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 220

Kendre Miller's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
13.7 0.1 0.7 5.5 0 2.7

Kendre Miller's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#66 Running Back

43.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
16.7 41.2 177.9 1.21 1 0 9.1 71.4 0.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKendre Miller's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Miller battled injuries as a rookie and did not have much fantasy impact. But his success in Week 17 with Alvin Kamara on the bench showed the coaching staff his potential.

He comes into the season as the likely No. 2 RB on the team, and if Kamara gets hurt again, Miller holds high-end RB2 upside each week. Even with Kamara continuing to be the pass-catching back, Miller’s efficiency on the ground could lead to weekly production.

Miller’s low-end RB4 ADP is a cheap price for his potential. We are much higher in our 2024 RB rankings than consensus.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Miller missed nine games due to injury.
    • A hamstring injury cost him the first two games of the season.
    • In Week 9, Miller sprained his ankle and missed the next seven games.
  • Miller ranked as the PPR RB69; RB81 in points per game.
    • He recorded one game between RB13 and RB24, with RB21 being his highest finish.
  • He ranked 48th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 39%
  • He found success rushing to the right, averaging 4.62 yards per carry vs. 2.95 yards per carry to the left.
  • Miller had a breakout game in Week 18 against the Falcons when Alvin Kamara was out with injury.
    • He split carries with Jamaal Williams (13 for Miller vs. 14 for Williams).
    • Miller was effective with 79 total yards and a TD. Williams only had 29 total yards.
    • Despite being out-snapped 49% to 36%, Miller showed he is the superior back when Kamara is on the shelf.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Miller enters his second season with the Saints under HC Dennis Allen.
  • New OC Klint Kubiak spent last year as the 49ers' passing game coordinator.
    • In Kubiak’s last offensive coordinator stint for the Vikings in 2021, the team was 16th in the league in rush attempts (449).
  • The Saints are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Saints have the 25th-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000 on most sportsbooks, third-highest in the division.
  • Miller enters his second season at 22 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Miller’s draft capital and profile produces at 93-98% of his peak value at age-22.
  • Williams was one of the least effective runners in the league last year. Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:
    • 48th in yards per carry
    • 49th in rush yards over expected per attempt
    • 48th in yards after contact per attempt
    • 48th in PFF elusive rating
    • 49th in PFF rushing grade
  • Kamara wasn’t much better. He ranked 46th in rush yards over expected per attempt and finished with career lows in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kendre Miller, RB NO

1:52pm EDT 8/27/24

Kendre Miller Starting the Season on Injured Reserve

Saints RB Kendre Miller will start the season on the IR list with the hamstring injury he suffered during training camp. Miller will miss at least the first four weeks of the season and could remain on IR longer if his injury persists.

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Kendre Miller left practice early after a hamstring issue in individual drills at training camp, per Nick Underhill.

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Klint Kubiak is expected to be named the Saints' new OC, according to multiple reports. Kubiak is currently the 49ers' passing-game coordinator, so the move can't become official until after the Super Bowl. The 36-year-old son of Gary Kubiak has 10 seasons of NFL coaching experience. That includes serving as Vikings OC back in 2021. That team ranked 12th in total yards and 14th in points, ranking near the middle of the pack in run/pass split.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Saints rookie RB Kendre Miller ran for 73 yards and a TD on 13 carries in Sunday's win over the Falcons. He trailed Jamaal Williams by a carry but beat the veteran by 47 yards (5.6 per carry vs. 1.9). Miller also trailed Williams in receiving, catching his only target for 6 yards. Williams caught all three of his targets but totaled only 8 yards. Williams closes out a season that saw him fall well short of his previous career lows in yards per carry, yards per catch, and rushing success rate -- among other categories. He has two more years on his contract, with 2024 likely locked in because of the potential dead money if New Orleans were to dump him. But Miller looks like the higher-upside player and could simply pass Williams on the depth chart this offseason. Miller endured a quiet rookie campaign thanks to a series of injuries. But that could make him a dynasty "buy" this offseason. Don't be afraid to price-check the 2023 third-round NFL Draft pick. And keep Miller in mind as a potential later-round value in early 2024 best ball drafting.

View all Kendre Miller Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Kendre Miller, RB NO
Dynasty MVP 1.6
Position Rank #61 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
96
144
219
Dynasty Write-up
Miller exited TCU with only one season as the full-time starter. But it was spectacular: 224 carries, 1,399 yards, and 17 TDs. He didn’t complete athletic testing after undergoing surgery for an MCL tear. Injuries remained an issue in 2023, limiting Miller to 8 games and 41 attempts. If healthy, his workload should hit another level in 2024.
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